scholarly journals Verification of Forecast Performance of a Rapid Refresh Wave Model Based on Wind–Wave Interaction Effect

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (11) ◽  
pp. 1230
Author(s):  
Min Roh ◽  
Nary La ◽  
Sang-Myeong Oh ◽  
Kiryong Kang ◽  
Youjung Oh ◽  
...  

In this study, we constructed a rapid refresh wave forecast model using sea winds from the Korea Local Analysis and Prediction System as input forcing data. The model evaluated the changes in forecast performance considering the influence of input wind–wave interaction, which is an important factor that determines forecast performance. The forecast performance was evaluated by comparing the forecast results of the wave model with the significant wave height, wave period, and wave direction provided by moored buoy observations. During the typhoon season, the model tended to underestimate the conditions, and the root mean square error (RMSE) was reduced by increasing the wind and wave interaction parameter. The best value of the interaction parameter that minimizes the RMSE was determined based on the results of the numerical experiments performed during the typhoon season. The forecast error in the typhoon season was higher than that observed in the analysis results of the non-typhoon season. This can be attributed to the variations of the wave energy caused by the relatively strong typhoon wind field considered in the wave model.

2013 ◽  
Vol 28 (2) ◽  
pp. 316-330 ◽  
Author(s):  
Steven M. Lazarus ◽  
Samuel T. Wilson ◽  
Michael E. Splitt ◽  
Gary A. Zarillo

Abstract A wind-wave forecast system, designed with the intention of generating unbiased ensemble wave forecasts for extreme wind events, is assessed. Wave hindcasts for 12 tropical cyclones (TCs) are forced using a wind analysis produced from a combination of the North American Regional Reanalysis (NARR) and a parametric wind model. The default drag parameterization is replaced by one that is more in line with recent studies where a cap at weak-to-moderate wind speeds is applied. Quadrant-based significant wave height (Hs) statistics are composited in a storm-relative reference frame and stratified by the radius of maximum wind, storm speed, and storm intensity. Improvements in Hs are gleaned from both downscaling the NARR winds and tuning the wave model. However, the paradigm whereby the drag coefficient depends solely on the wind speed is limiting. Results indicate that Hs is biased low in the right quadrants (for all statistical subcategories). Conversely, Hs is high biased in the left-rear quadrant even though the analysis wind field is underforecast there. At radii less than 100 nautical miles, the model peak wave direction is offset from the observed, with the model (buoy) peak more in line with (to the left of) the direction of the tropical cyclone motion. As a result, the predominant storm-relative wind direction, which is northwesterly in the left-rear quadrant, opposes that of the buoy peak wave direction, while the model peak is more crosswise with respect to the wind. This will likely reduce the magnitude of the wind stress in the model.


2011 ◽  
Vol 41 (8) ◽  
pp. 1421-1454 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yu. Troitskaya ◽  
D. Sergeev ◽  
O. Ermakova ◽  
G. Balandina

Abstract A turbulent airflow with a centerline velocity of 4 m s−1 above 2.5-Hz mechanically generated gravity waves of different amplitudes has been studied in experiments using the particle image velocimetry (PIV) technique. Direct measurements of the instantaneous flow velocity fields above a curvilinear interface demonstrating flow separation are presented. Because the airflow above the wavy water surface is turbulent and nonstationary, the individual vector fields are conditionally averaged sampled on the phase of the water elevation. The flow patterns of the phase-averaged fields are relatively smooth. Because the averaged flow does not show any strongly nonlinear effects, the quasi-linear approximation can be used. The parameters obtained by the flow averaging are compared with the theoretical results obtained within the theoretical quasi-linear model of a turbulent boundary layer above the wavy water surface. The wave-induced pressure disturbances in the airflow are calculated using the retrieved statistical ensemble of wind flow velocities. The energy flux from the wind to waves and the wind–wave interaction parameter are estimated using the obtained wave-induced pressure disturbances. The estimated values of the wind–wave interaction parameter are in a good agreement with the theory.


