scholarly journals Heart Rate and Heart Rate Variability Changes Are Not Related to Future Cardiovascular Disease and Death in People With and Without Dysglycemia: A Downfall of Risk Markers? The Whitehall II Cohort Study

Author(s):  
Christian S Hansen ◽  
Marit E Jørgensen ◽  
Marek Malik ◽  
Daniel R Witte ◽  
Eric J Brunner ◽  
...  

<b>Objective</b> <p>Higher resting heart rate (rHR) and lower heart rate variability (HRV) are associated with increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause mortality in people with and without diabetes It is unknown whether temporal changes in rHR and HRV may contribute to this risk. We investigated associations between 5-year changes in rHR and HRV and risk of future CVD and death, taking into account participants’ baseline glycemic state. </p> <p><b>Research design and Methods</b></p> <p>In this prospective population-based cohort study we investigated 4,611 CVD-free civil servants (mean age 60, SD=5.9 years, 70% men).<b> </b>rHR and/or 6 indices of HRV were measured. Associations of 5-year change in 5-minute rHR and HRV with fatal- and non-fatal CVD and all-cause mortality or the composite of the two were assessed with adjustments for relevant confounders. Effect modification by glycemic state was tested. </p> <p><b>Results</b></p> <p>At baseline, 63% of participants were normoglycemic, 29% had prediabetes and 8% had diabetes. During a median (IQR) follow-up of 11.9 (11.4;12.3) years, 298 participants (6.5%) experienced a CVD event and 279 (6.1%) died from non-CVD related causes. We found no association between 5-year changes in rHR and HRV and future events. Only baseline rHR was associated with all-cause mortality. A 10 beats per minute higher baseline level showed a 11.4% higher rate of all-cause mortality (95%CI:1.0;22.9%, P=0.032). Glycemic state did not modify associations<b>. </b></p> <p><b>Conclusion</b></p> <p>Changes in rHR and HRV and possibly also baseline values of these measures are not associated with future CVD or mortality in people with or without dysglycemia. </p>

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christian S Hansen ◽  
Marit E Jørgensen ◽  
Marek Malik ◽  
Daniel R Witte ◽  
Eric J Brunner ◽  
...  

<b>Objective</b> <p>Higher resting heart rate (rHR) and lower heart rate variability (HRV) are associated with increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause mortality in people with and without diabetes It is unknown whether temporal changes in rHR and HRV may contribute to this risk. We investigated associations between 5-year changes in rHR and HRV and risk of future CVD and death, taking into account participants’ baseline glycemic state. </p> <p><b>Research design and Methods</b></p> <p>In this prospective population-based cohort study we investigated 4,611 CVD-free civil servants (mean age 60, SD=5.9 years, 70% men).<b> </b>rHR and/or 6 indices of HRV were measured. Associations of 5-year change in 5-minute rHR and HRV with fatal- and non-fatal CVD and all-cause mortality or the composite of the two were assessed with adjustments for relevant confounders. Effect modification by glycemic state was tested. </p> <p><b>Results</b></p> <p>At baseline, 63% of participants were normoglycemic, 29% had prediabetes and 8% had diabetes. During a median (IQR) follow-up of 11.9 (11.4;12.3) years, 298 participants (6.5%) experienced a CVD event and 279 (6.1%) died from non-CVD related causes. We found no association between 5-year changes in rHR and HRV and future events. Only baseline rHR was associated with all-cause mortality. A 10 beats per minute higher baseline level showed a 11.4% higher rate of all-cause mortality (95%CI:1.0;22.9%, P=0.032). Glycemic state did not modify associations<b>. </b></p> <p><b>Conclusion</b></p> <p>Changes in rHR and HRV and possibly also baseline values of these measures are not associated with future CVD or mortality in people with or without dysglycemia. </p>


2017 ◽  
Vol 176 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olaf M Dekkers ◽  
Erzsébet Horváth-Puhó ◽  
Suzanne C Cannegieter ◽  
Jan P Vandenbroucke ◽  
Henrik Toft Sørensen ◽  
...  

