scholarly journals Sequential Organ Failure Assessment Outperforms Quantitative Chest CT Imaging Parameters for Mortality Prediction in COVID-19 ARDS

Diagnostics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 10
Author(s):  
Daniel Puhr-Westerheide ◽  
Jakob Reich ◽  
Bastian O. Sabel ◽  
Wolfgang G. Kunz ◽  
Matthias P. Fabritius ◽  
...  

(1) Background: Respiratory insufficiency with acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) and multi-organ dysfunction leads to high mortality in COVID-19 patients. In times of limited intensive care unit (ICU) resources, chest CTs became an important tool for the assessment of lung involvement and for patient triage despite uncertainties about the predictive diagnostic value. This study evaluated chest CT-based imaging parameters for their potential to predict in-hospital mortality compared to clinical scores. (2) Methods: 89 COVID-19 ICU ARDS patients requiring mechanical ventilation or continuous positive airway pressure mask ventilation were included in this single center retrospective study. AI-based lung injury assessment and measurements indicating pulmonary hypertension (PA-to-AA ratio) on admission CT, oxygenation indices, lung compliance and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) scores on ICU admission were assessed for their diagnostic performance to predict in-hospital mortality. (3) Results: CT severity scores and PA-to-AA ratios were not significantly associated with in-hospital mortality, whereas the SOFA score showed a significant association (p < 0.001). In ROC analysis, the SOFA score resulted in an area under the curve (AUC) for in-hospital mortality of 0.74 (95%-CI 0.63–0.85), whereas CT severity scores (0.53, 95%-CI 0.40–0.67) and PA-to-AA ratios (0.46, 95%-CI 0.34–0.58) did not yield sufficient AUCs. These results were consistent for the subgroup of more critically ill patients with moderate and severe ARDS on admission (oxygenation index <200, n = 53) with an AUC for SOFA score of 0.77 (95%-CI 0.64–0.89), compared to 0.55 (95%-CI 0.39–0.72) for CT severity scores and 0.51 (95%-CI 0.35–0.67) for PA-to-AA ratios. (4) Conclusions: Severe COVID-19 disease is not limited to lung (vessel) injury but leads to a multi-organ involvement. The findings of this study suggest that risk stratification should not solely be based on chest CT parameters but needs to include multi-organ failure assessment for COVID-19 ICU ARDS patients for optimized future patient management and resource allocation.

2018 ◽  
Vol 35 (8) ◽  
pp. 810-817 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tushar Gupta ◽  
Michael A. Puskarich ◽  
Elizabeth DeVos ◽  
Adnan Javed ◽  
Carmen Smotherman ◽  
...  

Objectives: Early organ dysfunction in sepsis confers a high risk of in-hospital mortality, but the relative contribution of specific types of organ failure to overall mortality is unclear. The objective of this study was to assess the predictive ability of individual types of organ failure to in-hospital mortality or prolonged intensive care. Methods: Retrospective cohort study of adult emergency department patients with sepsis from October 1, 2013, to November 10, 2015. Multivariable regression was used to assess the odds ratios of individual organ failure types for the outcomes of in-hospital death (primary) and in-hospital death or ICU stay ≥ 3 days (secondary). Results: Of 2796 patients, 283 (10%) experienced in-hospital mortality, and 748 (27%) experienced in-hospital mortality or an ICU stay ≥ 3 days. The following components of Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score were most predictive of in-hospital mortality (descending order): coagulation (odds ratio [OR]: 1.60, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.32-1.93), hepatic (1.58, 95% CI: 1.32-1.90), respiratory (OR: 1.33, 95% CI: 1.21-1.47), neurologic (OR: 1.20, 95% CI: 1.07-1.35), renal (OR: 1.14, 95% CI: 1.02-1.27), and cardiovascular (OR: 1.13, 95% CI: 1.01-1.25). For mortality or ICU stay ≥3 days, the most predictive SOFA components were respiratory (OR: 1.97, 95% CI: 1.79-2.16), neurologic (OR: 1.72, 95% CI: 1.54-1.92), cardiovascular (OR: 1.38, 95% CI: 1.23-1.54), coagulation (OR: 1.31, 95% CI: 1.10-1.55), and renal (OR: 1.19, 95% CI: 1.08-1.30) while hepatic SOFA (OR: 1.16, 95% CI: 0.98-1.37) did not reach statistical significance ( P = .092). Conclusion: In this retrospective study, SOFA score components demonstrated varying predictive abilities for mortality in sepsis. Elevated coagulation or hepatic SOFA scores were most predictive of in-hospital death, while an elevated respiratory SOFA was most predictive of death or ICU stay >3 days.


