Foot Ulcer and Risk of Lower Limb Amputation or Death in People With Diabetes: A National Population-Based Retrospective Cohort Study
Objective <p>To describe incidence of foot ulceration and amputation free survival associated with foot ulceration status in a national population-based cohort study of people with diabetes.</p> <p>Research Design and Methods</p> <p>The study population included 233,459 people with diabetes who were alive in Scotland on 1<sup>st</sup> January 2012 identified from the national population-based register (national prevalence 4.9%). Characteristics of patients identified from linked hospital and mortality records during follow-up to the end of November 2017 were compared by outcome. Cox regression was used to assess the association between history of foot ulcer and amputation free survival. </p> <p>Results</p> <p>The population included 23,395 people with type-1 diabetes and 210,064 people with type-2 diabetes. In total there were 13,093 (5.6%) people with a previous foot ulceration, 9,023 people developed a first ulcer, 48,995 died and 2,866 underwent minor or major amputation during follow-up. Overall incidence of first time foot ulcers was 7.8 per 1000 person years (95% CI: 7.6-7.9) and 11.2 (11.0-11.4) for any ulcer. Risk factors for reduced amputation-free survival included social deprivation, mental illness and being underweight in addition to conventional cardiovascular risk factors. Adjusted hazards ratios (95% CI) were 2.09 (1.89-2.31) for type-1 diabetes and 1.65 (1.60-1.70) for type-2 diabetes. </p> <p>Conclusion</p> <p>The overall incidence of foot ulceration in a population-based study of people with diabetes was 11.2 per 1000<b> </b>person years. Foot ulceration is associated with lower amputation-free survival, a potential measure of effectiveness of care among people with diabetes. Mental illness and social deprivation are also highlighted as risk factors.</p>