Machine Learning Modeling of Horizontal Photovoltaics Using Weather and Location Data

Solar energy is a key renewable energy source; however, its intermittent nature and potential for use in distributed systems make power prediction an important aspect of grid integration. This research analyzed a variety of machine learning techniques to predict power output for horizontal solar panels using 14 months of data collected from 12 northern-hemisphere locations. We performed our data collection and analysis in the absence of irradiation data—an approach not commonly found in prior literature. Using latitude, month, hour, ambient temperature, pressure, humidity, wind speed, and cloud ceiling as independent variables, a distributed random forest regression algorithm modeled the combined dataset with an R2 value of 0.94. As a comparative measure, other machine learning algorithms resulted in R2 values of 0.50–0.94. Additionally, the data from each location was modeled separately with R2 values ranging from 0.91 to 0.97, indicating a range of consistency across all sites. Using an input variable permutation approach with the random forest algorithm, we found that the three most important variables for power prediction were ambient temperature, humidity, and cloud ceiling. The analysis showed that machine learning potentially allowed for accurate power prediction while avoiding the challenges associated with modeled irradiation data.

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Machine Learning Algorithms For Understanding The Determinants of Under-Five Mortality

10.21203/rs.3.rs-1021040/v1 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Rakesh Kumar Saroj ◽

Pawan Kumar Yadav ◽

Rajneesh Singh ◽

Obvious Nchimunya Chilyabanyama

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Random Forest ◽

Information Gain ◽

Machine Learning Algorithms ◽

Machine Learning Techniques ◽

Support Vector ◽

Mortality Data ◽

Mortality Factors ◽

Under Five ◽

Learning Techniques

Abstract Background: The death rate of under-five children in India declined last few decades, but few bigger states have poor performance. This is a matter of serious concern for the child's health as well as social development. Nowadays, machine learning techniques play a crucial role in the smart health care system to capture the hidden factors and patterns of outcomes. In this paper, we used machine learning techniques to predict the important factors of under-five mortality.This study aims to explore the importance of machine learning techniques to predict under-five mortality and to find the important factors that cause under-five mortality.The data was taken from the National Family Health Survey-IV of Uttar Pradesh. We used four machine learning techniques like decision tree, support vector machine, random forest, and logistic regression to predict under-five mortality factors and model accuracy of each model. We have also used information gain to rank to know the important variables for accurate predictions in under-five mortality data.Result: Random Forest (RF) predicts the child mortality factors with the highest accuracy of 97.5 %, and the number of living children, births in the last five years, educational level, birth order, total children ever born, currently breastfeeding, and size of child at birth that identifying as essential factors for under-five mortality.Conclusion: The study focuses on machine learning techniques to predict and identify important factors for under-five mortality. The random forest model provides an excellent predictive result for estimating the risk factors of under-five mortality. Based on the resulting outcome, policymakers can make policies and plans to reduce under-five mortality.

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Sport analytics for cricket game results using machine learning: An experimental study

Applied Computing and Informatics ◽

10.1016/j.aci.2019.11.006 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽

Author(s):

Kumash Kapadia ◽

Hussein Abdel-Jaber ◽

Fadi Thabtah ◽

Wael Hadi

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Random Forest ◽

Predictive Models ◽

Information Gain ◽

Machine Learning Algorithms ◽

Machine Learning Techniques ◽

Learning Technology ◽

Home Team ◽

Feature Sets ◽

Learning Techniques

Indian Premier League (IPL) is one of the more popular cricket world tournaments, and its financial is increasing each season, its viewership has increased markedly and the betting market for IPL is growing significantly every year. With cricket being a very dynamic game, bettors and bookies are incentivised to bet on the match results because it is a game that changes ball-by-ball. This paper investigates machine learning technology to deal with the problem of predicting cricket match results based on historical match data of the IPL. Influential features of the dataset have been identified using filter-based methods including Correlation-based Feature Selection, Information Gain (IG), ReliefF and Wrapper. More importantly, machine learning techniques including Naïve Bayes, Random Forest, K-Nearest Neighbour (KNN) and Model Trees (classification via regression) have been adopted to generate predictive models from distinctive feature sets derived by the filter-based methods. Two featured subsets were formulated, one based on home team advantage and other based on Toss decision. Selected machine learning techniques were applied on both feature sets to determine a predictive model. Experimental tests show that tree-based models particularly Random Forest performed better in terms of accuracy, precision and recall metrics when compared to probabilistic and statistical models. However, on the Toss featured subset, none of the considered machine learning algorithms performed well in producing accurate predictive models.

