scholarly journals Estymacja prawdopodobieństw przejścia między stanami zdrowia osóbw wieku 50 lat i więcej w Polsce w modelu wielostanowym

2015 ◽  
pp. 25-37
Author(s):  
Wojciech Łątkowski

Poland will experience advanced population ageing driven by improvements in longevity, low fertility and retirement of baby boom cohorts. Given the higher morbidity prevalence observed at older ages, the demand for the elderly care is expected to increase. The study focuses on the dynamics of health of people aged 50 and over in Poland. We want to verify how the risks of the health status change are shaped over age and what the impact of sex is. The empirical analysis provides a description of a non-parametric multi-state model for transitions in health. The age- and sex-specific health transition rates and probabilities are estimated based on the European Union Statistics on Income and Living Conditions (EU-SILC) panel data for the years 2008–2011. The results confirm the well-known regularities in research on health: the risk of being unhealthy is increasing with age, while the probability of recovery is decreasing. Women have a higher risk of the onset of disability than men, whereas recovery to health is similar for men and women.

2003 ◽  
Vol 44 (2) ◽  
pp. 155-184 ◽  
Author(s):  
SARAH HARPER

The trends towards falling fertility and mortality and increasing longevity, which have led to the demographic ageing of all Western industrialized societies, have not occurred in isolation. More specifically, we are also seeing a combination of forces which are resulting in the ageing of some life-transitions. While public and legal institutions may be lowering the age threshold into full legal adulthood, individuals themselves are choosing to delay many of those transitions which demonstrate a commitment to full adulthood. This shift from a high-mortality/high-fertility society to a low-mortality/low-fertility society and the ageing of family transitions within these societies have significant implications for both family structure and kinship roles. Drawing on recent demographic figures for the European Union, this paper highlights the impact of these main trends on individuals and families.


ILR Review ◽  
2003 ◽  
Vol 56 (3) ◽  
pp. 511-529 ◽  
Author(s):  
Leora Friedberg

New technologies like computers alter skill requirements. This paper explores two related effects of the spread of computers on older workers, using data from the Current Population Survey and the Health and Retirement Study. One conclusion is that impending retirement, rather than age alone, explains why older workers used computers less than prime-age workers did. A second conclusion is that computer users retired later than non-users. Although this pattern may arise because workers planning later retirement decided to acquire computer skills, the empirical analysis suggests that the causation also went in the other direction, with computer users choosing to delay retirement. It will be important to understand these effects as the baby boom cohort nears retirement, while technologies continue to change rapidly.


2016 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 202-224
Author(s):  
Илья Савельевич Кашницкий

Coleman D., S. Basten, F. C. Billari. Population — The long viewBillari F. C. Integrating macro- and micro-level approaches in the explanation of population changeLivi-Bacci M. What we can and cannot learn from the history of World populationKreager P. Population theory — A long viewSear R. Evolutionary contributions to the study of human fertilityReher D. S. Baby booms, busts, and population ageing in the developed worldVan Bavel J., D. S. Reher. The baby boom and its causes: what we know and what we need to knowLutz W., E. Striessnig. Demographic aspects of climate change mitigation and adaptationDemeny P. Sub-replacement fertility in national populations: Can it be raised?Teitelbaum M. S. Political Demography: Powerful trends under-attended by demographic scienceBasten S., Q. Jiang. Fertility in China: an uncertain futureColeman D., S. Basten.  The death of the West: An alternative viewBongaarts J., C.Z. Guilmoto. How many more missing women? Excess female mortality and prenatal sex selection, 1970-2050Shon J.-L. P. K., G. Verdugo. Forty years of immigrant segregation in France, 1968-2007. How different is the new immigration?Sobotka T., É. Beaujouan. Two is best? The persistence of a two-child family ideal in EuropeEsping-Andersen G., F. C. Billari. ∙ Re-theorizing family demographicsAnderson T., H.-P. Kohler. Low fertility, socioeconomic development, and genderDoocy S., E. Lyles, T. D. Delbiso, C. W. Robinson, The IOCC/GOPA Study Team. Internal displacement and the Syrian crisis: An analysis of trends from 2011–2014Fakih A., M. Ibrahim. The impact of Syrian refugees on the labor market in neighboring countries: Empirical evidence from JordanBircan T., U. Sunata. Educational assessment of Syrian refugees in TurkeyYaylacı F. G., M. Karakuş.  Perceptions and newspaper coverage of Syrian refugees in Turkey


