scholarly journals The Value of Anti-Müllerian Hormone in the Prediction of Spontaneous Pregnancy: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chenxi Lin ◽  
Miaomiao Jing ◽  
Wenjun Zhu ◽  
Xiaoyu Tu ◽  
Qi Chen ◽  
...  

ObjectiveTo determine whether serum anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH) level is a predictor of clinical pregnancy in women trying to achieve a natural conception.MethodsThe PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library databases were searched for articles published until August 2020. Studies that met the inclusion and exclusion criteria were included in the meta-analysis; no language limitations were imposed. Quality was appraised using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies-2 checklist. Heterogeneity due to the threshold effect was identified; thus, we plotted a summary receiver operating characteristic curve and calculated its area under the summary receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and Cochran’s Q index to assess whether AMH level is a predictor of spontaneous pregnancy. Publication bias and sensitivity were also assessed.ResultsEleven studies (4,388 women) were ultimately included in this meta-analysis. The AUC and Cochran’s Q indices were 0.5932 and 0.5702, respectively. For women younger than 35 years, the AUC was 0.6355 and the Q index was 0.6025. For those older than 35 years, the AUC was 0.5536 and the Q index was 0.5403. Subgroup analyses by study type and population characteristics showed results similar to the overall outcome. No publication bias was identified, and the sensitivity analysis confirmed the robustness of the final result.ConclusionsSerum AMH levels have poor predictive value for natural pregnancy. The predictive value of AMH was poor in the younger and older subgroups. Our findings suggest that low serum AMH levels are not associated with reduced fertility.IntroductionThis study investigated the predictive value of anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH) level for natural pregnancy. Other than age, few factors can predict the chances of natural fertility. AMH is an established biomarker of ovarian reserve that is widely used to predict oocyte yield in cases of in vitro fertilization (IVF) and menopause. In clinical practice, the applications of AMH are increasing. However, its predictive value for natural conception remains controversial. In this study, since AMH is closely related with ovarian reserve, we evaluated whether it has predictive value for natural pregnancy. Our findings will fine-tune the clinical application of AMH in pre-pregnancy counseling. The topic should be of wide interest to investigators in the reproductive endocrinology and gynecology fields.Systematic Review RegistrationPROSPERO 2020 CRD42020216265, Available from: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?ID=CRD42020216265.

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-7
Author(s):  
Ying Wang ◽  
Jingyi Zhao ◽  
Yinhui Yao ◽  
Dan Zhao ◽  
Shiquan Liu

Background. The present study was aimed to investigate the value of blood interleukin-27 (IL-27) as a diagnostic biomarker of sepsis. Methods. We searched PubMed, EMBASE, the Cochrane Library, and the reference lists of relevant articles. All studies published up to October 21, 2020, which evaluated the accuracy of IL-27 levels for the diagnosis of sepsis were included. All the selected papers were assessed using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies-2 (QUADAS-2). We used a bivariate random effects model to estimate sensitivity, specificity, diagnostic odds ratios (DOR), and a summary receiver operating characteristic curve (SROC). Deeks’ funnel plot was used to illustrate the potential presence of publication bias. Results. This meta-analysis included seven articles. The pooled sensitivity, specificity, and DOR were 0.85 (95% CI, 0.72-0.93), 0.72 (95% CI, 0.42-0.90), and 15 (95% CI, 3-72), respectively. The area under the summary receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.88 (95% CI, 0.84-0.90). The pooled I 2 statistic was 96.05 for the sensitivity and 96.65 for the specificity in the heterogeneity analysis. Deeks’ funnel plot indicated no publication bias in this meta-analysis ( P = 0.07 ). Conclusions. The present results showed that IL-27 is a reliable diagnostic biomarker of sepsis, but it should be investigated in combination with other clinical tests and results.


2019 ◽  
Vol 57 (4) ◽  
pp. 724-731 ◽  
Author(s):  
Laura Varela Barca ◽  
Borja M Fernández-Felix ◽  
Enrique Navas Elorza ◽  
Carlos A Mestres ◽  
Patricia Muñoz ◽  
...  

