scholarly journals Using inverse modeling to estimate parameter values for three dimensional transport of contaminants in Lake Ontario

2013 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 124-135

<p>The Great Lakes form an important freshwater drinking source for many urban areas surrounding the Lakes but also provide a sink for pollutants and runoff. Consequently introducing new drinking water intakes into any of these water bodies requires investigation into local pollutant sources and their transport in order to determine the most appropriate location and depth of any new intake. Two methods involving the calibration of a 3D wind driven transport model, to spill data collected over a 4 week period, are described. The methods include the traditional trial and error approach and the application of a nonlinear inverse model to optimize parameter estimates. Results show that calibration using the inverse modeling approach was an improvement over the traditional trial and error approach by providing a clear quantitative analysis of parameter sensitivity and importance, and ultimately yielding a better fit between observed and simulated data. The calibrated three-dimensional model was ultimately applied to assess the impacts of a potential local pollutant source to several proposed new drinking water intakes located along the north shore of Lake Ontario.</p>

2003 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 1081-1107 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. P. Chipperfield

Abstract. We have used a 3D off-line chemical transport model (CTM) to study the causes of the observed changes in ozone in the mid-high latitude lower stratosphere from 1979–1998. The model was forced by European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) analyses and contains a detailed chemistry scheme. A series of model runs were performed at a horizontal resolution of 7.5°×7.5° and covered the domain from about 12 km to 30 km. The basic model performs well in reproducing the decadal evolution of the springtime depletion in the northern hemisphere (NH) and southern hemisphere (SH) high latitudes in the 1980s and early 1990s. After about 1994 the modelled interannual variability does not match the observations as well, which is probably due in part to changes in the operational ECMWF analyses – which places limits on using this dataset to diagnose dynamical trends. For mid-latitudes (35°–60°) the basic model reproduces the observed column ozone decreases from 1980 until the early 1990s. Model experiments show that the halogen trends appear to dominate this modelled decrease and of this around 30–50% is due to high-latitude processing on polar stratospheric clouds (PSCs). Dynamically induced ozone variations in the model correlate with observations over the timescale of a few years. Large discrepancies between the modelled and observed variations in the mid 1980s and mid 1990s can be largely resolved by assuming that the 11-year solar cycle (not explicitly included in the 3D model) causes a 2% (min-max) change in mid-latitude column ozone.


Author(s):  
Peter Wolfsteiner ◽  
Friedrich Pfeiffer

Abstract The most common devices used to feed small parts in an automatic assembly framework are vibratory feeders. They are used to store, feed, orientate and isolate the parts. Due to the complex mechanics of the feeding process the design of the feeders is still depending on trial and error. This paper presents a complete dynamical model of the transportation process including unilateral constraints and multiple impacts, both with coulomb friction. Some simulation results, computed with a three dimensional model, explain the practical benefit of the proposed tool.


1978 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 479-488 ◽  
Author(s):  
William James ◽  
Basem Eid

This paper discusses the formulation of surface boundary conditions for a three-dimensional transport model for shallow lakes, specifically for Hamilton Harbour. The same hydrodynamic equations that describe the circulation of the ocean and the Great Lakes were used in this study. However, the boundary conditions (bed topography, shoreline configuration, and surface and bottom shear stress fields) have bigger effects on circulation in shallow enclosed lakes.In this study the flow is assumed to be incompressible and in hydrostatic equilibrium. A layered system is used in which the lake is considered to consist of a number of unequal layers in the vertical. The hydrodynamic equations are integrated vertically over each layer, and both vertical and horizontal eddy viscosities are introduced.The over-water wind stress is determined using the logarithmic wind velocity distribution and Von Karman's integral equation for turbulent flow over a rough movable surface of variable roughness, in conjunction with equations for wind–wave generation. Thus the wind drag coefficient is determined as a function of wind and wave characteristics, and is time- and space-dependent.


