scholarly journals Co-evolutionary Game Dynamics of Competitive Cognitions and Public Opinion Environment

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haoyan Liu ◽  
Xin Wang ◽  
Longzhao Liu ◽  
Zhoujun Li

Competitive cognition dynamics are widespread in modern society, especially with the rise of information-technology ecosystem. While previous works mainly focus on internal interactions among individuals, the impacts of the external public opinion environment remain unknown. Here, we propose a heuristic model based on co-evolutionary game theory to study the feedback-evolving dynamics of competitive cognitions and the environment. First, we show co-evolutionary trajectories of strategy-environment system under all possible circumstances. Of particular interest, we unveil the detailed dynamical patterns under the existence of an interior saddle point. In this situation, two stable states coexist in the system and both cognitions have a chance to win. We highlight the emergence of bifurcation phenomena, indicating that the final evolutionary outcome is sensitive to initial conditions. Further, the attraction basins of two stable states are not only influenced by the position of the interior saddle point but also affected by the relative speed of environmental feedbacks.

2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-17
Author(s):  
Zhu Bai ◽  
Mingxia Huang ◽  
Shuai Bian ◽  
Huandong Wu

The emergence of online car-hailing service provides an innovative approach to vehicle booking but has negatively influenced the taxi industry in China. This paper modeled taxi service mode choice based on evolutionary game theory (EGT). The modes included the dispatching and online car-hailing modes. We constructed an EGT framework, including determining the strategies and the payoff matrix. We introduced different behaviors, including taxi company management, driver operation, and passenger choice. This allowed us to model the impact of these behaviors on the evolving process of service mode choice. The results show that adjustments in taxi company, driver, and passenger behaviors impact the evolutionary path and convergence speed of our evolutionary game model. However, it also reveals that, regardless of adjustments, the stable states in the game model remain unchanged. The conclusion provides a basis for studying taxi system operation and management.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-14
Author(s):  
Hongying Wen ◽  
Kairong Liang ◽  
Yiquan Li

Internet public opinion events at universities in China occurred frequently, creating painful repercussions for reputation and stability of colleges and universities. To better cope with the problem, this paper explores an evolutionary mechanism of the university Internet public opinion events. Firstly, we discuss the interactions and behavior of three key participants: an Internet medium, university students as a whole, and administration. Secondly, we construct a tripartite evolutionary game model consisting of an Internet medium, student group, and university administration and then analyze and obtain the differential dynamic equations and equilibrium points. Subsequently, the evolutionary stable equilibrium is further analyzed. Finally, we employ numerical studies to examine how the tripartite behavior choices affect evolutionary paths and evolutionary equilibrium strategies. Results are derived as follows: under certain conditions, there exists an asymptotically stable equilibrium point for the tripartite evolutionary game. On the one hand, appropriate penalties and rewards should be provided to foster objectives and fair behaviors of the network medium. On the other hand, university students should be educated and guided to deal rationally with negative effects of Internet public opinion events. Moreover, online real-name authentication is an important and necessary measure. Finally, the university administration should release truthful, timely, and comprehensive information of Internet public opinion events to mitigate potential negative impacts.


2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Artur Rego-Costa ◽  
Florence Débarre ◽  
Luis-Miguel Chevin

Among the factors that may reduce the predictability of evolution, chaos, characterized by a strong dependence on initial conditions, has received much less attention than randomness due to genetic drift or environmental stochasticity. It was recently shown that chaos in phenotypic evolution arises commonly under frequency-dependent selection caused by competitive interactions mediated by many traits. This result has been used to argue that chaos should often make evolutionary dynamics unpredictable. However, populations also evolve largely in response to external changing environments, and such environmental forcing is likely to influence the outcome of evolution in systems prone to chaos. We investigate how a changing environment causing oscillations of an optimal phenotype interacts with the internal dynamics of an eco-evolutionary system that would be chaotic in a constant environment. We show that strong environmental forcing can improve the predictability of evolution, by reducing the probability of chaos arising, and by dampening the magnitude of chaotic oscillations. In contrast, weak forcing can increase the probability of chaos, but it also causes evolutionary trajectories to track the environment more closely. Overall, our results indicate that, although chaos may occur in evolution, it does not necessarily undermine its predictability.


