scholarly journals GEODYNAMICS

GEODYNAMICS ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 1(10)2011 (1(10)) ◽  
pp. 38-46
Author(s):  
T.B. Chepurna ◽  
◽  
E. D. Kuzmenko ◽  

Analysis of the debris flow formation factors which cause the long-term activity of debris flows is made. The methodology of the debris flows prediction subject to meteorological, hydrological, seismic, heliophysical factors is proposed. The regularities of long-term seasonality of these factors by using autocorrelation and spectral analysis are revealed. The integral rate of probability of debris flow intensification is calculated. The time series of this integral rate is extrapolated and the following peak of debris flows activation is predicted.

Geografie ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 120 (1) ◽  
pp. 50-63
Author(s):  
Karel Šilhán ◽  
Tomáš Pánek ◽  
Jan Hradecký

There is a lack of information about enabling and triggering factors of debris flows in the densely populated coastal slopes of the Crimean Mountains. In such respect, it is useful to reconstruct a chronology of historical debris flow events and correlate them with time series of relevant meteorological characteristics. We utilized dendrogeomorphological methods using 566 individuals of Pinus nigra for inferring age of 215 debris flow events. The oldest event is dated to 1701 and the highest decadal frequency of debris flows (20 events) is determined to 1940s. Long periods with anomalously low temperatures generating sufficient amount of debris are a major factor enabling debris flow. The dominant triggering factor for regional (multiply) debris flow events are long-term periods with above-average precipitations, but local (isolated) events are more related to short-term periods (~one month) with above-average precipitations.


Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 416
Author(s):  
Bwalya Malama ◽  
Devin Pritchard-Peterson ◽  
John J. Jasbinsek ◽  
Christopher Surfleet

We report the results of field and laboratory investigations of stream-aquifer interactions in a watershed along the California coast to assess the impact of groundwater pumping for irrigation on stream flows. The methods used include subsurface sediment sampling using direct-push drilling, laboratory permeability and particle size analyses of sediment, piezometer installation and instrumentation, stream discharge and stage monitoring, pumping tests for aquifer characterization, resistivity surveys, and long-term passive monitoring of stream stage and groundwater levels. Spectral analysis of long-term water level data was used to assess correlation between stream and groundwater level time series data. The investigations revealed the presence of a thin low permeability silt-clay aquitard unit between the main aquifer and the stream. This suggested a three layer conceptual model of the subsurface comprising unconfined and confined aquifers separated by an aquitard layer. This was broadly confirmed by resistivity surveys and pumping tests, the latter of which indicated the occurrence of leakage across the aquitard. The aquitard was determined to be 2–3 orders of magnitude less permeable than the aquifer, which is indicative of weak stream-aquifer connectivity and was confirmed by spectral analysis of stream-aquifer water level time series. The results illustrate the importance of site-specific investigations and suggest that even in systems where the stream is not in direct hydraulic contact with the producing aquifer, long-term stream depletion can occur due to leakage across low permeability units. This has implications for management of stream flows, groundwater abstraction, and water resources management during prolonged periods of drought.


2010 ◽  
Vol 67 (10) ◽  
pp. 1596-1610 ◽  
Author(s):  
Matthew R. Cover ◽  
Juan A. de la Fuente ◽  
Vincent H. Resh

Debris flows and debris floods are catastrophic disturbances in steep, mountainous landscapes throughout the world, but little is known about the long-term ecological effects of these events on headwater streams. In 10 basins (10–20 km2) in the Klamath Mountains, northern California, USA, we used a space-for-time substitution to infer the long-term (10–100 years) effects of debris flows on stream ecosystem structure. Debris flows mobilized sediment and wood and removed riparian vegetation from large portions of channel networks. Stream temperatures were significantly warmer in streams that had recent debris flows (<10 years ago). Large wood, benthic organic matter, and detritivorous stoneflies were all very sparse in recent debris flow streams, suggesting that allochthonous energy pathways took decades to recover. Rainbow trout ( Oncorhynchus mykiss ) were abundant in recent debris flow streams, but populations of other vertebrates such as coastal giant salamander ( Dicamptodon tenebrosus ) and coastal tailed frog ( Ascaphus truei ) were virtually absent. Increased frequencies of catastrophic debris flows associated with forest management practices can have significant negative impacts on aquatic biodiversity in forested, mountainous landscapes.


