scholarly journals Temporal Changes in Seismic Anisotropy as a New Eruption Forecasting Tool

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
◽  
Alexander Gerst

<p>The orientation of crustal anisotropy changed by ~80 degrees in association with the 1995/96 eruption of Mt. Ruapehu volcano, New Zealand. This change occurred with a confidence level of more than 99.9%, and affects an area with a radius of at least 5 km around the summit. It provides the basis for a new monitoring technique and possibly for future mid-term eruption forecasting at volcanoes. Three deployments of seismometers were conducted on Mt. Ruapehu in 1994, 1998 and 2002. The fast anisotropic direction was measured by a semi-automatic algorithm, using the method of shear wave splitting. Prior to the eruption, a strong trend for the fast anisotropic direction was found to be around NW-SE, which is approximately perpendicular to the regional main stress direction. This deployment was followed by a moderate phreatomagmatic eruption in 1995/96, which ejected material with an overall volume of around 0.02-0.05 km3. Splitting results from a deployment after the eruption (1998) suggested that the fast anisotropic direction for deep earthquakes (>55 km) has changed by around 80 degrees, becoming parallel to the regional stress field. Shallow earthquakes (<35 km) also show this behaviour, but with more scatter of the fast directions. Another deployment (2002) covered the exact station locations of both the 1994 and the 1998 deployments and indicates further changes. Fast directions of deep events remain rotated by 80 degrees compared to the pre-eruption direction, whereas a realignment of the shallow events towards the pre-eruption direction is observed. The interpretation is that prior to the eruption, a pressurised magma dike system overprinted the regional stress field, generating a local stress field and therefore altering the fast anisotropic direction via preferred crack alignment. Numerical modelling suggests that the stress drop during the eruption was sufficient to change the local stress direction back to the regional trend, which was then observed in the 1998 experiment. A refilling and pressurising magma dike system is responsible for the newly observed realignment of the fast directions for the shallow events, but is not yet strong enough to rotate the deeper events with their longer delay times and lower frequencies. These effects provide a new method for volcano monitoring at Mt. Ruapehu and possibly at other volcanoes on Earth. They might, after further work, serve as a tool for eruption forecasting at Mt. Ruapehu or elsewhere. It is therefore proposed that changes in anisotropy around other volcanoes be investigated.</p>

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
◽  
Alexander Gerst

<p>The orientation of crustal anisotropy changed by ~80 degrees in association with the 1995/96 eruption of Mt. Ruapehu volcano, New Zealand. This change occurred with a confidence level of more than 99.9%, and affects an area with a radius of at least 5 km around the summit. It provides the basis for a new monitoring technique and possibly for future mid-term eruption forecasting at volcanoes. Three deployments of seismometers were conducted on Mt. Ruapehu in 1994, 1998 and 2002. The fast anisotropic direction was measured by a semi-automatic algorithm, using the method of shear wave splitting. Prior to the eruption, a strong trend for the fast anisotropic direction was found to be around NW-SE, which is approximately perpendicular to the regional main stress direction. This deployment was followed by a moderate phreatomagmatic eruption in 1995/96, which ejected material with an overall volume of around 0.02-0.05 km3. Splitting results from a deployment after the eruption (1998) suggested that the fast anisotropic direction for deep earthquakes (>55 km) has changed by around 80 degrees, becoming parallel to the regional stress field. Shallow earthquakes (<35 km) also show this behaviour, but with more scatter of the fast directions. Another deployment (2002) covered the exact station locations of both the 1994 and the 1998 deployments and indicates further changes. Fast directions of deep events remain rotated by 80 degrees compared to the pre-eruption direction, whereas a realignment of the shallow events towards the pre-eruption direction is observed. The interpretation is that prior to the eruption, a pressurised magma dike system overprinted the regional stress field, generating a local stress field and therefore altering the fast anisotropic direction via preferred crack alignment. Numerical modelling suggests that the stress drop during the eruption was sufficient to change the local stress direction back to the regional trend, which was then observed in the 1998 experiment. A refilling and pressurising magma dike system is responsible for the newly observed realignment of the fast directions for the shallow events, but is not yet strong enough to rotate the deeper events with their longer delay times and lower frequencies. These effects provide a new method for volcano monitoring at Mt. Ruapehu and possibly at other volcanoes on Earth. They might, after further work, serve as a tool for eruption forecasting at Mt. Ruapehu or elsewhere. It is therefore proposed that changes in anisotropy around other volcanoes be investigated.</p>


Author(s):  
Zhonghua Tian ◽  
Wenjiao Xiao ◽  
Brian F. Windley ◽  
Peng Huang ◽  
Ji’en Zhang ◽  
...  

