scholarly journals Development and Validation of a Prediction Model for Irreversible Worsened Cardiac Function in Patients With Acute Decompensated Heart Failure

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lei Wang ◽  
Yun-Tao Zhao

Background: Irreversible worsening of cardiac function is an adverse event associated with significant morbidity among patients with acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF). We aimed to develop a parsimonious model which is simple to use in clinical settings for the prediction of the risk of irreversible worsening of cardiac function.Methods: A total of 871 ADHF patients were enrolled in this study. Data for each patient were collected from the medical records. Irreversible worsening of cardiac function included cardiac death within 30-days of patient hospitalization, implantation of a left ventricular assistance device, or emergency heart transplantation. We performed LASSO regression for variable selection to derive a multivariable logistic regression model. Five candidate predictors were selected to derive the final prediction model. The prediction model was verified using C-statistics, calibration curve, and decision curve.Results: Irreversible worsening of cardiac function occurred in 7.8% of the patients. Advanced age, NYHA class, high blood urea nitrogen, hypoalbuminemia, and vasopressor use were its strongest predictors. The prediction model showed good discrimination C-statistic value, 0.866 (95% CI, 0.817–0.907), which indicated good identical calibration and clinical efficacy.Conclusion: In this study, we developed a prediction model and nomogram to estimate the risk of irreversible worsening of cardiac function among ADHF patients. The findings may provide a reference for clinical physicians for detection of irreversible worsening of cardiac function and enable its prompt management.

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lei Wang ◽  
Yun-Tao Zhao

Background: Acute kidney injury is an adverse event that carries significant morbidity among patients with acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF). We planned to develop a parsimonious model that is simple enough to use in clinical practice to predict the risk of acute kidney injury (AKI) occurrence.Methods: Six hundred and fifty patients with ADHF were enrolled in this study. Data for each patient were collected from medical records. We took three different approaches of variable selection to derive four multivariable logistic regression model. We selected six candidate predictors that led to a relatively stable outcome in different models to derive the final prediction model. The prediction model was verified through the use of the C-Statistics and calibration curve.Results: Acute kidney injury occurred in 42.8% of the patients. Advanced age, diabetes, previous renal dysfunction, high baseline creatinine, high B-type natriuretic peptide, and hypoalbuminemia were the strongest predictors for AKI. The prediction model showed moderate discrimination C-Statistics: 0.766 (95% CI, 0.729–0.803) and good identical calibration.Conclusion: In this study, we developed a prediction model and nomogram to estimate the risk of AKI among patients with ADHF. It may help clinical physicians detect AKI and manage it promptly.


Author(s):  
Fady Gerges ◽  
Austin Komaranchath ◽  
Faiz Al Bakshy ◽  
Abdallah Almaghraby

Abstract Background Timely use of Sacubitril/Valsartan has the potential to significantly improve cardiac function and dramatically reduce secondary mitral regurgitation (MR) severity even in patients presenting with acute decompensated heart failure (HF), not only in compensated chronic HF patients. The outstanding impact of echocardiography is obvious in monitoring improvement of cardiac function and MR severity in patients with HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). Case summary We report a relevant case of an elderly patient who presented with acute decompensated HF and severe MR. He was symptomatic despite being on maximally tolerated doses of ACEI, beta-blockers, and diuretics. Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) improved from 15% to 35% 2 weeks following initiation of Sacubitril/Valsartan during second HF hospitalization. There was a dramatic improvement of patient’s symptoms from New York Heart Association (NYHA) Class IV to NYHA I. N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide reduced from 9000 pg/mL to 800 pg/mL. Coronary angiography depicted three-vessel coronary artery disease. The patient was advised to undergo coronary artery bypass graft surgery with mitral valve repair, then followed by implantation of a cardiac resynchronization therapy-defibrillator device (CRT-D) if no LV function improvement is observed after revascularization. The electrocardiogram showed Q waves in inferior leads with QRSd ≥ 125 ms, hence a good candidate for CRT. Following an elective percutaneous coronary intervention, LVEF further improved to 50%. The patient became asymptomatic with preserved LVEF on follow-up for 18 months later. Discussion This case report documents the swift echocardiographic and symptom improvement in a decompensated end-stage HF patient when Sacubitril/Valsartan initiated during acute setting.


Cardiology ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 142 (4) ◽  
pp. 195-202
Author(s):  
Shigeki Kobayashi ◽  
Takeki Myoren ◽  
Toshiro Kajii ◽  
Michiaki Kohno ◽  
Takuma Nanno ◽  
...  

