Designing well-connected marine reserves for climate-change resilience with low socio-economic costs
The theory behind networks of marine reserves is that they allow protected pathways for species to grow and maintain populations through their lifecycle - from where individuals begin their lives (typically as planktonic larvae) to where they disperse and live later as adults. Individual reserves - patches of protected habitat - are linked together, often by oceanic currents, with organisms moving between the reserves. Connections between marine reserves in a common area can be explored with graph theory: visualizing ecological networks much like a concept map. The ocean is warming due to climate change. Warming water has effects on larval physiology of at least some species, including shortening the larval development period, and thus shortening larval dispersal distance. These changes could theoretically compromise the connectivity and performance of marine reserve networks, thus requiring adjusting their design to account for ocean warming.The authors used the Midriff Islands Region in the Gulf of California, Mexico as a case study to examine the effects of ocean warming on the ability of planktonic larvae to spread amongst reserves. The Midriff Islands Region features a counter-clockwise gyre in the spring and summer months, which reverses in the fall and winter. As such, larval dispersal changes depending on the time of year and where a reserve is located in relation to the center of the gyre.