2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (5) ◽  
pp. 475
Author(s):  
Min Roh ◽  
Hyung-Suk Kim ◽  
Pil-Hun Chang ◽  
Sang-Myeong Oh

A wave forecast numerical simulation was performed for Typhoon Lingling around the Korean Peninsula and in the East Asia region using sea winds from 24 members produced by the Ensemble Prediction System for Global (EPSG) of Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). Significant wave height was observed by the ocean data buoys used to verify data of the ensemble wave model, and the results of the ensemble members were analyzed through probability verification. The forecast performance for the significant wave height improved by approximately 18% in the root mean square error in the three-day lead time compared to that of the deterministic model, and the difference in performance was particularly distinct towards mid-to-late lead times. The ensemble spread was relatively appropriate, even in the longer lead time, and each ensemble model runs were all stable. As a result of the probability verification, information on the uncertainty that could not be provided in the deterministic model could be obtained. It was found that all the Relative Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves were 0.9 or above, demonstrating good predictive performance, and the ensemble wave model is expected to be useful in identifying and determining hazardous weather conditions.


Author(s):  
Fedor Gippius ◽  
Fedor Gippius ◽  
Stanislav Myslenkov ◽  
Stanislav Myslenkov ◽  
Elena Stoliarova ◽  
...  

This study is focused on the alterations and typical features of the wind wave climate of the Black Sea’s coastal waters since 1979 till nowadays. Wind wave parameters were calculated by means of the 3rd-generation numerical spectral wind wave model SWAN, which is widely used on various spatial scales – both coastal waters and open seas. Data on wind speed and direction from the NCEP CFSR reanalysis were used as forcing. The computations were performed on an unstructured computational grid with cell size depending on the distance from the shoreline. Modeling results were applied to evaluate the main characteristics of the wind wave in various coastal areas of the sea.


2011 ◽  
Vol 38 (2-3) ◽  
pp. 456-467 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tai-Wen Hsu ◽  
Jian-Ming Liau ◽  
Jaw-Guei Lin ◽  
Jinhai Zheng ◽  
Shan-Hwei Ou
Keyword(s):  

1994 ◽  
Vol 20 (4) ◽  
pp. 613-624 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephen Clodman
Keyword(s):  

2010 ◽  
Vol 34 (8) ◽  
pp. 1984-1999 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmadreza Zamani ◽  
Ahmadreza Azimian ◽  
Arnold Heemink ◽  
Dimitri Solomatine

2018 ◽  
Vol 26 ◽  
pp. 162-173 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xuanting Hao ◽  
Tao Cao ◽  
Zixuan Yang ◽  
Tianyi Li ◽  
Lian Shen

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (11) ◽  
pp. 1258
Author(s):  
Viet Thanh Nguyen ◽  
Minh Tuan Vu ◽  
Chi Zhang

Two-dimensional models of large spatial domain including Cua Lo and Cua Hoi estuaries in Nghe An province, Vietnam, were established, calibrated, and verified with the observed data of tidal level, wave height, wave period, wave direction, and suspended sediment concentration. The model was then applied to investigate the hydrodynamics, cohesive sediment transport, and the morphodynamics feedbacks between two estuaries. Results reveal opposite patterns of nearshore currents affected by monsoons, which flow from the north to the south during the northeast (NE) monsoon and from the south to the north during the southeast (SE) monsoon. The spectral wave model results indicate that wave climate is the main control of the sediment transport in the study area. In the NE monsoon, sediment from Cua Lo port transported to the south generates the sand bar in the northern bank of the Cua Hoi estuary, while sediment from Cua Hoi cannot be carried to the Cua Lo estuary due to the presence of Hon Ngu Island and Lan Chau headland. As a result, the longshore sediment transport from the Cua Hoi estuary to the Cua Lo estuary is reduced and interrupted. The growth and degradation of the sand bars at the Cua Hoi estuary have a great influence on the stability of the navigation channel to Ben Thuy port as well as flood drainage of Lam River.


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