scholarly journals COVID-19 AND STOCK RETURNS: EVIDENCE FROM MALAYSIA

2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (Number 2) ◽  
pp. 111-140
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Movement Control ◽  
Efficient Market Hypothesis ◽  
Early Stages ◽  
Financial Panic ◽  
The Government ◽  
Control Orders ◽  
The Impact

The severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) coronavirus or Covid-19 has affected the world unprecedentedly. Malaysia is not exempted from its impact. The Malaysian government announced a nationwide lockdown in the middle of March 2020. The magnitude of the outbreak had caused panic to the public and financial panic in the stock market. This study examined the impact of Covid-19 cases and the action taken by the government through movement control orders (MCOs) and economic stimulus packages in the stock market. Event study methodology was used to assess the impact of Covid-19 on stock returns in Bursa Malaysia. Consistent with the efficient market hypothesis, the study found that during the early stages of the MCOs, the cumulative average abnormal returns (CAAR) reflected significant negative returns. However, it showed positive returns after MCO 3 and MCO 4. The results implied that the market perceived that the pandemic was under control. The study also revealed a significant relationship between CAAR and the number of cases announced, supporting the notion that in a less to a moderately free country such as Malaysia, investors showed a certain lack of trust in the number of cases reported by the authorities, and thus overreacted to the number of reported cases. The stimulus packages that were expected to stabilise the economy and society were found to be positively significant during the early stages of the MCOs.

Stock Market Reaction on Green-Bond Issue: Evidence from Indian Green-Bond Issuers

2021 ◽  
pp. 097226292110225
Author(s):  
Rakesh Kumar Verma ◽  
Rohit Bansal
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Financial Institutions ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Low Carbon ◽  
Bond Issue ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact

Purpose: A green bond is a financial instrument issued by governments, financial institutions and corporations to fund green projects, such as those involving renewable energy, green buildings, low carbon transport, etc. This study analyses the effect of green-bond issue announcement on the issuer’s stock price movement. It shows the reaction of the stock price after the issue of green bonds. Methodology: This study is based on secondary data. Green-bond issue dates have been collected from newspaper articles from different online sources, such as Business Standard, The Economic Times, Moneycontrol, etc. The closing prices of stocks have been taken from the NSE (National Stock Exchange of India Limited) website. An event window of 21 days has been fixed for the study, including the 10 days before and after the issue date. Data analysis is carried out through the event study method using the R software. Calculation of abnormal returns is done using three models: mean-adjusted returns model, market-adjusted returns model and risk-adjusted returns model. Findings: The results show that the issue of green bonds has a significant positive effect on the stock price. Returns increase after the green-bond issue announcement. Although the announcement day shows a negative return for all the samples taken for the study, the 10-day cumulative abnormal return (CAR) is positive. Thus, green-bond issues lead to positive sentiments among investors. Research implications: This research article will help the government issue more green bonds so that the proceeds can be utilized for green projects. The government should motivate corporations and financial institutions to issue more green bonds to help the economy grow. In India, very few organizations have issued a green bond. It will be beneficial if these players issue green bonds, as it will increase the firms’ value and boost returns to the investors. Originality/value: The effect of green-bond issue on stock returns has been analysed in some studies in developed countries. This is the first study to examine the impact of green-bond issue on stock returns in the Indian context, to the best of our knowledge.

STUDY OF THE IMPACT OF INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL CRISIS ON TAIWAN’S GAME INDUSTRY AND INVESTORS

2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 13-18
Author(s):  
Bi-Huei Tsai
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Video Game ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Efficient Market Hypothesis ◽  
Economic Recovery ◽  
Market Reactions ◽  
Game Industry ◽  
The Impact

