Discount rate calculation for investment projects economic efficiency valuation

Author(s):  
Pavel Y. Serikov ◽  
◽  
Konstantin A. Sivolotsky ◽  
Andrey A. Mestnikov ◽  
◽  
...  
2018 ◽  
Vol 170 ◽  
pp. 01091
Author(s):  
Yuliya Anoshina ◽  
Valery Gusev ◽  
Svetlana Suchkova ◽  
Roman Gorshkov ◽  
Elena Smorodina

The purpose of the paper is to identify factor space influencing on the value of discount rate in the assessment of effectiveness of investment and construction projects. As a result of investigation, a general classification of investment and construction risks was drawn up, depending on influence of external and internal environment of the enterprise. The factor space, which is used for initial data of separate investment and construction projects, was identified. A general algorithm of risk assessment of investment and construction project is developed, taking into account the reasoned justification of the method used for discount rate calculation, with the possible application of the variable discount rate at different stages of project’s life cycle.


Author(s):  
Светлана Викторовна Кузина ◽  
Павел Константинович Кузин

Статья посвящена вопросам выбора ставки дисконта для приведения будущей стоимости денежных потоков к настоящей стоимости с помощью коэффициента дисконтирования. Целью исследования является анализ и обоснование выбора численного значения ставки дисконта в зависимости от источников финансирования инвестиционного проекта. Авторами приведены практические рекомендации по выбору метода оценки экономической эффективности привлечения инвестиций как для экономически обособленного инвестиционного проекта, так и для инвестиционного проекта, интегрированного в действующее предприятие. Научная новизна полученных результатов заключается в разработке методического подхода к выбору численного значения ставки дисконта для приведения будущей стоимости денежных потоков к настоящей стоимости с помощью коэффициента дисконтирования и к выбору приоритетного метода оценки экономической эффективности для экономически обособленных и интегрированных в действующее предприятие инвестиционных проектов. The article is devoted to the issues of choosing the discount rate for bringing the future value of cash flows to the present value using the discount coefficient. The purpose of the study is to analyze and justify the choice of the numerical value of the discount rate depending on the sources of financing of the investment project. The authors provide practical recommendations on the choice of a method for assessing the economic efficiency of attracting investment both for an economically isolated investment project and for an investment project integrated into an operating enterprise. The scientific novelty of the obtained results consists in the development of a methodological approach to the choice of the numerical value of the discount rate for bringing the future value of cash flows to the present value using the discount coefficient and the choice of a priority method for assessing economic efficiency for both economically isolated and integrated investment projects in an operating enterprise.


International innovation and investment activity occupy a special place in the system of modern international business. The authors propose an economic and mathematical model for assessing the sensitivity of international innovation and investment projects by the criterion of net present value. It is advised to use the obtained sensitivity indicator as an additional one in assessing the economic efficiency of international innovation and investment projects of an enterprise. The proposed model makes it possible to determine the effect of several internal parameters simultaneously on the net present value of the project.


Author(s):  
N. Koshevsky

The introduction provides a brief review of the literature on methods for assessing the effectiveness of investment projects, based on which the choice of optimal sources of financing is made. In the main part of the work, various scenarios for the implementation of an investment project are disclosed: sources of financing that are alternative to the baseline scenario are attracted. In the final part of the work, the considered scenarios are assessed and conclusions are drawn.For each enterprise, improving the financial and economic efficiency of its activities is one of the priority tasks. These tasks include the need to increase the return on capital, the choice of funding sources that have a positive effect on economic efficiency. This paper examines the ways of choosing the optimal, from the point of view of the impact on economic efficiency, instruments for financing an investment project. A practical case of project financing with an assessment of the effectiveness of the implementation of an investment project is considered. To analyze the alternatives, a financial business model was developed, which allows you to quickly make changes, update performance indicators and make decisions about the required capital structure. It is concluded that the optimal capital structure with the highest NPV indicator and that when assessing the efficiency parameters, it is necessary to make an adjustment for the possible presence in the company's capital structure of funding sources that distort the comparability of the project in relation to projects without such sources (for example, budget grants).


