Waiting for a New Model of Growth: Russia’s Social and Economic Development in 2013

2014 ◽  
pp. 4-32 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. Mau

The paper deals with Russian social and economic development in 2013 and prospects for the next year or two. The author discusses the logic and trends of the global crisis started in 2008. This is the basis for further analysis of current Russian economic performance with special emphasis on the problem of growth rates deceleration. Special attention is paid to economic risks and priorities of economic policy.

2012 ◽  
pp. 4-26 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. Mau

The article reveals two factors which determined social and economic development of Russia in 2011: future elections and the global economic crisis. Relative sustainability of the Russian economy is noted. Still, macroeconomic stability remains fragile. Principal features of the global economic crisis are considered: its structural and systemic character. The specifics of Russian economic policy is analyzed. A new model of growth is proposed that is based on supply-side economics, its key elements are studied. Recent political changes in the Russian society are analyzed as well as their influence on economic dynamics. The necessity of complex modernization in Russia is stressed.


2018 ◽  
pp. 146-154
Author(s):  
A. G. Aganbegyan

The article considers the main topics of the book by V. A. Mau “Crises and lessons. Russian economy in a turbulent epoch” and in connection with this - the problems of Russia’s social and economic development in the period of market reforms. The key issues that reflect the specifics of the transformational crisis in Russia are formulated. The reasons of Russian economy stagnation in the mid-2010s are explained. The essence of a new economic policy and sources of accelerating economic growth rates in our country are analyzed.


2013 ◽  
pp. 4-23 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. Mau

The paper deals with the trends in the world and Russian economies towards development of a new post-crisis system, including technological and structural transformation. Three main scenarios of Russian economic development (conservative, innovation and acceleration) are discussed basing on historical analysis of Russian economic performance since 1970-s when oil boom started. On this basis key challenges of economic policy in 2013 are discussed.


2018 ◽  
Vol 35 (4) ◽  
pp. 32-37
Author(s):  
M. U. Kazakov

The research of a condition of peripheral territories is of special interest within formation of a spatial paradigm of development of regional social and economic system. Differentiation of level of social and economic development of peripheral territories is natural process and is subject to complex studying for formation of adequate instruments of management within spatial social and economic policy. In article special attention is paid to formation of system and diagnostic approach for identification of level of social and economic development of territories on the basis of the composite indicator and also to justification and calculation of indicators of unevenness of development of peripheral territories.


10.12737/7806 ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 4-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Басовский ◽  
Leonid Basovskiy ◽  
Басовская ◽  
Elena Basovskaya

Econometric models of GDP’s crisis growth rates and factors of GDP’s recession rates have been received. The models allow predict the recession in Russia’s economy in 2015–2019. Decline in production during the crisis can reach 16–17%. Production decline duration can make 4–5 years. The crisis phenomena in economy at the level up to 80,7% have been caused by formation of adverse institutional environment under the influence of the laws adopted in 2003–2014. A new paradigm of economic policy is necessary for overcoming the crisis phenomena in economy, this policy is the one related to formation of institutions favoring to the economic growth and economic development, the policy aimed at the business development, at investment attraction, at domestic demand expansion.


10.12737/685 ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 3-8
Author(s):  
Басовская ◽  
Elena Basovskaya

Tendencies and factors of change of branch structure of economy of Russia in the period of 1999–2008 are investigated. Data of branch structure of investments of the Russian statistics and econometric methods are used. The regression, cluster and discriminated analysis, the factorial analysis on the basis of model main a component are applied. Discrepancy of tendencies of development of structure of economy is established. Major factors of development — a factor of preindustrial development (to 33–46% of changes), a factor of industrial development (to 18–22% of changes) and a factor of postindustrial development (to 28–36% of changes). The established ratio of factors of development doesn’t correspond to current trends. This discrepancy became one of preconditions of an economic crisis and delay of growth rates of economy during the post-crisis period. For overcoming of contradictions the active economic policy of attraction of investments in key is necessary for postindustrial development of branch of economy. In work are submitted data, characterizing results of the factorial analysis that is able to afford to specify their interpretation.


