scholarly journals Machine Learning to Predict Long-Term Cardiac-Relative Prognosis in Patients With Extra-Cardiac Vascular Disease

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guisen Lin ◽  
Qile Liu ◽  
Yuchen Chen ◽  
Xiaodan Zong ◽  
Yue Xi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Unstable Angina ◽  
Cardiac Events ◽  
Coronary Ct ◽  
Framingham Risk ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
History Of ◽  
Artery Disease ◽  
Ischemic Attack

Aim: Patients with ischemic stroke (IS), transient ischemic attack (TIA), and/or peripheral artery disease (PAD) represent a population with an increased risk of coronary artery disease. Prognostic risk assessment to identify those with the highest risk that may benefit from more intensified treatment remains challenging. To explore the feasibility and capability of machine learning (ML) to predict long-term adverse cardiac-related prognosis in patients with IS, TIA, and/or PAD.Methods: We analyzed 636 consecutive patients with a history of IS, TIA, and/or PAD. All patients underwent a coronary CT angiography (CCTA) scan. Thirty-five clinical data and 34 CCTA metrics underwent automated feature selection for ML model boosting. The clinical outcome included all-cause mortality (ACM) and major adverse cardiac events (MACE) (ACM, unstable angina requiring hospitalization, non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI), and revascularization 90 days after the index CCTA).Results: During the follow-up of 3.9 ± 1.6 years, 21 patients had unstable angina requiring hospitalization, eight had a MI, 23 had revascularization and 13 deaths. ML demonstrated a significant higher area-under-curve compared with the modified Duke index (MDI), segment stenosis score (SSS), segment involvement score (SIS), and Framingham risk score (FRS) for the prediction of ACM (ML:0.92 vs. MDI:0.66, SSS:0.68, SIS:0.67, FRS:0.51, all P < 0.001) and MACE (ML:0.84 vs. MDI:0.82, SSS:0.76, SIS:0.73, FRS:0.53, all P < 0.05).Conclusion: Among the patients with IS, TIA, and/or PAD, ML demonstrated a better capability of predicting ACM and MCAE than clinical scores and CCTA metrics.

P1467Long-term prognostic value of simultaneous assessment of atherosclerosis and ischemia in patients with suspected angina: implications for routine use of carotid ultrasound during stress echocardiograp

2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
S Ahmadvazir ◽  
J Pradhan ◽  
R S Khattar ◽  
R Senior
Keyword(s):  
Stable Angina ◽  
Carotid Plaque ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Plaque Burden ◽  
Carotid Ultrasound ◽  
Cardiac Events ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
History Of ◽  
Artery Disease

Abstract Background The long-term clinical impact of carotid plaque burden (CPB) in patients with new onset suspected stable angina beyond stress echocardiography (SE) with no history of coronary artery disease (CAD) is not known. Methods Consecutive patients referred for SE, underwent simultaneous carotid ultrasonography to assess CPB. Patients were prospectively followed up for major adverse events (MAE). Results Of the 592 patients, 573 (age 59±11, 45% male) had follow-up data. During a mean of 7±1.2 years, 85 patients had first MAE (all-cause mortality and acute myocardial infarction: 67 (hard events) and 18 unplanned revascularisation). On multivariate Cox regression analysis, pre-test probability of CAD, peak wall thickness scoring index and CPB predicted MAE (p<0.0001 for all); however, only CPB retained significance for both hard events and hard cardiac events (p=0.008 and 0.001, respectively). MAE and hard events were least in patients with normal SE and absent carotid plaque (annualised event rate: 1.1% and 1.01%respectively) with significant increase in normal SE with plaque disease (2.4% and 2.05%, p=0.004 and 0.01 respectively). Presence of plaque did not impact on these outcomes in abnormal SE. Conclusions In patients with suspected stable angina, carotid atherosclerosis and myocardial ischemia in combination provided synergistic MAE information long term but atherosclerosis predicted hard events particularly in patients with normal SE but not in ischemic patients. This implies routine use of simultaneous carotid ultrasound following a normal SE for optimum prognostication

Anticoagulation in patients with atrial fibrillation undergoing coronary stent implantation

2013 ◽  
Vol 110 (09) ◽  
pp. 560-568 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anne Bernard ◽  
Céline Pellegrin ◽  
Nicolas Clementy ◽  
Christophe Saint Etienne ◽  
Amitava Banerjee ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Stent Implantation ◽  
Target Lesion ◽  
Coronary Stent ◽  
Cardiac Events ◽  
Risk Of Death ◽  
Coronary Stent Implantation ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
History Of ◽  
Artery Disease