Objective Several studies have shown an increased risk for cardiovascular disease (CVD) in hyperthyroidism, but most studies have been too small to address the effect of hyperthyroidism on individual cardiovascular endpoints. Our main aim was to assess the association among hyperthyroidism, acute cardiovascular events and mortality. Design It is a nationwide population-based cohort study. Data were obtained from the Danish Civil Registration System and the Danish National Patient Registry, which covers all Danish hospitals. We compared the rate of all-cause mortality as well as venous thromboembolism (VTE), acute myocardial infarction (AMI), ischemic and non-ischemic stroke, arterial embolism, atrial fibrillation (AF) and percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in the two cohorts. Hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were estimated. Results The study included 85 856 hyperthyroid patients and 847 057 matched population-based controls. Mean follow-up time was 9.2 years. The HR for mortality was highest in the first 3 months after diagnosis of hyperthyroidism: 4.62, 95% CI: 4.40–4.85, and remained elevated during long-term follow-up (>3 years) (HR: 1.35, 95% CI: 1.33–1.37). The risk for all examined cardiovascular events was increased, with the highest risk in the first 3 months after hyperthyroidism diagnosis. The 3-month post-diagnosis risk was highest for atrial fibrillation (HR: 7.32, 95% CI: 6.58–8.14) and arterial embolism (HR: 6.08, 95% CI: 4.30–8.61), but the risks of VTE, AMI, ischemic and non-ischemic stroke and PCI were increased also 2- to 3-fold. Conclusions We found an increased risk for all-cause mortality and acute cardiovascular events in patients with hyperthyroidism.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Trine Moholdt ◽  
Clifford Afoakwah ◽  
Paul Scuffham ◽  
Christine McDonald ◽  
Louise Burrell ◽  
...  

Abstract BackgroundAlthough it is known that winter inclusive of the Christams holiday period is associated with an increased risk of dying compared to other times of the year, very few studies have specifically examined this phenomenon within a population cohort subject to baseline profiling and prospective follow-up. In such a cohort, we sought to determine the specific characteristics of mortality occuring during the Christmas holidays. MethodsBaseline profiling and outcome data were derived from a prospective population-based cohort with longitudinal follow-up in Central Norway - the Nord-Trøndelag Health Study. From 1984-1986, 88% of the target population comprising 39,273 men and 40,353 women aged 48±18 and 50±18 years, respectively, were profiled. We examined the long-term pattern of all-cause mortality and specific causes of death according to season, month and individual days of the year to determine the number of excess (cause-specific) deaths occuring at key timepoints (including the Christmas holidays). ResultsDuring 33.5 (IQR 17.1-34.4) years follow-up, 19,879 (50.7%) men and 19,316 (49.3%) women died at age-adjusted rate of 5.3 and 4.6 deaths per 1000/annum, respectively. Each winter, there were 44 (95% CI 43-45) more all-cause deaths compared to summer, with 21 (95% CI 20-22) more deaths attributable to cardiovascular disease. Compared to any other time of the year, December 25th-27th was the deadliest; being associated with an excess of 1.3 (95% CI 1.1-1.5) all-cause and 1.0 (95% CI 0.7-1.3) cardiovascular-related deaths per day each year. Compared to the pre-Christmas/Winter period (1st-21st December), the incidence rate ratio of all-cause mortality increased to 1.22 (95% CI 1.16-1.27) and 1.17 (95% 1.11-1.22) in men and women, respectively, in the next 21 days (Christmas/New Year holiday period). All observed differences were highly significant (P<0.001). A less pronounced pattern of seasonally-linked deaths attributable to respiratory illnesses (but not cancer) was also observed.ConclusionChristmas in Central Norway is characterised by a distinctive change and increase in cardiovascular-related mortality over and above that observed between winter (more deaths) and summer (fewer deaths). This distinctive pattern contrasted with cancer-related deaths. Further research to address vulnerability to the darker consequences of winter and, more specifically Christmas, is required.


PLoS Medicine ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (9) ◽  
pp. e1003723
Author(s):  
Emma Norrman ◽  
Max Petzold ◽  
Mika Gissler ◽  
Anne Lærke Spangmose ◽  
Signe Opdahl ◽  
...  