1994 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 342-354 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. P. Chipperfield

Abstract. A three-dimensional transport model has been used to compare and contrast the extent of processing by polar stratospheric clouds during the northern hemisphere winters of 1991/1992 and 1992/1993. The model has also been used to compare the potential for ozone loss between these two winters. The TOMCAT off-line model is forced using meteorological analyses from the ECMWF. During winter 1992/1993 polar stratospheric clouds (PSCs) in the model persisted into late February/early March, which is much later than in 1991/1992. This persistence of PSCs should have resulted in much more ozone loss in the later winter. Interestingly, however, the extent of PSC processing and ozone loss was greater in January 1992 than January 1993. In January 1992 PSCs occurred at the edge of a distorted polar vortex whilst in January 1993 the PSCs were located at the centre of a much more zonally symmetrical vortex. In March 1993, distortions of the vortex led to the tearing off of vortex air and its mixing into midlatitudes.


2011 ◽  
Vol 11 (11) ◽  
pp. 5153-5168 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. P. Tsimpidi ◽  
V. A. Karydis ◽  
M. Zavala ◽  
W. Lei ◽  
N. Bei ◽  
...  

Abstract. Urban areas are large sources of organic aerosols and their precursors. Nevertheless, the contributions of primary (POA) and secondary organic aerosol (SOA) to the observed particulate matter levels have been difficult to quantify. In this study the three-dimensional chemical transport model PMCAMx-2008 is used to investigate the temporal and geographic variability of organic aerosol in the Mexico City Metropolitan Area (MCMA) during the MILAGRO campaign that took place in the spring of 2006. The organic module of PMCAMx-2008 includes the recently developed volatility basis-set framework in which both primary and secondary organic components are assumed to be semi-volatile and photochemically reactive and are distributed in logarithmically spaced volatility bins. The MCMA emission inventory is modified and the POA emissions are distributed by volatility based on dilution experiments. The model predictions are compared with observations from four different types of sites, an urban (T0), a suburban (T1), a rural (T2), and an elevated site in Pico de Tres Padres (PTP). The performance of the model in reproducing organic mass concentrations in these sites is encouraging. The average predicted PM1 organic aerosol (OA) concentration in T0, T1, and T2 is 18 μg m−3, 11.7 μg m−3, and 10.5 μg m−3 respectively, while the corresponding measured values are 17.2 μg m−3, 11 μg m−3, and 9 μg m−3. The average predicted locally-emitted primary OA concentrations, 4.4 μg m−3 at T0, 1.2 μg m−3 at T1 and 1.7 μg m−3 at PTP, are in reasonably good agreement with the corresponding PMF analysis estimates based on the Aerosol Mass Spectrometer (AMS) observations of 4.5, 1.3, and 2.9 μg m−3 respectively. The model reproduces reasonably well the average oxygenated OA (OOA) levels in T0 (7.5 μg m−3 predicted versus 7.5 μg m−3 measured), in T1 (6.3 μg m−3 predicted versus 4.6 μg m−3 measured) and in PTP (6.6 μg m−3 predicted versus 5.9 μg m−3 measured). The rest of the OA mass (6.1 μg m−3 and 4.2 μg m−3 in T0 and T1 respectively) is assumed to originate from biomass burning activities and is introduced to the model as part of the boundary conditions. Inside Mexico City (at T0), the locally-produced OA is predicted to be on average 60 % locally-emitted primary (POA), 6 % semi-volatile (S-SOA) and intermediate volatile (I-SOA) organic aerosol, and 34 % traditional SOA from the oxidation of VOCs (V-SOA). The average contributions of the OA components to the locally-produced OA for the entire modelling domain are predicted to be 32 % POA, 10 % S-SOA and I-SOA, and 58 % V-SOA. The long range transport from biomass burning activities and other sources in Mexico is predicted to contribute on average almost as much as the local sources during the MILAGRO period.


Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (14) ◽  
pp. 4847
Author(s):  
Daniel Rüdisser ◽  
Tobias Weiss ◽  
Lukas Unger

A new method and workflow to assess outdoor thermal comfort and thermal stress in urban areas is developed. The new methodology is applied to a case of an urban quarter in the city of Graz. The method recognises the significance of detailed and accurate spatially resolved determination of mean radiant temperatures taking into account all relevant radiative components, comprising thermal radiation, as well as global radiation. The method relies on radiometric imaging data that are mapped onto a three-dimensional model. The image data are acquired by means of drones (UAVs) equipped with multispectral and thermographic cameras to capture short- and long-wave radiation. Pre-existing city models and a Monte Carlo raytracing algorithm to perform anisotropic sampling based on a 3D model with human topology are used to determine local radiation temperatures with high spatial resolution. Along with spot measurements carried out on the ground simultaneously, the spatially resolved and three-dimensionally determined mean radiation temperatures are used to calculate thermal comfort indicator maps using UTCI and PMV calculation. Additional ground measurements are further used to validate the detection, as well as the entire evaluation process.


Author(s):  
Haidong Liu ◽  
Zhongquan Charlie Zheng ◽  
Bryan Young

In this study, a three-dimensional model coupling hydrodynamics with algae transport dynamics is investigated. The hydrodynamic model solves the three-dimensional Navier-Stokes equations by a semi-implicit, fractional step method, where the hydrostatic components are determined first and the non-hydrostatic pressure and other components are determined in a subsequent step. Wind velocity on the water surface is accounted for the effect of wind stress on the flow velocities in the hydrodynamic model. Then, the model is coupled with an algae transport model, which enables simulation of algae transport and algal blooms. As an example, the model is implemented to analyze the transition of blue-green algae in Milford Lake, which is the largest man-made lake in Kansas suffering from blue-green algae blooms. The three-dimensional model provides a robust and efficient way for hydrodynamic and algae modeling and can be implemented to studies on different types of rivers and reservoirs easily. The simulated results can be very useful for algae control and prediction in both short and long terms.


2011 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. 2371-2380 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. J. Wuebbles ◽  
K. O. Patten ◽  
D. Wang ◽  
D. Youn ◽  
M. Martínez-Avilés ◽  
...  

Abstract. The existing solvents trichloroethylene (TCE) and perchloroethylene (PCE) and proposed solvent n-propyl bromide (nPB) have atmospheric lifetimes from days to a few months, but contain chlorine or bromine that could affect stratospheric ozone. Several previous studies estimated the Ozone Depletion Potentials (ODPs) for various assumptions of nPB emissions location, but these studies used simplified modeling treatments. The primary purpose of this study is to reevaluate the ODP for n-propyl bromide (nPB) using a current-generation chemistry-transport model of the troposphere and stratosphere. For the first time, ODPs for TCE and PCE are also evaluated in a three-dimensional, global atmospheric chemistry-transport model. Emissions representing industrial use of each compound are incorporated on land surfaces from 30° N to 60° N. The atmospheric chemical lifetime obtained for nPB is 24.7 days, similar to past literature, but the ODP is 0.0049, lower than in our past study of nPB. The derived atmospheric lifetime for TCE is 13.0 days and for PCE is 111 days. The corresponding ODPs are 0.00037 and 0.0050, respectively.


2010 ◽  
Vol 10 (7) ◽  
pp. 17889-17910 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. J. Wuebbles ◽  
K. O. Patten ◽  
D. Wang ◽  
D. Youn ◽  
M. Martínez-Avilés ◽  
...  

Abstract. The existing solvents trichloroethylene (TCE) and perchloroethylene (PCE) and proposed solvent n-propyl bromide (nPB) have atmospheric lifetimes from days to a few months, but contain chlorine or bromine that could affect stratospheric ozone. Several previous studies estimated the Ozone Depletion Potentials (ODPs) for various assumptions for location of nPB emissions, but these studies used simplified modeling treatments. The primary purpose of this study is to reevaluate the ODP for nPB using a current-generation chemistry-transport model of the troposphere and stratosphere. For the first time, ODPs for TCE and PCE are also evaluated. Emissions representing industrial use of each compound are incorporated on land surfaces from 30° N to 60° N. The atmospheric chemical lifetime obtained for nPB is 24.7 days, similar to past literature, but the ODP is 0.0049, lower than in past studies. The derived atmospheric lifetime for TCE is 13.0 days and for PCE is 111 days. The corresponding ODPs are 0.00035 and 0.0060, respectively.


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