Purpose of study: This study investigates the change of stock returns during the Lehman Brother’s announcement of bankruptcy in 2008 for the Taiwanese listed video game companies. We further explore the change of stock returns for the Taiwanese listed video game companies after Taiwan’s economy recovers from Lehman Brother’s bankruptcy. Methodology: This study utilizes the event study method to statistically test abnormal returns so as to understand whether the Lehman Brother’s bankruptcy-related event affects stock prices and whether securities prices reflect Lehman Brother’s bankruptcy-related information. Main Findings: The results show a significant negative abnormal rate during Lehman Brother’s declaration of bankruptcy on Sep. 15, 2008. Investors were affected by the financial crisis caused by Lehman Brother’s bankruptcy and fully reflected on the stock prices of that day. In addition, our results show that video game companies have significantly positive returns when most Taiwanese electronics firms stop no-pay leave on March 31, 2009. It represents investors were encouraged by this information and fully reflected on the stock prices. Implications: The results support the efficient market hypothesis. The pattern of CARs experiences a constant increase and displays the apparent price rise during the announcement of no-pay leave stop. The positive abnormal returns are accompanied by the economic recovery. Originality/Novelty: This investigation for the first time chooses the stop of no-pay leave as the indicator of economic recovery from financial crisis. Our analysis novel explores the impact of the financial crisis and the economic recovery on the game industry simultaneously and the results show significantly different market reactions between the occurrence of the financial crisis and economic recovery.

scholarly journals The Effect of China-U.S. Trade Dispute on Chinese Stock Market: New Evidence from the Event Study Analysis

2020 ◽  
pp. 105-117
Author(s):  
Fuzhong Chen ◽  
Di Yu
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Event Study ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
The United States ◽  
Chinese Stock Market ◽  
Study Analysis ◽  
Trade Dispute ◽  
The Impact

In 2018, the China-U.S. trade dispute started, which brings heterogeneous impacts on the global economy. The purpose of this paper is to examine the effects of tariffs targeting Chinese exporting commodities imposed by the U.S. on the Chinese stock market by utilizing the event study analysis. 10 industries' stock returns between Jan. 3rd , 2017, and Apr. 3rd , 2020 were selected as the research objectives from the WIND database, according to the Chinese Shen Wan's classification standard. Results based on event study analysis show that: First, the China-U.S. trade dispute causes significant fluctuations to Chinese stock returns. Second, the impacts of the trade dispute are mainly negative, showing by the negative cumulative average abnormal returns in the export-oriented sectors when they are encountered with new tariffs imposed by the United States. However, the effects can also be positive because of the various situations of targeted industries, and the defensive measures taken by China. Third, the trade dispute also affects investors' views on the macro economy, in which the impact on the real economy can be transferred to other non-export-oriented industries, such as the banking sector. This study provides empirical evidence for China's policymakers to take measures in strengthening the independence of innovation, protecting intellectual property rights. Investors also need to equip themselves with more financial knowledge.

scholarly journals Empirical Testing of the Response of Czech Stock Market to Downgrades of Greek Credit Rating in the Light of the Efficient Market Hypothesis

2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 57-71 ◽  
Author(s):  
Petr Seďa ◽  
Juan Antonio Jimber del Río ◽  
María De los Baños García-Moreno García
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Statistical Tests ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Efficient Market Hypothesis ◽  
Empirical Testing ◽  
Efficient Market ◽  
Nonparametric Statistical ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Analytical Approaches

Empirical testing of the linkages between macroeconomic news and asset price movements in terms of response to released macroeconomic information have been a subject of many investigations using different testing methods. The objective of this paper is to study the impact of announcements of Greek credit rating downgrades on the prices of the most liquid assets quoted in the Czech stock market. This issue is tightly related to semi-strong form of the efficient market hypothesis, which is one of possible analytical approaches when analyzing behaviour of assets in financial markets. The reaction of the Czech stock market is assessed in relation to seven announcements of Moody´s rating agency regarding changes of credit rating of Greek government bonds in the period 2009–2012. For the purpose of this paper, the event study methodology is applied. The basic idea of this statistical method is to determine values of abnormal returns, which can be defined as a difference between actual and equilibrium returns. In order to calculate equilibrium returns, the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is used. The differences between actual and equilibrium returns are then verified with a help of selected nonparametric statistical tests. Namely, the exact sign test and the Wilcoxon signed-rank test are utilized. Based on results of nonparametric statistical tests, the null hypothesis of information efficiency of the Czech stock market is conclusively rejected.