2018 ◽  
Vol 35 (7) ◽  
pp. 656-662 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tsuyoshi Nakashima ◽  
Kyohei Miyamoto ◽  
Toshio Shimokawa ◽  
Seiya Kato ◽  
Mineji Hayakawa

Objective: Predicting prognosis is a complex process, particularly in patients with severe sepsis or septic shock. This study aimed to determine the relationship between the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) scores for individual organs during the first week of admission and the in-hospital mortality in patients with sepsis. Methods: This study was a post hoc evaluation of the Japan Septic Disseminated Intravascular Coagulation study and included patients admitted to 42 intensive care units in Japan for severe sepsis or septic shock, between January 2011 and December 2013. We assessed the relationship between the organ and total SOFA scores on days 1, 3, and 7 following admission and the in-hospital mortality using logistic regression analysis. Results: We evaluated 2732 patients and found the in-hospital mortality rate was 29.1%. The mean age of the patients (standard deviation) was 70.5 (14.1) years, and the major primary site of infection was the abdomen (33.6%). The central nervous system (CNS) SOFA score exhibited the strongest relationship with mortality on days 1 (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 1.49, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.40-1.59), 3 (aOR: 1.75, 95% CI: 1.62-1.89), and 7 (aOR: 1.93, 95% CI: 1.77-2.10). The coagulation SOFA scores showed a weak correlation with mortality on day 1, but a strong correlation with mortality on day 7 (aOR: 2.04, 95% CI: 1.87-2.24). Conclusions: The CNS SOFA scores were associated with mortality in patients with severe sepsis on days 1, 3, and 7 following hospitalization. The coagulation SOFA score was associated with mortality on day 7. In clinical situations, the CNS SOFA scores during the acute phase and the CNS SOFA and coagulation SOFA scores during the subsequent phases should be evaluated in order to determine patient prognosis.


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nobuhiro Asai ◽  
Wataru Ohashi ◽  
Daisuke Sakanashi ◽  
Hiroyuki Suematsu ◽  
Hideo Kato ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Candidemia has emerged as an important nosocomial infection, with a mortality rate of 30–50%. It is the fourth most common nosocomial bloodstream infection (BSI) in the United States and the seventh most common nosocomial BSI in Europe and Japan. The aim of this study was to assess the performance of the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score for determining the severity and prognosis of candidemia. Methods We performed a retrospective study of patients admitted to hospital with candidemia between September 2014 and May 2018. The severity of candidemia was evaluated using the SOFA score and the Acute Physiology, Age, Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) score. Patients’ underlying diseases were assessed by the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI). Results Of 70 patients enrolled, 41 (59%) were males, and 29 (41%) were females. Their median age was 73 years (range: 36–93 years). The most common infection site was catheter-related bloodstream infection (n=36, 51%).The 30-day, and in-hospital mortality rates were 36 and 43%, respectively. Univariate analysis showed that SOFA score ≥5, APACHE II score ≥13, initial antifungal treatment with echinocandin, albumin < 2.3, C-reactive protein > 6, disturbance of consciousness, and CCI ≥3 were related with 30-day mortality. Of these 7, multivariate analysis showed that the combination of SOFA score ≥5 and CCI ≥3 was the best independent prognostic indicator for 30-day and in-hospital mortality. Conclusions The combined SOFA score and CCI was a better predictor of the 30-day mortality and in-hospital mortality than the APACHE II score alone.


2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (3) ◽  
pp. 270-278 ◽  
Author(s):  
Faheem W. Guirgis ◽  
Michael A. Puskarich ◽  
Carmen Smotherman ◽  
Sarah A. Sterling ◽  
Shiva Gautam ◽  
...  

Objectives: Sepsis-3 recommends using the quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) score followed by SOFA score for sepsis evaluation. The SOFA is complex and unfamiliar to most emergency physicians, while qSOFA is insensitive for sepsis screening and may result in missed cases of sepsis. The objective of this study was to devise an easy-to-use simple SOFA score for use in the emergency department (ED). Methods: Retrospective study of ED patients with sepsis with in-hospital mortality as the primary outcome. A simple SOFA score was derived and validated and compared with SOFA and qSOFA. Results: A total of 3297 patients with sepsis were included, and in-hospital mortality was 10.1%. Simple SOFA had a sensitivity and specificity of 88% and 44% in the derivation set and 93% and 44% in the validation set for in-hospital mortality, respectively. The sensitivity and specificity of qSOFA was 38% and 86% and for SOFA was 90% and 50%, respectively. There were 2760 (84%) of 3297 qSOFA-negative (<2) patients. In this group, simple SOFA had a sensitivity and specificity of 86% and 48% in the derivation set and 91% and 48% in the validation set, respectively. Sequential Organ Failure Assessment was 86% sensitive and 57% specific in qSOFA-negative patients. For all encounters, the areas under the receiver–operator characteristic curves (AUROC) were 0.82 for SOFA, 0.78 (derivation) and 0.82 (validation) for simple SOFA, and 0.68 for qSOFA. In qSOFA-negative patients, the AUROCs were 0.80 for SOFA and 0.76 (derivation) and 0.82 (validation) for simple SOFA. Conclusions: Simple SOFA demonstrates similar predictive ability for in-hospital mortality from sepsis compared to SOFA. External validation of these findings is indicated.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anssi Pölkki ◽  
Pirkka T Pekkarinen ◽  
Jukka Takala ◽  
Tuomas Selander ◽  
Matti Reinikainen