Background: Tachycardia worsens cardiac performance in acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF). We investigated whether heart rate (HR) optimization by landiolol, an ultra-short-acting β1-selective blocker, in combination with milrinone improved cardiac function in patients with ADHF and rapid atrial fibrillation (AF). Methods and Results: We enrolled9 ADHF patients (New York Heart Association classification IV; HR, 138 ± 18 bpm; left ventricular [LV] ejection fraction, 28 ± 8%; cardiac index [CI], 2.1 ± 0.3 L/min–1/m–2; pulmonary capillary wedge pressure [PCWP], 24 ± 3 mm Hg), whose HRs could not be reduced using standard treatments, including diuretics, vasodilators, and milrinone. Landiolol (1.5–6.0 µg/kg–1/min–1, intravenous) was added to milrinone treatment to study its effect on hemodynamics. The addition of landiolol (1.5 µg/kg–1/min–1) significantly reduced HR by 11% without changing systolic blood pressure (BP) and resulted in a significant decrease in PCWP and a significant increase in stroke volume index (SVI), suggesting that HR reduction restores incomplete LV relaxation. Administration of more than 3.0 µg/kg–1/min–1 of landiolol decreased BP, CI, and SVI. Conclusion: The addition of landiolol at doses of <3.0 µg/kg/min to milrinone improved cardiac function in decompensated chronic heart failure with rapid atrial fibrillation by selectively reducing HR.


Cardiology ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Yun He ◽  
Xuemei Lu ◽  
Yi Zheng ◽  
Mingbao Song ◽  
Bin Shen ◽  
...  

<b><i>Background:</i></b> The 3-month period after hospitalization for acute cardiac failure is a vulnerable phase with the highest risk of mortality and rehospitalization. Safety and efficacy of early initiation of sacubitril/valsartan during the index hospitalization for acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) is unclear. Therefore, we tested whether sacubitril/valsartan could result in a lower rate of a composite outcome of first hospitalization for heart failure and death from cardiovascular causes compared to inhibition of the renin-angiotensin system alone. <b><i>Methods:</i></b> We enrolled patients hospitalized for ADHF and reduced ejection fraction at 4 sites; patients were divided into a sacubitril/valsartan group or an angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor (ACEI)/angiotensin receptor blocker (ARB) group. All patients were followed up for 3 months after discharge. The primary endpoint was outcomes as a composite of death from cardiovascular causes and rehospitalization for heart failure. <b><i>Results:</i></b> In total, 251 patients who received sacubitril/valsartan and 251 patients who received ACEIs/ARBs had similar propensity scores and were included and compared. The primary endpoint was reached in 40 patients (15.9%) treated with sacubitril/valsartan and in 59 patients (23.5%) managed by ACEI/ARB (HR, 0.650; 95% CI: 0.435–0.971; <i>p</i> = 0.035). The NYHA class improved in 72.1% of patients in the sacubitril/valsartan group and in 59.8% of patients in the ACEI/ARB group (HR, 1.303; 95% CI: 1.097–1.548, <i>p</i> = 0.004). The key safety outcomes endpoints did not significantly differ. <b><i>Conclusions:</i></b> Among patients hospitalized with ADHF and reduced left ventricular ejection fraction, we observed that sacubitril/valsartan therapy led to reduction in death from cardiovascular causes and rehospitalizations for heart failure when compared to ACEI/ARB therapy alone during the vulnerable phase. Our results support that sacubitril/valsartan may be administered early in the vulnerable phase after ADHF and improves NYHA class.


2010 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 31 ◽  
Author(s):  
Federico Benetti ◽  
Ernesto Pe�herrera ◽  
Teodoro Maldonado ◽  
Yan Duarte Vera ◽  
Valvanur Subramanian ◽  
...  

Background: End-stage heart failure (HF) is refractory to current standard medical therapy, and the number of donor hearts is insufficient to meet the demand for transplantation. Recent studies suggest autologous stem cell therapy may regenerate cardiomyocytes, stimulate neovascularization, and improve cardiac function and clinical status. Although human fetal-derived stem cells (HFDSCs) have been studied for the treatment of a variety of conditions, no clinical studies have been reported to date on their use in treating HF. We sought to determine the efficacy and safety of HFDSC treatment in HF patients.Methods and Results: Direct myocardial transplantation of HFDSCs by open-chest surgical procedure was performed in 10 patients with HF due to nonischemic, nonchagasic dilated cardiomyopathy. Before and after the procedure, and with no changes in their preoperative doses of medications (digoxin, furosemide, spironolactone, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, angiotensin receptor blockers, betablockers), patients were assessed for New York Heart Association (NYHA) class, performance in the exercise tolerance test (ETT), ejection fraction (EF), left ventricular end-diastolic dimension (LVEDD) via transthoracic echocardiography, performance in the 6-minute walk test, and performance in the Minnesota congestive HF test. All 10 patients survived the operation. One patient had a stroke 3 days after the procedure, and although she later recovered, she was unable to perform the follow-up tests. Another male patient experienced pericardial effusion 3 weeks after the procedure. Although it resolved spontaneously, the patient abandoned his control tests and died 5 months after the procedure. An autopsy of the myocardium suggested that new young cells were present in the cardiomyocyte mix. At 40 months, the mean (SD) NYHA class decreased from 3.4 0.5 to 1.33 0.5 (P = .001); the mean EF increased 31%, from 26.6% 4% to 34.8% 7.2% (P = .005); and the mean ETT increased 291.3%, from 4.25 minutes to 16.63 minutes (128.9% increase in metabolic equivalents, from 2.46 to 5.63) (P < .0001); the mean LVEDD decreased 15%, from 6.85 0.6 cm to 5.80 0.58 cm (P < .001); mean performance in the 6-minute walk test increased by 43.2%, from 251 113.1 seconds to 360 0 seconds (P = .01); the mean distance increased 64.4%, from 284.4 144.9 m to 468.2 89.8 m (P = .004); and the mean result in the Minnesota test decreased from 71 27.3 to 6 5.9 (P < .001).Conclusion: Although these initial findings suggest direct myocardial implantation of HFDSCs is feasible and improves cardiac function in HF patients at 40 months, more clinical research is required to confirm these observations.


