scholarly journals Prediction of University Student Performance Based on Tracer Study Dataset Using Artificial Neural Network

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 72-82
Author(s):  
Zahrina Aulia Adriani ◽  
Irma Palupi

In order to increase student performance, several universities use machine learning to analyze and evaluate their data so that it enables to improve the quality of education in the university. To get a new insight from the tracer study dataset as the relevance between university performance and student capability with business and industries work, the author will develop a model to predict student performance based on the tracer study dataset using Artificial Neural Network (ANN). For obtaining attributes that correspond to labels, Phi Coefficient Correlation will be used to select the attributes with high correlation as Feature Selection. The author is also performing the oversampling method using Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) because this dataset is imbalanced and evaluates the model using K-Fold Cross-Validation. According to K-Fold Cross Validation, the result shows that K = 3 has a low standard deviation of evaluation score and it's the best candidate of K to split the dataset. The average standard deviation is 0.038 for all score evaluations (Accuracy, Precision, Recall, and F-1 Score). After applied SMOTE to treating the imbalanced dataset with the data splitting 65 training data and 35 testing data, the accuracy value increases by 10% from 0.77 to 0.87.

Author(s):  
Hadjira Maouz ◽  
◽  
Asma Adda ◽  
Salah Hanini ◽  
◽  
...  

The concentration of carbonyl is one of the most important properties contributing to the detection of the thermal aging of polymer ethylene propylene diene monomer (EPDM). In this publication, an artificial neural network (ANN) model was developed to predict concentration of carbenyl during the thermal aging of EPDM using a database consisting of seven input variables. The best fitting training data was obtained with the architecture of (7 inputs neurons, 10 hidden neurons and 1 output neuron). A Levenberg Marquardt learning (LM) algorithm, hyperbolic tangent transfer function were used at the hidden and output layer respectively. The optimal ANN was obtained with a high correlation coefficient R= 0.995 and a very low root mean square error RMSE = 0.0148 mol/l during the generalization phase. The comparison between the experimental and calculated results show that the ANN model is able of predicted the concentration of carbonyl during the thermal aging of ethylene propylene diene monomer


2014 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 56-74 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gurjeet Singh ◽  
Rabindra K. Panda ◽  
Marc Lamers

The reported study was undertaken in a small agricultural watershed, namely, Kapgari in Eastern India having a drainage area of 973 ha. The watershed was subdivided into three sub-watersheds on the basis of drainage network and land topography. An attempt was made to relate the continuously monitored runoff data from the sub-watersheds and the whole-watershed with the rainfall and temperature data using the artificial neural network (ANN) technique. The reported study also evaluated the bias in the prediction of daily runoff with shorter length of training data set using different resampling techniques with the ANN modeling. A 10-fold cross-validation (CV) technique was used to find the optimum number of hidden neurons in the hidden layer and to avoid neural network over-fitting during the training process for shorter length of data. The results illustrated that the ANN models developed with shorter length of training data set avoid neural network over-fitting during the training process, using a 10-fold CV method. Moreover, the biasness was investigated using the bootstrap resampling technique based ANN (BANN) for short length of training data set. In comparison with the 10-fold CV technique, the BANN is more efficient in solving the problems of the over-fitting and under-fitting during training of models for shorter length of data set.


2019 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
pp. 67-77 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yao Yevenyo Ziggah ◽  
Hu Youjian ◽  
Alfonso Rodrigo Tierra ◽  
Prosper Basommi Laari

The popularity of Artificial Neural Network (ANN) methodology has been growing in a wide variety of areas in geodesy and geospatial sciences. Its ability to perform coordinate transformation between different datums has been well documented in literature. In the application of the ANN methods for the coordinate transformation, only the train-test (hold-out cross-validation) approach has usually been used to evaluate their performance. Here, the data set is divided into two disjoint subsets thus, training (model building) and testing (model validation) respectively. However, one major drawback in the hold-out cross-validation procedure is inappropriate data partitioning. Improper split of the data could lead to a high variance and bias in the results generated. Besides, in a sparse dataset situation, the hold-out cross-validation is not suitable. For these reasons, the K-fold cross-validation approach has been recommended. Consequently, this study, for the first time, explored the potential of using K-fold cross-validation method in the performance assessment of radial basis function neural network and Bursa-Wolf model under data-insufficient situation in Ghana geodetic reference network. The statistical analysis of the results revealed that incorrect data partition could lead to a false reportage on the predictive performance of the transformation model. The findings revealed that the RBFNN and Bursa-Wolf model produced a transformation accuracy of 0.229 m and 0.469 m, respectively. It was also realised that a maximum horizontal error of 0.881 m and 2.131 m was given by the RBFNN and Bursa-Wolf. The obtained results per the cadastral surveying and plan production requirement set by the Ghana Survey and Mapping Division are applicable. This study will contribute to the usage of K-fold cross-validation approach in developing countries having the same sparse dataset situation like Ghana as well as in the geodetic sciences where ANN users seldom apply the statistical resampling technique.


