scholarly journals Potential short-term outcome of an uncontrolled COVID-19 epidemic in Lombardy, Italy, February to March 2020

2020 ◽  
Vol 25 (12) ◽  
Author(s):  
Giorgio Guzzetta ◽  
Piero Poletti ◽  
Marco Ajelli ◽  
Filippo Trentini ◽  
Valentina Marziano ◽  
...  

Sustained coronavirus disease (COVID-19) transmission is ongoing in Italy, with 7,375 reported cases and 366 deaths by 8 March 2020. We provide a model-based evaluation of patient records from Lombardy, predicting the impact of an uncontrolled epidemic on the healthcare system. It has the potential to cause more than 250,039 (95% credible interval (CrI): 147,717–459,890) cases within 3 weeks, including 37,194 (95% CrI: 22,250–67,632) patients requiring intensive care. Aggressive containment strategies are required.

BMJ ◽  
1989 ◽  
Vol 299 (6700) ◽  
pp. 647-649 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. Sidhu ◽  
R. N. Heasley ◽  
C. C. Patterson ◽  
H. L. Halliday ◽  
W. Thompson

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
O. H. Hernandez ◽  
J. F. Zapata ◽  
M. Jimenez ◽  
M. Massaro ◽  
A. Guerra ◽  
...  

Introduction. Refractory status epilepticus (RSE) has significant morbidity and mortality, and its management requires an accurate diagnosis and aggressive treatment. Objectives. To describe the experience of management of RSE in a neurological intensive care unit (NeuroICU) and determine predictors of short-term clinical outcome. Methods. We reviewed cases of RSE from September 2007 to December 2008. Management was titrated to findings on continuous video EEG (cVEEG). We collected patients’ demographics, RSE etiology, characteristics of seizures, cVEEG findings, treatments, and short-term outcome. Control of RSE was to achieve burst suppression pattern or electrographic cessation of ictal activity. Results. We included 80 patients; 63.8% were in coma, 25% had subclinical seizures, and 11.3% had focal activity. 51.3% were male and mean age was 45 years. Etiology was neurological lesion in 75.1%, uncontrolled epilepsy in 20%, and systemic derangements in 4.9%. 78.8% were treated with general anesthesia and concomitant anticonvulsant drugs. The control of RSE was 87.5% of patients. In-hospital mortality was 22.5%. The factors associated with unfavorable short-term outcome were coma and age over 60 years. Conclusions. RSE management guided by cVEEG is associated with a good seizure control. A multidisciplinary approach can help achieve a better short-term functional outcome in noncomatose patients.


2015 ◽  
Vol 30 ◽  
pp. 1726
Author(s):  
H. Rebhi ◽  
W. Cherif ◽  
L. Chennoufi ◽  
A. Belkhiria ◽  
M. Cheour

2017 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 620
Author(s):  
Pramila Verma ◽  
Ashish Kalraiya

Background: Worldwide approximately one million babies die per year due to asphyxia out of which about one third (approximately 3 lakhs) is contributed by our country. The objective of this study was to determine the requirement of respiratory support in newborn babies and their short-term outcomes.Methods: This retrospective observational study was conducted over one year at PCMS and RC Bhopal. Babies who were delivered in PCMS and required respiratory support at birth were enrolled in the study. The medical records of all these babies for resuscitation measures, requirement of respiratory support after hospitalization to the neonatal intensive care unit and their short-term outcome were recorded on a pre-designed study proforma.Results: During post-resuscitation care in neonatal intensive care unit, 55.5% (30/54) babies required respiratory support. Among them 7.4% (4/54) were supplemented with oxygen for a few hrs, 22.2% (12/54) required positive end expiratory pressure and put on high flow oxygen and air mixture for 24-48 hours. While 25.9% (14/54) newborns required mechanical ventilation for 3-7 days and then switched over to CPAP for the next 24-48 hrs. Out of 54 babies eight babies expired while ten babies went against medical advice. Remaining 36 babies were discharged, of which five babies developed hypoxic ishchaemic encephalopathy.Conclusions: It is evident from the present study that half of the resuscitated babies further required respiratory support in the NICU. We also concluded that three fourth of the newborns were discharged and had normal short term outcome.


