scholarly journals Development and Validation of a Prognostic Nomogram for Hypopharyngeal Carcinoma

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shu Tian ◽  
Qin Li ◽  
Ruichen Li ◽  
Xinyu Chen ◽  
Zhonghua Tao ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Calibration Curve ◽  
Multivariate Regression ◽  
External Validation ◽  
Locally Advanced ◽  
Multivariate Regression Analysis ◽  
Tnm Stage ◽  
Seer Database ◽  
Training Set ◽  
Validation Set

Hypopharyngeal squamous-cell carcinoma (HSCC) is a relatively rare head and neck cancer, with great variation in patient outcomes. This study aimed to develop a prognostic nomogram for patients with HSCC. From the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, we retrieved the clinical data of 2198 patients diagnosed with HSCC between 2010 and 2016. The patients were randomly assigned at a 4:1 ratio to the training set or the validation set. An external validation was performed by a set of 233 patients with locally advanced HSCC treated at our center. A Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to assess the relationship between each variable and overall survival (OS). Cox multivariate regression analysis was performed, and the results were used to develop a prognostic nomogram. The calibration curve and concordance index (C-index) were used to evaluate the accuracy of the prognostic nomogram. With a median overall follow-up time of 41 months (interquartile range: 20 to 61), the median OS for the entire cohort of SEER database was 24 months. The 3-year and 5-year OS rates were 41.3% and 32.5%, respectively. The Cox multivariate regression analysis of the training set showed that age, marital status, race, T stage, N stage, M stage, TNM stage, local treatment, and chemotherapy were correlated with OS. The nomogram showed a superior C-index over TNM stage (training set: 0.718 vs 0.627; validation set: 0.708 vs 0.598; external validation set: 0.709 vs 0.597), and the calibration curve showed a high level of concordance between the predicted OS and the actual OS. The nomogram provides a relatively accurate and applicable prediction of the survival outcome of patients with HSCC.

scholarly journals Impacts of eosinophil percentage on prognosis acute type A aortic dissection patients

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yue Shao ◽  
Liu Ye ◽  
Hao-ming Shi ◽  
Xin-mei Wang ◽  
Jun Luo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Aortic Dissection ◽  
Multivariate Regression ◽  
Medical Information ◽  
External Validation ◽  
Inflammatory Cells ◽  
Type A ◽  
Multivariate Regression Analysis ◽  
Acute Type ◽  
Type A Aortic Dissection

Abstract Background Eosinophils are pro-inflammatory cells involved in thrombosis and have been proposed as a prognosis marker in acute ischemic stroke and ST-elevation myocardial Infarction. Here, we sought to clarify the prognostic value of eosinophil percentage (EOS%) in patients with acute type A aortic dissection (AAAD). Methods We examined 183 consecutive AAAD patients. Based on the optimum cut-off value of EOS% determined by X-tile software, patients were classified into the low EOS% (EOS%≤0.1) and high EOS% groups (EOS%>0.1). We performed multivariate regression analysis and Kaplan-Meier (KM) survival curves to assess the association between EOS% and mortality. Eosinophil accumulation in aortic dissection intraluminal thrombus was confirmed using hematoxylin–eosin (H&E) staining. An external cohort from Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV was performed to validate the results. Results Relative to surviving patients, those who died during hospitalization had significantly lower EOS% (p=0.001) but significantly higher WBC (p=0.002) and neutrophil (p=0.001) counts. Multivariate regression analysis identified EOS% as an independent predictor of in-hospital and 1-year mortality. KM curves revealed that 1-year cumulative mortality was significantly higher in the low EOS% group, although it was mainly attributed to the higher 30-day mortality. H&E staining revealed massive infiltration of eosinophils in all 20 thrombus specimens. The external validation confirmed that relative to survivors, patients with in-hospital (p=0.010) had significantly lower EOS%. Moreover, multivariate regression analyses identified that decreased EOS% was independently significantly associated with in-hospital mortality. Conclusions Low EOS% is significantly related to increased mortality rates in AAAD patients.

scholarly journals Severe lymphopenia as a prognostic factor in rectal cancer patients receiving adjuvant chemoradiotherapy: a retrospective study

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Minjun Zhang ◽  
Guangxian You ◽  
Hongen Xu ◽  
Tao Song ◽  
Haibo Zhang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Rectal Cancer ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Multivariate Regression ◽  
Locally Advanced ◽  
Advanced Rectal Cancer ◽  
Multivariate Regression Analysis ◽  
Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer ◽  
Adjuvant Chemoradiotherapy ◽  
Factors Associated ◽  
The Relationship

