scholarly journals Survival analysis of renal patients underwent transplantation in Kyrgyz Republic and various countries by 10 years follow-up

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (Issue 4) ◽  
pp. 243
Author(s):  
Zhanybek Gaibyldaev ◽  
Zhamalbek Ashimov ◽  
Damirbek Abibillaev ◽  
Fuat Kocyigit

In our study we conducted survival analysis of 204 patients visited Scientific-Research Institute of Heart Surgery and Organs transplantation and who underwent renal transplantation in Kyrgyzstan and other Eurasian countries between 2005 and 2016 years (age range: 9-71 years, mean: 38.21 (12.74) years, median: 34.0 (0.89) years; gender: 142 male (69.6%)). During follow-up period, mortality event was observed in 16 (7.84%) patients. Survival function probabilities of patients and rational risk factors of survival functions were evaluated by Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analyses, respectively. According to Kaplan-Meier results survival probabilities calculated for 1st year: 0.96 (0.014), for 3rd year: 0.94 (0.018), for 5th year: 0.86 (0.04), for 7th year: 0.75 (0.10). Among age groups 28-39 age ranges prevailed by 11 patients. Nevertheless, that difference did not show statistical significance: p˃0.322. The intensity of transplantation also analyzed according to years, which revealed increasing in numbers of operations by time. For instance, when in 2006 only two cases were registered in our center, but numbers of transplanted patients reached up to 48 in 2015. The association of mortality states and years of transplantation found significantly by Kaplan-Meier test (Breslow p˂0.001). The survival analysis was compared according to countries and revealed significant results (Breslow p˂0.05). From other factors influencing mortality, sex did not show strong impact on survival by Kaplan-Meier analysis, but significant association was found by Cox regression analysis.

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cheng-Jui Lin ◽  
Chi-Feng Pan ◽  
Chih-Kuang Chuang ◽  
Fang-Ju Sun ◽  
Duen-Jen Wang ◽  
...  

Background/Aims. Previous studies have reported p-cresyl sulfate (PCS) was related to endothelial dysfunction and adverse clinical effect. We investigate the adverse effects of PCS on clinical outcomes in a chronic kidney disease (CKD) cohort study.Methods. 72 predialysis patients were enrolled from a single medical center. Serum biochemistry data and PCS were measured. The clinical outcomes including cardiovascular event, all-cause mortality, and dialysis event were recorded during a 3-year follow-up.Results. After adjusting other independent variables, multivariate Cox regression analysis showed age (HR: 1.12,P=0.01), cardiovascular disease history (HR: 6.28,P=0.02), and PCS (HR: 1.12,P=0.02) were independently associated with cardiovascular event; age (HR: 0.91,P<0.01), serum albumin (HR: 0.03,P<0.01), and PCS level (HR: 1.17,P<0.01) reached significant correlation with dialysis event. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that patients with higher serum p-cresyl sulfate (>6 mg/L) were significantly associated with cardiovascular and dialysis event (log rankP=0.03, log rankP<0.01, resp.).Conclusion. Our study shows serum PCS could be a valuable marker in predicting cardiovascular event and renal function progression in CKD patients without dialysis.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bence Beres ◽  
Maria Yusenko ◽  
Lehel Peterfi ◽  
Gyula Kovacs ◽  
Daniel Banyai

Abstract Purpose Approximately 15% of clinically localised conventional renal cell carcinomas (cRCC) develop metastases within 5 years of follow-up. Sarcomatous cRCC is a highly malignant cancer of the kidney. The aim of our study was to identify biomarkers for estimating the postoperative progression of cRCCs. Methods Global microarray-based gene expression analysis of RCCs with and without sarcomatous changes revealed that a high MMP12 expression was associated with a sarcomatous histology. Additionally, we analysed MMP12 expression using a multi-tissue array comprising 736 cRCC patients without metastasis at the time of surgery. The median follow-up time was 66 ± 29 months. Results Immunohistochemistry revealed MMP12 expression in 187 of 736 cRCCs with good follow-up data. Subsequent Kaplan–Meier analysis revealed that patients with MMP12 positive tumours exhibited a significantly shorter tumour-free survival (p < 0.001). In multivariate Cox regression analysis a weak to strong MMP12 expression indicated a 2.4–2.8 times higher risk of postoperative tumour relapse (p < 0.001; p < 0.003, respectively). Conclusions MMP12 may serve as a biomarker to estimate postoperative cRCC relapse and as a possible target for penfluridol therapy.