2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (47) ◽  
pp. 48-63
Author(s):  
L.V. Sorokina ◽  
A.F. Hoiko

 The article systematized factors of investment attractiveness and investment climate in Ukraine. The expediency of supplementinganexistinglist of components of investment climate is substantiated by two additional factors. Themechanismo factionoftheproposedfactorsthatreflectthenegative effectin the developmen to freformsand innovations, aswellas the economic efficiency of construction projects on the financial result, expected from investigations, isrevealed. The trends in the developmen to finvestment activityinUkrainein 2015 - 2020, the existence of reserves for increasing the economic efficiency of investments and the need for their calculation witht hehelpof a special methodological approac hare analyzed. The methodical approach to the evaluation of investment efficiency of constructionis developed, which is based on the magnitude of the multiplier of capital investment in construction inthelong-termperiodandrefinedtheboundariesoftheretrospectivehorizon, which are necessary to determine such a multiplier. The rapid importance of aninvestment multiplier of construction isestablis hedand a methodological approach to qualitative interpretation of this indicator issubstantiated. The basis of a methodological approach is the results of a cluster analysis of aninvestment multiplier in the contex to fvarioustypesofconstructionandregions, the methodof K-medium, aswellaspostulatesofthetheoryoffuzzysets. Within the framework of the developed methodological approach, the "investment attractiveness of construction" characteristicsis presentedin the form of a fuzz yterm-shear, which combines three terms: "Lowefficiency", "averageefficiency", "highlevelofefficiency". Inaccordance with descriptiv estatistics of thereceived clusters, the parameters and type of functions of affiliation, the boundaries of clusters that directly affecttheuse of correctivea mendments to the value of the economic effectof capitalinvestment to the level of the contractor-executor of construction work are substantiated. The sizeofther is kfactorisestablishedtakingintoaccountthetypeofconstructionandmedium-layervalues ​​ofmultipliersofcapitalinvestmentinconstruction. Theuse of the proposed Metdic approach to the analysis of investment efficiency inconstruction makesitpossible to increase the accuracy of calculations on th epre-investmentst age of construction, aswellastoimprovemonitoring of capital investment development, carried out in the process of implementing national investment programs and international investment projects.


Author(s):  
Christian Gollier

This chapter examines a model in which the exogeneous rate of return of capital is constant but random. Safe investment projects must be evaluated and implemented before this uncertainty can be fully revealed, i.e., before knowing the opportunity cost of capital. A simple rule of thumb in this context would be to compute the net present value (NPV) for each possible discount rate, and to implement the project if the expected NPV is positive. If the evaluator uses this approach, this is as if one would discount cash flows at a rate that is decreasing with maturity. This approach is implicitly based on the assumptions that the stakeholders are risk-neutral and transfer the net benefits of the project to an increase in immediate consumption. Opposite results prevail if one assumes that the net benefit is consumed at the maturity of the project.


2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 (2) ◽  
pp. 90-106
Author(s):  
Denis Shageev

Objective and subjective factors of influence on the nominal and actual size of a cash flow of the project in the form of the scheme are opened. The analysis of method of calculation of a discount rate and award for risk is made. On analysis results, in article it was offered to exclude an indicator of an award for risk from a formula of calculation of a discount rate and to research it separately as the certain managed size influencing the nominal, but not actual size of cash flows of the project. It gave the chance to technically reduce value of a discount rate and by that to increase the NPV real value of the project. Designations of negative and positive factors project risks are entered. Availability and an opportunity positive influence of factors risks on the project is proved. The formulas of calculation of the modified cash flow, effect and effective management of cash flows of the project differing on structure, content and entering of the additional positive amendment on risk are offered. It will give the chance to reduce or eliminate negative influence of objective and subjective factors risks, and in certain cases and in addition to raise project NPV. For assessment of levels of effective management of cash flows the verbal scale is offered.


2018 ◽  
Vol 245 ◽  
pp. 06003 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jurgis Zemitis ◽  
Maxim Terekh

The system of integral indexes for estimation of economic efficiency of warm isolations of dwelling and civil buildings is resulted in the article. For the management by energysavings measures during realization of investment projects in the conditions of financial limitations effectively to apply economic-mathematical methods. Application of method of the dynamic programming at the choice of effective measures on the heatcover of barriering constructions of buildings allows to get the mixed optimum strategy of the use of the limited investments.


1973 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 245-252
Author(s):  
Leonard A. Shabman

In September, 1968 the Tennessee Valley Authority recommended construction of two dams on the Duck River in middle Tennessee. Subsequently, an environmental impact statement (EIS) was prepared which further described the plan and provided a summary of the national economic efficiency justification for its implementaion. Table 1 summarizes the EIS justification. However, the accuracy of the EIS analysis may be subject to question. This paper evaluates the sensitivity of the EIS national economic analysis to changes in expansion benefit estimates, reconsideration of cost estimates and their use, and the discount rate used for analysis. Also discussed is the consideration given to alternatives to the Duck River Project, and institutional limitations on the TVA's mission that affect the use of economic analysis.


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