scholarly journals A Postsurgical Prognostic Nomogram for Locally Advanced Rectosigmoid Cancer to Assist in Patient Selection for Adjuvant Chemotherapy

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chao Zhang ◽  
Shutao Zhao ◽  
Xudong Wang

BackgroundThe perioperative treatment model for locally advanced rectosigmoid junction cancer (LARSC) has not been finalized; whether this model should refer to the treatment model for rectal cancer remains controversial.MethodsWe screened 10,188 patients with stage II/III rectosigmoid junction adenocarcinoma who underwent surgery between 2004 and 2016 from the National Cancer Institute Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Among them, 4,960 did not receive adjuvant chemotherapy, while 5,228 did receive adjuvant chemotherapy. Propensity score matching was used to balance the two groups for confounding factors, and the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test were used for survival analysis. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used to identify independent prognostic factors and build a predictive nomogram of survival for LARSC. X-tile software was used to divide the patients into three groups (low, medium, and high) according to their risk scores. 726 patients in our hospital were included for external validation.ResultsLARSC patients did not show a benefit from neoadjuvant radiotherapy (P>0.05). After further excluding patients who received neoadjuvant radiotherapy, multivariate analysis found that age, grade, tumor size, T stage, and log odds of positive lymph nodes were independent prognostic factors for patients without adjuvant chemotherapy and were included in the nomogram. The C-index of the model was 0.690 (95% confidence interval: 0.668–0.712). We divided the patients into low, moderate, and high risk subgroups based on prediction scores of the nomogram. We found that adjuvant chemotherapy did not improve the prognosis of low risk patients, while moderate and high risk patients benefited from adjuvant therapy. External validation data found that moderate, and high risk patients also benefited from AT.ConclusionDirect surgery plus adjuvant chemotherapy may be the best perioperative treatment for LARSC. Moreover, adjuvant chemotherapy is only recommended for moderate and high risk patients as it did not benefit low risk patients.

Open Medicine ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 754-762
Author(s):  
Dingcheng Zheng ◽  
Bangsheng Chen ◽  
Zefeng Shen ◽  
Lihu Gu ◽  
Xianfa Wang ◽  
...  

AbstractPurposeThe purpose of this research is to investigate the prognostic factors of patients with stage I gastric cancer (GC) and to determine whether adjuvant chemotherapy improves the prognosis for high-risk patients.MethodsWe performed a retrospective analysis at Sir Run Run Shaw Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, and HwaMei Hospital, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences from January 2001 to December 2015. Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier were used to evaluate the relationship between the patients’ clinicopathologic characteristics and prognosis.ResultsA total of 1,550 patients were eligible for the study. The 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) rate of all enrolled patients was 96.5%. The pT and pN stages were significantly associated with the prognosis. The 5-year DFS rates of the three subgroups (T1N0, T2N0, and T1N1) were 97.8%, 95.7%, and 90.5%, respectively (p < 0.001). In the T1N1 subgroup, patients not undergoing chemotherapy showed a lower 5-year DFS rate compared to those undergoing chemotherapy, although the difference was not statistically significant.ConclusionsBoth the pT and pN stages were closely associated with the prognosis of patients with stage I GC. We also found that the danger coefficient of the pN stage was higher than that of the pT stage, and that postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy might be a reasonable approach to improve outcomes of high-risk patients, particularly in the T1N1 group.


2005 ◽  
Vol 15 (4) ◽  
pp. 601-605 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Shimada ◽  
J. Kigawa ◽  
Y. Kanamori ◽  
H. Itamochi ◽  
T. Oishi ◽  
...  

We conducted the present study to determine the outcome of patients with early ovarian cancer who underwent three courses of adjuvant chemotherapy after complete surgical staging. One hundred consecutive patients with stage I–II epithelial ovarian cancer who had undergone complete surgical staging and received three courses of platinum-based chemotherapy were entered in this study. Twenty-one patients were low risk, defined as stage IA–B, grade 1 and histologic types except for clear cell adenocarcinoma, and remaining 79 were high risk. All patients with stage IA or IB, whatever histologic type and histopathologic grade, were alive without disease. The 5-year survival rate was 89.4% for patients with stage IC and 76.2% for those with stage II. The 5-year survival rate for low- and high-risk patients was 100% and 89.4%, respectively. The survival rate for grade 1 was significantly better than that for grade 2 or 3. Multivariate analysis revealed that histologic grade was an independent prognostic factor in stage IC–II ovarian cancer. The outcome of patients with early ovarian cancer undergoing three courses of chemotherapy after complete surgical staging was favorable even in high-risk patients