Background Some earlier studies have found indications of significant changes in cardiometabolic risk factors in children born after assisted reproductive technology (ART). Most of these studies are based on small cohorts with high risk of selection bias. In this study, we compared the risk of cardiovascular disease, obesity, and type 2 diabetes between singleton children born after ART and singleton children born after spontaneous conception (SC). Methods and findings This was a large population-based cohort study of individuals born in Norway, Sweden, Finland, and Denmark between 1984 and 2015. Data were obtained from national ART and medical birth registers and cross-linked with data from national patient registers and other population-based registers in the respective countries. In total, 122,429 children born after ART and 7,574,685 children born after SC were included. Mean (SD) maternal age was 33.9 (4.3) years for ART and 29.7 (5.2) for SC, 67.7% versus 41.8% were primiparous, and 45.2% versus 32.1% had more than 12 years of education. Preterm birth (<37 weeks 0 days) occurred in 7.9% of children born after ART and 4.8% in children born after SC, and 5.7% versus 3.3% had a low birth weight (<2,500 g). Mean (SD) follow-up time was 8.6 (6.2) years for children born after ART and 14.0 (8.6) years for children born after SC. In total, 135 (0.11%), 645 (0.65%), and 18 (0.01%) children born after ART were diagnosed with cardiovascular disease (ischemic heart disease, cardiomyopathy, heart failure, or cerebrovascular disease), obesity or type 2 diabetes, respectively. The corresponding values were 10,702 (0.14%), 30,308 (0.74%), and 2,919 (0.04%) for children born after SC. In the unadjusted analysis, children born after ART had a significantly higher risk of any cardiovascular disease (hazard ratio [HR] 1.24; 95% CI 1.04–1.48; p = 0.02), obesity (HR 1.13; 95% CI 1.05–1.23; p = 0.002), and type 2 diabetes (HR 1.71; 95% CI 1.08–2.73; p = 0.02). After adjustment, there was no significant difference between children born after ART and children born after SC for any cardiovascular disease (adjusted HR [aHR]1.02; 95% CI 0.86–1.22; p = 0.80) or type 2 diabetes (aHR 1.31; 95% CI 0.82–2.09; p = 0.25). For any cardiovascular disease, the 95% CI was reasonably narrow, excluding effects of a substantial magnitude, while the 95% CI for type 2 diabetes was wide, not excluding clinically meaningful effects. For obesity, there was a small but significant increased risk among children born after ART (aHR 1.14; 95% CI 1.06–1.23; p = 0.001). Important limitations of the study were the relatively short follow-up time, the limited number of events for some outcomes, and that the outcome obesity is often not considered as a disease and therefore not caught by registers, likely leading to an underestimation of obesity in both children born after ART and children born after SC. Conclusions In this study, we observed no difference in the risk of cardiovascular disease or type 2 diabetes between children born after ART and children born after SC. For obesity, there was a small but significant increased risk for children born after ART. Trial registration number ISRCTN11780826.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-25
Author(s):  
Qionggui Zhou ◽  
Xuejiao Liu ◽  
Yang Zhao ◽  
Pei Qin ◽  
Yongcheng Ren ◽  
...  

Abstract Objective: The impact of baseline hypertension status on the BMI–mortality association is still unclear. We aimed to examine the moderation effect of hypertension on the BMI–mortality association using a rural Chinese cohort. Design: In this cohort study, we investigated the incident of mortality according to different BMI categories by hypertension status. Setting: Longitudinal population-based cohort Participants: 17,262 adults ≥18 years were recruited from July to August of 2013 and July to August of 2014 from a rural area in China. Results: During a median 6-year follow-up, we recorded 1109 deaths (610 with and 499 without hypertension). In adjusted models, as compared with BMI 22-24 kg/m2, with BMI ≤18, 18-20, 20-22, 24-26, 26-28, 28-30 and >30 kg/m2, the HRs (95% CI) for mortality in normotensive participants were 1.92 (1.23-3.00), 1.44 (1.01-2.05), 1.14 (0.82-1.58), 0.96 (0.70-1.31), 0.96 (0.65-1.43), 1.32 (0.81-2.14), and 1.32 (0.74-2.35) respectively, and in hypertensive participants were 1.85 (1.08-3.17), 1.67 (1.17-2.39), 1.29 (0.95-1.75), 1.20 (0.91-1.58), 1.10 (0.83-1.46), 1.10 (0.80-1.52), and 0.61 (0.40-0.94) respectively. The risk of mortality was lower in individuals with hypertension with overweight or obesity versus normal weight, especially in older hypertensives (≥60 years old). Sensitivity analyses gave consistent results for both normotensive and hypertensive participants. Conclusions: Low BMI was significantly associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality regardless of hypertension status in rural Chinese adults, but high BMI decreased the mortality risk among individuals with hypertension, especially in older hypertensives.


