scholarly journals Real Time Efficient Accident Predictor System using Machine Learning Techniques (kNN, RF, LR, DT)

Real time crash predictor system is determining frequency of crashes and also severity of crashes. Nowadays machine learning based methods are used to predict the total number of crashes. In this project, prediction accuracy of machine learning algorithms like Decision tree (DT), K-nearest neighbors (KNN), Random forest (RF), Logistic Regression (LR) are evaluated. Performance analysis of these classification methods are evaluated in terms of accuracy. Dataset included for this project is obtained from 49 states of US and 27 states of India which contains 2.25 million US accident crash records and 1.16 million crash records respectively. Results prove that classification accuracy obtained from Random Forest (RF) is96% compared to other classification methods.

PeerJ ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
pp. e8764 ◽  
Author(s):  
Siroj Bakoev ◽  
Lyubov Getmantseva ◽  
Maria Kolosova ◽  
Olga Kostyunina ◽  
Duane R. Chartier ◽  
...  

Industrial pig farming is associated with negative technological pressure on the bodies of pigs. Leg weakness and lameness are the sources of significant economic loss in raising pigs. Therefore, it is important to identify the predictors of limb condition. This work presents assessments of the state of limbs using indicators of growth and meat characteristics of pigs based on machine learning algorithms. We have evaluated and compared the accuracy of prediction for nine ML classification algorithms (Random Forest, K-Nearest Neighbors, Artificial Neural Networks, C50Tree, Support Vector Machines, Naive Bayes, Generalized Linear Models, Boost, and Linear Discriminant Analysis) and have identified the Random Forest and K-Nearest Neighbors as the best-performing algorithms for predicting pig leg weakness using a small set of simple measurements that can be taken at an early stage of animal development. Measurements of Muscle Thickness, Back Fat amount, and Average Daily Gain were found to be significant predictors of the conformation of pig limbs. Our work demonstrates the utility and relative ease of using machine learning algorithms to assess the state of limbs in pigs based on growth rate and meat characteristics.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rakesh Kumar Saroj ◽  
Pawan Kumar Yadav ◽  
Rajneesh Singh ◽  
Obvious Nchimunya Chilyabanyama

Abstract Background: The death rate of under-five children in India declined last few decades, but few bigger states have poor performance. This is a matter of serious concern for the child's health as well as social development. Nowadays, machine learning techniques play a crucial role in the smart health care system to capture the hidden factors and patterns of outcomes. In this paper, we used machine learning techniques to predict the important factors of under-five mortality.This study aims to explore the importance of machine learning techniques to predict under-five mortality and to find the important factors that cause under-five mortality.The data was taken from the National Family Health Survey-IV of Uttar Pradesh. We used four machine learning techniques like decision tree, support vector machine, random forest, and logistic regression to predict under-five mortality factors and model accuracy of each model. We have also used information gain to rank to know the important variables for accurate predictions in under-five mortality data.Result: Random Forest (RF) predicts the child mortality factors with the highest accuracy of 97.5 %, and the number of living children, births in the last five years, educational level, birth order, total children ever born, currently breastfeeding, and size of child at birth that identifying as essential factors for under-five mortality.Conclusion: The study focuses on machine learning techniques to predict and identify important factors for under-five mortality. The random forest model provides an excellent predictive result for estimating the risk factors of under-five mortality. Based on the resulting outcome, policymakers can make policies and plans to reduce under-five mortality.


2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Kumash Kapadia ◽  
Hussein Abdel-Jaber ◽  
Fadi Thabtah ◽  
Wael Hadi

Indian Premier League (IPL) is one of the more popular cricket world tournaments, and its financial is increasing each season, its viewership has increased markedly and the betting market for IPL is growing significantly every year. With cricket being a very dynamic game, bettors and bookies are incentivised to bet on the match results because it is a game that changes ball-by-ball. This paper investigates machine learning technology to deal with the problem of predicting cricket match results based on historical match data of the IPL. Influential features of the dataset have been identified using filter-based methods including Correlation-based Feature Selection, Information Gain (IG), ReliefF and Wrapper. More importantly, machine learning techniques including Naïve Bayes, Random Forest, K-Nearest Neighbour (KNN) and Model Trees (classification via regression) have been adopted to generate predictive models from distinctive feature sets derived by the filter-based methods. Two featured subsets were formulated, one based on home team advantage and other based on Toss decision. Selected machine learning techniques were applied on both feature sets to determine a predictive model. Experimental tests show that tree-based models particularly Random Forest performed better in terms of accuracy, precision and recall metrics when compared to probabilistic and statistical models. However, on the Toss featured subset, none of the considered machine learning algorithms performed well in producing accurate predictive models.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-29
Author(s):  
Ahmed Alsaihati ◽  
Mahmoud Abughaban ◽  
Salaheldin Elkatatny ◽  
Abdulazeez Abdulraheem

Abstract Fluid loss into formations is a common operational issue that is frequently encountered when drilling across naturally or induced fractured formations. This could pose significant operational risks, such as well-control, stuck pipe, and wellbore instability, which, in turn, lead to an increase of well time and cost. This research aims to use and evaluate different machine learning techniques, namely: support vector machines, random forests, and K-nearest neighbors in detecting loss circulation occurrences while drilling using solely drilling surface parameters. Actual field data of seven wells, which had suffered partial or severe loss circulation, were used to build predictive models, while Well-8 was used to compare the performance of the developed models. Different performance metrics were used to evaluate the performance of the developed models. Recall, precision, and F1-score measures were used to evaluate the ability of the developed model to detect loss circulation occurrences. The results showed the K-nearest neighbors classifier achieved a high F1-score of 0.912 in detecting loss circulation occurrence in the testing set, while the random forests was the second-best classifier with almost the same F1-score of 0.910. The support vector machines achieved an F1-score of 0.83 in predicting the loss circulation occurrence in the testing set. The K-nearest neighbors outperformed other models in detecting the loss circulation occurrences in Well-8 with an F1-score of 0.80. The main contribution of this research as compared to previous studies is that it identifies losses events based on real-time measurements of the active pit volume.


Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (10) ◽  
pp. 2570
Author(s):  
Christil Pasion ◽  
Torrey Wagner ◽  
Clay Koschnick ◽  
Steven Schuldt ◽  
Jada Williams ◽  
...  

Solar energy is a key renewable energy source; however, its intermittent nature and potential for use in distributed systems make power prediction an important aspect of grid integration. This research analyzed a variety of machine learning techniques to predict power output for horizontal solar panels using 14 months of data collected from 12 northern-hemisphere locations. We performed our data collection and analysis in the absence of irradiation data—an approach not commonly found in prior literature. Using latitude, month, hour, ambient temperature, pressure, humidity, wind speed, and cloud ceiling as independent variables, a distributed random forest regression algorithm modeled the combined dataset with an R2 value of 0.94. As a comparative measure, other machine learning algorithms resulted in R2 values of 0.50–0.94. Additionally, the data from each location was modeled separately with R2 values ranging from 0.91 to 0.97, indicating a range of consistency across all sites. Using an input variable permutation approach with the random forest algorithm, we found that the three most important variables for power prediction were ambient temperature, humidity, and cloud ceiling. The analysis showed that machine learning potentially allowed for accurate power prediction while avoiding the challenges associated with modeled irradiation data.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Moohanad Jawthari ◽  
Veronika Stoffová

AbstractThe target (dependent) variable is often influenced not only by ratio scale variables, but also by qualitative (nominal scale) variables in classification analysis. Majority of machine learning techniques accept only numerical inputs. Hence, it is necessary to encode these categorical variables into numerical values using encoding techniques. If the variable does not have relation or order between its values, assigning numbers will mislead the machine learning techniques. This paper presents a modified k-nearest-neighbors algorithm that calculates the distances values of categorical (nominal) variables without encoding them. A student’s academic performance dataset is used for testing the enhanced algorithm. It shows that the proposed algorithm outperforms standard one that needs nominal variables encoding to calculate the distance between the nominal variables. The results show the proposed algorithm preforms 14% better than standard one in accuracy, and it is not sensitive to outliers.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Ali Soleymani ◽  
Fatemeh Arabgol

In today’s security landscape, advanced threats are becoming increasingly difficult to detect as the pattern of attacks expands. Classical approaches that rely heavily on static matching, such as blacklisting or regular expression patterns, may be limited in flexibility or uncertainty in detecting malicious data in system data. This is where machine learning techniques can show their value and provide new insights and higher detection rates. The behavior of botnets that use domain-flux techniques to hide command and control channels was investigated in this research. The machine learning algorithm and text mining used to analyze the network DNS protocol and identify botnets were also described. For this purpose, extracted and labeled domain name datasets containing healthy and infected DGA botnet data were used. Data preprocessing techniques based on a text-mining approach were applied to explore domain name strings with n-gram analysis and PCA. Its performance is improved by extracting statistical features by principal component analysis. The performance of the proposed model has been evaluated using different classifiers of machine learning algorithms such as decision tree, support vector machine, random forest, and logistic regression. Experimental results show that the random forest algorithm can be used effectively in botnet detection and has the best botnet detection accuracy.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 31-38
Author(s):  
Michelle Tais Garcia Furuya ◽  
Danielle Elis Garcia Furuya

The e-mail service is one of the main tools used today and is an example that technology facilitates the exchange of information. On the other hand, one of the biggest obstacles faced by e-mail services is spam, the name given to the unsolicited message received by a user. The machine learning application has been gaining prominence in recent years as an alternative for efficient identification of spam. In this area, different algorithms can be evaluated to identify which one has the best performance. The aim of the study is to identify the ability of machine learning algorithms to correctly classify e-mails and also to identify which algorithm obtained the greatest accuracy. The database used was taken from the Kaggle platform and the data were processed bythe Orange software with four algorithms: Random Forest (RF), K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Support Vector Machine (SVM) and Naive Bayes (NB). The division of data in training and testing considers 80% of the data for training and 20% for testing. The results show that Random Forest was the best performing algorithm with 99% accuracy.


Sentiment analysis or opinion mining has gained much attention in recent years.With the constantly evolving social networks and internet marketing sites, reviews and blogs have been obtained among them, they act as an significant source for future analysis and better decision making. These reviews are naturally unstructured and thus require pre processing and further classification to gain the significant information for future use. These reviews and blogs can be of different types such as positive, negative and neutral . Supervised machine learning techniquess help to classify these reviews. In this paper five machine learning algorithms (K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Decision Tree, Artificial neural networks (ANNs), Naïve bayes and Support Vector Machine (SVM))are used for classification of sentiments. These algorithms are analyzed usingTwitter dataset. Performance analysis of these algorithms are done by using various performance measures such as Accuracy, precision, recall and F-measure. The evaluation of these techniques on Twitter datasetshowed predictive ability of Machine Learning in opinion mining


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