Uncertainty in Operational Analysis of Two-Lane Highways

2002 ◽  
Vol 1802 (1) ◽  
pp. 105-114 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Tapio Luttinen
Keyword(s):  
Input Data ◽  
Travel Speed ◽  
Level Of Service ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Highway Capacity ◽  
Highway Capacity Manual ◽  
Operational Analysis ◽  
Percent Time ◽  
Different Types ◽  
Percent Time Spent Following

The Highway Capacity Manual (HCM) 2000 provides methods to estimate performance measures and the level of service for different types of traffic facilities. Because neither the input data nor the model parameters are totally accurate, there is an element of uncertainty in the results. An analytical method was used to estimate the uncertainty in the service measures of two-lane highways. The input data and the model parameters were considered as random variables. The propagation of error through the arithmetic operations in the HCM 2000 methodology was estimated. Finally, the uncertainty in the average travel speed and percent time spent following was analyzed, and four approaches were considered to deal with uncertainty in the level of service.

scholarly journals ESTIMACIÓN DEL NIVEL DE SERVICIO DE UN CARRIL LENTO

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Víctor Gabriel Valencia Alaix ◽  
Alfredo García García
Keyword(s):  
Travel Speed ◽  
Highway Safety ◽  
Design Model ◽  
Highway Capacity ◽  
Highway Capacity Manual ◽  
Percent Time ◽  
Safety Design ◽  
Percent Time Spent Following

La operación vehicular en una carretera convencional depende de la atención adecuada de los adelantamientos de los vehículos lentos por parte de los más rápidos; una alternativa es mediante la provisión de carriles auxiliares a lo largo de la vía antes de pasar a una carretera multicarril.El objetivo es calibrar el modelo de simulación TWOPAS y aplicarlo en una carretera convencional española para estimar y comparar el nivel de servicio estimado en ella y en un carril lento con el resultado del procedimiento del Highway Capacity Manual - HCM.Se observó la operación vehicular en una carretera convencional de España mediante el registro a través de cámaras de control dispuestas a lo largo de la carretera, y en el carril lento, de manera que sirvió para calibrar el modelo de microsimulación TWOPAS considerando parámetros operacionales del parque automotor y aplicándolo para estimar el nivel de servicio.Se aplicó el procedimiento del HCM para estimar el nivel de servicio en segmentos de carretera con carril lento para comparar sus resultados con los obtenidos en la simulación.El modelo de simulación usado fue el TWOPAS, inserto en el Traffic Analisys Module (TAM) del Interactive Highway Safety Design Model (IHSDM), cuyos resultados en términos de Percent Time Spent Following (PTSF), Average Travel Speed (ATS) y otros permite la evaluación operacional.Los resultados y conclusiones permiten valorar la utilidad del modelo, la correspondencia de la realidad operacional en carretera y la norma española y la conveniencia operacional del carril lento estudiado.DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.4995/CIT2016.2016.4220

Comparison of Planning and Operational Analysis Procedures for Signalized Intersections from the Highway Capacity Manual

1996 ◽  
Vol 1555 (1) ◽  
pp. 59-64
Author(s):  
Mark R. Virkler ◽  
Shashi Gannavaram ◽  
Anand Ramabhadran
Keyword(s):  
Level Of Service ◽  
Signal Timing ◽  
Highway Capacity ◽  
Operational Procedure ◽  
Highway Capacity Manual ◽  
Operational Analysis ◽  
Planning Procedure ◽  
Adjustment Factors ◽  
Cycle Lengths ◽  
Traffic Signal Timing

The 1994 update of the Highway Capacity Manual (HCM) includes a planning procedure to estimate the capacity condition of a signalized intersection (Xcm). The planning method results can also be extended to a planning application of the more data-intensive HCM operational procedure to estimate intersection critical flow-to-capacity ratio (Xc) and level of service with only planning-level data. Both the planning procedure and the planning application of the operational procedure involve default adjustment factors and synthesized traffic signal timing (called the “default signal timing”). Data from 166 Missouri intersections were used to determine how well the planning approaches predict operational analysis results. In general, the default signal timings had shorter cycle lengths than the timing plans used at pretimed signals. The shorter cycle lengths led to slightly higher flow-to-capacity ratios, since a higher proportion of each cycle was devoted to lost time. The default signal timings also had more equal flow-to-capacity ratios within critical lane groups. The shorter cycle lengths and more equal flow-to-capacity ratios led to a predicted level of service that was the same or better than that calculated for actual conditions. For the subject intersections, locally calibrated default adjustment factors yielded better predictions of flow-to-capacity ratios and level of service than the HCM defaults. The planning value for Xcm was often less than the actual Xc for operational analysis of actual conditions. This was to be expected since Xcm is based on the maximum allowable cycle length. The HCM planning procedure is expected to receive wide use in a variety of planning and design applications. Calibration of appropriate local default values should improve the accuracy of the planning procedure results.