SummaryIn patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) undergoing coronary stent implantation, the optimal antithrombotic strategy is unclear. We evaluated whether use of oral anticoagulation (OAC) was associated with any benefit in morbidity or mortality in patients with AF, high risk of thromboembolism (TE) (CHA2DS2-VASC score ≥2) and coronary stent implantation. Among 8,962 unselected patients with AF seen between 2000 and 2010, a total of 2,709 (30%) had coronary artery disease and 417/2,709 (15%) underwent stent implantation while having CHA2DS2-VASC score ≥2. During follow-up (median=650 days), all TE, bleeding episodes, and major adverse cardiac events (i.e. death, acute myocardial infarction, target lesion revascularisation) were recorded. At discharge, 97/417 patients (23%) received OAC, which was more likely to be prescribed in patients with permanent AF and in those treated for elective stent implantation. The incidence of outcome event rates was not significantly different in patients treated and those not treated with OAC. However, in multivariate analysis, the lack of OAC at discharge was independently associated with increased risk of death/stroke/systemic TE (relative risk [RR] =2.18, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.02-4.67, p=0.04), with older age (RR =1.12, 1.04-1.20, p=0.003), heart failure (RR =3.26, 1.18-9.01, p=0.02), and history of stroke (RR =18.87, 3.11-111.11, p=0.001). In conclusion, in patients with AF and high thromboembolic risk after stent implantation, use of OAC was independently associated with decreased risk of subsequent death/stroke/systemic TE, suggesting that OAC should be systematically used in this patient population.

Cardiovascular Morbidity in Long-Term Survivors of Metastatic Testicular Cancer

2000 ◽  
Vol 18 (8) ◽  
pp. 1725-1732 ◽  
Author(s):  
M.T. Meinardi ◽  
J.A. Gietema ◽  
W.T. A. van der Graaf ◽  
D.J. van Veldhuisen ◽  
M.A. Runne ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cardiovascular Risk ◽  
Testicular Cancer ◽  
Left Ventricular ◽  
Cardiac Events ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Artery Disease ◽  
Chemotherapy Patients ◽  
Long Term Survivors ◽  
Metastatic Testicular Cancer

PURPOSE: To determine whether long-term survivors of metastatic testicular cancer have an increased risk of cardiovascular morbidity more than 10 years after chemotherapy.PATIENTS AND METHODS: Eighty-seven patients treated with cisplatin-containing chemotherapy before 1987 who were in remission for at least 10 years and whose ages were ≤ 50 years at the time of analysis were evaluated for the occurrence of cardiovascular events. Sixty-two of 87 patients were additionally evaluated for cardiac damage and cardiovascular risk factors. Their cardiovascular risk profile was compared with that of 40 patients with comparable age and follow-up duration treated with orchidectomy only for stage I disease.RESULTS: Major cardiac events were found in five (6%) of the 87 patients (age at time of event, 30 to 42 years; time after chemotherapy, 9 to 16 years): two with myocardial infarction and three with angina pectoris with proven myocardial ischemia. An increased observed-to-expected ratio of 7.1 (95% confidence interval, 1.9 to 18.3) for coronary artery disease, as compared with the general male Dutch population, was found. In addition, one patient experienced a cerebrovascular accident. Exercise ECG did not reveal cases of subclinical coronary artery disease. Echocardiography showed normal systolic left ventricular function in most patients, but diastolic left ventricular function was disturbed in 33% of the patients. Of 62 chemotherapy patients, 79% had hypercholesterolemia, 39% had hypertension, 25% still experienced Raynaud’s phenomenon, and 22% had microalbuminuria. Compared with patients with stage I disease, the chemotherapy patients had higher blood pressure and higher total cholesterol and triglyceride levels and were more insulin-resistant.CONCLUSION: In long-term survivors of metastatic testicular cancer, we observed a significantly increased risk for occurrence of cardiac events accompanied by a persisting unfavorable cardiovascular risk profile. Accurate follow-up, focused on cardiovascular complications and aimed at intervention in these young cancer survivors, seems to be important.

scholarly journals Primary Prevention of CVD with Aspirin: Benefits vs Risks

2021 ◽  
Vol 70 (6 Supplement) ◽  
Author(s):  
Weisman
Keyword(s):  
Primary Prevention ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Low Dose ◽  
Absolute Increase ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Low Dose Aspirin ◽  
Clinical Consequences ◽  
History Of ◽  
Ischemic Attack