2013 ◽  
Vol 52 (7) ◽  
pp. 1554-1560 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrea Toreti ◽  
Michelle Schneuwly-Bollschweiler ◽  
Markus Stoffel ◽  
Jürg Luterbacher

AbstractThis article addresses the role of large-scale circulation and thermodynamical features in the release of past debris flows in the Swiss Alps by using classification algorithms, potential instability, and convective time scale. The study is based on a uniquely dense dendrogeomorphic time series of debris flows covering the period 1872–2008, reanalysis data, instrumental time series, and gridded hourly precipitation series (1992–2006) over the area. Results highlight the crucial role of synoptic and mesoscale forcing as well as of convective equilibrium on triggering rainfalls. Two midtropospheric synoptic patterns favor anomalous southwesterly flow toward the area and high potential instability. These findings imply a certain degree of predictability of debris-flow events and can therefore be used to improve existing alert systems.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
◽  
Katrin Sattler

<p>The lower boundary of alpine permafrost extent is considered to be especially sensitive to climate change. Ice loss within permanently frozen debris and bedrock as a consequence of rising temperature is expected to increase the magnitude and frequency of potentially hazardous mass wasting processes such as debris flows. Previous research in this field has been generally limited by an insufficient understanding of the controls on debris flow formation. A particular area of uncertainty is the role of environmental preconditioning factors in the spatial and temporal distribution of debris flow initiation in high-alpine areas. This thesis aims to contribute by investigating the influence of permafrost and intensive frost weathering on debris flow activity in the New Zealand Southern Alps. By analysing a range of potential factors, this study explores whether debris flow systems subjected to periglacial influence are more active than systems outside of the periglacial domain.   A comprehensive debris flow inventory was established for thirteen study areas in the Southern Alps. The inventory comprises 1534 debris flow systems and 404 regolith-supplying contribution areas. Analysis of historical aerial photographs, spanning six decades, identified 240 debris flow events. Frequency ratios and logistic regression models were used to explore the influence of preconditioning factors on the distribution of debris flows as well as their effect on sediment reaccumulation in supply-limited systems. The preconditioning factors considered included slope, aspect, altitude, lithology, Quaternary sediment presence, neo-tectonic uplift rates (as a proxy for bedrock fracturing), permafrost occurrence, and frost-weathering intensity. Topographic and geologic information was available in the form of published datasets or was derived from digital elevation models. The potential extent of contemporary permafrost in the Southern Alps was estimated based on the statistical evaluation of 280 rock glaciers in the Canterbury region. Statistical relationships between permafrost presence, mean annual air temperature, and potential incoming solar radiation were used to calculate the spatially distributed probability of permafrost occurrence. Spatially distributed frost-weathering intensities were estimated by calculating the number of annual freeze-thaw cycles as well as frost-cracking intensities, considering the competing frost-weathering hypotheses of volumetric ice expansion and segregation ice growth.  Results suggest that the periglacial influence on debris flow activity is present at high altitudes where intense frost weathering enhances regolith production. Frost-induced debris production appears to be more efficient in sun-avert than sun-facing locations, supporting segregation ice growth as the dominant bedrock-weathering mechanism in alpine environments. No indication was found that permafrost within sediment reservoirs increases slope instability. Similarly, the presence of permanently frozen bedrock within the debris flow contribution areas does not appear to increase regolith production rates and hence debris flow activity. Catchment topography and the availability of unconsolidated Quaternary deposits appeared to be the cardinal non-periglacial controls on debris flow distribution.   This thesis contributes towards a better understanding of the controls on debris flow formation by providing empirical evidence in support of the promoting effect of intense frost weathering on debris flow development. It further demonstrates the potential and limitations of debris flow inventories for identifying preconditioning debris flow controls. The informative value of regional-scale datasets was identified as a limitation in this research. Improvement in the spatial parameterisation of potential controls is needed in order to advance understanding of debris flow preconditioning factors.</p>