Freeway Weaving: Comparison of Highway Capacity Manual 2000 and Dutch Guidelines

2003 ◽  
Vol 1852 (1) ◽  
pp. 10-18 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. M. Minderhoud ◽  
L. Elefteriadou Elefteriadou
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
The United States ◽  
Level Of Service ◽  
Highway Capacity ◽  
Highway Capacity Manual ◽  
Additional Variable ◽  
Different Types ◽  
The U.S ◽  
Capacity Estimates

Weaving sections are a commonly adopted freeway facility both in the United States and in Europe. Knowledge about the capacity and level of service achievable on different types of weaving segments is necessary for the design and management of freeways. Guidelines such as those of the U.S. Highway Capacity Manual (HCM) provide capacity values for different weaving configuration types. The Dutch guidelines for the design of weaving segments are compared with those of the U.S. HCM. Differences between their respective approaches are identified, and a comparison of capacity values is conducted. It was found that there are large differences in capacity estimates for certain weaving configuration types. The results of a sensitivity analysis explain these differences in capacity values to a large extent. This analysis showed that it is important to consider the weaving proportions per leg. Currently, neither the HCM nor the Dutch approach considers different weaving flows per incoming leg. The introduction of an additional variable into the calculation procedure that takes into account the presence of asymmetrical weaving flows is recommended.

scholarly journals Travel Time Estimation on Urban Street Segment

2018 ◽  
Vol 30 (1) ◽  
pp. 115-120 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jelena Kajalić ◽  
Nikola Čelar ◽  
Stamenka Stanković
Keyword(s):  
Travel Time ◽  
Time Estimation ◽  
Travel Speed ◽  
Degree Of Saturation ◽  
Level Of Service ◽  
Travel Time Estimation ◽  
Highway Capacity ◽  
Local Conditions ◽  
Highway Capacity Manual ◽  
Urban Streets

Level of service (LOS) is used as the main indicator of transport quality on urban roads and it is estimated based on the travel speed. The main objective of this study is to determine which of the existing models for travel speed calculation is most suitable for local conditions. The study uses actual data gathered in travel time survey on urban streets, recorded by applying second by second GPS data. The survey is limited to traffic flow in saturated conditions. The RMSE method (Root Mean Square Error) is used for research results comparison with relevant models: Akcelik, HCM (Highway Capacity Manual), Singapore model and modified BPR (the Bureau of Public Roads) function (Dowling - Skabardonis). The lowest deviation in local conditions for urban streets with standardized intersection distance (400-500 m) is demonstrated by Akcelik model. However, for streets with lower signal density (<1 signal/km) the correlation between speed and degree of saturation is best presented by HCM and Singapore model. According to test results, Akcelik model was adopted for travel speed estimation which can be the basis for determining the level of service in urban streets with standardized intersection distance and coordinated signal timing under local conditions.

scholarly journals Self-Organizing Tree Algorithm (SOTA) Clustering for Defining Level of Service (LOS) Criteria of Urban Streets

2018 ◽  
Vol 47 (4) ◽  
pp. 309-317
Author(s):  
Amit Kumar Das ◽  
Prasanta Kumar Bhuyan
Keyword(s):  
Travel Speed ◽  
Flow Speed ◽  
Free Flow ◽  
Level Of Service ◽  
Highway Capacity ◽  
Tree Algorithm ◽  
Highway Capacity Manual ◽  
Urban Streets ◽  
Flow Speeds ◽  
Self Organizing

This study is intended to define the Free Flow Speed (FFS) ranges of urban street classes and speed ranges of Level of Service (LOS) categories. In order to accomplish the study FFS data and average travel speed data were collected on five urban road corridors in the city of Mumbai, India. Mid-sized vehicle (car) mounted with Global Positioning System (GPS) device was used for the collection of large number of speed data. Self-Organizing Tree Algorithm (SOTA) clustering method and five cluster validation measures were used to classify the urban streets and LOS categories. The above study divulges that the speed ranges for different LOS categories are lower than that suggested by Highway Capacity Manual (HCM) 2000. Also it has been observed that average travel speed of LOS categories expressed in percentage of free flow speeds closely resembles the percentages mentioned in HCM 2010.