Low-dose aspirin (acetylsalicylic acid [ASA]; 75 to 100 mg/d) is widely used in the prevention of cardiovascular (CV) events based on the results of large-scale studies supporting a benefit. However, questions remain regarding the benefit-risk relationship in certain settings since long-term use of ASA is not devoid of risk. Incontrovertible evidence supports the benefits of ASA treatment, which exceed the risks, in patients who have had a previous CV event (myocardial infarction, stroke, unstable angina, or transient ischemic attack). Nonetheless, the question remains for those patients who have not had a previous event (primary prevention), where the risk of CV events is lower and, consequently, the absolute benefit is also lower than in patients who have a history of a CV event or its equivalent (secondary prevention). Recent evidence from large-scale clinical trials shows that administration of low-dose ASA is associated with a reduced risk of CV events with a corresponding small absolute increase in the risk of major bleeding (eg, gastrointestinal bleeding and hemorrhagic stroke). Although the benefit and the risk of low-dose ASA in primary prevention are numerically similar, the clinical consequences of an increased risk of bleeding and a decreased risk of a CV event may not be equivalent. If these data are applied to patients with higher levels of CV outcome risk, more patients may potentially benefit from aspirin use in primary prevention.

scholarly journals Incidence and Predictors of Obstructive Coronary Artery Disease and the Role of Cardiac Troponin Assays in Patients with Unstable Angina

2019 ◽  
Vol 46 (3) ◽  
pp. 161-166 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sushan Yang ◽  
Nirmanmoh Bhatia ◽  
Meng Xu ◽  
John A. McPherson
Keyword(s):  
Coronary Artery Disease ◽  
Coronary Artery ◽  
Unstable Angina ◽  
Obstructive Coronary Artery Disease ◽  
Cardiac Events ◽  
Adverse Cardiac Events ◽  
History Of ◽  
Male Sex ◽  
Artery Disease ◽  
Long Acting

In a time when cardiac troponin assays are widely used to detect myocardial injury, data remain scarce concerning the incidence and predictors of substantial obstructive coronary artery disease that causes unstable angina. This retrospective single-center study included consecutive patients hospitalized for unstable angina from January 2015 through January 2016. Patients with troponin I levels above the upper reference limit and those who did not undergo angiography were excluded. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify predictors of obstructive coronary artery disease that warranted revascularization and of major adverse cardiac events up to 6 months after discharge from the hospital. Of the 114 patients who met the inclusion criteria, 46 (40%) had obstructive coronary artery disease. In the univariate analysis, male sex, white race, history of coronary artery disease, prior revascularization, hyperlipidemia, chronic kidney disease, aspirin use, long-acting nitrate use, and Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction score ≥3 were associated with obstructive coronary artery disease. History of coronary artery disease, prior revascularization, hyperlipidemia, and long-acting nitrate use were associated with major adverse cardiac events. Male sex was an independent predictor of obstructive coronary artery disease (adjusted odds ratio=4.82; 95% CI, 1.79–13; P=0.002) in the multivariate analysis. Our results showed that coronary artery disease warranting revascularization is present in a considerable proportion of patients who have unstable angina. The association that we found between male sex and obstructive coronary artery disease suggests that the risk stratification of patients presenting with unstable angina may need to be refined to improve outcomes.

P935Effect of hypertension and systolic blood pressure on cardiovascular and limb outcomes in patients with symptomatic peripheral artery disease: the EUCLID trial

2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
W Hiatt ◽  
C W Hopley ◽  
S Kavanagh ◽  
M R Patel ◽  
I Baumgartner ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Blood Pressure ◽  
Systolic Blood Pressure ◽  
Peripheral Artery Disease ◽  
Limb Ischemia ◽  
Acute Limb Ischemia ◽  
Peripheral Artery ◽  
Cardiac Events ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
History Of ◽  
Artery Disease