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carolin Kiefer ◽  
Michael Krautblatter ◽  
Christoph Mayr ◽  
Patrick Oswald ◽  
Michael Strasser

&lt;p&gt;Debris flows represent a widespread geomorphological hazard in mountainous regions. Understanding the long-term dynamics of debris flow activity in view of climate change is crucial for the prevention and mitigation of future events. The activity of debris flows is evidently linked to the magnitude of rainstorms. Dietrich &amp; Krautblatter (2017) found an increase in debris flow volumes after 1980 by a factor of 2 compared to the period 1947-1980 and by a factor of 3 compared to the mean Lateglacial/Holocene debris flow volumes by investigating aerial photos of the surroundings of lake Plansee (Reutte, Austria) and estimating debris flow cone volumes with geophysical methods.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;In this study, the terrestrial observations of increasing debris flow volumes were compared with the subaquatic deposits from the deepest basin of the lake. The debris flow volume within a three-month period on a large debris cone was monitored by Terrestrial Laserscanning (TLS) and the debris flow activity over the last 3 600 years was reconstructed using sediment cores. Four short cores of up to 145 cm depth were recovered in a transect from the shallow subaquatic debris cone area to the deepest basin of the lake. The grain size, density, Magnetic Susceptibility as well as the d&lt;sup&gt;13&lt;/sup&gt;-C, d&lt;sup&gt;15&lt;/sup&gt;N- and C/N-ratios of the sediment were analyzed.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The Terrestrial Laserscans revealed a sediment delivery ratio of 30% for the steep debris cone bordering the lake. In the four correlated short cores, 52 debris flow events were differentiated within the last 3 600 years of sedimentation. The proportion of event layers in the cores ranges between 34% and 57% of the total section thickness. The sedimentation rates from a dated core confirm the increase of debris flow activity that was observed with terrestrial methods by Dietrich &amp; Krautblatter (2017). The sedimentation rates show an 11-fold increase after 1930 compared to the rates before 1930 and a 5-fold to 12-fold increase compared to the average Holocene sedimentation rates in lake Plansee. Three types of event deposits were distinguished according to sedimentological criteria: flood-triggered debris flows, earthquake-induced subaquatic suspension flows and mega-events. The TOC/TN ratios of the sediment reveal a permanent influence of terrestrial carbon on the lake sediment and a mixed source of allochthonous and autochthonous organic matter. Large debris flow events can be distinguished from background sediments by increased d&lt;sup&gt;13&lt;/sup&gt;C isotope ratios.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The results of this study reveal further scientific proof for the increase of debris flow activity in conjunction with increasing rainstorm activity. Here we show one of the first long-term archives of debris flow activity in the Northern Alps spanning the last 3 600 years and revealing cyclic shifts in debris-flow transport volumes by one order of magnitude.&lt;/p&gt;