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Real Time Efficient Accident Predictor System using Machine Learning Techniques (kNN, RF, LR, DT)

International Journal of Engineering and Advanced Technology - Regular Issue ◽

10.35940/ijeat.d6910.1210220 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 10 (2) ◽

pp. 108-111

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Random Forest ◽

Real Time ◽

Classification Accuracy ◽

Nearest Neighbors ◽

Machine Learning Algorithms ◽

Machine Learning Techniques ◽

Classification Methods ◽

K Nearest Neighbors ◽

Learning Techniques

Real time crash predictor system is determining frequency of crashes and also severity of crashes. Nowadays machine learning based methods are used to predict the total number of crashes. In this project, prediction accuracy of machine learning algorithms like Decision tree (DT), K-nearest neighbors (KNN), Random forest (RF), Logistic Regression (LR) are evaluated. Performance analysis of these classification methods are evaluated in terms of accuracy. Dataset included for this project is obtained from 49 states of US and 27 states of India which contains 2.25 million US accident crash records and 1.16 million crash records respectively. Results prove that classification accuracy obtained from Random Forest (RF) is96% compared to other classification methods.

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A Novel Approach for Detecting DGA-Based Botnets in DNS Queries Using Machine Learning Techniques

Journal of Computer Networks and Communications ◽

10.1155/2021/4767388 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 2021 ◽

pp. 1-13

Author(s):

Ali Soleymani ◽

Fatemeh Arabgol

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Random Forest ◽

Text Mining ◽

Machine Learning Algorithms ◽

Machine Learning Techniques ◽

Support Vector ◽

Detection Accuracy ◽

Domain Name ◽

Botnet Detection ◽

Learning Techniques

In today’s security landscape, advanced threats are becoming increasingly difficult to detect as the pattern of attacks expands. Classical approaches that rely heavily on static matching, such as blacklisting or regular expression patterns, may be limited in flexibility or uncertainty in detecting malicious data in system data. This is where machine learning techniques can show their value and provide new insights and higher detection rates. The behavior of botnets that use domain-flux techniques to hide command and control channels was investigated in this research. The machine learning algorithm and text mining used to analyze the network DNS protocol and identify botnets were also described. For this purpose, extracted and labeled domain name datasets containing healthy and infected DGA botnet data were used. Data preprocessing techniques based on a text-mining approach were applied to explore domain name strings with n-gram analysis and PCA. Its performance is improved by extracting statistical features by principal component analysis. The performance of the proposed model has been evaluated using different classifiers of machine learning algorithms such as decision tree, support vector machine, random forest, and logistic regression. Experimental results show that the random forest algorithm can be used effectively in botnet detection and has the best botnet detection accuracy.

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Machine Learning Based Indoor Localisation Using Wi-Fi And Smartphone

Journal of Independent Studies and Research - Computing ◽

10.31645/06 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Zulqarnain Khokhar ◽

◽

Murtaza Ahmed Siddiqi ◽

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Random Forest ◽

Decision Tree ◽

Indoor Localization ◽

Machine Learning Algorithms ◽

Machine Learning Techniques ◽

Smart Devices ◽

Gradient Boosting ◽

Learning Techniques ◽

Indoor Localisation

Wi-Fi based indoor positioning with the help of access points and smart devices have become an integral part in finding a device or a person’s location. Wi-Fi based indoor localization technology has been among the most attractive field for researchers for a number of years. In this paper, we have presented Wi-Fi based in-door localization using three different machine-learning techniques. The three machine learning algorithms implemented and compared are Decision Tree, Random Forest and Gradient Boosting classifier. After making a fingerprint of the floor based on Wi-Fi signals, mentioned algorithms were used to identify device location at thirty different positions on the floor. Random Forest and Gradient Boosting classifier were able to identify the location of the device with accuracy higher than 90%. While Decision Tree was able to identify the location with accuracy a bit higher than 80%.

