scholarly journals Comparison of Random Forest Model and Frequency Ratio Model for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping (LSM) in Yunyang County (Chongqing, China)

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (12) ◽  
pp. 4206 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yue Wang ◽  
Deliang Sun ◽  
Haijia Wen ◽  
Hong Zhang ◽  
Fengtai Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Random Forest ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Frequency Ratio ◽  
Coincidence Degree ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Training Dataset ◽  
Entire Area ◽  
Conditioning Factors

To compare the random forest (RF) model and the frequency ratio (FR) model for landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM), this research selected Yunyang Country as the study area for its frequent natural disasters; especially landslides. A landslide inventory was built by historical records; satellite images; and extensive field surveys. Subsequently; a geospatial database was established based on 987 historical landslides in the study area. Then; all the landslides were randomly divided into two datasets: 70% of them were used as the training dataset and 30% as the test dataset. Furthermore; under five primary conditioning factors (i.e., topography factors; geological factors; environmental factors; human engineering activities; and triggering factors), 22 secondary conditioning factors were selected to form an evaluation factor library for analyzing the landslide susceptibility. On this basis; the RF model training and the FR model mathematical analysis were performed; and the established models were used for the landslide susceptibility simulation in the entire area of Yunyang County. Next; based on the analysis results; the susceptibility maps were divided into five classes: very low; low; medium; high; and very high. In addition; the importance of conditioning factors was ranked and the influence of landslides was explored by using the RF model. The area under the curve (AUC) value of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve; precision; accuracy; and recall ratio were used to analyze the predictive ability of the above two LSM models. The results indicated a difference in the performances between the two models. The RF model (AUC = 0.988) performed better than the FR model (AUC = 0.716). Moreover; compared with the FR model; the RF model showed a higher coincidence degree between the areas in the high and the very low susceptibility classes; on the one hand; and the geographical spatial distribution of historical landslides; on the other hand. Therefore; it was concluded that the RF model was more suitable for landslide susceptibility evaluation in Yunyang County; because of its significant model performance; reliability; and stability. The outcome also provided a theoretical basis for application of machine learning techniques (e.g., RF) in landslide prevention; mitigation; and urban planning; so as to deliver an adequate response to the increasing demand for effective and low-cost tools in landslide susceptibility assessments.

scholarly journals Shallow Landslide Susceptibility Mapping by Random Forest Base Classifier and Its Ensembles in a Semi-Arid Region of Iran

Forests ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 421 ◽  
Author(s):  
Viet-Ha Nhu ◽  
Ataollah Shirzadi ◽  
Himan Shahabi ◽  
Wei Chen ◽  
John J Clague ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Random Forest ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Goodness Of Fit ◽  
Information Gain ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Shallow Landslide ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Conditioning Factors

We generated high-quality shallow landslide susceptibility maps for Bijar County, Kurdistan Province, Iran, using Random Forest (RAF), an ensemble computational intelligence method and three meta classifiers—Bagging (BA, BA-RAF), Random Subspace (RS, RS-RAF), and Rotation Forest (RF, RF-RAF). Modeling and validation were done on 111 shallow landslide locations using 20 conditioning factors tested by the Information Gain Ratio (IGR) technique. We assessed model performance with statistically based indexes, including sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, kappa, root mean square error (RMSE), and area under the receiver operatic characteristic curve (AUC). All four machine learning models that we tested yielded excellent goodness-of-fit and prediction accuracy, but the RF-RAF ensemble model (AUC = 0.936) outperformed the BA-RAF, RS-RAF (AUC = 0.907), and RAF (AUC = 0.812) models. The results also show that the Random Forest model significantly improved the predictive capability of the RAF-based classifier and, therefore, can be considered as a useful and an effective tool in regional shallow landslide susceptibility mapping.

scholarly journals Integration of Information Theory, Fractal Theory and Statistical Analyses for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping at Regional Scales

2022 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaolong Deng ◽  
Guangji Sun ◽  
Naiwu He ◽  
Yonghua Yu
Keyword(s):  
Information Theory ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Frequency Ratio ◽  
Fractal Theory ◽  
Spatial Association ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Training Dataset ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Ratio Method

Abstract A new model, integrating information theory, fractal theory and statistical model for accurate landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) at regional scales, has been proposed. In this model, landslide conditional factors are firstly classified with an optimal number of classes, which is determined by maximizing their information coefficients estimated from Shannon’s entropy model. The spatial association between influencing factors and induced landslides has been measured by introducing the variable fractal dimension method (VFDM). The VFDM approach fully considers the characteristics of landslide fractal distribution. Then the fractal dimensions (\(D\)) are calculated to provide multiple factors with various numerical weights. The proposed model eventually combines the landslide frequency ratio (\(fr\)) of each factor with corresponding weight to achieve spatial prediction of landslides, illustrated by an example area in China. In the study area, 500 landslides have been identified by aerial photograph interpretation, extensive field investigations, historical and bibliographical landslide data. In the model, these landslides are randomly split into a training dataset (70 %)and a validating dataset (30 %) Seven factors are recognized and analyzed by frequency ratio (FR) method, including lithology, distance to fault, altitude, slope, aspect, distance to stream and distance to the road. The receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) has been adopted to compare and validate the model results. Results show that the proposed landslide model achieved a more accurate prediction with AUROC equal to 0.8467, over-performing than the conventional frequency ratio method (AUROC=0.8088). According to the final prognostic landslide susceptibility map, 16.37 % f the study area shows very high and high susceptibility, accounting for 63.55 % f the entire landslides. Evaluation of relative factor importance based on a one-by-one factor removal test indicates that the lithology factor contributes unique information for landslides. In conclusion, the example demonstrates that the proposed framework is promising for further improvement of LSM.