Circulation ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 130 (suppl_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nora Krau ◽  
Sandra Freitag-Wolf ◽  
Doreen Brehm ◽  
Rainer Petzina ◽  
Georg Lutter ◽  
...  

Background: GDF15 belongs to the transforming growth factor superfamily and has a significant role in regulating inflammatory and apoptotic pathways. GDF15 is an emerging biomarker for risk stratification in cardiovascular disease. Here we analyze its prognostic value in patients with severe symptomatic aortic valve stenosis undergoing transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI). Methods and Results: We prospectively enrolled 217 patients undergoing TAVI (using Edwards Sapien XT prostheses) at our institution over a continuous period of 35 month (2/2011-12/2013). All patients were available for complete follow up. Clinical parameters were determined before the procedure, biomarkers (GDF15 & NTproBNP) were measured before, 3 and 7 days after TAVI. The primary endpoint was survival time, all available prognostic factors were studied by Cox regression analysis with backward selection based on the likelihood ratio criteria. At median follow-up of 349 d (Q1-Q3 106-660d), a total of n=66 deaths occurred. 30d mortality was 6.9%. Mean age was 81.8 years (± 6.0 y) and 55.8% were females. Mean log. Euroscore (ES) was 25.4% (± 17.2%). Median preprocedural GDF15 values were 2256 pg/ml (Q1-Q3 1585.5-3082.0). In univariate analyses, increased GDF15 levels (upper quartile compared to lower three quartiles) revealed a HR of 2.4 (CI 1.5-3.9, p<0.001) for adverse outcome. In addition, also log. ES (p= 0.001), log. ES II (p=0.018), STS-Score (p=0.019), NTproBNP (p=0.037) and atrial fibrillation (p=0.02) demonstrated statistical significance for negative outcome. A multivariate Cox regression analysis including these factors and postprocedural aortic regurgitation, demonstrated that elevated GDF15 had a HR of 2.104 (CI 1.3-3.5; p=0.003) for negative outcome in patients undergoing TAVI, while elevated NTproBNP had HR of 1.412 (CI 0.8-2.4; p=0.212). Moreover, this analysis also revealed the log. ES as an independent risk factor (HR of 2.211, CI 1.3-3.7; p= 0.002). Conclusion: Increased GDF15 levels are associated with a poor prognosis in patients undergoing TAVI. Furthermore, GDF15 showed to be superior to the established biomarker NTproBNP in risk stratification of patients undergoing TAVI providing additional prognostic information.


2020 ◽  
Vol 27 (3) ◽  
pp. 492-501 ◽  
Author(s):  
Damianos G. Kokkinidis ◽  
Omar Jawaid ◽  
David Cantu ◽  
Brad J. Martinsen ◽  
Zsuzsanna Igyarto ◽  
...  

Purpose: To examine whether the combination of orbital atherectomy (OA) and drug-coated balloons (DCB) can lead to superior procedural and 2-year outcomes compared with DCB only in heavily calcified femoropopliteal (FP) lesions. Materials and Methods: A retrospective chart review was conducted to identify patients treated with DCB only or OA+DCB for de novo FP lesions at a single center over a 4-year period (2014–2017). In the observation period, 113 patients met the inclusion criteria: 63 treated with DCB only (mean age 69.0±8.6 years; 62 men) vs 50 treated with OA+DCB (mean age 70.3±7.1 years; 48 men). The OA+DCB group had higher calcification rates (78% with severe calcification vs 37% in the DCB only group). Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to adjust for baseline differences between the 2 groups. Cox regression analysis was used to compare the follow-up outcomes between lesions treated with OA+DCB vs DCB only. Results: No difference in procedural complications or success was found. After PSM adjustment, the OA+DCB group was associated with lower bailout stenting rates (39.4% vs 66.7% in the DCB only group; p=0.026). The 2 groups had similar long-term outcomes, although the OA+DCB arm had a trend toward reduced TLR rates that did not reach statistical significance. The Kaplan-Meier estimates for 2-year freedom from TLR were 76.1% for the OA+DCB group vs 55.5% for the DCB only group (p=0.109). Conclusion: OA+DCB is a safe and effective combination for the treatment of calcified FP lesions. The combined therapy decreased the bailout stenting rates in the adjusted analysis. Larger cohorts and randomized trials are needed to examine OA efficacy in FP lesions.