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
◽  
Keegan Craig Hughes

Aim: The aim of this study was to determine the prevalence of selected headaches and their impact on the elderly residing within a particular elderly care facility in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. Subjects: Elderly participants, aged 60 years and older, residing in a selected elderly care facility in KwaZulu-Natal. Methodology: Once the Institutional Research Ethics Committee (IREC) approved the study, The Association for the Aged (TAFTA) granted permission for the researcher to conduct the study in their life rights buildings. The researcher then administered the questionnaires to the elderly who met the inclusion criteria, on the same day that they had read and completed the information letter and informed consent. The researcher and the research assistant remained present to read the questions to any participants unable to read or who were no longer able to read and answer any questions the participants may have had throughout the process. A total of 123 informed consent forms and questionnaires were distributed and collected, a return rate of 72% (p<0.05). All completed questionnaires were analysed by only the researcher and the statistician. Results: In total, 123 questionnaires were utilised for statistical analysis. The results indicated that 45.5% (p=0.3) of the participants presented with headaches and of these participants, 64.3% had primary headaches, while 35.7% presented with suspected secondary headaches (p=0.03). Of the primary headaches, tension type headache (TTH) had the highest prevalence at 17.1%, with migraine at 7.3% and cluster headache at 2.4%. This is congruent with current literature indicating that TTH has the highest effect on the elderly population. Conclusion: This study is consistent with previous studies conducted on the prevalence of headaches in the elderly. This study has contributed to a greater understanding of headaches experienced by the elderly and the impact headaches have on their daily lives. Focus needs to be placed on satisfactory and effective healthcare, with patient and practitioner education alike to enhance the quality of life and the ability to function self-sufficiently as an elderly individual.


2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (12) ◽  
pp. 91
Author(s):  
Ahmad Ridzwan Othman ◽  
Fikri Fadzil

There is a correlation between the wellbeing of residents of elderly care centre with a well-designed outdoor space. The study was to assess the impact of outdoor space towards the elderly wellbeing in a selected care centre in Malaysia. The focus was on how the elderly physically, emotionally, psychologically and socially behave towards their environment. The investigation is expected to raise awareness amongst the elderly, public and even professionals regarding the significance and implication of having well-designed outdoor spaces at elderly care centre.Keywords: Outdoor space; elderly; wellbeing; space designeISSN 2398-4295 © 2018. The Authors. Published for AMER ABRA cE-Bs by e-International Publishing House, Ltd., UK. This is an open-access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/). Peer–review under responsibility of AMER (Association of Malaysian Environment-Behaviour Researchers), ABRA (Association of Behavioural Researchers on Asians) and cE-Bs (Centre for Environment-Behaviour Studies), Faculty of Architecture, Planning & Surveying, Universiti Teknologi MARA, Malaysia.


2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (01) ◽  
pp. 1-31 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ann-Christine Petersson Hjelm

In this article, Ann-Christine Petersson Hjelm argues that the elderly care system in Sweden rests on what is described as a trust and dependence concept. In particular, it is discussed whether and in what way the interplay between trust and dependence is expressed in government committees and official documents. Interplay implies a correlation between social services personnel (trust) and the elderly (dependence). It is further stressed that the concept is a necessity, and that the impact of power – in terms of an instrument for management control – is a precondition for the elderly care system to work. It is argued that in the absence of indicative regulations, a built-in power strategy to create trust becomes necessary for the personnel. Petersson Hjelm also discuss power in terms of the elderly becoming empowered in relation to the exercise of public authority, activities or functions in elderly care by the personnel.


2014 ◽  
pp. 687-700 ◽  
Author(s):  
Goran Penev

The results of the 2011 Census confirm that Serbia is still among countries with the oldest population in Europe. Persons aged 65+ out?numbered those under the age of 15 by 20% (17.4% versus 14.4%), and the median age was 42.7 years. Population ageing has continued, but it was slower in the intercensal period of 2002-2011 than during the 1980s and 1990s. Population ageing in Serbia has not only continued but is also widespread at all territorial levels. According to the 2011 Census, in all four statistical regions (NUTS 2), people aged 65 or older outnumbered those under the age of 15 and, in comparison to 2002, regional differences in the key indicators of population ageing increased. Heterogeneity is more present at lower territorial levels (cities/municipalities) with the least favourable age structure which will be pointed out. This paper also explores trends of components of population dynamics in the intercensal period 2002-2011, as well as causal relationship with the change of the age structure. Current demographic trends (low fertility, negative natural increase, net emigration) and very old age structure severely limit the spectrum of future demographic changes both in the medium and especially in the short term. The situation is particularly influenced by the entrance of the large baby boom generation in the elderly ages. Explorations of future population trends are conducted based on the author?s own demographic projections for Serbia until 2061 (revision 2014).


Author(s):  
Nora Ekroos ◽  
Erkki Vauramo

In western countries, the so-called demographic time bomb, that is, the ageing of the baby-boom generation, has become one of the most challenging issues. Although it has become almost clichéd in health care planning, its effects are being felt rather acutely in reality. The situation in Finland, as in many other western countries, is compounded by the fact that as demand for elderly care is increasing, the service systems are suffering from severe labor and tax funding shortages. In fact, population in Finland is aging faster than any other OECD country (Antolin, Oxley, & Suyker, 2001). Elderly care centers have difficulties in hiring qualified professional staff. Nursing staff are also burdened by heavy workloads. The situation will worsen by time as the number of elderly people in our population increases further, leading to increased strain on health care resources. The present service structure is not going to be able to respond to this demand. Yet health care funding, which depends on public financing, will decrease as the number of taxpayers declines due to the aging of our workforce. “Elderly dependence ratio,” a key demographic indicator, will approximately double over the next two decades (Eurostat, 2005).


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