Reinduction of Albatross Decision Rules with Pooled Activity-Travel Diary Data and an Extended Set of Land Use and Cost-Related Condition States

2003 ◽  
Vol 1831 (1) ◽  
pp. 230-239 ◽  
Author(s):  
Theo Arentze ◽  
Frank Hofman ◽  
Harry Timmermans
Keyword(s):  
Process Model ◽  
Goodness Of Fit ◽  
Decision Rules ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Related Condition ◽  
Diary Data ◽  
Travel Diary ◽  
Complete Set ◽  
Individual Decisions ◽  
Activity Diary

Operationalization of the Albatross model—a rule-based model of activity-travel scheduling—is described for applications on a national scale. For this purpose, the original model was extended to include the generation of schedule skeletons and travel cost variables. Furthermore, to account for the increase of scale of the study area, the location decision component of the model was completely restructured. The complete set of 27 decision trees involved in the decision process model were newly induced from several pooled existing activity diary data sets in the Netherlands. The results indicate that the goodness of fit of the model is satisfactory at the level of individual decisions as well as aggregate distributions.

scholarly journals Goodness-of-Fit Tests for Bivariate Time Series of Counts

Econometrics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 10
Author(s):  
Šárka Hudecová ◽  
Marie Hušková ◽  
Simos G. Meintanis
Keyword(s):  
Goodness Of Fit ◽  
Probability Generating Function ◽  
Parametric Bootstrap ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Test Statistics ◽  
Finite Sample ◽  
Generalized Poisson ◽  
Goodness Of Fit Tests ◽  
Monte Carlo Experiments

This article considers goodness-of-fit tests for bivariate INAR and bivariate Poisson autoregression models. The test statistics are based on an L2-type distance between two estimators of the probability generating function of the observations: one being entirely nonparametric and the second one being semiparametric computed under the corresponding null hypothesis. The asymptotic distribution of the proposed tests statistics both under the null hypotheses as well as under alternatives is derived and consistency is proved. The case of testing bivariate generalized Poisson autoregression and extension of the methods to dimension higher than two are also discussed. The finite-sample performance of a parametric bootstrap version of the tests is illustrated via a series of Monte Carlo experiments. The article concludes with applications on real data sets and discussion.

scholarly journals Reproducing scientists’ mobility: a data-driven model

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Giacomo Vaccario ◽  
Luca Verginer ◽  
Frank Schweitzer
Keyword(s):  
Decision Rules ◽  
Migration Policy ◽  
Large Data ◽  
Global Scale ◽  
Global Network ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Mobility Patterns ◽  
Agent Based ◽  
Hiring Process ◽  
Geographical Distances

AbstractHigh skill labour is an important factor underpinning the competitive advantage of modern economies. Therefore, attracting and retaining scientists has become a major concern for migration policy. In this work, we study the migration of scientists on a global scale, by combining two large data sets covering the publications of 3.5 million scientists over 60 years. We analyse their geographical distances moved for a new affiliation and their age when moving, this way reconstructing their geographical “career paths”. These paths are used to derive the world network of scientists’ mobility between cities and to analyse its topological properties. We further develop and calibrate an agent-based model, such that it reproduces the empirical findings both at the level of scientists and of the global network. Our model takes into account that the academic hiring process is largely demand-driven and demonstrates that the probability of scientists to relocate decreases both with age and with distance. Our results allow interpreting the model assumptions as micro-based decision rules that can explain the observed mobility patterns of scientists.

scholarly journals A Hypothesis Test for the Goodness-of-Fit of the Marginal Distribution of a Time Series with Application to Stablecoin Data

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 10
Author(s):  
Mark Levene
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Goodness Of Fit ◽  
Marginal Distribution ◽  
Hypothesis Test ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Test Statistic ◽  
Sample Test ◽  
Kolmogorov Smirnov ◽  
Heavy Tailed ◽  
Jensen Shannon Divergence