2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (6) ◽  
pp. 337-343 ◽  
Author(s):  
Claus Varnum ◽  
Alma Bečić Pedersen ◽  
Per Hviid Gundtoft ◽  
Søren Overgaard

Establishment of orthopaedic registers started in 1975 and many registers have been initiated since. The main purpose of registers is to collect information on patients, implants and procedures in order to monitor and improve the outcome of the specific procedure. Data validity reflects the quality of the registered data and consists of four major aspects: coverage of the register, registration completeness of procedures/patients, registration completeness of variables included in the register and accuracy of registered variables. Survival analysis is often used in register studies to estimate the incidence of an outcome. The most commonly used survival analysis is the Kaplan–Meier survival curves, which present the proportion of patients who have not experienced the defined event (e.g. death or revision of a prosthesis) in relation to the time. Depending on the research question, competing events can be taken into account by using the cumulative incidence function. Cox regression analysis is used to compare survival data for different groups taking differences between groups into account. When interpreting the results from observational register-based studies a number of factors including selection bias, information bias, chance and confounding have to be taken into account. In observational register-based studies selection bias is related to, for example, absence of complete follow-up of the patients, whereas information bias is related to, for example, misclassification of exposure (e.g. risk factor of interest) or/and outcome. The REporting of studies Conducted using Observational Routinely-collected Data guidelines should be used for studies based on routinely-collected health data including orthopaedic registers. Linkage between orthopaedic registers, other clinical quality databases and administrative health registers may be of value when performing orthopaedic register-based research. Cite this article: EFORT Open Rev 2019;4 DOI: 10.1302/2058-5241.4.180097


2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. 3009
Author(s):  
José Antonio Rubio ◽  
Sara Jiménez ◽  
José Luis Lázaro-Martínez

Background: This study reviews the mortality of patients with diabetic foot ulcers (DFU) from the first consultation with a Multidisciplinary Diabetic Foot Team (MDFT) and analyzes the main cause of death, as well as the relevant clinical factors associated with survival. Methods: Data of 338 consecutive patients referred to the MDFT center for a new DFU during the 2008–2014 period were analyzed. Follow-up: until death or until 30 April 2020, for up to 12.2 years. Results: Clinical characteristics: median age was 71 years, 92.9% had type 2 diabetes, and about 50% had micro-macrovascular complications. Ulcer characteristics: Wagner grade 1–2 (82.3%), ischemic (49.2%), and infected ulcers (56.2%). During follow-up, 201 patients died (59.5%), 110 (54.7%) due to cardiovascular disease. Kaplan—Meier curves estimated a reduction in survival of 60% with a 95% confidence interval (95% CI), (54.7–65.3) at 5 years. Cox regression analysis adjusted to a multivariate model showed the following associations with mortality, with hazard ratios (HRs) (95% CI): age, 1.07 (1.05–1.08); HbA1c value < 7% (53 mmol/mol), 1.43 (1.02–2.0); active smoking, 1.59 (1.02–2.47); ischemic heart or cerebrovascular disease, 1.55 (1.15–2.11); chronic kidney disease, 1.86 (1.37–2.53); and ulcer severity (SINBAD system) 1.12 (1.02–1.26). Conclusion: Patients with a history of DFU have high mortality. Two less known predictors of mortality were identified: HbA1c value < 7% (53 mmol/mol) and ulcer severity.


2020 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Aleksandar Višnjić ◽  
Predrag Kovačević ◽  
Asen Veličkov ◽  
Mariola Stojanović ◽  
Stefan Mladenović