1998 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 33-43
Author(s):  
Geoff Dow

AbstractThere is continuing acceptance that the One Nation phenomenon remains a significant local response to a global problem – the adoption by national polities of internationally- oriented economic policy ‘reforms’ which are despised by populations. The dismantling of public responsibility for social and economic development has emerged as a cause of internal disaffection with conventional forms of politics. This paper attempts to separate the anti-liberal from the illiberal aspects of the responses to internationalisation and de-politicisation. It suggests that there have always been intellectually respectable anti-liberal traditions of analysis and that One Nation has tapped into some of these strands of analytical opinion. The lesson for mainstream parties is that they continue to insist on the inevitability of globalisation, and to risk further societal discontent and intolerance, only by ignoring the real alternative approaches to the responsibilities and possibilities of politics that have long been available.


2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 64-90
Author(s):  
E. N. Smirnov ◽  
V. N. Kirillov

Main objective of the article – assessment of problems and opportunities of speeding up of world economic growth in the context of the crisis phenomena and turbulence in economy. Complication and reformatting of the economic relations between the countries represents serious challenges for modern economic dynamics. Methodological approach of the authors is based on assessment of the defining influence of new factors on delay of economic activity and economic development. The thesis about the defining impact of international trade on economic growth is called into question. It was analyzed the value and a role of the international companies as growth catalysts in the conditions of new technological revolution. It is established that risks of development of the world economy continue to increase, and the main of them – in decline in labor productivity in the developed countries, uncertainty concerning interest rates and economic policy of the states, the universal growth of sovereign and corporate debt of the states. It is shown that China has the increasing problems with the growth; however the flexibility of its economic policy allows to connect additional mechanisms of speeding up of social and economic development. In the European Union economic growth depends on the solution of problems of consolidation of the budgetary process, decrease in a debt, and in general – on reforming of the existing model of social and economic development. Prospects of economic dynamics will depend in many respects on stability of trade relations between the countries, and on the effective international cooperation directed to overcoming imbalances of the modern world economy. Opportunities and problems of an exit of developing countries to a trajectory of sustained economic growth in the conditions of digitalization and digital transformations in the world economy are estimated. Aggravation of a problem of inequality in the conditions of digitalization of the world economy is possible to overcome, however a number of measures in the sphere of industrial, innovative and regulatory policy is necessary. Also at the international level serious reforms in the sphere of financial regulation and taxation are necessary. The conclusions received as a result of the research have important practical importance as overcoming the problems stated above and also trade political differences between the countries will make economic growth steady and inclusive.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 (20) ◽  
pp. 79-89
Author(s):  
Andrzej Łuczyszyn

Contemporary social and economic development (regional and local) occurring under very dynamic conditions triggered mostly by globalization requires effective and professional safety- -targeted actions aiming at stabilising undesirable threats as well as to develop safety strategies. This is crucial as a safety category requires its adaptation to each and every social and economic reality which subsequently confirms its flexibility and evolution. This is directly related to the economic policy being created which is going to use features of the Polish economy and society, which are to provide a competitive advantage over other economies and denotes that in conditions of a new service-oriented economy, safety is becoming the most significant element of development. This factor cannot be omitted in any strategic documents that constitute specific procedures determining the category of national security. Undoubtedly, however, it appears to be increasingly deficient in these sectors of socio-economic life, in which there is increasing social disorientation, and thus the risk increases


2010 ◽  
Vol 62 (2) ◽  
pp. 329-347
Author(s):  
Goran Nikolic

The author analyzes the influence of heterogeneity of religious-ethnic structure on economic growth. Most studies show that extraordinary national-religious diversification has a negative impact on economic performance of countries. However, the institutional arrangements that involve a significant degree of decentralization may be a factor of relaxation of ethnic and religious, i.e. political animosity. Positive economic experiences of some institutional and ethnically complex countries show that the single economic policy is possible and that strong the national heterogeneity is not necessarily a negative factor for economic development if there are viable democratic institutions.


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