2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-5 ◽  
Author(s):  
Huawei Gong ◽  
Wenzhou Jin

With the aggravation of the traffic congestion in the city, car owners will have to give up commuting with private cars and take the public transportation instead. The paper uses the replication dynamic mechanism to simulate the learning and adjustment mechanism of the automobile owners commuting mode selection. The evolutionary stable strategy is used to describe the long-term evolution of competition game trend. Finally we simulate equilibrium and stability of an evolution of the game under a payoff imbalance situation. The research shows that a certain proportion of car owners will choose public transit under the pressure of public transport development and heavy traffic, and the proportion will be closely related to the initial conditions and urban transportation development policy.


1999 ◽  
Vol 64 (3) ◽  
pp. 400-416 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Pokotylo ◽  
Neil Guppy

A survey of public opinion on archaeological heritage in British Columbia, Canada, focused on five main areas: knowledge of archaeology, interest and participation in archaeology, the role of archaeology in modern society, awareness and support of heritage conservation initiatives, and Aboriginal stewardship of the archaeological record. Public opinion data collected from a random sample of 963 residents of the greater Vancouver metropolitan area indicate a high level of interest and support for archaeology and heritage conservation, but also a high level of misunderstanding about the archaeological record and current legislative measures to protect it. In contrast to recent changes in legislation and initiations within the discipline, public attitude towards Aboriginal stewardship of archaeological resources is generally negative. Education, age, and gender are significant factors affecting differences in opinion.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (19) ◽  
pp. 5319 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chanchan Hao ◽  
Qiang Du ◽  
Youdan Huang ◽  
Long Shao ◽  
Yunqing Yan

With the increasingly fierce global competition, supply chain members have to collaborate to respond to constant changes. Efficient knowledge sharing is the basis for the collaborative operation of the supply chain. Combined with evolutionary game theory, this paper studies the evolution path and stable strategies of knowledge-sharing behavior between construction supply chain enterprises, analyzing the factors that influence the establishment of a knowledge-sharing alliance. A numerical simulation is conducted to verify theoretical results and the effects of parameter adjustments on behavioral evolution. The results indicate that under different income relationships, knowledge-sharing behavior in construction supply chains presents different evolutionary trajectories. In addition, the probability of accepting the sharing strategy is positively correlated with the penalty coefficient, incentive coefficient, trust level, and synergy coefficient and negatively correlated with cost. This study provides a new perspective and theoretical guidance for establishing stable knowledge collaboration between enterprises and promoting the sustainable development of the construction supply chain.


Complexity ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xin Su ◽  
Haolong Liu ◽  
Shunqi Hou

The prevalence of opportunistic behaviors in agri-food production and circulation results in frequent quality accidents in emerging economies. Numerous researches have discussed effective countermeasures to this problem, but few of them focus on the effectiveness and stability of quality assurance systems. Owing to the bounded rationality and information asymmetry, the dynamic quality game among producers, marketers, and consumers has significant characteristics of complexity. This paper aims at discussing the farmer-supermarket direct purchase’s contributions to ensure the agri-food quality and analyzing the effectiveness, stability, and key factors of this new industrial organization. Based on the evolutionary game theory, we establish the trilateral-game payoff matrix, build up the replicator dynamic equations, and discuss possible evolutionary stable states. The simulation results show that the evolutionary system converges to desired stability faster, when the high-quality agri-food’s market premium increases and the penalty for violating quality standards increases. Furthermore, when farmers share more high-quality agri-food’s market premiums and marketers compensate more for violating the quality standards than before, the evolutionary system also converges to desired stability faster. Therefore, the quality information tracing technology, farmers and marketers’ fair distribution of profits and risks, and consumers’ capabilities to safeguard their legal rights are the three key factors to maintain the effectiveness and stability of quality assurance systems.


2014 ◽  
Vol 24 (06) ◽  
pp. 1450020 ◽  
Author(s):  
STILIYAN KALITZIN ◽  
MARCUS KOPPERT ◽  
GEORGE PETKOV ◽  
FERNANDO LOPES DA SILVA