A bootstrap-based hypothesis test of the goodness-of-fit for the marginal distribution of a time series is presented. Two metrics, the empirical survival Jensen–Shannon divergence (ESJS) and the Kolmogorov–Smirnov two-sample test statistic (KS2), are compared on four data sets—three stablecoin time series and a Bitcoin time series. We demonstrate that, after applying first-order differencing, all the data sets fit heavy-tailed α-stable distributions with 1<α<2 at the 95% confidence level. Moreover, ESJS is more powerful than KS2 on these data sets, since the widths of the derived confidence intervals for KS2 are, proportionately, much larger than those of ESJS.

scholarly journals Variable Selection in the Regularized Simultaneous Component Analysis Method for Multi-Source Data Integration

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhengguo Gu ◽  
Niek C. de Schipper ◽  
Katrijn Van Deun
Keyword(s):  
Variable Selection ◽  
Data Integration ◽  
Component Analysis ◽  
Selection Method ◽  
Gps Data ◽  
Positioning Systems ◽  
Variable Selection Method ◽  
Diary Data ◽  
Simultaneous Component Analysis ◽  
Travel Diary

AbstractInterdisciplinary research often involves analyzing data obtained from different data sources with respect to the same subjects, objects, or experimental units. For example, global positioning systems (GPS) data have been coupled with travel diary data, resulting in a better understanding of traveling behavior. The GPS data and the travel diary data are very different in nature, and, to analyze the two types of data jointly, one often uses data integration techniques, such as the regularized simultaneous component analysis (regularized SCA) method. Regularized SCA is an extension of the (sparse) principle component analysis model to the cases where at least two data blocks are jointly analyzed, which - in order to reveal the joint and unique sources of variation - heavily relies on proper selection of the set of variables (i.e., component loadings) in the components. Regularized SCA requires a proper variable selection method to either identify the optimal values for tuning parameters or stably select variables. By means of two simulation studies with various noise and sparseness levels in simulated data, we compare six variable selection methods, which are cross-validation (CV) with the “one-standard-error” rule, repeated double CV (rdCV), BIC, Bolasso with CV, stability selection, and index of sparseness (IS) - a lesser known (compared to the first five methods) but computationally efficient method. Results show that IS is the best-performing variable selection method.

A point-process model of human heartbeat intervals: new definitions of heart rate and heart rate variability

2005 ◽  
Vol 288 (1) ◽  
pp. H424-H435 ◽  
Author(s):  
Riccardo Barbieri ◽  
Eric C. Matten ◽  
AbdulRasheed A. Alabi ◽  
Emery N. Brown
Keyword(s):  
Heart Rate ◽  
Heart Rate Variability ◽  
Point Process ◽  
Process Model ◽  
Goodness Of Fit ◽  
Gaussian Model ◽  
Quantitative Measure ◽  
Local Maximum ◽  
Inverse Gaussian ◽  
Design Of Algorithms

Heart rate is a vital sign, whereas heart rate variability is an important quantitative measure of cardiovascular regulation by the autonomic nervous system. Although the design of algorithms to compute heart rate and assess heart rate variability is an active area of research, none of the approaches considers the natural point-process structure of human heartbeats, and none gives instantaneous estimates of heart rate variability. We model the stochastic structure of heartbeat intervals as a history-dependent inverse Gaussian process and derive from it an explicit probability density that gives new definitions of heart rate and heart rate variability: instantaneous R-R interval and heart rate standard deviations. We estimate the time-varying parameters of the inverse Gaussian model by local maximum likelihood and assess model goodness-of-fit by Kolmogorov-Smirnov tests based on the time-rescaling theorem. We illustrate our new definitions in an analysis of human heartbeat intervals from 10 healthy subjects undergoing a tilt-table experiment. Although several studies have identified deterministic, nonlinear dynamical features in human heartbeat intervals, our analysis shows that a highly accurate description of these series at rest and in extreme physiological conditions may be given by an elementary, physiologically based, stochastic model.

scholarly journals An Improved Approach for Reduction of Defect Density Using Optimal Module Sizes