Blood ◽  
2008 ◽  
Vol 112 (11) ◽  
pp. 4385-4385 ◽  
Author(s):  
Irene Cavattoni ◽  
Enrico Morello ◽  
Elena Oldani ◽  
Tamara Intermesoli ◽  
Ernesta Audisio ◽  
...  

Abstract INTRODUCTION The impact on post-relapse survival of selected prognostic factors and salvage therapy (finalized to perform an allo-SCT) was retrospectively analyzed in 172 patients (patients) with relapsed non-APL AML, who had been initially treated with standard induction and risk-adapatiented consolidation. The aim was to identify factors associated with a better outcome at first relapse. METHODS All 172 patients were at first recurrence following consolidation of CR1 with high-dose Ara-C (HiDAC) multicycle therapy supported by blood stem cells (standard risk, as defined by mixed clinical-cytogenetic criteria) or allo-SCT in case of high-risk prognostic profile. Median age at relapse was 55 y (range 21–70). CR1 duration was &lt;6 months in 50 patients (29%), ranging from 0.6 to 52,7 mo (median 9,1). High risk patients were 128/172 (74%) and 43/172 patients (25%) had an unfavourable cytogenetics (CG). One hundred-eleven patients (64%) received HiDAC and 24 (14%) an allo-SCT according to study design. RESULTS 140 patients (81%) received salvage treatment. The remaining 32 patients (19%) received palliation and all of them died. The median OS was 17.1 mo, with a 2yOS of 34%. Favorable prognostic factors identified by univariate analisys were: favourable or intermediate CG (p=0,007), standard risk category according to first line protocol (p=0.004), availibility of a HLA matched donor (p= 0.048), achievement of an early CR1(p=0,000), HiDAC as first line therapy(p=0,000), alloHSCT perfomed at relapse (p=0,000) and a DFS from CR1&gt;12 mo (p=0,000). In multivariate analysis favourable or intermediate CG and DFS &gt;12 mo were confirmed as independent prognostic factors (p=0,036 and p=0,001 respectively). Among the 140 patients, 50 received an allo-SCT following relapse (36%, group 1), and the remaining 90 (64%, group 2) received high dose chemotherapy alone (85), autologous SCT (2), or DLI (3, in case of previous alloSCT). Both groups were comparable regarding age &gt;55 y, prior allo-SCT and risk class at diagnosis. After salvage therapy, 44 patients(88%) in the group 1 achieved CR2, compared to 26 patients (29%) in the group 2. The median duration of CR2 was 9 mo (range 2–64) and 3 mo (range 1–34) in group 1 and 2 respectively. NRM was 17/140: 12 patients (24%) in the allo-SCT group and 5 (6%) in group 2. The 2yOS was 57% and 23% respectively (p=0,000). Moreover, among 50 alloSCT patients, survival was affected by risk category at diagnosis: 2yOS of 19 (38%) standard risk patients was 83% compared to 42% in 31 high risk patients (62%) (p=0.01). This risk stratification has no impact on OS in the group 2. CONCLUSIONS DFS &gt; 12 mo and standard risk category at diagnosis, according to NILG protocol, are the most important independent positive prognostic factors impacting OS of AML relapsed patients. The availibility of a HLA matched donor and a subsequent intensification with alloSCT may offer substantial salvage rates and its outcome is affected by the risk stratification at diagnosis. Nevertheless, high risk patients could benefit from alloSCT, reaching an 2yOS of 42%.


Author(s):  
Paulina Ezcurra ◽  
María Sofia Venuti ◽  
Emiliano Gogniat ◽  
Marcela Ducrey ◽  
Jose Dianti ◽  
...  

2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 378-378 ◽  
Author(s):  
Scott Kopetz ◽  
Zhi-Qin Jiang ◽  
Michael J. Overman ◽  
Christa Dreezen ◽  
Sun Tian ◽  
...  