Abstract Objectives The relationship between total lymphocyte counts (TLCs) and survival is not well documented in rectal cancer. This study aimed to investigate the association between TLCs and disease-free survival (DFS) and identify factors associated with lymphopenia in locally advanced rectal cancer patients receiving chemoradiotherapy. Methods Thirty-six patients with locally advanced rectal cancer were retrospectively analyzed. TLCs were evaluated before surgery (pre-S), before radiotherapy (pre-RT), and during concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT). The relationship between TLCs and DFS was analyzed by univariate and multivariate analysis. Potential clinical factors associated with lymphopenia were also evaluated. Results Median TLC declined significantly during radiotherapy. Severe lymphopenia during CCRT was significantly associated with poorer DFS on Kaplan-Meier analysis (p=0.01), univariate regression analysis (p=0.036), and multivariate regression analysis (p=0.038). Pre-S TLCs (p=0.009) and pre-RT TLCs (p=0.042) were significantly associated with severe lymphopenia on univariate regression analysis; however, only pre-S TLCs (p=0.026) were significantly associated with severe lymphopenia on multivariate regression analysis. Conclusions Severe lymphopenia was a predictor of poorer DFS in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer receiving adjuvant chemoradiotherapy. Pre-S TLCs were predictors of severe lymphopenia. Further study is warranted to reduce the rate of severe lymphopenia.

scholarly journals Maximal lymph nodal diameter in staging system of nasopharyngeal carcinoma

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xin-Bin Pan ◽  
Song Qu ◽  
Ling Li ◽  
Long Chen ◽  
Shi-Xiong Liang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prognostic Factor ◽  
Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma ◽  
Multivariate Regression ◽  
Staging System ◽  
Multivariate Regression Analysis ◽  
Seer Database ◽  
Training Set ◽  
Cancer Specific Survival ◽  
Nodal Diameter ◽  
N Stage

Abstract Background: The value of maximal lymph nodal diameter in staging system of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is not well established.Methods: NPC patients were extracted from SEER database between 2004 and 2016. Overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were compared among three groups based on the maximal lymph nodal diameter: ≤3.0 cm, >3.0-6.0 cm, and >6.0 cm. Included patients were randomly divided into training set and validated set with 1:1 ratio. In training set, X-tile plots were created by dividing maximal lymph nodal diameter into three populations. All possible divisions of the maximal lymph nodal diameter were assessed. Two cut-off values were calculated by the X-tile plots in training set. The two cut-off values were evaluated in validated set.Results: The 10-year OS and CSS were different between the three groups. Multivariate regression analysis revealed that maximal lymph nodal diameter >6.0 cm was an independent risk prognostic factor for OS (hazard ratio [HR]=1.91, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.51-2.43; P<0.001) and CSS (HR=1.99, 95% CI: 1.51-2.61; P<0.001). The cut-off values of maximal lymph nodal diameter were 1.3 cm and 5.0 cm using X-tile plots in the training set. In the validated set, the maximal lymph nodal diameter >5.0 cm was a risk prognostic factor for OS and CSS.Conclusions: The maximal lymph nodal diameter of 5.0 cm may be a reasonable cut-off value for N stage.

scholarly journals 1574. Multivariate Regression Analysis to Determine Independent Predictors of Treatment Outcomes in the RESTORE-IMI 2 Trial

2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. S785-S786
Author(s):  
Robert Tipping ◽  
Jiejun Du ◽  
Maria C Losada ◽  
Michelle L Brown ◽  
Katherine Young ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Clinical Response ◽  
Treatment Outcomes ◽  
Multivariate Regression ◽  
Multivariate Regression Analysis ◽  
Apache Ii Score ◽  
Double Blind ◽  
Mitt Population ◽  
Study Results ◽  
All Cause Mortality