Abstract OBJECTIVES Several risk prediction models have been developed to estimate the risk of mortality after valve surgery for active infective endocarditis (IE), but few external validations have been conducted to assess their accuracy. We previously developed a systematic review and meta-analysis of the impact of IE-specific factors for the in-hospital mortality rate after IE valve surgery, whose obtained pooled estimations were the basis for the development of a new score (APORTEI). The aim of the present study was to assess its prognostic accuracy in a nationwide cohort. METHODS We analysed the prognostic utility of the APORTEI score using patient-level data from a multicentric national cohort. Patients who underwent surgery for active IE between 2008 and 2018 were included. Discrimination was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, and the calibration was assessed using the calibration slope and the Hosmer–Lemeshow test. Agreement between the APORTEI and the EuroSCORE I was also analysed by Lin’s concordance correlation coefficient (CCC), the Bland–Altman agreement analysis and a scatterplot graph. RESULTS The 11 variables that comprised the APORTEI score were analysed in the sample. The APORTEI score was calculated in 1338 patients. The overall observed surgical mortality rate was 25.56%. The score demonstrated adequate discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve = 0.75; 95% confidence interval 0.72–0.77) and calibration (calibration slope = 1.03; Hosmer–Lemeshow test P = 0.389). We found a lack of agreement between the APORTEI and EuroSCORE I (concordance correlation coefficient = 0.55). CONCLUSIONS The APORTEI score, developed from a systematic review and meta-analysis, showed an adequate estimation of the risk of mortality after IE valve surgery in a nationwide cohort.


2018 ◽  
Vol 26 (1) ◽  
pp. 141-155 ◽  
Author(s):  
Li Luo ◽  
Fengyi Zhang ◽  
Yao Yao ◽  
RenRong Gong ◽  
Martina Fu ◽  
...  

Surgery cancellations waste scarce operative resources and hinder patients’ access to operative services. In this study, the Wilcoxon and chi-square tests were used for predictor selection, and three machine learning models – random forest, support vector machine, and XGBoost – were used for the identification of surgeries with high risks of cancellation. The optimal performances of the identification models were as follows: sensitivity − 0.615; specificity − 0.957; positive predictive value − 0.454; negative predictive value − 0.904; accuracy − 0.647; and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve − 0.682. Of the three models, the random forest model achieved the best performance. Thus, the effective identification of surgeries with high risks of cancellation is feasible with stable performance. Models and sampling methods significantly affect the performance of identification. This study is a new application of machine learning for the identification of surgeries with high risks of cancellation and facilitation of surgery resource management.


2018 ◽  
Vol 47 (3) ◽  
pp. 925-947 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peng Lin ◽  
Dong-yue Wen ◽  
Yi-wu Dang ◽  
Yun He ◽  
Hong Yang ◽  
...  

Background/Aims: Liver cancer has the second highest cancer-related death rate globally and has relatively few targeted therapeutics. Polo-like kinase 1 (PLK1) is a fascinating trigger of the cell cycle; however, the still-rudimentary understanding of PLK1 at present is a significant barrier to its clinical applications. Here, we comprehensively clarified the clinicopathological value and potential functions of PLK1 in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Methods: HCC-related microarrays, RNA-sequencing datasets and published studies were deeply mined and integrated from The Cancer Genome Atlas, Gene Expression Omnibus, ArrayExpress, Oncomine, literature databases, and immunohistochemistry experiments. Meanwhile, the associations between PLK1 expression and its clinicopathological implications and prognostic value in HCC patients were assessed. The standardized mean difference, summary receiver operating characteristic curve and the corresponding area under the curve, hazard ratios, odds ratios (ORs), and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were examined by STATA 12.0. Additionally, several bioinformatics methods were used to identify the potential function of PLK1 in HCC. Results: Comprehensive analyses revealed that PLK1 was significantly increased in HCC (standardized mean difference = 1.34, 95% CI: 1.03–1.65, P < 0.001). The results of diagnostic tests specified that in the summary receiver operating characteristic curve, the area under the curve was 0.88 (95% CI: 0.85–0.90). Furthermore, an elevated PLK1 level significantly predicted unfavorable overall survival (hazard ratio = 1.78, 95% CI: 1.10–2.88, P = 0.019) and was correlated with female gender (OR = 0.73, 95% CI: 0.56–0.95, P = 0.017), tumor thrombus (OR = 3.97, 95% CI: 1.46–10.78, P < 0.001), metastasis (OR = 3.46, 95% CI: 1.33–9.01, P = 0.011), pathologic stage (OR = 1.56, 95% CI: 1.17–2.07, P = 0.002), Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage (OR = 5.76, 95% CI: 2.17–15.28, P < 0.001) and histologic grade (OR = 2.33, 95% CI: 1.12–487, P = 0.024). Through bioinformatics methods, we determined that enhancing the proliferative effect of PLK1 in HCC was associated with a series of hub genes and the activation of the cell cycle pathway. Conclusions: These findings substantiated that PLK1 may be an independent prognostic biomarker in HCC and may facilitate the development of targeted precision oncology.