scholarly journals Rainfall Induced Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Based on Bayesian Optimized Random Forest and Gradient Boosting Decision Tree Models—A Case Study of Shuicheng County, China

Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (11) ◽  
pp. 3066
Author(s):  
Guangzhi Rong ◽  
Si Alu ◽  
Kaiwei Li ◽  
Yulin Su ◽  
Jiquan Zhang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Random Forest ◽  
Decision Tree ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Bayesian Optimization ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Economic Losses ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Conditioning Factors ◽  
Before And After

Among the most frequent and dangerous natural hazards, landslides often result in huge casualties and economic losses. Landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) is an excellent approach for protecting and reducing the risks by landslides. This study aims to explore the performance of Bayesian optimization (BO) in the random forest (RF) and gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT) model for LSM and applied in Shuicheng County, China. Multiple data sources are used to obtain 17 conditioning factors of landslides, Borderline-SMOTE and Randomundersample methods are combined to solve the imbalanced sample problem. RF and GBDT models before and after BO are adopted to calculate the susceptibility value of landslides and produce LSMs and these models were compared and evaluated using multiple validation approach. The results demonstrated that the models we proposed all have high enough model accuracy to be applied to produce LSM, the performance of the RF is better than the GBDT model without BO, while after adopting the Bayesian optimized hyperparameters, the prediction accuracy of the RF and GBDT models is improved by 1% and 7%, respectively and the Bayesian optimized GBDT model is the best for LSM in this four models. In summary, the Bayesian optimized RF and GBDT models, especially the GBDT model we proposed for landslide susceptibility assessment and LSM construction has a very good application performance and development prospects.

scholarly journals Risk Factor Detection and Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Using Geo-Detector and Random Forest Models: The 2018 Hokkaido Eastern Iburi Earthquake

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (6) ◽  
pp. 1157
Author(s):  
Yimo Liu ◽  
Wanchang Zhang ◽  
Zhijie Zhang ◽  
Qiang Xu ◽  
Weile Li
Keyword(s):  
Random Forest ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Integrated Model ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Landslide Risk ◽  
Conditioning Factors ◽  
Q Statistic ◽  
Selection Of

Landslide susceptibility mapping is an effective approach for landslide risk prevention and assessments. The occurrence of slope instability is highly correlated with intrinsic variables that contribute to the occurrence of landslides, such as geology, geomorphology, climate, hydrology, etc. However, feature selection of those conditioning factors to constitute datasets with optimal predictive capability effectively and accurately is still an open question. The present study aims to examine further the integration of the selected landslide conditioning factors with Q-statistic in Geo-detector for determining stratification and selection of landslide conditioning factors in landslide risk analysis as to ultimately optimize landslide susceptibility model prediction. The location chosen for the study was Atsuma Town, which suffered from landslides following the Eastern Iburi Earthquake in 2018 in Hokkaido, Japan. A total of 13 conditioning factors were obtained from different sources belonging to six categories: geology, geomorphology, seismology, hydrology, land cover/use and human activity; these were selected to generate the datasets for landslide susceptibility mapping. The original datasets of landslide conditioning factors were analyzed with Q-statistic in Geo-detector to examine their explanatory powers regarding the occurrence of landslides. A Random Forest (RF) model was adopted for landslide susceptibility mapping. Subsequently, four subsets, including the Manually delineated landslide Points with 9 features Dataset (MPD9), the Randomly delineated landslide Points with 9 features Dataset (RPD9), the Manually delineated landslide Points with 13 features Dataset (MPD13), and the Randomly delineated landslide Points with 13 features Dataset (RPD13), were selected by an analysis of Q-statistic for training and validating the Geo-detector-RF- integrated model. Overall, using dataset MPD9, the Geo-detector-RF-integrated model yielded the highest prediction accuracy (89.90%), followed by using dataset MPD13 (89.53%), dataset RPD13 (88.63%) and dataset RPD9 (87.07%), which implied that optimized conditioning factors can effectively improve the prediction accuracy of landslide susceptibility mapping.

scholarly journals GIS based frequency ratio method for landslide susceptibility mapping at Da Lat City, Lam Dong province, Vietnam

2020 ◽  
Vol 42 (1) ◽  
pp. 55-66 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dang Quang Thanh ◽  
Duy Huu Nguyen ◽  
Indra Prakash ◽  
Abolfazl Jaafari ◽  
Viet -Tien Nguyen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Frequency Ratio ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Ratio Method ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
High Susceptibility ◽  
Conditioning Factors ◽  
Prone Area

Landslide susceptibility mapping of the city of Da Lat, which is located in the landslide prone area of Lam Dong province of Central Vietnam region, was carried out using GIS based frequency ratio (FR) method. There are number of methods available but FR method is simple and widely used method for landslide susceptibility mapping. In the present study, eight topographical and geo-environmental landslide-conditioning factors were used including slope, elevation, land use, weathering crust, soil, lithology, distance to geology features, and stream density in conjunction with 70 past landslide locations. The results show that 6.27% of the area is in the very low susceptibility area, 21.03% in the low susceptibility area, 27.09% in the moderate susceptibility area and 27.41% of the area is in the high susceptibility zone and 18.21% in the very high susceptibility zone. The landslide susceptibility map produced in this study helps to assist decision makers in proper land use management and planning.

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