Field Evaluation of Highway Capacity Manual 2000 Analysis Procedures for Two-Lane Highways

2002 ◽  
Vol 1802 (1) ◽  
pp. 125-132 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael P. Dixon ◽  
Satya Sai Kumar Sarepali ◽  
Kevin Allen Young
Keyword(s):  
Simulation Model ◽  
Field Data ◽  
Field Evaluation ◽  
Analysis Procedure ◽  
Highway Capacity ◽  
Highway Capacity Manual ◽  
Percent Time ◽  
Percent Time Spent Following ◽  
Northern Idaho ◽  
Rural Highway

Highway Capacity Manual (HCM) 2000 two-lane rural highway directional, two-way, and passing-lane analysis procedures based on field data and simulation were evaluated. Detailed field data were collected from two highway sections in northern Idaho, one with and one without passing lanes. The TWOPAS simulation model was used to provide additional insights. Particular attention was given to the differences in estimates for percent time spent following (PTSF) produced by the twoway and directional analysis procedures. It was found that the two-way analysis procedure was more accurate, although both procedures produced estimates that were too high. The passing-lane analysis procedure was also evaluated, and the HCM 2000 procedure was found to be conservative in its estimates of PTSF reductions due to a passing lane.

scholarly journals Adaptação do HCM2000 para análise da capacidade e do nível de serviço em rodovias de pista simples no Brasil

TRANSPORTES ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
pp. 66
Author(s):  
José Reynaldo Setti ◽  
José Elievam Bessa ◽  
Márcia Lika Mon-Ma ◽  
Cíntia Yumiko Egami
Keyword(s):  
Flow Rate ◽  
Travel Speed ◽  
Level Of Service ◽  
Research Projects ◽  
Rural Highways ◽  
Percent Time ◽  
Adjustment Factors ◽  
Percent Time Spent Following ◽  
The U.S

A meta deste trabalho foi descrever, de maneira prática, como aplicar uma adaptação do método do HCM2000 para análise da capacidade e do nível de serviço em rodovias de pista simples brasileiras. A adaptação proposta resulta de duas pesquisas que, basicamente, replicaram os procedimentos usados no desenvolvimento do método original do HCM, substituindo os dados obtidos em rodovias dos EUA e Canadá por dados coletados em dez trechos de rodovias brasileiras. Dessa forma, são apresentadas relações entre a taxa de fluxo, a velocidade média de viagem e a porcentagem de tempo seguindo em pelotões, além de tabelas com fatores de ajuste para condições não básicas. Podem ser avaliados segmentos longos e homogêneos, numa análise em sentido duplo ou em senti-do único, além de rampas específicas. Os resultados obtidos indicam que as estimativas dos níveis de serviço usando-se a adaptação do método do HCM2000 tendem a refletir melhor as reais condições operacionais das vi-as brasileiras de pista simples. ABSTRACTThe goal of this study was to describe, in a practical way, how to apply an adaptation of HCM2000 method for capacity and level of service analysis on two-lane rural highways. The proposed adaptation is the result of two research projects that basically replicated the procedures used for developing the original HCM method, while replacing the data collected on highways in the U.S. and Canada for data from ten sections of Brazilian high-ways. Thus, relationships between flow rate, average travel speed and percent time-spent-following are present-ed, as well as tables containing adjustment factors for situations differing from base conditions. It is possible to estimate the level of service of long homogeneous segments, considering one-way or two-way flows, as well as specific upgrades. The results indicate that the level of service estimates obtained with the use of the HCM2000 adaptation tend to reflect better the actual highway conditions.