Abstract Background Head and neck melanoma (HNM) is specific from the anatomical and etiopathogenetic aspects. In addition to morphopathological parameters, rich vascularization and lymphatic drainage of the head and neck affect the occurrence of lymphogenic and hematogenous metastases, as well as the metastases on both sides of the neck. Methods A retrospective cross-sectional study included cutaneous melanoma patients who underwent surgery at a clinical center over a 10-year period. The clinical follow-up was at least 60 months. The Kaplan-Meier method was used for the survival analysis. The predictor effect of certain independent variables on a given dichotomous dependent variable (survival) was measured by the Cox regression analysis. Results The analysis of demographic and clinical characteristics of 116 patients with HNM revealed that there was no statistically significant difference in age and gender in the total sample. Thirty-three (28.45%) patients were already in stage III or IV of the disease at the first examination, which affected the overall survival rate. The overall 5-year survival was 30.2%. No statistically significant difference in 5-year survival was found in relation to age and location. The period without melanoma progression decreased progressively in the advanced stage. Forty-nine patients (42%) underwent surgery for lymphogenic metastases in the parotid region and/or neck during the follow-up. Conclusions Patients with HNM included in this study frequently presented an advanced stage of the disease at the first examination, which is reflected in a low rate of 5-year survival. Early diagnosis and adequate primary treatment can ensure longer survival.


2019 ◽  
Vol 48 (3) ◽  
pp. 233-242
Author(s):  
Raja Ahsan Aftab ◽  
Amer Hayat Khan ◽  
Azreen Syazril Adnan ◽  
Syed Azhar Syed Sulaiman ◽  
Tahir Mehmood Khan

Aims and objective: To estimate the effect of losartan 50 mg on survival of post-dialysis euvolemic hypertensive patients. Methodology: A single center, prospective, single-blind randomized trial was conducted to estimate the survival of post-dialysis euvolemic hypertensive patients when treated with lorsartan 50 mg every other day. Post-dialysis euvolemic assessment was done by a body composition monitor. Covariate Adaptive Randomization was used for allocation of participants to the standard or intervention arm, and the follow-up duration was twelve months. The primary end point was achieving targeted blood pressure (BP) of <140/90 mm Hg and maintaining for 4 weeks, whereas secondary end point was all cause of mortality. Pre-, intra-, and post-dialysis session BP measurements were recorded, and survival trends were analyzed using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Results: Of the total 229 patients, 96 (41.9%) were identified as post-dialysis euvolemic hypertensive. Final samples of 88 (40.1%) patients were randomized into standard (n = 44) and intervention arms (n = 44), and 36 (81.8%) patients in each arm completed a follow-up of 12 months. A total of eight patients passed away during the 12-month follow-up period (6 deaths among standard arm and 2 in intervention arm). However, the probability of survival between both arms was not significant (p = 0.13). Cox regression analysis revealed that chances of survival were higher among the patients in the intervention (OR 3.17) arm than the standard arm (OR 0.31); however, the survival was found not statistically significant. Conclusion: There was no statistical significant difference in 1 year survival of post-dialysis euvolemic hypertensive patients when treated with losartan 50 mg.


Blood ◽  
2007 ◽  
Vol 110 (11) ◽  
pp. 522-522
Author(s):  
Stefano Sacchi ◽  
Luigi Marcheselli ◽  
Alessia Bari ◽  
Raffaella Marcheselli ◽  
Samantha Pozzi ◽  
...  

Abstract BACKGROUND Secondary malignancies have been associated with Non Hodgkin Lymphoma (NHL) treatment. Nevertheless few analyses have addressed this issue focusing on aggressive lymphoma. Aims of this study were to determine the incidence and the risk factors for developing secondary cancer during long term follow up of patients treated for aggressive lymphoma. METHODS For the purpose of this study we identified in the GISL database, 1259 naïve patients with histologically confirmed diagnosis of aggressive NHL. Observed cancer were classified by site. The incidence numbers of second neoplasia was compared to the incidence of malignancies in the Italian population. The standardized incidence ratio was calculated from the ratio between observed and expected number of cancers. Absolute excess risk was calculated by subtracting the expected from the observed cases and dividing by the person-years at risk. The Time Free 2nd Tumour (TF2T) was measured from the end of the first treatment to last follow-up or date of diagnosis. Cumulative incidences were estimated either with a Kaplan-Meier estimate or by Gooley’s method. Effects of potential risk factors on second cancer rates were examined in a Cox proportional-hazard model. RESULTS The cohort consisted of 1259 patients enrolled in GISL trials in the period 1988–2003, accounting for 6180 person-year at risk of second tumor. Median age at diagnosis was 58 years. All patients were treated with chemotherapy either alone or in combination with radiotherapy. During follow up, 44 patients (3.5%) developed a second cancer. Twelve out of 44 patients developed hematological malignancies and 32 solid tumors, including 7 lung cancer, 6 colorectal cancer, 4 prostate cancer and 15 other type of cancers. The median time for developing second tumors was 42 months. The risk of secondary malignancy overall was not increased. The analysis of risk by cohort of age at diagnosis of second cancer showed an excess of risk for the cohort age 20–39 and 40–59 years. Cumulative incidence of second malignancy, estimated by Kaplan Meier and by Gooley’s method at 5, 10 and 15 years was 3.2%, 6.9% and 13.8%, and 2.7%, 5.2% and 9.6%, respectively. By univariate analysis we observed a significant negative impact on TF2T for age at first treatment and only marginally significant for elevated LDH level. Further, we performed a Cox regression analysis with gender, age at 1st treatment and LDH >UNL that showed the prognostic ability of these variables in predicting the risk of second tumour. We divided the log(HR) predicted from multivariate analysis, at the 33° and the 66° percentiles to obtain a score system. We observed three groups with significant difference (p< .0001) in the risk of developing second cancers. CONCLUSIONS Our results showed that the risk of second malignancy overall was not increased in patients treated for aggressive lymphoma. Cancer risk was age-related, as demonstrated by the excess of risk observed in the cohort age 20–39 and 40–59 years. Further, utilizing age, male gender and LDH in a Cox regression analysis, we demonstrated the prognostic value of these variables and we produced a score system able to identify groups with different risk of developing second malignancies.