2018 ◽  
Vol 33 (1) ◽  
pp. 40-48 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rong Biaoxue ◽  
Yang Shuanying

Background: Many studies have evaluated the accuracy of EGFR mutation status in blood against that in tumor tissues as the reference. We conducted this systematic review and meta-analysis to assess whether blood can be used as a substitute for tumor tissue in detecting EGFR mutations. Methods: Investigations that provided data on EGFR mutation status in blood were searched in the databases of Medline, Embase, Ovid Technologies and Web of Science. The detect efficiency of EGFR mutations in paired blood and tissues was compared using a random-effects model of meta-analysis. Pooled sensitivity and specificity and diagnostic accuracy were calculated by receiver operating characteristic curve. Results: A total of 19 studies with 2,922 individuals were involved in this meta-analysis. The pooled results showed the positive detection rate of EGFR mutations in lung cancer tissues was remarkably higher than that of paired blood samples (odds ratio [OR] = 1.47, p<0.001). The pooled sensitivity and specificity of blood were 0.65 and 0.91, respectively, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.89. Conclusions: Although blood had a better specificity for detecting EGFR mutations, the absence of blood positivity should not necessarily be construed as confirmed negativity. Patients with negative results for blood should decidedly undergo further biopsies to ascertain EGFR mutations.


PLoS ONE ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (12) ◽  
pp. e0243161
Author(s):  
Guocan Yu ◽  
Wuchen Zhao ◽  
Yanqin Shen ◽  
Pengfei Zhu ◽  
Hong Zheng

Background Tuberculous meningitis (TBM) is a severe form of extrapulmonary tuberculosis and its early diagnosis is very difficult leading to present with severe disability or die. The current study aimed to assess the accuracy of metagenomic next generation sequencing (mNGS) for TBM, and to identify a new test for the early diagnosis of TBM. Methods We searched for articles published in Embase, PubMed, Cochrane Library, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, and Wanfang Data up to June 30, 2020 for studies that assessed the efficacy of mNGS for the diagnosis of TBM. Then, the accuracy between mNGS and a composite reference standard (CRS) in these articles was compared using the meta-analysis approach. Results Four independent studies with 342 samples comparing mNGS and a CRS were included in this study. The sensitivity of mNGS for TBM diagnosis ranged from 27% to 84%. The combined sensitivity of mNGS was 61%, and the I2 value was 92%. Moreover, the specificity of mNGS for TBM diagnosis ranged from 96% to 100%. The combined specificity of mNGS was 98%, and the I2 value was 74%. The heterogeneity between studies in terms of sensitivity and specificity was significant. The area under the curve (AUC) of the summary receiver operating characteristic curve (SROC) of mNGS for TBM was 0.98. Conclusions The sensitivity of mNGS for TBM diagnosis was moderate. Furthermore, the specificity was extremely high, and the AUC of the SROC indicated a very good diagnostic efficacy. mNGS could be used as an early diagnostic method for TBM, however, the results should be treated with caution for the heterogeneity between studies was extremely significant. Systematic review registration INPLASY202070100.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haitao Yang ◽  
Yuzhu Lan ◽  
Xiujuan Yao ◽  
Sheng Lin ◽  
Baosong Xie