Evaluating new methodologies for estimating performance on two-lane highways

2008 ◽  
Vol 35 (8) ◽  
pp. 777-785 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmed Al-Kaisy ◽  
Casey Durbin
Keyword(s):  
National Research Council ◽  
Highway Capacity ◽  
Highway Capacity Manual ◽  
Percent Time ◽  
Moving Vehicles ◽  
Study Results ◽  
New Methodologies ◽  
Analytical Procedures ◽  
Percent Time Spent Following ◽  
Study Sites

This paper examines two new methodologies for field estimation of percent time spent following (PTSF) on two-lane highways. Using speed and time headway data, the two methodologies estimate the percentage of vehicles trapped in platoons, unable to pass slow-moving vehicles. A total of 236 h of field data, including individual speeds and headways, were collected at three study sites in the state of Montana. The study examined the sensitivity of PTSF estimates to some important platooning variables. The study also included a comparison of PTSF estimates from the new methods versus those found using the current United States National Research Council Highway capacity manual (HCM) analytical procedures. Study results showed that the two new methodologies were successful in capturing the effect of platooning variables on PTSF estimates and outperformed the HCM procedures in this regard. Further, the results strongly attest to the promise of the proposed methods in advancing the current analytical procedures for estimating performance on two-lane highways.

scholarly journals Operational Considerations of Passing Zones for Two-lane Highways: Spanish Case Study

2018 ◽  
Vol 30 (5) ◽  
pp. 601-612
Author(s):  
Ana Tsui Moreno ◽  
Carlos Llorca ◽  
Scott S. Washburn ◽  
Jose Elievam Jr. Bessa ◽  
Alfredo Garcia
Keyword(s):  
Road Segment ◽  
Highway Capacity ◽  
Zone Length ◽  
Highway Capacity Manual ◽  
The Road ◽  
Percent Time ◽  
Analysis Methodology ◽  
Percent Time Spent Following ◽  
Traffic Operation

The U.S. Highway Capacity Manual (HCM 2010) methodology is used in Spain to evaluate traffic operation and quality of service. In two-lane undivided highways, the effect of limiting where drivers could pass slower vehicles, or passing restrictions, is considered through the percentage of no-passing zones. This measure does not account for how passing opportunities are distributed along the road. The objective of this research was to evaluate the effect percentage of no-passing zones and average passing zone length on a two-lane highway and, if significant, incorporate them in the analysis methodology,. The TWOPAS microsimulation program was calibrated and validated to the Spanish conditions. Passing restrictions had little effect on average traffic speed (ATS), with differences lower than 6 km/h between a road segment with no passing restrictions and a road segment with a passing restriction on 100% of its length. Conversely, passing restrictions can increase the percent time spent following (PTSF) up to 30%. Increasing the passing zone length beyond 2,000 m does not improve PTSF. The new models could be used to better estimate traffic operation on Spanish two-lane highways.

Review of Percent Time Spent Following (PTSF) as Performance Measure for Two-lane Highways

2013 ◽  
Vol 64 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Muttaka Na'iya Ibrahim ◽  
Othman Che Puan ◽  
Mushairry Mustaffar
Keyword(s):  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Measurement Model ◽  
Performance Measure ◽  
Highway Capacity ◽  
Highway Capacity Manual ◽  
Percent Time ◽  
Surrogate Measure ◽  
Analytical Procedures ◽  
Percent Time Spent Following ◽  
Related Measure

The Highway Capacity Manual (HCM) uses Percent Time Spent Following (PTSF) as key service measure for assessing the level of service of two-lane highways. However, the indicator is difficult to measure directly in the field. For this reason, its estimation to date has been based on analytical procedures using equations derived from simulations and field observations at representative location based on surrogate measure; as the percent of vehicles traveling with headway less than 3 seconds (3 s). Findings from empirical studies confirmed that the HCM analytical procedures used in estimating PTSF yield results that are inconsistent with the 3 s surrogate measure and mostly overestimate the indicator. This paper presents a review on the estimation of PTSF on two-lane highways and suggests probable approach to substantiate the application of the current practice. Further, the authors of this paper argued that the use of 3 s as surrogate for estimating PTSF based on field observation at a specific point may not represent the actual time spent following over a long segment of two-lane highway since PTSF is space related measure. Hence, the authors suggest the use of test vehicle approach over the highway segment to be evaluated to identify the variables that are required for the development of a representative PTSF measurement model. It is expected that this review and suggestion offered will contribute in advancing performance analysis of two-lane highways. 

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document