In our previous studies, we showed that the both realistic and analytical computational models of neural dynamics can display multiple sustained states (attractors) for the same values of model parameters. Some of these states can represent normal activity while other, of oscillatory nature, may represent epileptic types of activity. We also showed that a simplified, analytical model can mimic this type of behavior and can be used instead of the realistic model for large scale simulations. The primary objective of the present work is to further explore the phenomenon of multiple stable states, co-existing in the same operational model, or phase space, in systems consisting of large number of interconnected basic units. As a second goal, we aim to specify the optimal method for state control of the system based on inducing state transitions using appropriate external stimulus. We use here interconnected model units that represent the behavior of neuronal populations as an effective dynamic system. The model unit is an analytical model (S. Kalitzin et al., Epilepsy Behav. 22 (2011) S102–S109) and does not correspond directly to realistic neuronal processes (excitatory–inhibitory synaptic interactions, action potential generation). For certain parameter choices however it displays bistable dynamics imitating the behavior of realistic neural mass models. To analyze the collective behavior of the system we applied phase synchronization analysis (PSA), principal component analysis (PCA) and stability analysis using Lyapunov exponent (LE) estimation. We obtained a large variety of stable states with different dynamic characteristics, oscillatory modes and phase relations between the units. These states can be initiated by appropriate initial conditions; transitions between them can be induced stochastically by fluctuating variables (noise) or by specific inputs. We propose a method for optimal reactive control, allowing forced transitions from one state (attractor) into another.


2012 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 685-688 ◽  
Author(s):  
Takefumi Nakazawa ◽  
Takehiko Yamanaka ◽  
Satoru Urano

Plants are subject to diseases caused by pathogens, many of which are transmitted by herbivorous arthropod vectors. To understand plant disease dynamics, we studied a minimum hybrid model combining consumer–resource (herbivore–plant) and susceptible–infected models, in which the disease is transmitted bi-directionally between the consumer and the resource from the infected to susceptible classes. Model analysis showed that: (i) the disease is more likely to persist when the herbivore feeds on the susceptible plants rather than the infected plants, and (ii) alternative stable states can exist in which the system converges to either a disease-free or an endemic state, depending on the initial conditions. The second finding is particularly important because it suggests that the disease may persist once established, even though the initial prevalence is low (i.e. the R 0 rule does not always hold). This situation is likely to occur when the infection improves the plant nutritive quality, and the herbivore preferentially feeds on the infected resource (i.e. indirect vector–pathogen mutualism). Our results highlight the importance of the eco-epidemiological perspective that integration of tripartite interactions among host plant, plant pathogen and herbivore vector is crucial for the successful control of plant diseases.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pengyao Jiang ◽  
Martin Kreitman ◽  
John Reinitz

AbstractDevelopmental robustness (canalization) is a common attribute of traits in multi-cellular organisms. High robustness ensures the reproducibility of phenotypes in the face of environmental and developmental noise, but it also dampens the expression of genetic mutation, the fuel for adaptive evolution. A reduction in robustness may therefore be adaptive under certain evolutionary scenarios. To better understand how robustness influences phenotypic evolution, and to decipher conditions under which canalization itself evolves, a genetic model was constructed in which phenotype is explicitly represented as a collection of traits, calculated from genotype, and the degree of robustness can be explicitly controlled. The genes were sub jected to mutation, altering phenotype and fitness. We then simulated the dynamics of a population evolving under two classes of initial conditions, one in which the population is at a fitness optimum and one in which it is far away. The model is formulated with two robustness parameters in the genotype to phenotype map, controlling robustness over a tight (γ) or a broad (α) range of values. Within the robustness range determined by γ, high robustness results in a equilibrium population fitness closer to the optimal fitness value than low robustness. High robustness should be favored, therefore, under a constant optimal environment. This situation reverses when populations are challenged to evolve to a new phenotype optimum. In this situation, low robustness populations adapt faster than high robustness populations and reach higher equilibrium mean fitness. A larger set of phenotypes are accessable by mutation when robustness is low, in part explaining why low robustness is favored under this condition. A larger range of robustness could be sampled by varying α, revealing a complex relationship between robustness and both the initial rate of phenotypic adaptation as well as the final equilibrium population mean fitness. Intermediate values of α produced a bifurcation in evolutionary trajectories, with some populations remaining at low population mean fitness, and others escaping to achieve high population mean fitness. We then allowed robustness itself to be encoded by a mutable genetic locus that could co-evolve along with the phenotype under selection. Low robustness genotypes are initially favored when adapting to a new optimal phenotype. A high robustness genotype then replaces it, well before maximum fitness is achieved, and moreover appears to prevent further invasion into the population of a low-robustness genotype. This phenomenon was dependent on having tight linkage (and sufficiently low mutation rate) between the robustness locus and the loci encoding phenotype.


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