2021 ◽  
Vol 36 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Björn Tampe ◽  
Samy Hakroush

Abstract Background and Aims Anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibody (ANCA)-associated vasculitis (AAV) is a systemic vasculitis, most frequently presenting as microscopic polyangiitis (MPA) or granulomatosis with polyangiitis (GPA). Pathogenic ANCAs trigger a deleterious immune response resulting in pauci-immune necrotizing and crescentic glomerulonephritis (GN). Standard therapeutical regimens include aggressive immunosuppressive therapy. Since some patients require RRT despite intensive immunosuppressive therapy, additional therapeutic plasma exchange (PEX) to deplete pathogenic ANCAs has been recommended but its value has recently been questioned. Because therapeutic decision making is crucial in these critically ill patients, we here aimed to identify determinants for PEX consideration in a retrospective study from a single center tertiary hospital in a real-world population of 46 patients with severe AAV requiring intensive care treatment. Method A total number of 46 patients with biopsy-proven AAV at the University Medical Center Göttingen were retrospectively included between 2015 till 2020. While no formal approval was required for the use of routine clinical data, a favorable ethical opinion was granted by the local Ethics committee. Medical records were used to obtain data on age, sex, diagnosis (MPO or PR3) and laboratory results (serum creatinine, C-reactive protein/CRP, urinary albumin/creatinine ration). The estimated glomerular filtration rate (GFR) was calculated using the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation. A renal pathologist (SH) evaluated all biopsies. Within a renal biopsy specimen, each glomerulus was scored separately for the presence of necrosis, crescents and global sclerosis. Consequently, the percentage of glomeruli with any of these features was calculated as a fraction of the total number of glomeruli in each renal biopsy. Apart from these categories, the degree of interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy (IF/TA) was quantified. Based on these scorings, histopathological subgrouping according to Berden et al (focal, crescentic, mixed or sclerotic class) and ARRS according to Brix et al (low, medium or high risk) were performed. Results The decision to consider PEX was more likely in patients with need for intensive care treatment and severe renal dysfunction. In contrast, short-term outcomes did not depend on clinical or laboratory characteristics assessed at admission. Histopathological analysis confirmed active disease reflected by increased glomerular necrosis and crescents, but these histopathological findings did not associate with short-term outcome either. Interestingly, only increased global glomerular sclerosis in renal biopsies associated with a detrimental short-term outcome. Conclusion In conclusion, our study investigated determinants for the consideration of therapeutic PEX in patients with severe AAV requiring intensive care treatment. This aspect underscores the need for renal biopsy and requires further investigation in a prospective controlled setting for therapeutic decision making especially in patients with severe AAV requiring intensive care treatment, especially important for treating intensivists.


2013 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 172-179 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gordon B Parker ◽  
Rebecca K Graham ◽  
Kathryn Fletcher ◽  
Shulamit M Futeran ◽  
Paul Friend

Author(s):  
Enric Sebastian ◽  
Ricard Courtier ◽  
Francesc Macià ◽  
Luís Grande ◽  
Miguel Pera

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Désirée Tampe ◽  
Philipp Ströbel ◽  
Peter Korsten ◽  
Samy Hakroush ◽  
Björn Tampe

Anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibody (ANCA)-associated vasculitis (AAV) is a systemic vasculitis, most frequently presenting as microscopic polyangiitis (MPA) or granulomatosis with polyangiitis (GPA). Pathogenic ANCAs trigger a deleterious immune response resulting in pauci-immune necrotizing and crescentic glomerulonephritis (GN). Standard therapeutical regimens include aggressive immunosuppressive therapy. Since some patients require renal replacement therapy (RRT) despite intensive immunosuppressive therapy, additional therapeutic plasma exchange (PEX) to deplete pathogenic ANCAs has been recommended but its value has recently been questioned. Because therapeutic decision making is crucial in these critically ill patients, we here aimed to identify inflammatory lesions in association with PEX consideration in a retrospective study from a single center tertiary hospital in a real-world population of 46 patients with severe AAV requiring intensive care treatment. The decision to consider PEX was more likely in patients with need for intensive care treatment and severe renal dysfunction. In contrast, short-term outcomes did not depend on clinical, or laboratory characteristics assessed at admission. Histopathological analysis confirmed active disease reflected by increased glomerular necrosis and crescents, but these histopathological findings did not associate with short-term outcome either. Interestingly, only increased global glomerular sclerosis in renal biopsies associated with a detrimental short-term outcome. In conclusion, our study investigated determinants for the consideration of therapeutic PEX in patients with severe AAV requiring intensive care treatment. This aspect underscores the need for renal biopsy and requires further investigation in a prospective controlled setting for therapeutic decision making especially in patients with severe AAV requiring intensive care treatment, especially important for treating intensivists.


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