378 Background: Although the benefit of chemotherapy in stage II and III colon cancer patients is significant, many patients might not need adjuvant chemotherapy because they have a good prognosis even without additional treatment. ColoPrint is a gene expression classifier that distinguish patients with low or high risk of disease relapse. It was developed using whole genome expression data and has been validated in public datasets, independent European patient cohorts and technical studies (Salazar 2011 JCO, Maak 2012 Ann Surg). Methods: In this study, the commercial ColoPrint test was validated in stage II (n=96) and III patients (n=95) treated at the MD Anderson Cancer Center from 2003 to 2009. Frozen tissue specimen, clinical parameters, MSI-status and follow-up data (median follow-up 64 months) were available. The 64-gene MSI-signature developed to identify patients with deficient mismatch repair system (Tian 2012 J Path) was evaluated for its accuracy to identify MSI patients and also for prognosis. Results: In this cohort, ColoPrint classified 56% of stage II and III patients as being at low risk. The 3-year Relapse-Free-Survival (RFS) was 90.6% for Low Risk and 78.4% for High Risk patients with a HR of 2.33 (p=0.025). In uni-and multivariate analysis ColoPrint and stage were the only significant factors to predict outcome. The MSI-signature classified 47 patients (24.6%) as MSI-H and most MSI-H patients were ColoPrint low risk (81%). Patients who were ColoPrint low risk and MSI-H by signature had the best outcome with a 3-year RFS of 95% while patients with ColoPrint high risk had a worse outcome independently of the MSI-status. Low risk ColoPrint patients had a good outcome independent of stage or chemotherapy treatment (90.1% 3-year RFS for treated patients, 91.4% for untreated patients) while ColoPrint high risk patients treated with adjuvant chemotherapy had 3-year RFS of 84%, compared to 70.1% 3-year RFS in untreated patients (p=0.026). Conclusions: The combination of ColoPrint and MSI-Print improves the prognostic accuracy in stage II and stage III patients and may help the identification of patients at higher risk who are more likely to benefit from additional treatment


2016 ◽  
Vol 34 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. TPS790-TPS790
Author(s):  
Eric P van der Stok ◽  
Cornelis Verhoef ◽  
Dirk J. Grunhagen ◽  

TPS790 Background: Colorectal carcinoma is a leading cause of cancer death worldwide, mostly as a consequence of metastatic disease. If metastases are confined to the liver, surgical resection is the only therapy providing potential for cure. Efforts to improve the outcome of hepatectomy for colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) by combining surgery with chemotherapy have failed to demonstrate overall survival (OS) benefit. This may partly be explained by the fact that previous trials on this subject involved strict inclusion criteria. Consequently, patients with a high oncological risk profile - who might benefit the most from chemotherapy – might have been underrepresented in previous trials. Several Clinical Risk Scores (CRS) have been developed predicting patients’ prognosis after resection of CRLM. The most widely used and validated CRS was described by Fong et al., which characterizes 2 risk groups (high versus low) based on 5 independent clinicopathologic prognostic variables. Each variable is assigned 1 point. Multiple retrospective observations showed that neo-/adjuvant chemotherapy induced significant OS benefit in patients with a high-risk profile (CRS of 3 to 5 points). The CHARISMA trial evaluates the impact of neo-adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with high-risk, primarily resectable liver-only colorectal metastases. We hypothesize that adding neo-adjuvant chemotherapy to surgery improves OS in this high-risk patient group. Methods: The CHARISMA trial is a randomized (1:1) phase III trial. Patients receive either surgery only for CRLM (arm A) or 6 cycles of neo-adjuvant Oxaliplatin + Capecitabine, followed by surgery (arm B). The primary endpoint is OS. On basis of retrospective data, the expected hazard ratio for arm B is 0.60. With an expected 5-year OS of 25% in arm A, a two-sided significance level α = 0.05 and power 1 - β = 0.8, 224 patients have to be recruited. Major eligibility criteria are: liver-only metastases, primarily resectable CRLM, high-risk patients (CRS 3-5). The trial is currently accruing in 10 Dutch liver centers and is registered in the “Dutch Trial Register”: NTR4893 ( www.trialregister.nl ). Clinical trial information: NTR4893.


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