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dinesh Verma ◽  
Shishir Kumar
Keyword(s):  
Goodness Of Fit ◽  
Defect Density ◽  
Optimal Size ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Density Parameter ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Module Size ◽  
Curve Fitting Method ◽  
Improved Model ◽  
Effective Distribution

Nowadays, software developers are facing challenges in minimizing the number of defects during the software development. Using defect density parameter, developers can identify the possibilities of improvements in the product. Since the total number of defects depends on module size, so there is need to calculate the optimal size of the module to minimize the defect density. In this paper, an improved model has been formulated that indicates the relationship between defect density and variable size of modules. This relationship could be used for optimization of overall defect density using an effective distribution of modules sizes. Three available data sets related to concern aspect have been examined with the proposed model by taking the distinct values of variables and parameter by putting some constraint on parameters. Curve fitting method has been used to obtain the size of module with minimum defect density. Goodness of fit measures has been performed to validate the proposed model for data sets. The defect density can be optimized by effective distribution of size of modules. The larger modules can be broken into smaller modules and smaller modules can be merged to minimize the overall defect density.

Exploratory data analysis of activity diary data: a space–time GIS approach

2011 ◽  
Vol 19 (3) ◽  
pp. 394-404 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jie Chen ◽  
Shih-Lung Shaw ◽  
Hongbo Yu ◽  
Feng Lu ◽  
Yanwei Chai ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Data Analysis ◽  
Exploratory Data Analysis ◽  
Space Time ◽  
Diary Data ◽  
Exploratory Data ◽  
Activity Diary

Quantifying paleogeography using biogeography: a test case for the Ordovician and Silurian of Avalonia based on brachiopods and trilobites

Paleobiology ◽  
2002 ◽  
Vol 28 (3) ◽  
pp. 343-363 ◽  
Author(s):  
David C. Lees ◽  
Richard A. Fortey ◽  
L. Robin M. Cocks
Keyword(s):  
Goodness Of Fit ◽  
Total Evidence ◽  
Pairwise Distance ◽  
Test Case ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Plate Tectonic ◽  
Plate Model ◽  
Optimal Arrangement ◽  
Evidence Analysis ◽  
Better Than

Despite substantial advances in plate tectonic modeling in the last three decades, the postulated position of terranes in the Paleozoic has seldom been validated by faunal data. Fewer studies still have attempted a quantitative approach to distance based on explicit data sets. As a test case, we examine the position of Avalonia in the Ordovician (Arenig, Llanvirn, early Caradoc, and Ashgill) to mid-Silurian (Wenlock) with respect to Laurentia, Baltica, and West Gondwana. Using synoptic lists of 623 trilobite genera and 622 brachiopod genera for these four plates, summarized as Venn diagrams, we have devised proportional indices of mean endemism (ME, normalized by individual plate faunas to eliminate area biogeographic effects) and complementarity (C) for objective paleobiogeographic comparisons. These can discriminate the relative position of Avalonia by assessing the optimal arrangement of inter-centroid distances (measured as great circles) between relevant pairs of continental masses. The proportional indices are used to estimate the “goodness-of-fit” of the faunal data to two widely used dynamic plate tectonic models for these time slices, those of Smith and Rush (1998) and Ross and Scotese (1997). Our faunal data are more consistent with the latter model, which we use to suggest relationships between faunal indices for the five time slices and new rescaled inter-centroid distances between all six plate pairs. We have examined linear and exponential models in relation to continental separation for these indices. For our generic data, the linear model fits distinctly better overall. The fits of indices generated by using independent trilobite and brachiopod lists are mostly similar to each other at each time slice and for a given plate, reflecting a common biogeographic signal; however, the indices vary across the time slices. Combining groups into the same matrix in a “total evidence” analysis performs better still as a measure of distance for mean endemism in the “Scotese” plate model. Four-plate mean endemism performs much better than complementarity as an indicator of pairwise distance for either plate model in the test case.

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