eLEKTRIKA ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 21
Author(s):  
Mukti Dwi Cahyo ◽  
Sri Heranurweni ◽  
Harmini Harmini

Electric power is one of the main needs of society today, ranging from household consumers to industry. The demand for electricity increases every year. So as to achieve adjustments between power generation and power demand, the electricity provider (PLN) must know the load needs or electricity demand for some time to come. There are many studies on the prediction of electricity loads in electricity, but they are not specific to each consumer sector. One of the predictions of this electrical load can be done using the Radial Basis Function Artificial Neural Network (ANN) method. This method uses training data learning from 2010 - 2017 as a reference data. Calculations with this method are based on empirical experience of electricity provider planning which is relatively difficult to do, especially in terms of corrections that need to be made to changes in load. This study specifically predicts the electricity load in the Semarang Rayon network service area in 2019-2024. The results of this Artificial Neural Network produce projected electricity demand needs in 2019-2024 with an average annual increase of 1.01% and peak load in 2019-2024. The highest peak load in 2024 and the dominating average is the household sector with an increase of 1% per year. The accuracy results of the Radial Basis Function model reached 95%.


Author(s):  
Wee-Beng Tay ◽  
Murali Damodaran ◽  
Zhi-Da Teh ◽  
Rahul Halder

Abstract Investigation of applying physics informed neural networks on the test case involving flow past Converging-Diverging (CD) Nozzle has been investigated. Both Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Physics Informed Neural Network (PINN) are used to do the training and prediction. Results show that Artificial Neural Network (ANN) by itself is already able to give relatively good prediction. With the addition of PINN, the error reduces even more, although by only a relatively small amount. This is perhaps due to the already good prediction. The effects of batch size, training iteration and number of epochs on the prediction accuracy have already been tested. It is found that increasing batch size improves the prediction. On the other hand, increasing the training iteration may give poorer prediction due to overfitting. Lastly, in general, increasing epochs reduces the error. More investigations should be done in the future to further reduce the error while at the same time using less training data. More complicated cases with time varying results should also be included. Extrapolation of the results using PINN can also be tested.


Designs ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 36
Author(s):  
Timo von Wysocki ◽  
Frank Rieger ◽  
Dimitrios Ernst Tsokaktsidis ◽  
Frank Gauterin

In modern vehicle development, suspension components have to meet many boundary conditions. In noise, vibration, and harshness (NVH) development these are for example eigenfrequencies and frequency response function (FRF) amplitudes. Component geometry parameters, for example kinematic hard points, often affect multiple of these targets in a non intuitive way. In this article, we present a practical approach to find optimized parameters for a component design, which fulfills an FRF target curve. By morphing an initial component finite element model we create training data for an artificial neural network (ANN) which predicts FRFs from geometry parameter input. Then the ANN serves as a metamodel for an evolutionary algorithm optimizer which identifies fitting geometry parameter sets, meeting an FRF target curve. The methodology enables a component design which considers an FRF as a component target. In multiple simulation examples we demonstrate the capability of identifying component designs modifying specific eigenfrequency or amplitude features of the FRFs.