Abstract BackgroundSequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) is a practical and widely used method to describe and quantify the presence and severity of organ system dysfunctions and failures. Some proposals suggest that SOFA could be employed as an endpoint in interventional trials. To justify this, all SOFA components should have comparable weights as organ dysfunction measures. In this study we aimed to investigate whether the associations of different SOFA components with in-hospital mortality are comparable.MethodsWe performed a study based on nationwide register data on adult patients admitted to 26 Finnish intensive care units (ICUs) during 2012−2015. We determined the SOFA score as the maximum score in the first 24 hours after ICU admission. We defined organ failure as an organ-specific SOFA score of three or higher. We evaluated the association of different SOFA component scores with mortality using multivariable logistic regression analysis. ResultsOur study population comprised 63,756 ICU patients. Overall hospital mortality was 10.7%. In-hospital mortality was 22.5% for patients with respiratory failure, 34.8% for those with coagulation failure, 40.1% for those with hepatic failure, 14.9% for those with cardiovascular failure, 26.9% for those with neurologic failure and 34.6% for the patients with renal failure. The age-adjusted odds ratio for in-hospital death was 2.41 [95% confidence interval (CI) 2.27-2.56] for respiratory failure, 4.04 (95% CI 3.57-4.57) for coagulation failure, 4.24 (95% CI 3.47-5.17), for hepatic failure, 1.57 (95% CI 1.47-1.67) for cardiovascular failure, 5.00 (95% CI 4.71-5.30) for neurologic failure, and 4.93 (95% CI 4.58-5.32) for renal failure. Organ failure combinations including cardiovascular failure were associated with lower mortality than other organ failure combinations.ConclusionsAll SOFA components are associated with mortality, but their weights are not comparable. High cardiovascular SOFA scores do not imply an equally high risk as high scores of other components.


2021 ◽  
Vol 49 (5) ◽  
pp. 030006052110119
Author(s):  
Shuai Zheng ◽  
Jun Lyu ◽  
Didi Han ◽  
Fengshuo Xu ◽  
Chengzhuo Li ◽  
...  

Objective This study aimed to identify the prognostic factors of patients with first-time acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and to establish a nomogram for prognostic modeling. Methods We studied 985 patients with first-time AMI using data from the Multi-parameter Intelligent Monitoring for Intensive Care database and extracted their demographic data. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to examine outcome-related variables. We also tested a new predictive model that includes the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score and compared it with the SOFA-only model. Results An older age, higher SOFA score, and higher Acute Physiology III score were risk factors for the prognosis of AMI. The risk of further cardiovascular events was 1.54-fold higher in women than in men. Patients in the cardiac surgery intensive care unit had a better prognosis than those in the coronary heart disease intensive care unit. Pressurized drug use was a protective factor and the risk of further cardiovascular events was 1.36-fold higher in nonusers. Conclusion The prognosis of AMI is affected by age, the SOFA score, the Acute Physiology III score, sex, admission location, type of care unit, and vasopressin use. Our new predictive model for AMI has better performance than the SOFA model alone.


2018 ◽  
Vol 24 (9_suppl) ◽  
pp. 332S-339S
Author(s):  
Katsunori Mochizuki ◽  
Kotaro Mori ◽  
Yuta Nakamura ◽  
Ryo Uchimido ◽  
Hiroshi Kamijo ◽  
...  

It is unclear whether initial infection control or anticoagulant therapy exerts a greater effect on early changes in the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score among patients with sepsis-induced disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC). This retrospective propensity score cohort study aimed to evaluate whether adequacy of infection control or anticoagulation therapy had a greater effect on early changes in the SOFA scores among 52 patients with sepsis-induced DIC. Inadequate initial infection control was associated with a lower 28-day survival rate among patients with sepsis-induced DIC (odds ratio [OR]: 0.116, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.022-0.601; P = .010); however, the adequacy was not associated with an early improvement in the SOFA score. However, despite adjusting for inadequate initial infection control, administration of recombinant human soluble thrombomodulin was associated with an early improvement in the SOFA score (OR: 5.058, 95% CI: 1.047-24.450; P = .044). Therefore, early changes in the SOFA score within 48 hours after the DIC diagnosis were more strongly affected by the administration of recombinant human soluble thrombomodulin than the adequacy of initial infection control.


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