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
◽  
Katrin Sattler

<p>The lower boundary of alpine permafrost extent is considered to be especially sensitive to climate change. Ice loss within permanently frozen debris and bedrock as a consequence of rising temperature is expected to increase the magnitude and frequency of potentially hazardous mass wasting processes such as debris flows. Previous research in this field has been generally limited by an insufficient understanding of the controls on debris flow formation. A particular area of uncertainty is the role of environmental preconditioning factors in the spatial and temporal distribution of debris flow initiation in high-alpine areas. This thesis aims to contribute by investigating the influence of permafrost and intensive frost weathering on debris flow activity in the New Zealand Southern Alps. By analysing a range of potential factors, this study explores whether debris flow systems subjected to periglacial influence are more active than systems outside of the periglacial domain.   A comprehensive debris flow inventory was established for thirteen study areas in the Southern Alps. The inventory comprises 1534 debris flow systems and 404 regolith-supplying contribution areas. Analysis of historical aerial photographs, spanning six decades, identified 240 debris flow events. Frequency ratios and logistic regression models were used to explore the influence of preconditioning factors on the distribution of debris flows as well as their effect on sediment reaccumulation in supply-limited systems. The preconditioning factors considered included slope, aspect, altitude, lithology, Quaternary sediment presence, neo-tectonic uplift rates (as a proxy for bedrock fracturing), permafrost occurrence, and frost-weathering intensity. Topographic and geologic information was available in the form of published datasets or was derived from digital elevation models. The potential extent of contemporary permafrost in the Southern Alps was estimated based on the statistical evaluation of 280 rock glaciers in the Canterbury region. Statistical relationships between permafrost presence, mean annual air temperature, and potential incoming solar radiation were used to calculate the spatially distributed probability of permafrost occurrence. Spatially distributed frost-weathering intensities were estimated by calculating the number of annual freeze-thaw cycles as well as frost-cracking intensities, considering the competing frost-weathering hypotheses of volumetric ice expansion and segregation ice growth.  Results suggest that the periglacial influence on debris flow activity is present at high altitudes where intense frost weathering enhances regolith production. Frost-induced debris production appears to be more efficient in sun-avert than sun-facing locations, supporting segregation ice growth as the dominant bedrock-weathering mechanism in alpine environments. No indication was found that permafrost within sediment reservoirs increases slope instability. Similarly, the presence of permanently frozen bedrock within the debris flow contribution areas does not appear to increase regolith production rates and hence debris flow activity. Catchment topography and the availability of unconsolidated Quaternary deposits appeared to be the cardinal non-periglacial controls on debris flow distribution.   This thesis contributes towards a better understanding of the controls on debris flow formation by providing empirical evidence in support of the promoting effect of intense frost weathering on debris flow development. It further demonstrates the potential and limitations of debris flow inventories for identifying preconditioning debris flow controls. The informative value of regional-scale datasets was identified as a limitation in this research. Improvement in the spatial parameterisation of potential controls is needed in order to advance understanding of debris flow preconditioning factors.</p>


Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (16) ◽  
pp. 2274
Author(s):  
Guido Leone ◽  
Pasquale Clemente ◽  
Libera Esposito ◽  
Francesco Fiorillo

Debris flows that have occurred in the area of San Martino Valle Caudina (Campania, Southern Italy) are described by geomorphological and hydrological analyses, focusing on the recent event of December 2019. This area can be considered a key example for studying debris-flow phenomena involving the pyroclastic mantle that covers the karstified bedrock along steep slopes. A hydrological analysis of the time series of the maximum annual rainfall, of durations of 1, 3, 6, 12 and 24 h, was carried out based on a new approach to assess rainstorm magnitude. It was quantified by measuring the deviation of the rainfall intensity from the normal conditions, within a specified time period. As the time series of annual maxima are typically skewed, a preliminary transformation is needed to normalize the distribution; to obtain the Z-value of the standard normal distribution, with mean µ = 0 and standard deviation σ = 1, different probability distribution functions were fitted to the actual data. A specific boxplot was used, with box width Z = ±1 and whiskers length Z = ±2. The deviations from these values provide the performance of the distribution fits. For the normalized time series, the rates shown by the trends and relative significance were investigated for the available time series of 11 rain gauges covering the Western–Central Campania region. The most critical condition for the debris-flow initiation appears to occur when a severe or extreme rainfall has a duration ≥ 12 h. The trend analysis did not detect statistically significant increases in the intensity of the rainfall of duration ≥ 6 h.


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