Impact of Stock Splits and Rights Issue Announcements on Market Price: Evidence from India

2016 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Babitha Rohit ◽  
Prakash Pinto ◽  
Shakila B.
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Market Price ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Market Model ◽  
Stock Splits ◽  
Indian Stock Market ◽  
Rights Issue ◽  
The Impact

The current paper studies the impact of two events i.e stock splits and rights issue announcement on the stock returns of companies listed on the Bombay Stock Exchange. The study consists of a sample of 90 announcements for stock splits and 29 announcements for rights issue during the period 2011-2014. Market model is used to calculate the abnormal returns of securities. Positive Average Abnormal Returns were observed for the two events on the day their announcements, however they are not statistically significant. The study concludes that the Indian stock market is efficient in its semi-strong form.

scholarly journals DOES ELECTION IMPACT ON STOCK MARKET RETURNS IN BANGLADESH?

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-18
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Descriptive Statistics ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Market Participants ◽  
Before And After ◽  
The Common ◽  
The Impact

This paper investigates the impact of parliamentary general election on the stock market returns by considering the previous fifteen days and the after fifteen days of each of six elections in Bangladesh held between 1991 and 2018. The study analyzed the election effect on stock returns through considering both abnormal returns by choosing 20 stocks as a proxy of portfolio motive of the investors and the broad index returns as a measurement of whole market scenario. The study employed descriptive statistics, t-tests, and F-tests to understand the impact of election by gauging the changes in return series. Descriptive statistics showed very high differences in means, standard deviations, and volatilities. Paired t-tests showed significant differences between the means and F-tests showed significant differences between the variances of the returns during before and after days of these elections. The results were the same for abnormal returns and broad index returns. The impacts of individual election on the returns were also found as the same in most cases. The study has found some very useful insights part of which can benefit the policymakers to reform the policies. The common investors and the financial market participants can also make better investment plan.

Shariah-compliant investments and stock returns: evidence from the Indonesian stock market

2017 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 143-160 ◽  
Author(s):  
Devi Lusyana ◽  
Mohamed Sherif
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Superior Performance ◽  
Investment Performance ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Impact

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate the impact of the Indonesia Shariah-compliant Stock Index (ISSI) on the performance of included shares. In essence, the authors ask whether the establishment of the ISSI provides abnormal returns for the firms that are not included in the Jakarta Index. Design/methodology/approach The authors use an event study methodology to estimate cumulative abnormal returns in the days surrounding the event to examine the relationship between Shariah-compliant investments and stock returns. The estimation window of 90 trading days prior to the event (−30) to day 60 after (+60) is adopted. They also use a range of investment performance measures to provide new evidence on whether faith-based ethical investments generate superior performance compared to their unscreened benchmarks. Findings Using daily returns, the Indonesia ISSI and panel data model, the findings show that the inclusion of the ISSI has a positive impact on the financial performance of the included shares during the 41-day event window. The evidence also suggests that the ethical investment has a significant influence on the performance of stock market returns. Research limitations/implications This study offers insights to policymakers, investors and fund managers interested in the indices’ performance. A key conclusion that could be derived by bodies that regulate Islamic products and services is that investors are not only concerned about what is profitable but also what makes their investments ethical. Originality/value Although the global growth of the Islamic capital market products and services has been tremendous in recent years, very few studies focus on the Indonesian market and indeed, none of them devote sufficient attention to Shariah-compliant investments and stock returns.

scholarly journals The impact of supply chain disruptions on stock market returns during COVID-19

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hélène Flore Nguemgaing ◽  
Ana Claudia Sant’Anna
Keyword(s):  
Supply Chain ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Google Trends ◽  
Meat Processing ◽  
Supply Chain Disruptions ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Impact