Nutrients ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 1517
Author(s):  
Juyeon Lee ◽  
Kook-Hwan Oh ◽  
Sue-Kyung Park

We investigated the association between dietary micronutrient intakes and the risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD) in the Ansan-Ansung study of the Korean Genome and Epidemiologic Study (KoGES), a population-based prospective cohort study. Of 9079 cohort participants with a baseline estimate glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) ≥60 mL/min/1.73 m2 and a urine albumin to creatinine ratio (UACR) <300 mg/g and who were not diagnosed with CKD, we ascertained 1392 new CKD cases over 12 year follow-up periods. The risk of CKD according to dietary micronutrient intakes was presented using hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) in a full multivariable Cox proportional hazard models, adjusted for multiple micronutrients and important clinico-epidemiological risk factors. Low dietary intakes of phosphorus (<400 mg/day), vitamin B2 (<0.7 mg/day) and high dietary intake of vitamin B6 (≥1.6 mg/day) and C (≥100 mg/day) were associated with an increased risk of CKD stage 3B and over, compared with the intake at recommended levels (HR = 6.78 [95%CI = 2.18–21.11]; HR = 2.90 [95%CI = 1.01–8.33]; HR = 2.71 [95%CI = 1.26–5.81]; HR = 1.83 [95%CI = 1.00–3.33], respectively). In the restricted population, excluding new CKD cases defined within 2 years, an additional association with low folate levels (<100 µg/day) in higher risk of CKD stage 3B and over was observed (HR = 6.72 [95%CI = 1.40–32.16]). None of the micronutrients showed a significant association with the risk of developing CKD stage 3A. Adequate intake of micronutrients may lower the risk of CKD stage 3B and over, suggesting that dietary guidelines are needed in the general population to prevent CKD.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sze-Wen Ting ◽  
Sze-Ya Ting ◽  
Yu-Sheng Lin ◽  
Ming-Shyan Lin ◽  
George Kuo

AbstractThe incidence of herpes zoster in psoriasis patients is higher than in the general population. However, the association between herpes zoster risk and different systemic therapies, especially biologic agents, remains controversial. This study investigated the association between herpes zoster risk and several systemic antipsoriasis therapies. This prospective open cohort study was conducted using retrospectively collected data from the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database. We included 92,374 patients with newly diagnosed psoriasis between January 1, 2001, and December 31, 2013. The exposure of interest was the “on-treatment” effect of systemic antipsoriasis therapies documented by each person-quarter. The outcome was the occurrence of newly diagnosed herpes zoster. During a mean follow-up of 6.8 years, 4834 (5.2%) patients were diagnosed with herpes zoster after the index date. Among the systemic antipsoriasis therapies, etanercept (hazard ratio [HR] 4.78, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.51–15.17), adalimumab (HR 5.52, 95% CI 1.72–17.71), and methotrexate plus azathioprine (HR 4.17, 95% CI 1.78–9.82) were significantly associated with an increased risk of herpes zoster. By contrast, phototherapy (HR 0.76, 95% CI 0.60–0.96) and acitretin (HR 0.39, 95% CI 0.24–0.64) were associated with a reduced risk of herpes zoster. Overall, this study identified an association of both etanercept and adalimumab with an increased risk of herpes zoster among psoriasis patients. Acitretin and phototherapy were associated with a reduced risk.


2016 ◽  
Vol 46 (10) ◽  
pp. 2121-2131 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. K. Jandackova ◽  
A. Britton ◽  
M. Malik ◽  
A. Steptoe

BackgroundPeople with depression tend to have lower heart rate variability (HRV), but the temporal sequence is poorly understood. In a sample of the general population, we prospectively examined whether HRV measures predict subsequent depressive symptoms or whether depressive symptoms predict subsequent levels of HRV.MethodData from the fifth (1997–1999) and ninth (2007–2009) phases of the UK Whitehall II longitudinal population-based cohort study were analysed with an average follow-up of 10.5 years. The sample size for the prospective analysis depended on the analysis and ranged from 2334 (644 women) to 2276 (602 women). HRV measures during 5 min of supine rest were obtained. Depressive symptoms were evaluated by four cognitive symptoms of depression from the General Health Questionnaire.ResultsAt follow-up assessment, depressive symptoms were inversely associated with HRV measures independently of antidepressant medication use in men but not in women. Prospectively, lower baseline heart rate and higher HRV measures were associated with a lower likelihood of incident depressive symptoms at follow-up in men without depressive symptoms at baseline. Similar but statistically insignificant associations were found in women. Adjustments for known confounders including sociodemographic and lifestyle factors, cardiometabolic conditions or medication did not change the predictive effect of HRV on incident depressive symptoms at follow-up. Depressive symptoms at baseline were not associated with heart rate or HRV at follow-up in either sex.ConclusionsThese findings are consistent with an aetiological role of the autonomic nervous system in depression onset.