Abstract Objective: To evaluate the diagnostic efficiency of different methods in detecting COVID-19.Methods: PubMed, Web of Science and Embase databases were searched for identifing eligible articles. All data were calculated utilizing Meta Disc 1.4, Revman 5.3.2 and Stata 12. The diagnostic efficiency was assessed via these indicators including summary sensitivity and specificity, positive likelihood ratio (PLR), negative LR (NLR), diagnostic odds ratio (DOR), summary receiver operating characteristic curve (sROC) and calculate the AUC. Results: 18 articles (3648 cases) were included. EPlex: pooled sensitivity was 0.94; specificity 1.0; PLR 90.91; NLR 0.07; DOR 1409.49; AUC=0.9979, Q*=0.9840. Panther Fusion: pooled sensitivity was 0.99; specificity 0.98; PLR 42.46; NLR 0.02; DOR 2300.38; AUC=0.9970, Q*=0.9799. Simplexa: pooled sensitivity was 1.0; specificity 0.97; PLR 26.67; NLR 0.01; DOR 3100.93; AUC=0.9970, Q*=0.9800. Cobas®: pooled sensitivity was 0.99; specificity 0.96; PLR 37.82; NLR 0.02; DOR 3754.05; AUC=0.9973, Q*=0.9810. RT-LAMP: pooled sensitivity was 0.98; specificity 0.99; PLR 36.22; NLR 0.04; DOR 751.24; AUC=0.9905, Q*=0.9596. Xpert Xpress: pooled sensitivity was 0.99; specificity 0.97; PLR 27.44; NLR 0.01; DOR 3488.15; AUC=0.9977, Q*=0.9829.Conclusions: These methods (ePlex, Panther Fusion, Simplexa, Cobas®, RT-LAMP and Xpert Xpress) bear higher sensitivity and specificity, and might be efficient methods complement to the gold standard.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Cui ◽  
Jingzhi Huang ◽  
Ruiqi Wang ◽  
Yu Wang ◽  
Xiaoming Chen ◽  
...  

Aim: The potential of long noncoding RNA in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has led to promising insights into therapeutic intervention. The clinical significance of LINC02518 in HCC is unclear. This study aimed to evaluate the predictive value of a novel long noncoding RNA, LINC02518, for the prognosis of patients with HCC. Methods: Between December 2005 and November 2011, 125 and 75 HCC patients in the training and validation groups, respectively, who underwent liver surgery were included in our study. The LINC02518 expression of HCC and corresponding nontumor liver tissues was detected using microarray and reverse transcription quantitative polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR). These HCC patients were assigned into high and low LINC02518 expression groups based on the threshold of the receiver operating characteristic curve. Kaplan-Meier analysis was performed to determine the prognosis of HCC patients. Results: LINC02518 expression was upregulated in paired tumor samples compared with corresponding nontumor samples in the two groups. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the levels of LINC02518 in the diagnosis of HCC was 0.66, 95% CI: 0.59–0.73. HCC patients with high LINC02518 expression had significantly worse tumor recurrence-free, metastasis-free, disease-free and overall survival than those with low LINC02518 expression. Conclusion: LINC02518 is negatively correlated with the prognosis of HCC and provides a promising strategy for the treatment and prognosis of HCC.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Qing Li ◽  
Yimin Huang ◽  
Weifeng Shang ◽  
Ying Zhang ◽  
Yanyan Liu ◽  
...  

Background. Urinary kidney injury molecule 1 (uKIM-1) is a proximal tubular injury biomarker for predicting acute kidney injury (AKI); its prognostic value varies depending on the clinical and population characteristics. However, the predictive value of uKIM-1 for diagnosis of contrast-induced acute kidney injury (CI-AKI) remains unclear. Method. Medline, Embase, ClinicalTrials.gov, Cochrane Library database, and the China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI) were used to identify relevant studies from their inception to November 31, 2019. Studies that met the inclusion criteria were included. Relevant data were extracted to obtain pooled sensitivity (SEN) and specificity (SPE), summary receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), and area under the ROC (AUC or AUROC). A bivariate mixed-effects regression model was used for data analysis. Results. A total of 946 patients from 8 eligible studies were included. Across all the studies, the diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) for uKIM-1 level to predict CI-AKI was 19 (95% CI 10–39), with SEN and SPE of 0.84 and 0.78, respectively. The AUROC for uKIM-1 in predicting CI-AKI was 0.88 (95% CI 0.85–0.90). There was a substantial heterogeneity across the studies (I2 was 37.73% for the summary sensitivity and 69.31% for the summary specificity). Conclusion. Urinary KIM-1 has a high predictive value for diagnosis of CI-AKI in patients who have undergone cardiac catheterization.


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