scholarly journals Artificial neural networks predictive models. A case study: carbon and bromine concentrations prediction based on chlorination time

2013 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 10-17

Artificial neural networks (ANNs) are being used increasingly to predict water variables. This study offers an alternative approach to quantify the relationship between time of chlorination in potable water (due to convectional treatment procedure) and chlorination by-products concentration (expressed as carbon and bromine) with an ANN model, i.e., capturing non-linear relationships among the water quality variables. Thus, carbon and bromine concentrations in potable water (the second chosen due to the toxicity of brominated trihalomethanes, THMs) were predicted using artificial neural networks (ANNs) based mainly on multi-layer perceptrons (MLPs) architecture. The chlorination (detention) time as much as 58 hours in Athens distributed network, comprised the input variables to the ANNs models. Moreover, to develop an ANN model for estimating carbon and bromine, the available data set was partitioned into training, validation and test set. In order to reach an optimum amount of hidden layers or nodes, different architectures were tested. The quality of the ANN simulations was evaluated in terms of the error in the validation sample set for the proper interpretation of the results. The calculated sum-squared errors for training, validation and test set were 0.056, 0.039 and 0.060 respectively for the best model selected. Comparison of the results showed that a two-layer feed-forward back propagation ANN model could be used as an acceptable model for predicting carbon and bromine contained in potable water THMs.

2017 ◽  
Vol 42 (4) ◽  
pp. 643-651
Author(s):  
Naveen Garg ◽  
Siddharth Dhruw ◽  
Laghu Gandhi

Abstract The paper presents the application of Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) in predicting sound insulation through multi-layered sandwich gypsum partition panels. The objective of the work is to develop an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model to estimate the Rw and STC value of sandwich gypsum constructions. The experimental results reported by National Research Council, Canada for Gypsum board walls (Halliwell et al., 1998) were utilized to develop the model. A multilayer feed-forward approach comprising of 13 input parameters was developed for predicting the Rw and STC value of sandwich gypsum constructions. The Levenberg-Marquardt optimization technique has been used to update the weights in back-propagation algorithm. The presented approach could be very useful for design and optimization of acoustic performance of new sandwich partition panels providing higher sound insulation. The developed ANN model shows a prediction error of ±3 dB or points with a confidence level higher than 95%.


Author(s):  
М. М. М. Елшами ◽  
А. Н. Тиратурян ◽  
А. Н. Канищев

Постановка задачи. Рассматриваются вопросы использования искусственных нейронных сетей при решении задач обработки результатов инструментальных регистраций чаш прогибов нежесткой дорожной одежды с использованием установок ударного нагружения FWD . Результаты. Проведен анализ и отмечены недостатки существующих методов обработки экспериментальных чаш прогибов, в частности метода обратного расчета модулей упругости слоев дорожных одежд, заключающиеся в длительном времени выполнения расчетов и неустойчивости получаемых результатов. Построена структура искусственной нейронной сети для определения модулей упругости слоев дорожной одежды. Обучение искусственной нейронной сети осуществлялось с использованием метода обратного распространения ошибки. Выводы. Разработанная нейронная сеть продемонстрировала хорошие результаты при обучении по тестовому набору данных, а также высокую точность прогнозирования модулей упругости слоев дорожных одежд. Statement of the problem. The article is devoted to the use of artificial neural networks in solving the problems of processing the results of instrumental recording of bowls of deflections of non-rigid road surfacing using FWD shock loading settings. Results. The analysis was carried out, the shortcomings of the existing processing methods were identified, in particular the backcalculation method, which involves a long calculation time, and the instability of the results obtained. The structure of the artificial neural network was designed to determine the elastic moduli of the pavement layers. Training of an artificial neural network was carried out using the method of back propagation of error. Conclusions. The developed neural network has shown good results in training on the test data set, as well as high accuracy of prediction of the elastic moduli of the pavement.


2005 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 291-296 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. Hettiarachchi ◽  
M. J. Hall ◽  
A. W. Minns

The last decade has seen increasing interest in the application of Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) for the modelling of the relationship between rainfall and streamflow. Since multi-layer, feed-forward ANNs have the property of being universal approximators, they are able to capture the essence of most input–output relationships, provided that an underlying deterministic relationship exists. Unfortunately, owing to the standardisation of inputs and outputs that is required to run ANNs, a problem arises in extrapolation: if the training data set does not contain the maximum possible output value, an unmodified network will be unable to synthesise this peak value. The occurrence of high magnitude, low frequency events within short periods of record is largely fortuitous. Therefore, the confidence in the neural network model can be greatly enhanced if some methodology can be found for incorporating domain knowledge about such events into the calibration and verification procedure in addition to the available measured data sets. One possible form of additional domain knowledge is the Estimated Maximum Flood (EMF), a notional event with a small but non-negligible probability of exceedence. This study investigates the suitability of including an EMF estimate in the training set of a rainfall–runoff ANN in order to improve the extrapolation characteristics of the network. A study has been carried out in which EMFs have been included, along with recorded flood events, in the training of ANN models for six catchments in the south west of England. The results demonstrate that, with prior transformation of the runoff data to logarithms of flows, the inclusion of domain knowledge in the form of such extreme synthetic events improves the generalisation capabilities of the ANN model and does not disrupt the training process. Where guidelines are available for EMF estimation, the application of this approach is recommended as an alternative means of overcoming the inherent extrapolation problems of multi-layer, feed-forward ANNs.