2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. e000413
Author(s):  
Kasper Adelborg ◽  
Dóra Körmendiné Farkas ◽  
Jens Sundbøll ◽  
Lidia Schapira ◽  
Suzanne Tamang ◽  
...  

ObjectiveWe examined the risk of primary gastrointestinal cancers in women with breast cancer and compared this risk with that of the general population.DesignUsing population-based Danish registries, we conducted a cohort study of women with incident non-metastatic breast cancer (1990–2017). We computed cumulative cancer incidences and standardised incidence ratios (SIRs).ResultsAmong 84 972 patients with breast cancer, we observed 2340 gastrointestinal cancers. After 20 years of follow-up, the cumulative incidence of gastrointestinal cancers was 4%, driven mainly by colon cancers. Only risk of stomach cancer was continually increased beyond 1 year following breast cancer. The SIR for colon cancer was neutral during 2–5 years of follow-up and approximately 1.2-fold increased thereafter. For cancer of the oesophagus, the SIR was increased only during 6–10 years. There was a weak association with pancreas cancer beyond 10 years. Between 1990–2006 and 2007–2017, the 1–10 years SIR estimate decreased and reached unity for upper gastrointestinal cancers (oesophagus, stomach, and small intestine). For lower gastrointestinal cancers (colon, rectum, and anal canal), the SIR estimate was increased only after 2007. No temporal effects were observed for the remaining gastrointestinal cancers. Treatment effects were negligible.ConclusionBreast cancer survivors were at increased risk of oesophagus and stomach cancer, but only before 2007. The risk of colon cancer was increased, but only after 2007.


2020 ◽  
Vol 35 (Supplement_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tatsunori Toida ◽  
Reiko Toida ◽  
Shou Ebihara ◽  
Shigehiro Uezono ◽  
Hiroyuki Komatsu ◽  
...  

Abstract Background and Aims Polypharmacy (PP) is common in end-stage chronic renal disease patients, largely because of the existence of multiple comorbid conditions. PP has the potential for harm and benefits, and the association between PP and mortality and morbidity in hemodialysis patients currently remains unclear. We examined the association of PP and the risk of clinical outcomes, such as all-cause mortality, all-cause hospitalization and cardiovascular events, in initial hemodialysis patients at admission and discharge. Method Study design: Cohort study. Setting: Participants: One hundred and fifty-two initial hemodialysis patients (female vs. male, 88 vs. 64; mean age, 70.3 years) were enrolled between February 2015 and March 2018 at the Nobeoka Prefectural Hospital and Chiyoda Hospital. Predictor: Patients were divided into 2 groups according to PP (6 or more drug prescriptions, or less) during admission and discharge for the initiation of hemodialysis. Outcomes: All-cause mortality, all-cause hospitalization and cardiovascular events (hospitalization due to stroke, ischemic heart disease or peripheral artery disease) during the mean 2.8-year follow-up. Measurements: Hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated using Cox’s model for the relationships between PP and the clinical outcomes, and adjusted for potential confounders, including age, sex, body mass index, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, Charlson comorbidity risk index, hemoglobin, serum levels of albumin, albumin-corrected Ca, phosphate, parathyroid hormone, C-reactive protein and NT-proBNP; and use of erythropoietin stimulating agents. The group with 5 or less drug prescriptions was set as reference. Results Among the patients in this cohort study, the number of prescribed drugs per patient averaged 7.4 at admission and 6.9 at discharge for initial hemodialysis. One hundred (65.8%) and 94 patients (61.8%) had PP at admission and discharge, respectively. During follow-up, 20 patients died, 71 patients were hospitalized and 25 patients had cardiovascular events. PP at admission is significantly associated with cardiovascular events (HR 8.50, 95%CI 1.45-49.68). Furthermore, PP at discharge is significantly associated with all-cause hospitalization and cardiovascular events (HR 1.95, 95%CI 1.01-3.70; HR 53.16, 95%CI 2.70-104.62, respectively). However, PP is not significantly associated with all-cause mortality at admission or discharge. Conclusion Among Japanese patients starting hemodialysis, PP may be associated with clinical outcomes. However, it remains unclear whether PP is the direct cause of the outcomes or is simply a marker for increased risk of outcomes.


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