Terrorism Risk Assessment to Children: A Study in Poso

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 47-64
Author(s):  
Zora Arvina Sukabdi
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Qualitative Methods ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Average Risk ◽  
Terrorist Organizations ◽  
Terrorism Risk ◽  
Terrorist Groups ◽  
History Of ◽  
Quantitative And Qualitative Methods

The long history of conflict in Poso, Indonesia, causes the trauma of people living in the area, including children. This study aims to examine the risks and needs of children raised amongst terrorist organizations in Poso. 33 children whose parents were involved in terrorist groups were assessed in this study and analyzed using quantitative and qualitative methods. The findings show that the average risk is 1.35, which is at low risk. Moreover, they need to be addressed to prevent them from joining terrorist groups. The findings could help educational and counterterrorism practitioners to plan an intervention for children raised within the terrorism movement in Poso.

scholarly journals Risk Assessment of Women Involved in Terrorism: Indonesian Cases

2021 ◽  
Vol 04 (09) ◽  
Author(s):  
Zora Arfina Sukabdi ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Qualitative Methods ◽  
Average Risk ◽  
Islamic State ◽  
Front Line ◽  
Counter Terrorism ◽  
Medium Risk ◽  
National Police ◽  
Quantitative And Qualitative Methods

In Indonesia, the involvement of women in terrorism activities have been known as subtle until 2021. In this year of pandemic, a female lone-wolf’s attacking the National Police Headquarter has raised a question if women have taken more front-line roles without direction in terrorism attacks in the country. This study is aimed to investigate the risks of women involved in terrorism organizations in Indonesia. 30 women of the Islamic State (ISIS) and Jamaah Islamiyah (JI) were examined in this study. Both quantitative and qualitative methods were used to analyze the data. The results show that the average risk score of women in terrorism networks in Indonesia is 3,21; which is at “high” risk. Furthermore, their terrorism Motivation and Ideology are both at “high” risk; while their Capability is at “medium” risk. The findings could help counter terrorism practitioners in planning interven-tion for women in terrorism movements.

Aplication of Quantitative and Qualitative Methods in Risk Management of Credit Portfolio in the Conditions of the Banking System of the Republic of Tajikistan

2013 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 249-268
Author(s):  
Basgul Fajzullohonovna Isupova
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Risk Management ◽  
Qualitative Methods ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Potential Losses ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Credit Portfolio ◽  
Quantitative And Qualitative Methods ◽  
Coefficient Method

In this article, an analysis of the fundamental methods of risk assessment and risk management of credit portfolio is conducted. In particular, complex and qualitative methods of risk management of credit portfolio studied in details, namely analytical, statistical and coefficient methods. Based on the coefficient method the author proposes a number of standards for the assessment of potential losses in credit activity. 

Jihadist Travelers and Terrorism Risk Assessment in the Netherlands

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anton Weenink ◽  
Shanti Vooren-Morsing
Keyword(s):  
Mental Health ◽  
Risk Assessment ◽  
The Netherlands ◽  
Mental Health Problems ◽  
Assessment Instrument ◽  
Terrorism Risk ◽  
Risk Assessment Instrument ◽  
New Findings ◽  
History Of ◽  
Managing Risk

In the Netherlands, police use IR46 as a Terrorism Risk Assessment Instrument for identifying radicalized individuals and the risk or threat they pose. Originally, its focus was on ideological radicalization as a precursor to terrorist violence. Here, it reflected mainstream thinking in terrorism studies, which held that terrorists overall are ‘normal’ in terms of mental health and socio-economic backgrounds. New empirical research called this ‘normality paradigm’ into doubt, and IR46 has changed accordingly. One example of this research was a 2015 study in Dutch police files describing behavioural problems and disorders in jihadist travelers to the Middle East. This chapter presents new findings from a follow-up study from 2019. The studies, and similar research elsewhere, have indicated that jihadist travelers on average have a history of adverse socio-economic conditions, high criminality, and more mental health problems than their peers. Individual backgrounds may have contributed to their susceptibility to extremist messages. These backgrounds can be quite diverse though, which does not allow for an accurate prediction of those who actually commit a terrorist crime. Nevertheless, insight in these backgrounds provides new angles for identifying and managing risk in individuals of concern.

scholarly journals Whether Japan has Realized its National Interests through the ODA to China: A Study on Japan’s ODA to China

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
QIAN QIN
Keyword(s):  
Qualitative Methods ◽  
Foreign Aid ◽  
Narrative Analysis ◽  
Role Theory ◽  
National Interests ◽  
History Of ◽  
Role Conception ◽  
Quantitative And Qualitative Methods

<div><div><div><div><p>This paper introduces the history of Japan’s ODA to China, and examines the realisation of national interests through both quantitative and qualitative methods. Even though most scholars acknowledged that providing foreign aid is always connected to the national interests of the donor countries, it should be further discussed what those national interests are and how those interests are realised. This paper therefore summarised the national role conception and categories of national interests of Japan regarding the ODA policy to China through narrative analysis based on the role theory. In general, Japan’s ODA to China has achieved some of the diplomatic objectives successfully, but failed to achieve all.</p></div></div></div></div>

Uncertainty and Control in Russia

2013 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jacob N. Shapiro
Keyword(s):  
Northern Ireland ◽  
Organizational Dynamics ◽  
Small Scale ◽  
Secret Police ◽  
Terrorist Organizations ◽  
Terrorist Groups ◽  
History Of ◽  
And Control ◽  
The Relationship