Abstract Background In the RESTORE-IMI 2 trial, imipenem/cilastatin/relebactam (IMI/REL) was non-inferior to PIP/TAZ for treating hospital-acquired/ventilator-associated bacterial pneumonia (HABP/VABP) in the primary endpoint of Day 28 all-cause mortality (D28 ACM) and the key secondary endpoint of clinical response (CR) at early follow-up (EFU; 7-14 d after end of therapy). We performed a multivariate regression analysis to determine independent predictors of treatment outcomes in this trial. Methods Randomized, controlled, double-blind, phase 3, non-inferiority trial comparing IMI/REL 500 mg/250 mg vs PIP/TAZ 4 g/500 mg, every 6 h for 7-14 d, in adult patients (pts) with HABP/VABP. Stepwise-selection logistic regression modeling was used to determine independent predictors of D28 ACM and favorable CR at EFU, in the MITT population (randomized pts with ≥1 dose of study drug, except pts with only gram-positive cocci at baseline). Baseline variables (n=19) were pre-selected as candidates for inclusion (Table 1), based on clinical relevance. Variables were added to the model if significant (p &lt; 0.05) and removed if their significance was reduced (p &gt; 0.1) by addition of other variables. Results Baseline variables that met criteria for significant independent predictors of D28 ACM and CR at EFU in the final selected regression model are in Fig 1 and Fig 2, respectively. As expected, APACHE II score, renal impairment, elderly age, and mechanical ventilation were significant predictors for both outcomes. Bacteremia and P. aeruginosa as a causative pathogen were predictors of unfavorable CR, but not of D28 ACM. Geographic region and the hospital service unit a patient was admitted to were found to be significant predictors, likely explained by their collinearity with other variables. Treatment allocation (IMI/REL vs PIP/TAZ) was not a significant predictor for ACM or CR; this was not unexpected, since the trial showed non-inferiority of the two HABP/VABP therapies. No interactions between the significant predictors and treatment arm were observed. Conclusion This analysis validated known predictors for mortality and clinical outcomes in pts with HABP/VABP and supports the main study results by showing no interactions between predictors and treatment arm. Table 1. Candidate baseline variables pre-selected for inclusion Figure 1. Independent predictors of greater Day 28 all-cause mortality (MITT population; N=531) Figure 2. Independent predictors of favorable clinical response at EFU (MITT population; N=531) Disclosures Robert Tipping, MS, Merck & Co., Inc. (Employee, Shareholder) Jiejun Du, PhD, Merck & Co., Inc. (Employee, Shareholder) Maria C. Losada, BA, Merck & Co., Inc. (Employee, Shareholder) Michelle L. Brown, BS, Merck & Co., Inc. (Employee, Shareholder) Katherine Young, MS, Merck & Co., Inc. (Employee, Shareholder)Merck & Co., Inc. (Employee, Shareholder) Joan R. Butterton, MD, Merck & Co., Inc. (Employee, Shareholder) Amanda Paschke, MD MSCE, Merck & Co., Inc. (Employee, Shareholder) Luke F. Chen, MBBS MPH MBA FRACP FSHEA FIDSA, Merck & Co., Inc. (Employee, Shareholder)Merck & Co., Inc. (Employee, Shareholder)

Epicardial fat thickness as arterial hypertension predictor in normotensive patients with abdominal obesity

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
T Kuznetsova ◽  
M Druzhilov
Keyword(s):  
Blood Pressure ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Blood Glucose ◽  
Waist Circumference ◽  
Arterial Hypertension ◽  
Multivariate Regression ◽  
Fasting Blood Glucose ◽  
Multivariate Regression Analysis ◽  
Epicardial Fat Thickness ◽  
Fat Thickness