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An Approach for Variable Selection and Prediction Model for Estimating the Risk-Based Capital (RBC) Based on Machine Learning Algorithms

Risks ◽

10.3390/risks10010013 ◽

2022 ◽

Vol 10 (1) ◽

pp. 13

Author(s):

Jaewon Park ◽

Minsoo Shin

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Random Forest ◽

Business Performance ◽

Ordinary Least Squares ◽

Machine Learning Algorithms ◽

Capital Adequacy ◽

Machine Learning Techniques ◽

Insurance Companies ◽

Least Squares Regression ◽

Learning Techniques

The risk-based capital (RBC) ratio, an insurance company’s financial soundness system, evaluates the capital adequacy needed to withstand unexpected losses. Therefore, continuous institutional improvement has been made to monitor the financial solvency of companies and protect consumers’ rights, and improvement of solvency systems has been researched. The primary purpose of this study is to find a set of important predictors to estimate the RBC ratio of life insurance companies in a large number of variables (1891), which includes crucial finance and management indices collected from all Korean insurers quarterly under regulation for transparent management information. This study employs a combination of Machine learning techniques: Random Forest algorithms and the Bayesian Regulatory Neural Network (BRNN). The combination of Random Forest algorithms and BRNN predicts the next period’s RBC ratio better than the conventional statistical method, which uses ordinary least-squares regression (OLS). As a result of the findings from Machine learning techniques, a set of important predictors is found within three categories: liabilities and expenses, other financial predictors, and predictors from business performance. The dataset of 23 companies with 1891 variables was used in this study from March 2008 to December 2018 with quarterly updates for each year.

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Ionospheric VTEC Forecasting using Machine Learning

10.5194/egusphere-egu21-8907 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Randa Natras ◽

Michael Schmidt

Keyword(s):

Magnetic Field ◽

Machine Learning ◽

Random Forest ◽

Space Weather ◽

Early Warning ◽

Learning Algorithms ◽

Machine Learning Algorithms ◽

Machine Learning Techniques ◽

Gradient Boosting ◽

Learning Techniques

The accuracy and reliability of Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) applications are affected by the state of the Earth&#8216;s ionosphere, especially when using single frequency observations, which are employed mostly in mass-market GNSS receivers. In addition, space weather can be the cause of strong sudden disturbances in the ionosphere, representing a major risk for GNSS performance and reliability. Accurate corrections of ionospheric effects and early warning information in the presence of space weather are therefore crucial for GNSS applications. This correction information can be obtained by employing a model that describes the complex relation of space weather processes with the non-linear spatial and temporal variability of the Vertical Total Electron Content (VTEC) within the ionosphere and includes a forecast component considering space weather events to provide an early warning system. To develop such a model is challenging but an important task and of high interest for the GNSS community.To model the impact of space weather, a complex chain of physical dynamical processes between the Sun, the interplanetary magnetic field, the Earth's magnetic field and the ionosphere need to be taken into account. Machine learning techniques are suitable in finding patterns and relationships from historical data to solve problems that are too complex for a traditional approach requiring an extensive set of rules (equations) or for which there is no acceptable solution available yet.The main objective of this study is to develop a model for forecasting the ionospheric VTEC taking into account physical processes and utilizing state-of-art machine learning techniques to learn complex non-linear relationships from the data. In this work, supervised learning is applied to forecast VTEC. This means that the model is provided by a set of (input) variables that have some influence on the VTEC forecast (output). To be more specific, data of solar activity, solar wind, interplanetary and geomagnetic field and other information connected to the VTEC variability are used as input to predict VTEC values in the future. Different machine learning algorithms are applied, such as decision tree regression, random forest regression and gradient boosting. The decision trees are the simplest and easiest to interpret machine learning algorithms, but the forecasted VTEC lacks smoothness. On the other hand, random forest and gradient boosting use a combination of multiple regression trees, which lead to improvements in the prediction accuracy and smoothness. However, the results show that the overall performance of the algorithms, measured by the root mean square error, does not differ much from each other and improves when the data are well prepared, i.e. cleaned and transformed to remove trends. Preliminary results of this study will be presented including the methodology, goals, challenges and perspectives of developing the machine learning model.