Circulation ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 142 (Suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Takanari Kimura ◽  
Shungo Hikoso ◽  
Nakatani Daisaku ◽  
Shunsuke Tamaki ◽  
Masamichi Yano ◽  
...  

Background: Sarcopenia is associated with poor prognosis in chronic heart failure. Fat-free mass index (FFMI) is an indicator of resting energy expenditure and has been used for the clinical diagnosis of sarcopenia. However, the prognostic impact of sarcopenia diagnosed by FFMI remains to be elucidated in patients admitted with acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) and preserved LVEF (HFpEF), relating to gender. Methods: Patients' data were extracted from The Prospective mUlticenteR obServational stUdy of patIenTs with Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction (PURSUIT-HFpEF) study, which is a prospective multicenter observational registry for ADHF patients with LVEF ≥50% in Osaka. We studied 621 patients who survived to discharge (men, n=281 and women, n=340). Fat-free mass (FFM) was estimated by the formula [FFM (kg) = 7.38 + 0.02908 х urinary creatinine (mg/day)] and normalized by the square of the patient’s height in meters to calculate FFMI at discharge. Sarcopenia was defined as FFMI <17 kg/m2 in men and <15 kg/m2 in women. The endpoint was all-cause death. Results: During a follow-up period of 1.5±0.8 yrs, 102 patients died (men, n=46 and women, n=56). At multivariate Cox analysis, FFMI was significantly associated with the mortality independently of age, estimated glomerular filtration rate, NT-proBNP and LVEF in both men (p=0.0155) and women (p=0.0223). Patients with sarcopenia had a significantly higher risk of all-cause death than those without sarcopenia in both genders (Figure). Conclusions: In this multicenter study, sarcopenia diagnosed by FFMI was shown to be associated with poor clinical outcome in HFpEF patients admitted with ADHF in both genders.


Circulation ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 142 (Suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Takanari Kimura ◽  
Takahisa Yamada ◽  
Tetsuya Watanabe ◽  
Takashi Morita ◽  
Yoshio Furukawa ◽  
...  

Background: Diuretic resistance is associated with poor clinical outcome in patients with acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF). However, little information is available on the prognostic significance of diuretic resistance in ADHF patients, relating to reduced, mid-range, or preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). Methods: We studied 400 consecutive patients who were admitted for ADHF and survived to discharge. Diuretic resistance (DR) was defined by furosemide dose per body weight (BW) at discharge. Patients were classified by DR, and high dose group (higher DR) was defined by furosemide dose of > median value of DR (0.580). The endpoint was a composite of all-cause mortality and unplanned hospitalization for worsening heart failure. Results: There were 139 patients with heart failure with reduced LVEF (HFrEF, LVEF<40%), 86 with mid-range LVEF (HFmrEF, 40%≤LVEF<50%) and 175 with preserved LVEF (HFpEF, LVEF≥50%). There was no significant difference in DR among the three groups (HFrEF; median 0.541 [IQR 0.360-0.786] mg/kg vs HFmrEF; 0.606 [0.398-0.820] mg/kg vs HFpEF; 0.624 [0.380-0.935] mg/kg, p=NS). During follow-up of 2.4±1.6 years, 195 patients reached the endpoint (HFrEF, n=67, HFmrEF, n=44, and HFpEF, n=84). In multivariate Cox analysis, DR was significantly associated with the endpoint independently of age, estimated glomerular filtration rate, plasma brain natriuretic peptide level and LVEF only in HFpEF patients (p<0.0001). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the risk of the endpoint was significantly higher in the patients with higher DR in HFpEF patients, but not in HFrEF or HFmrEF patients (Figure). Conclusions: In this study, higher DR was shown to be associated with poor clinical outcome in HFpEF patients admitted with ADHF.


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