Abstract Objective Arterial hypertension (HTN) is one of the most common diseases associated with obesity. Visceral obesity (VO) with dysfunctional visceral adipose tissue plays the main role in obesity induced HTN. Direct criteria of VO including echocardiographic epicardial fat thickness (EFT) may become an additional predictor of HTN. Purpose The aim was to assess the role of echocardiographic EFT (EEFT) as a predictor of HTN in normotensive patients with abdominal obesity (AO). Methods 526 normotensive men (according to ambulatory blood pressure monitoring (ABPM) without therapy) with AO (waist circumference (WC) &gt;94 cm) and SCORE &lt;5%, without cardiovascular diseases and diabetes mellitus were examined (age 45.1±5.0 years). The lipid and glucose profiles, creatinine, uric acid and C-reactive protein blood levels, albuminuria evaluation, echocardiography, carotid ultrasound, bifunctional ABPM were performed. The values of EEFT ≥75 percentile for persons 35–45 years and 46–55 years were 4.8 mm and 5.8 mm respectively. These values used as epicardial VO criteria. Patients with subclinical carotid atherosclerosis due to the lipid-lowering therapy administration (n=98) were excluded from the follow-up. Re-examination with ABPM was conducted on average through 46.3±5.1 months. Data were summarized as mean ± standard error, statistical analysis conducted with paired two-tailed t-tests, Pearson χ2 criterion and multivariate regression analysis. Results Data of 406 persons were available for analysis. HTN as average daily blood pressure ≥130/80 mm Hg was detected in 157 (38.7%) patients. These patients were characterized by initially higher values of age (45.9±4.6 years vs 44.3±4.9 years, p&lt;0.001), waist circumference (106.9±7.3 cm vs 104.2±7.3 cm, p&lt;0.001), body mass index (BMI) (32.0±3.3 kg/m2 vs 30.9±3.2 kg/m2, p&lt;0.001), average daily systolic and diastolic blood pressure (120.7/74.5±4.6/3.4 mm Hg vs 118.2/73.2±5.5/3.9 mm Hg, p&lt;0.001), EEFT (5.2±0.7 mm vs 4.4±1.0 mm, p&lt;0.001). The epicardial VO was initially detected in 95 (23.3%) patients. In patients with HTN the initial prevalence of epicardial VO was greater (58.0% vs 23.3%, p&lt;0.001). As predictors for the multivariate regression analysis the clinical and laboratory examinations data and EEFT were evaluated. According to the results a mathematical model for estimating the probability HTN was obtained: 0.696*fasting blood glucose + 0.198*systolic BP + 2.844*EFT – 40.166 (constant). Among these predictors EEFT was characterized by the highest standardized regression coefficient (0.302, p&lt;0.001) (0.295, p&lt;0.01 for fasting blood glucose, 0.035, p&lt;0.001 for systolic BP). The Hosmer-Lemeshow test value was 0.863, the total percentage of correct classifications was 86%, the area under the ROC-curve was 0.913. Conclusions EEFT (4.8 mm for persons 35–45 years and 5.8 mm for persons 46–55 years) may be an additional predictor of HTN in normotensive patients with AO. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None

Arterial stiffness could reflect increased cardiac load and reduced pulmonary function in the general population

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
S Murai ◽  
T Sugiura ◽  
Y Dohi ◽  
H Takase ◽  
T Mizoguchi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
General Population ◽  
Arterial Stiffness ◽  
Pulmonary Function ◽  
Multivariate Regression ◽  
Troponin I ◽  
Augmentation Index ◽  
Smoking Status ◽  
Multivariate Regression Analysis ◽  
The Other

Abstract Background Pulmonary function is known to decrease with age and reduced pulmonary function has been reported to be associated with all-cause mortality and cardiovascular death. The association between pulmonary impairment and atherosclerosis was reported previously but has not been investigated sufficiently in the general population. Purpose We hypothesized that arterial stiffness could reflect increase of cardiac load and reduced pulmonary function. The present study aimed to investigate whether increased cardiac load and reduced pulmonary function could affect arterial stiffness in the general population. Methods Subjects undergoing their health check-up were enrolled. Plasma B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) levels and serum high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI) levels were measured to evaluate cardiac load and myocardial damage. Radial augmentation index (rAI) was measured to investigate arterial stiffness using HEM-9000AI device. Subjects with an ST-T segment abnormality on the electrocardiogram, renal insufficiency, cancer, active inflammatory disease, or a history of cardiovascular events and pulmonary disease were excluded. Pulmonary function was assessed using spirometry by calculating forced vital capacity (FVC) as a percentage of predicted value (FVC%-predicted), forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1) as a percentage of predicted value (FEV1%-predicted), and the ratio of FEV1 to FVC (FEV1/FVC). Results A total of 1100 subjects aged 57 years were enrolled and their median values of BNP and hs-cTnI were 15.5 and 2.3 pg/ml. The levels of rAI were significantly associated with the levels of BNP after adjustment for possible confounders in multivariate regression analysis, but were not with the levels of hs-TnI. While the parameters of pulmonary function were inversely associated with the levels of rAI and hs-cTnI after adjustment for possible confounders in the multivariate regression analysis, but not with the levels of BNP. The other multivariate regression analyses where BNP, hs-cTnI, parameters of pulmonary function, and the other possible factors were simultaneously included as independent variables revealed that the BNP levels and the FVC%-predicted or FEV1%-predicted, besides age, gender, smoking status, body mass index, blood pressure, heart rate, creatinine, fasting plasma glucose, and triglyceride, were significantly associated with the levels of rAI. Conclusions The significant associations of rAI with BNP and pulmonary function were revealed in the general population. These findings support that arterial stiffness could reflect increased cardiac load and reduced pulmonary function, in apparently healthy individuals. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None

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