2021 ◽  
Vol 42 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Z Meiszterics ◽  
T Simor ◽  
R J Van Der Geest ◽  
N Farkas ◽  
B Gaszner

Abstract Introduction Increased aortic pulse wave velocity (PWV) as a strong predictor of major advanced cardiovascular events (MACE) has a prognostic relevance in patients after myocardial infarction (MI). Several non-invasive methods have been proposed for the assessment of arterial stiffness, but the PWV values show significant differences according to the applied techniques. Cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (CMR) provides an accurate method to measure PWV and infarct size in patients after MI. Purpose Calculated PWV values of CMR based phase-contrast (PC) and invasively validated oscillometric methods were compared in this prospective observational study. We aimed to evaluate the cut-off PWV values for each method, while MACE predicted and validated the prognostic value of high PWV in post-infarcted patients in a 6-year follow-up. Methods 3D aortic angiography and PC velocity imaging was performed using a Siemens Avanto 1,5 T CMR device. Oscillometric based Arteriograph (AG) was used to assess PWV using direct body surface distance measurements. The comparison between the two techniques was tested. Patients received follow-up for MACE comprising all-cause death, non-fatal MI, ischemic stroke, hospitalization for heart failure and coronary revascularization. Event-free survival was analysed using Kaplan-Meier plots and log-rank tests. Univariable and multivariable Cox regression analysis was performed to identify outcome predictors. Results 75 patients (56 male, 19 female, average age: 56±13 years) referred for CMR were investigated, of whom 50 had coronary artery disease (CAD) including 35 patients with previous MI developing ischaemic late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) pattern. AG and CMR derived PWV values were significantly correlated (rho: 0,343, p&lt;0,05), however absolute PWV values were significantly higher for AG (median (IQR): 10,4 (9,2–11,9) vs. 6,44 (5,64–7,5); p&lt;0,001). Bland Altman analysis showed an acceptable agreement with a mean difference of 3,7 m/s between the two measures. In patients with CAD significantly (p&lt;0,01) higher PWV values were measured by AG and CMR, respectively. During the median follow-up of 6 years, totally 69 MACE events occurred. Optimized PWV cut-off values for MACE prediction were calculated (CMR: 6,47 m/s; AG: 9,625 m/s) by receiver operating characteristic analysis. Kaplan-Meier analysis in both methods showed a significantly lower event-free survival in case of high PWV (p&lt;0,01, respectively). Cox regression analysis revealed PWV for both methods as a predictor of MACE (PWV CMR hazard ratio (HR): 2,6 (confidence interval (CI) 1,3–5,1), PWV AG HR: 3,1 (CI: 1,3–7,1), p&lt;0,005, respectively). Conclusions Our study showed good agreement between the AG and CMR methods for PWV calculation. Both techniques are feasible for MACE prediction in postinfarcted patients. However, different AG and CMR PWV cut-off values were calculated to improve risk stratification. FUNDunding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None. Agreement between the two methods Kaplan-Meier event curves for MACE


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document