This chapter analyzes the organization of pre-Revolutionary Russian terrorist groups in the 1880s and 1900s. Understanding these groups is useful in many ways. First, and most important, many of the organizational pathologies of terrorism are starkly illustrated by the travails of what were really the first modern terrorist organizations. Second, comparing these groups offers an opportunity to test hypotheses about the relationship between uncertainty and control. Third, the history of these groups is extremely well developed, in part because the archives of the Tsarist secret police were preserved, giving historians a rich set of investigative and interrogation reports to work with. Finally, the scale of violence in Russia was much greater than in Northern Ireland or Palestine. Examining this case thus complements the al-Qa'ida in Iraq case study in confirming that organizational dynamics described in preceding chapters are not unique to small-scale conflicts.

scholarly journals Internal Defense in Containment Theory in the Context of Teenagers Engagement in Indonesia Terrorism

2021 ◽  
Vol 04 (07) ◽  
Author(s):  
Arijani Lasmawati ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Children And Adolescents ◽  
Defense System ◽  
Terrorist Organizations ◽  
Action Strategy ◽  
Terrorist Groups ◽  
Long Time ◽  
History Of ◽  
Action Strategies ◽  
Depth Interviews ◽  
Gathering Data

The history of acts of terrorism in Indonesia, which began in 2003-2019, shows several shifting trends in terrorism crimes, terms of action strategies, targets, and characteristics of perpetrators. Based on the action strategy and the features of the perpetrators, the authors found the involvement of children and adolescents. Horgan, Taylor, Bloom, and Winter (2017) state that the involvement of children in acts of terrorism is part of the regeneration of terrorist organizations to continue to exist and survive for a long time. This research aims to illustrate how the internal defense system in the containment theory contributes to the terrorism context. This research is qualitative which uses in-depth interviews for gathering data. Results showed that internal defense could not support teenagers to avoid their engagement with radical or terrorist groups.

scholarly journals Whether Japan has Realized its National Interests through the ODA to China: A Study on Japan’s ODA to China

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
QIAN QIN
Keyword(s):  
Qualitative Methods ◽  
Foreign Aid ◽  
Narrative Analysis ◽  
Role Theory ◽  
National Interests ◽  
History Of ◽  
Role Conception ◽  
Quantitative And Qualitative Methods

<div><div><div><div><p>This paper introduces the history of Japan’s ODA to China, and examines the realisation of national interests through both quantitative and qualitative methods. Even though most scholars acknowledged that providing foreign aid is always connected to the national interests of the donor countries, it should be further discussed what those national interests are and how those interests are realised. This paper therefore summarised the national role conception and categories of national interests of Japan regarding the ODA policy to China through narrative analysis based on the role theory. In general, Japan’s ODA to China has achieved some of the diplomatic objectives successfully, but failed to achieve all.</p></div></div></div></div>

Methodology and the Study of the Political Executive

2020 ◽  
pp. 185-206
Author(s):  
Robert Elgie
Keyword(s):  
Qualitative Methods ◽  
Intellectual History ◽  
New Institutionalism ◽  
Data Availability ◽  
The Political ◽  
Methodological Pluralism ◽  
Methodological Issues ◽  
Case Selection ◽  
History Of ◽  
Quantitative And Qualitative Methods

The predominant methodologies that are used in the study of the political executive are closely linked to the various approaches that have been applied in this domain. The intellectual history of the study of political executives shows the familiar evolution from the ‘old’ institutionalism via behavioralism to varieties of ‘new’ institutionalism, without any approach being replaced completely by another, resulting in more methodological pluralism than ever before. Each of these quantitative and qualitative methods has its own strengths and weaknesses, but to a greater or lesser extent they share several problems concerning the material they use. Most notably, the very nature of political executives brings with it severe limitations to data availability. This chapter ends with a plea for more systematic attention to methodological issues such as case selection, and with suggestions for new methodological techniques that may help improve the validity of the conclusions that scholars wish to draw about the political executive.

scholarly journals Assessing the Invasion Risk ofEucalyptusin the United States Using the Australian Weed Risk Assessment

2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Doria R. Gordon ◽  
S. Luke Flory ◽  
Aimee L. Cooper ◽  
Sarah K. Morris
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
The United States ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Invasion Risk ◽  
Weed Risk Assessment ◽  
Plant Invaders ◽  
The Usa ◽  
History Of ◽  
Selection For ◽  
Time Selection

Many agricultural species have undergone selection for traits that are consistent with those that increase the probability that a species will become invasive. However, the risk of invasion may be accurately predicted for the majority of plant species tested using the Australian Weed Risk Assessment (WRA). This system has been tested in multiple climates and geographies and, on average, correctly identifies 90% of the major plant invaders as having high invasion risk, and 70% of the noninvaders as having low risk. We used this tool to evaluate the invasion risk of 38Eucalyptustaxa currently being tested and cultivated in the USA for pulp, biofuel, and other purposes. We predict 15 taxa to have low risk of invasion, 14 taxa to have high risk, and 9 taxa to require further information. In addition to a history of naturalization and invasiveness elsewhere, the traits that significantly contribute to a high invasion risk conclusion include having prolific seed production and a short generation time. Selection against these traits should reduce the probability that eucalypts cultivated in the USA will become invasive threats to natural areas and agricultural systems.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document