Abstract Background Hypertension is a risk factor for major adverse cardiac events (MACE) in patients with symptomatic peripheral artery disease (PAD). Purpose The effects of a history of hypertension and baseline systolic blood pressure (SBP) on MACE and major adverse limb events (MALE), including acute limb ischemia and major amputation, were evaluated in the Examining Use of tiCagreLor In paD (EUCLID) trial. Methods EUCLID randomized 13,885 patients with PAD and found no benefit of ticagrelor compared with clopidogrel on risk of MACE or MALE. The median duration of follow up was approximately 30 months. This post hoc, subgroup analysis evaluated the effects of hypertension history at baseline on the hazard for MACE and MALE. An adjusted restricted cubic spline regression analysis evaluated the association of SBP with MACE and MALE. Results A clinical history of hypertension was present in 10,857 (78%) patients at baseline and these patients were more likely to be older, female, white or African American, and reside in North America compared with the 3026 without hypertension. Hypertension was associated with a higher prevalence of concomitant cardiovascular diseases, polyvascular disease, diabetes, and prior coronary interventions. MACE occurred at a rate of 4.63 events/100 pt-yrs in participants with hypertension and 3.64 events/100 pt-yrs in participants without hypertension, (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.94, 95% CI 0.82–1.08; p=0.38). MALE occurred at a rate of 1.11 events/100 pt-yrs in those with hypertension and 1.38 events/100 pt-yrs in those without hypertension (p=0.054) (aHR 0.93 (95% CI 0.73, 1.18) p=0.55. The adjusted spline model for MACE and SBP demonstrated a significantly non-linear relationship with a HR 1.08 (95% CI 1.01, 1.15), p=0.0275 for every 10-unit decrease <135 mmHg SBP and HR 1.11 (1.06, 1.16), p<0.0001 for every 10-unit increase >135 mmHg (figure). There was no association between baseline SBP and MALE events. Conclusions A history of hypertension was not associated with a higher adjusted hazard for MACE or MALE in participants with PAD. In contrast, SBP at baseline was associated with increased risk of MACE at values both above and below 135 mmHg. Acknowledgement/Funding EUCLID was sponsored by AstraZeneca

Novel Oral Anticoagulants in Peripheral Artery Disease: Current Evidence

2019 ◽  
Vol 24 (38) ◽  
pp. 4511-4515 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Koutsoumpelis ◽  
C. Argyriou ◽  
K.M. Tasopoulou ◽  
E.I. Georgakarakos ◽  
G.S. Georgiadis
Keyword(s):  
Peripheral Artery Disease ◽  
Oral Anticoagulants ◽  
Novel Oral Anticoagulants ◽  
Current Evidence ◽  
Peripheral Artery ◽  
Cardiac Events ◽  
Traditional Therapy ◽  
Cardiovascular Morbidity And Mortality ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Artery Disease

Background: Peripheral artery disease is a common manifestation of systemic atherosclerosis which strongly correlates to cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. In addition, the progression of peripheral artery disease leads to an increased risk of limb loss. In order to reduce these events, the benchmark of treatment and research over the last years has been the antiplatelet therapy which aims at inhibition of platelet aggregation. Over the last years, new studies combining antiplatelet agents in different therapeutic schemes have been proven efficacious. Unfortunately, patients remain still at high risk of CV events. Novel Oral Anticoagulants have been introduced as alternatives to warfarin, in the prevention and treatment of venous thromboembolism. The rationale of using medication which acts on platelet activation and the coagulation pathway of thrombosis has led investigators to examine the role of Noac's in preventing CV events in patients with peripheral artery disease, stable or unstable. Methods: The aim of this study is to review the current evidence with respect to recently published studies concerning the use of Novel anticoagulants in peripheral artery disease. Results: The Compass trial has shown that a combination of rivaroxaban with traditional therapy may produce promising results in reducing amputation rates, stroke, cardiac events, and mortality, however, there are still safety issues with bleeding requiring acute care. The ePAD study has provided us with insight concerning safety and efficacy after peripheral angioplasty or stenting and actually the need for further research. The Voyager Pad study, following the steps of Compass, is studying the effect and safety of the addition of rivaroxaban to traditional therapy in the highest risk population aka patients undergoing peripheral revascularization. The evidence concerning patients with concomitant atrial fibrillation appears to be insufficient, however, recent guidelines propose the use of novel oral anticoagulants. Conclusion: For the time being, novel oral anticoagulants in combination with aspirin may provide an alternative treatment in PAD, however, it is deemed necessary to identify patient subgroups who will benefit the most.

scholarly journals Impact of Coronary CT angiography in combination with CAD-RADS on the management of coronary artery disease patients