The orogenic architecture of the Altaids of Central Asia was created by multiple large-scale slab roll-back and oroclinal bending. However, no regional structural deformation related to roll-back processes has been described. In this paper, we report a structural study of the Beishan orogenic collage in the southernmost Altaids, which is located in the southern wing of the Tuva-Mongol Orocline. Our new field mapping and structural analysis integrated with an electron backscatter diffraction study, paleontology, U-Pb dating, 39Ar-40Ar dating, together with published isotopic ages enables us to construct a detailed deformation-time sequence: During D1 times many thrusts were propagated northwards. In D2 there was ductile sinistral shearing at 336−326 Ma. In D3 times there was top-to-W/WNW ductile thrusting at 303−289 Ma. Two phases of folding were defined as D4 and D5. Three stages of extensional events (E1−E3) separately occurred during D1−D5. Two switches of the regional stress field were identified in the Carboniferous to Early Permian (D1-E1-D2-D3-E2) and Late Permian to Early Triassic (D4-E3-D5). These two switches in the stress field were associated with formation of bimodal volcanic rocks, and an extensional interarc basin with deposition of Permian-Triassic sediments, which can be related to two stages of roll-back of the subduction zone on the Paleo-Asian oceanic margin. We demonstrate for the first time that two key stress field switches were responses to the formation of the Tuva-Mongol Orocline.


2001 ◽  
Vol 80 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 297-304 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Vandycke ◽  
Y. Quinif

AbstractThis paper presents observations of recent faulting activity in the karstic network of the Rochefort Cave (Namur Province, Belgium, Europe). The principal recent tectonic features are bedding planes reactivated as normal faults, neo-formatted normal faults in calcite flowstone, fresh scaling, extensional features, fallen blocks and displacement of karstic tube. The seismo-tectonic aspect is expanded by the presence of fallen blocks where normally the cavity must be very stable and in equilibrium. Three main N 070° fault planes and a minor one affect, at a decimetre scale, the karst features and morphology. The faults are still active because recent fresh scaling and fallen blocks are observable. The breaking of Holocene soda straw stalactites and displacements of artificial features observed since the beginning of the tourist activity, in the last century, also suggest very recent reactivation of these faults. This recent faulting can be correlated to present-day tectonic activity, already evidenced by earthquakes in the neighbouring area. Therefore, karstic caves are favourable sites for the observation and the quantification of recent tectonic activity because they constitute a 3-D framework, protected from erosion. Fault planes with this recent faulting present slickensides. Thus a quantitative analysis in term of stress inversion, with the help of striated faults, has permitted to reconstruct the stress tensor responsible for the brittle deformation. The principal NW-SE extension (σ3 horizontal) is nearly perpendicular to that of the present regional stress as illustrated by the analysis of the last strong regional earthquake (Roermond, The Netherlands) in 1992. During the Meso-Cenozoic, the main stress tectonics recorded in this part of the European platform is similar to the present one with a NE-SW direction of extension.The discrepancy between the regional stress field and the local stress in the Rochefort cave can be the result of the inversion of the σ2 and σ3 axes of the stress ellipsoid due to its symmetry or of a local modification at the ground surface of the crustal stress field as it has been already observed in active zones.


Geology ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 48 (2) ◽  
pp. 123-127 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nevio Zitellini ◽  
César R. Ranero ◽  
M. Filomena Loreto ◽  
Marco Ligi ◽  
Marco Pastore ◽  
...  

Abstract The Tyrrhenian Basin is a region created by Neogene extensional tectonics related to slab rollback of the east-southeast–migrating Apennine subduction system, commonly believed to be actively underthrusting the Calabrian arc. A compilation of &gt;12,000 km of multichannel seismic profiles, much of them recently collected or reprocessed, provided closer scrutiny and the mapping of previously undetected large compressive structures along the Tyrrhenian margin. This new finding suggests that Tyrrhenian Basin extension recently ceased. The ongoing compressional reorganization of the basin indicates a change of the regional stress field in the area, confirming that slab rollback is no longer a driving mechanism for regional kinematics, now dominated by the Africa-Eurasia lithospheric collision


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