Author(s):  
Saleh Mohammed Al-Alawi

Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) are computer software programs that mimic the human brain's ability to classify patterns or to make forecasts or decisions based on past experience.  The development of this research area can be attributed to two factors, sufficient computer power to begin practical ANN-based research in the late 1970s and the development of back-propagation in 1986 that enabled ANN models to solve everyday business, scientific, and industrial problems.  Since then, significant applications have been implemented in several fields of study, and many useful intelligent applications and systems have been developed.  The objective of this paper is to generate awareness and to encourage applications development using artificial intelligence-based systems.  Therefore, this paper provides basic ANN concepts, outlines steps used for ANN model development, and lists examples of engineering applications based on the use of the back-propagation paradigm conducted in Oman.  The paper is intended to provide guidelines and necessary references and resources for novice individuals interested in conducting research in engineering or other fields of study using back-propagation artificial neural networks.      


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (SI) ◽  
pp. 135-141
Author(s):  
G. Vanitha ◽  
J. S. Kennedy ◽  
R. Prabhu ◽  
S. K. Rajkishore

The major objective of the present study was to explore if Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models with back propagation could efficiently predict the rice yield under various climatic conditions; ground-specific rainfall, ground-specific weather variables and historic yield data. The back propagation algorithm will calculate each expected weight using the error rate as the activity level of a unit was altered.  The errors in the model during the training phase were solved during the back-propagation. The paddy yield prediction took various parameters like rainfall, soil moisture, solar radiation, expected carbon, fertilizers, pesticides, and the long-time paddy yield recorded using Artificial Neural Networks. The R2 value on the test set was found to be 93% and it showed that the model was able to predict the paddy yield better for the given data set. The ANN model was tested with learning rates of 0.25 and 0.5. The number of hidden layers in the first layer was 50 and in the second hidden layer was 30. From this, the testing value of R square was 0.97. The observations with the ANN Model showed that i) the best result for the test set was  R2 value of 0.98, ii) the two hidden layers kept with 50 neurons in the first layer and 30 neurons in the second one, iii) the learning rate was of 0.25. With all these configurations, maximum yield is possible from the paddy crop.


2014 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 239-255 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gunnur Yavuz ◽  
Musa Hakan Arslan ◽  
Omer Kaan Baykan

AbstractIn this study, the efficiency of artificial neural networks (ANN) in predicting the shear strength of reinforced concrete (RC) beams, strengthened by means of externally bonded fiber-reinforced polymers (FRP), is explored. Experimental data of 96 rectangular RC beams from an existing database in the literature were used to develop the ANN model. Eight different input parameters affecting the shear strength were selected for creating the ANN structure. Each parameter was arranged in an input vector and a corresponding output vector that includes the shear strength of the RC beam. For all outputs, the ANN model was trained and tested using a three-layered back-propagation method. The initial performance of back-propagation was evaluated and discussed. In addition, the accuracy of well-known building codes in predicting the shear strength of FRP-strengthened RC beams was also examined, in a comparable way, using same test data. The study shows that the ANN model gives reasonable predictions of the ultimate shear strength of RC beams (R2≈0.93). Moreover, the study concludes that the ANN model predicts the shear strength of FRP-strengthened RC beams better than existing building code approaches.


2020 ◽  
Vol 17 ◽  
pp. 306-321
Author(s):  
R. A. Mohamed ◽  
Mahmoud. Y. El-Bakry ◽  
D. M. Habashy ◽  
E. H. Aamer

In this research, the artificial neural network (ANN) and resilient back propagation (R-prop) training algorithm are utilized to model the photovoltaic properties of Nickel–phthalocyanine (NiPc/p-Si) heterojunction. The experimental data are extracted from experimental studies. Experimental data are utilized as inputs in the ANN model. Training of different structures of the ANN is processed to approach the minimum value of error. Eight artificial neural networks are trained to get a better mean square error (MSE) and best execution for the networks. The ANN performances are also investigated and their values are very small (MSE < 10-3). The simulation results of the current-voltage characteristics of NiPc films are produced and provided excellent matching with the corresponding experimental data. Utilization of ANN model for predictions is also processed and gives accurate results.  The equation which describes the relation between the inputs and outputs is obtained. The high accuracy of the ANN model has appeared in the major guessing power and the ability of generalization depending on the obtained equations.


2011 ◽  
Vol 255-260 ◽  
pp. 679-683 ◽  
Author(s):  
Suleman Daud ◽  
Khan Shahzada ◽  
M. Tufail ◽  
M. Fahad

This paper presents the utility of Artificial Neural Networks and Regression analysis for the stream flow modeling in Swat River at five discharge gauge station. As an appropriate intelligent model is identified, Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) is evaluated by comparing it to regression analysis and the available field data. ANNs namely feed forward back propagation neural network (FFBPNN) and regression analysis are introduced and implemented. The research study successfully compared the performance of the ANN and regression models that validated the utility of the two modeling techniques as effective applications to stream flow forecasting.


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