PurposeHow has COVID-19 impacted meat processors' stock returns? The authors evaluate the effects of supply chain disruptions (e.g. lockdowns and COVID-19 incidences among workers) on stock market prices of meat processors during the COVID-19 pandemic.Design/methodology/approachThis study uses an event study approach to examine the disruptions from COVID-19 through events such as plant shutdowns, the pandemic announcement, lockdown dates and the first case of COVID-19 outbreaks in meat processing plants. The dataset includes S&P 500, Google Trends, financial beta and data collected for 14 US publicly traded meat processing companies.FindingsResults show that nationwide events (e.g. announcement of the pandemic) had no statistically significant impact on average abnormal returns of meat processing companies. Individually, however, firms experienced negative abnormal returns. COVID-19-related events in individual meat processing companies had a temporary negative abnormal return in the days prior to the event.Originality/valueThis study has two main contributions. First, the authors estimate the effect of COVID-19 on the returns of meat processors. Second, the authors use Google Trends to estimate the expected stock markets returns of meat processing companies. This study provides insight to investors on the behavior of industry returns from events such as outbreaks that affect human health.

Stock price reaction on ISO 9001 certification announcement: evidence from Indonesia

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Kiryanto Kiryanto ◽  
Indri Kartika ◽  
Zaenudin Zaenudin
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Quality Management System ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Iso 9001 ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Before And After ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Capital Market

PurposeCertification information published by a company will be responded by the market. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to examine the impact of ISO 9001 certification on the stock market reaction as indicated by stock returns reaction of companies in Indonesia.Design/methodology/approachThis study used event study method with the period of 13 days. It consists of 6 days before and after ISO 9001 certification announcement and 1 day at the time of the event. It analyzed by using pair sample t-test and one sample t-test. The stock return data is obtained from companies that are ISO 9001 certified and it tested for their stock reactions before and after the certification.FindingsThe results of empirical research showed that the average and companies cumulative abnormal returns in Indonesia react quickly and positively on the first day after ISO 9001 certification announcement. This study proved the differences between abnormal returns before and after the ISO 9001 certification announcement period.Research limitations/implicationsThe company's success in implementing ISO 9001 will have an impact on investment in the capital market with a positive response from stock market players. The implication of this study is the further research can examine directly the impact of ISO 9001 implementation on investor behavior in the capital market.Originality/valueBased on the development of the literature review, this is the first study which examined the impact of ISO 9001 certification announcement on investor reactions in the short term. Therefore, companies in Indonesia need to implement a quality management system for investors in Indonesia.

scholarly journals The Impact of COVID-19 on the Stock Price of Socially Responsible Enterprises: An Empirical Study in Taiwan Stock Market

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
pp. 1398
Author(s):  
Kuo-Jung Lee ◽  
Su-Lien Lu
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Recovery Phase ◽  
Socially Responsible ◽  
Cumulative Impact ◽  
Study Approach ◽  
Price Performance ◽  
The Impact

This study examines the impact of the COVID-19 outbreak on the Taiwan stock market and investigates whether companies with a commitment to corporate social responsibility (CSR) were less affected. This study uses a selection of companies provided by CommonWealth magazine to classify the listed companies in Taiwan as CSR and non-CSR companies. The event study approach is applied to examine the change in the stock prices of CSR companies after the first COVID-19 outbreak in Taiwan. The empirical results indicate that the stock prices of all companies generated significantly negative abnormal returns and negative cumulative abnormal returns after the outbreak. Compared with all companies and with non-CSR companies, CSR companies were less affected by the outbreak; their stock prices were relatively resistant to the fall and they recovered faster. In addition, the cumulative impact of the COVID-19 on the stock prices of CSR companies is smaller than that of non-CSR companies on both short- and long-term bases. However, the stock price performance of non-CSR companies was not weaker than that of CSR companies during times when the impact of the pandemic was lower or during the price recovery phase.

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