Techno Com ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 19 (4) ◽  
pp. 353-363
Author(s):  
Mayanda Mega Santoni ◽  
Nurul Chamidah ◽  
Nurhafifah Matondang

Hipertensi merupakan salah satu penyakit tidak menular yang dapat menyebabkan kematian karena meningkatkan resiko munculnya berbagai penyakit seperti gagal ginjal, gagal jantung, bahkan stroke. Resiko hipertensi disebabkan oleh beberapa faktor penyebab seperti usia, keturunan, pola makan dan olahraga, dan merokok. Teknologi artificial intelligence yakni machine learning dimanfaatkan di bidang kesehatan khususnya prediksi penyakit hipertensi. Pada penelitian ini diimplementasi tiga algoritma machine learning yakni decision tree, naïve bayes dan artificial neural networks. Data yang digunakan pada penelitian ini sebanyak 274 data yang diperoleh dari hasil kuesioner dengan 26 pertanyaan, dimana 25 pertanyaan adalah variabel faktor resiko dan satu pertanyaan merupakan kelas yang menyatakan responden memiliki riwayat hipertensi atau tidak. Data diolah menggunakan platform analisis data yakni KNIME. Sebelum data diolah untuk membangun model klasifikasi menggunakan decision tree, naïve bayes dan artificial neural network, data dipraproses terlebih dahulu dengan melakukan imputasi missing value, oversampling dan normalisasi data. Selanjutnya pembagian data menggunakan 5-fold cross validation. Model klasifikasi yang diperoleh dievaluasi menggunakan nilai akurasi, recall dan precision. Hasil evaluasi dari eksperimen yang dilakukan diperoleh bahwa algoritma artificial neural network memiliki tingkat performa lebih baik dibandingkan decision tree dan naïve bayes dengan nilai akurasi sebesar 94.7%, recall sebesar 91.5% dan precision sebesar 97.7%.


Author(s):  
К. Т. Чин ◽  
Т. Арумугам ◽  
С. Каруппанан ◽  
М. Овинис

Описываются разработка и применение искусственной нейронной сети (ИНС) для прогнозирования предельного давления трубопровода с точечным коррозионным дефектом, подверженного воздействию только внутреннего давления. Модель ИНС разработана на основе данных, полученных по результатам множественных полномасштабных испытаний на разрыв труб API 5L (класс от X42 до X100). Качество работы модели ИНС проверено в сравнении с данными для обучения, получен коэффициент детерминации R = 0,99. Модель дополнительно протестирована с учетом данных о предельном давлении корродированных труб API 5L X52 и X80. Установлено, что разработанная модель ИНС позволяет прогнозировать предельное давление с приемлемой погрешностью. С использованием данной модели проведена оценка влияния длины и глубины коррозионных дефектов на предельное давление. Выявлено, что глубина коррозии является более значимым фактором разрушения корродированного трубопровода. This paper describes the development and application of artificial neural network (ANN) to predict the failure pressure of single corrosion affected pipes subjected to internal pressure only. The development of the ANN model is based on the results of sets of full-scale burst test data of pipe grades ranging from API 5L X42 to X100. The ANN model was developed using MATLAB’s Neural Network Toolbox with 1 hidden layer and 30 neurons. Before further deployment, the developed ANN model was compared against the training data and it produced a coefficient of determination ( R ) of 0.99. The developed ANN model was further tested against a set of failure pressure data of API 5L X52 and X80 grade corroded pipes. Results revealed that the developed ANN model is able to predict the failure pressure with good margins of error. Furthermore, the developed ANN model was used to determine the failure trends when corrosion defect length and depth were varied. Results from this failure trend analysis revealed that corrosion defect depth is the most significant parameter when it comes to corroded pipeline failure.


Author(s):  
Madeline A. Walters ◽  
Zhaoyan Fan ◽  
Burak Sencer

Abstract This paper presents a data-based approach for modeling a plasma etch process by estimating etch rate based on controlled input parameters. This work seeks to use an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model to correlate controlled tool parameters with etch rate and uniformity for a blanket 1100 Å WSiN thin film using Cl2 and BCl3 chemistry. Experimental data was collected using a Lam 9600 PTX plasma metal etch chamber in an industrial cleanroom. The WSiN film was deposited over 3000 Å TEOS to ensure adhesion, with an 8-inch bare silicon wafer as the base layer. Controlled tool parameters were radio frequency (RF) upper electrode power, RF lower electrode power, Cl2 gas flowrate, BCl3 gas flowrate, and chamber pressure. The full factorial design of experiment method was used to select the combinations of experimental configurations. The ANN model was validated using a subset of the training data.


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