2021 ◽  
Vol 22 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
F Andre ◽  
S Seitz ◽  
P Fortner ◽  
R Sokiranski ◽  
F Gueckel ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Coronary Artery Disease ◽  
Coronary Artery ◽  
Risk Stratification ◽  
Coronary Ct Angiography ◽  
Patient Management ◽  
Male Gender ◽  
Coronary Ct ◽  
History Of ◽  
Artery Disease ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: Private company. Main funding source(s): Siemens Healthineers Introduction Coronary CT angiography (CCTA) plays an increasing role in the detection and risk stratification of patients with coronary artery disease (CAD). The Coronary Artery Disease – Reporting and Data System (CAD-RADS) allows for standardized classification of CCTA results and, thus, may improve patient management. Purpose Aim of this study was to assess the impact of CCTA in combination with CAD-RADS on patient management and to identify the impact of cardiovascular risk factors (CVRF) on CAD severity. Methods CCTA was performed on a third-generation dual-source CT scanner in patients, who were referred to a radiology centre by their attending physicians. In a total of 4801 patients, CVRF were derived from medical reports and anamnesis. Results The study population consisted of 4770 patients (62.0 (54.0-69.0) years, 2841 males) with CAD (CAD-RADS 1-5), while 31 patients showed no CAD and were excluded from further analyses. Age, male gender and the number of CVRF were associated with more severe CAD stages (all p &lt; 0.001). 3040 patients (63.7 %) showed minimal or mild CAD requiring optimization of CVRF i.e. medical therapy but no further assessment at his time. A group of 266 patients (5.6 %) had a severe CAD defined as CAD-RADS 4B/5. In the multivariate regression analysis, age, male gender, history of smoking, diabetes mellitus and hyperlipidaemia were significant predictors for severe CAD, whereas arterial hypertension and family history of CAD did not reach significance. Of note, a subgroup of 28 patients (10.5 %) with a severe CAD (68.5 (65.5-70.0) years, 26 males, both p = n.s.) had no CVRF. Conclusions CCTA in combination with the CAD-RADS allowed for effective risk stratification of CAD patients. The majority of the patients showed non-obstructive CAD and, thus, could be treated conservatively without the need for further CAD assessment. CVRF out of arterial hypertension and family history had an impact on CAD severity reflected in higher CAD-RADs gradings. Of note, a relevant fraction of patients with CAD did not have any CVRF and, thus, may not be covered by risk stratification models. CAD-RADS n Age (years) Males (%) 1 1453 56.0 (50.0-62.0) 623 (42.9 %) 2 1587 62.0 (55.0-69.0) 918 (57.8 %) 3 1067 66.0 (59.0-71.0) 749 (70.2 %) 4A 397 66.0 (59.0-72.0) 317 (79.8 %) 4B 162 67.0 (61.0-74.0) 139 (85.8 %) 5 104 66.0 (58.5.0-77.0) 95 (91.3 %)

scholarly journals Impact of established cardiovascular disease on 10-year death after coronary revascularization for complex coronary artery disease

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rutao Wang ◽  
Scot Garg ◽  
Chao Gao ◽  
Hideyuki Kawashima ◽  
Masafumi Ono ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
Coronary Artery Disease ◽  
Coronary Artery ◽  
Coronary Revascularization ◽  
Long Term Outcomes ◽  
Vital Status ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Artery Disease ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Aims To investigate the impact of established cardiovascular disease (CVD) on 10-year all-cause death following coronary revascularization in patients with complex coronary artery disease (CAD). Methods The SYNTAXES study assessed vital status out to 10 years of patients with complex CAD enrolled in the SYNTAX trial. The relative efficacy of PCI versus CABG in terms of 10-year all-cause death was assessed according to co-existing CVD. Results Established CVD status was recorded in 1771 (98.3%) patients, of whom 827 (46.7%) had established CVD. Compared to those without CVD, patients with CVD had a significantly higher risk of 10-year all-cause death (31.4% vs. 21.7%; adjusted HR: 1.40; 95% CI 1.08–1.80, p = 0.010). In patients with CVD, PCI had a non-significant numerically higher risk of 10-year all-cause death compared with CABG (35.9% vs. 27.2%; adjusted HR: 1.14; 95% CI 0.83–1.58, p = 0.412). The relative treatment effects of PCI versus CABG on 10-year all-cause death in patients with complex CAD were similar irrespective of the presence of CVD (p-interaction = 0.986). Only those patients with CVD in ≥ 2 territories had a higher risk of 10-year all-cause death (adjusted HR: 2.99, 95% CI 2.11–4.23, p < 0.001) compared to those without CVD. Conclusions The presence of CVD involving more than one territory was associated with a significantly increased risk of 10-year all-cause death, which was non-significantly higher in complex CAD patients treated with PCI compared with CABG. Acceptable long-term outcomes were observed, suggesting that patients with established CVD should not be precluded from undergoing invasive angiography or revascularization. Trial registration SYNTAX: ClinicalTrials.gov reference: NCT00114972. SYNTAX Extended Survival: ClinicalTrials.gov reference: NCT03417050. Graphic abstract

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