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Using Machine Learning Algorithms on Prediction of Stock Price

Journal of Modeling and Optimization ◽

10.32732/jmo.2020.12.2.84 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 12 (2) ◽

pp. 84-99

Author(s):

Li-Pang Chen

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Stock Price ◽

Short Term Memory ◽

Machine Learning Algorithms ◽

Machine Learning Techniques ◽

Support Vector ◽

Short Term ◽

Learning Techniques ◽

Historical Database ◽

Long Short Term Memory

In this paper, we investigate analysis and prediction of the time-dependent data. We focus our attention on four different stocks are selected from Yahoo Finance historical database. To build up models and predict the future stock price, we consider three different machine learning techniques including Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) and Support Vector Regression (SVR). By treating close price, open price, daily low, daily high, adjusted close price, and volume of trades as predictors in machine learning methods, it can be shown that the prediction accuracy is improved.

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A Comparative Study of Different Machine Learning Algorithms for Disease Prediction

International Journal of Advanced Research in Computer Science and Software Engineering ◽

10.23956/ijarcsse/v7i7/0177 ◽

2017 ◽

Vol 7 (7) ◽

pp. 172

Author(s):

Anantvir Singh Romana

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Subsequent Treatment ◽

Machine Learning Algorithms ◽

Machine Learning Techniques ◽

Support Vector ◽

Disease Prediction ◽

Classification Problems ◽

Learning Techniques ◽

Neural Network Classifiers ◽

Diagnostic Detection

Accurate diagnostic detection of the disease in a patient is critical and may alter the subsequent treatment and increase the chances of survival rate. Machine learning techniques have been instrumental in disease detection and are currently being used in various classification problems due to their accurate prediction performance. Various techniques may provide different desired accuracies and it is therefore imperative to use the most suitable method which provides the best desired results. This research seeks to provide comparative analysis of Support Vector Machine, Naïve bayes, J48 Decision Tree and neural network classifiers breast cancer and diabetes datsets.

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Feasibility of Machine Learning Algorithms for Predicting the Deformation of Anodic Titanium Films by Modulating Anodization Processes

Materials ◽

10.3390/ma14051089 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 14 (5) ◽

pp. 1089

Author(s):

Sung-Hee Kim ◽

Chanyoung Jeong

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Learning Algorithms ◽

Multiclass Classification ◽

Machine Learning Algorithms ◽

Machine Learning Techniques ◽

Smart Manufacturing ◽

Gradient Boosting ◽

Experimental Conditions ◽

Learning Techniques ◽

Tio2 Nanostructures

This study aims to demonstrate the feasibility of applying eight machine learning algorithms to predict the classification of the surface characteristics of titanium oxide (TiO2) nanostructures with different anodization processes. We produced a total of 100 samples, and we assessed changes in TiO2 nanostructures’ thicknesses by performing anodization. We successfully grew TiO2 films with different thicknesses by one-step anodization in ethylene glycol containing NH4F and H2O at applied voltage differences ranging from 10 V to 100 V at various anodization durations. We found that the thicknesses of TiO2 nanostructures are dependent on anodization voltages under time differences. Therefore, we tested the feasibility of applying machine learning algorithms to predict the deformation of TiO2. As the characteristics of TiO2 changed based on the different experimental conditions, we classified its surface pore structure into two categories and four groups. For the classification based on granularity, we assessed layer creation, roughness, pore creation, and pore height. We applied eight machine learning techniques to predict classification for binary and multiclass classification. For binary classification, random forest and gradient boosting algorithm had relatively high performance. However, all eight algorithms had scores higher than 0.93, which signifies high prediction on estimating the presence of pore. In contrast, decision tree and three ensemble methods had a relatively higher performance for multiclass classification, with an accuracy rate greater than 0.79. The weakest algorithm used was k-nearest neighbors for both binary and multiclass classifications. We believe that these results show that we can apply machine learning techniques to predict surface quality improvement, leading to smart manufacturing technology to better control color appearance, super-hydrophobicity, super-hydrophilicity or batter efficiency.

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