scholarly journals The Extended Log-Logistic Distribution: Inference and Actuarial Applications

Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (12) ◽  
pp. 1386
Author(s):  
Nada M. Alfaer ◽  
Ahmed M. Gemeay ◽  
Hassan M. Aljohani ◽  
Ahmed Z. Afify

Actuaries are interested in modeling actuarial data using loss models that can be adopted to describe risk exposure. This paper introduces a new flexible extension of the log-logistic distribution, called the extended log-logistic (Ex-LL) distribution, to model heavy-tailed insurance losses data. The Ex-LL hazard function exhibits an upside-down bathtub shape, an increasing shape, a J shape, a decreasing shape, and a reversed-J shape. We derived five important risk measures based on the Ex-LL distribution. The Ex-LL parameters were estimated using different estimation methods, and their performances were assessed using simulation results. Finally, the performance of the Ex-LL distribution was explored using two types of real data from the engineering and insurance sciences. The analyzed data illustrated that the Ex-LL distribution provided an adequate fit compared to other competing distributions such as the log-logistic, alpha-power log-logistic, transmuted log-logistic, generalized log-logistic, Marshall–Olkin log-logistic, inverse log-logistic, and Weibull generalized log-logistic distributions.

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 910-941
Author(s):  
Abd-Elmonem A. M. Teamah ◽  
Ahmed A. Elbanna ◽  
Ahmed M. Gemeay

Heavy tailed distributions have a big role in studying risk data sets. Statisticians in many cases search and try to find new or relatively new statistical models to fit data sets in different fields. This article introduced a relatively new heavy-tailed statistical model by using alpha power transformation and exponentiated log-logistic distribution which called alpha power exponentiated log-logistic distribution. Its statistical properties were derived mathematically such as moments, moment generating function, quantile function, entropy, inequality curves and order statistics. Five estimation methods were introduced mathematically and the behaviour of the proposed model parameters was checked by randomly generated data sets and these estimation methods. Also, some actuarial measures were deduced mathematically such as value at risk, tail value at risk, tail variance and tail variance premium. Numerical values for these measures were performed and proved that the proposed distribution has a heavier tail than others compared models. Finally, three real data sets from different fields were used to show how these proposed models fitting these data sets than other many wells known and related models.


Author(s):  
Ehab Mohamed Almetwally ◽  
Ahmed Z. Afify ◽  
G. G. Hamedani

In this paper, we introduce a new there-parameter Rayleigh distribution, called the Marshall-Olkin alpha power Rayleigh (MOAPR) distribution. Some statistical properties of the MOAPR distribution are obtained. The proposed model is characterized based on truncated moments and reverse hazard function. The maximum likelihood and bootstrap estimation methods are considered to estimate the MOPAR parameters. A Monte Carlo simulation study is performed to compare the maximum likelihood and bootstrap estimation methods. Superiority of the MOAPR distribution over some well-known distributions is illustrated by means of two real data sets.


2020 ◽  
Vol 70 (4) ◽  
pp. 953-978
Author(s):  
Mustafa Ç. Korkmaz ◽  
G. G. Hamedani

AbstractThis paper proposes a new extended Lindley distribution, which has a more flexible density and hazard rate shapes than the Lindley and Power Lindley distributions, based on the mixture distribution structure in order to model with new distribution characteristics real data phenomena. Its some distributional properties such as the shapes, moments, quantile function, Bonferonni and Lorenz curves, mean deviations and order statistics have been obtained. Characterizations based on two truncated moments, conditional expectation as well as in terms of the hazard function are presented. Different estimation procedures have been employed to estimate the unknown parameters and their performances are compared via Monte Carlo simulations. The flexibility and importance of the proposed model are illustrated by two real data sets.


PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. e0244316
Author(s):  
Mukhtar M. Salah ◽  
Essam A. Ahmed ◽  
Ziyad A. Alhussain ◽  
Hanan Haj Ahmed ◽  
M. El-Morshedy ◽  
...  

This paper describes a method for computing estimates for the location parameter μ > 0 and scale parameter λ > 0 with fixed shape parameter α of the alpha power exponential distribution (APED) under type-II hybrid censored (T-IIHC) samples. We compute the maximum likelihood estimations (MLEs) of (μ, λ) by applying the Newton-Raphson method (NRM) and expectation maximization algorithm (EMA). In addition, the estimate hazard functions and reliability are evaluated by applying the invariance property of MLEs. We calculate the Fisher information matrix (FIM) by applying the missing information rule, which is important in finding the asymptotic confidence interval. Finally, the different proposed estimation methods are compared in simulation studies. A simulation example and real data example are analyzed to illustrate our estimation methods.


Author(s):  
Arun Kumar Chaudhary ◽  
Vijay Kumar

In this study, we have introduced a three-parameter probabilistic model established from type I half logistic-Generating family called half logistic modified exponential distribution. The mathematical and statistical properties of this distribution are also explored. The behavior of probability density, hazard rate, and quantile functions are investigated. The model parameters are estimated using the three well known estimation methods namely maximum likelihood estimation (MLE), least-square estimation (LSE) and Cramer-Von-Mises estimation (CVME) methods. Further, we have taken a real data set and verified that the presented model is quite useful and more flexible for dealing with a real data set. KEYWORDS— Half-logistic distribution, Estimation, CVME ,LSE, , MLE


2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (04) ◽  
pp. 1850009 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gamze Ozel ◽  
Emrah Altun ◽  
Morad Alizadeh ◽  
Mahdieh Mozafari

In this paper, a new heavy-tailed distribution is used to model data with a strong right tail, as often occuring in practical situations. The proposed distribution is derived from the log-normal distribution, by using odd log-logistic distribution. Statistical properties of this distribution, including hazard function, moments, quantile function, and asymptotics, are derived. The unknown parameters are estimated by the maximum likelihood estimation procedure. For different parameter settings and sample sizes, a simulation study is performed and the performance of the new distribution is compared to beta log-normal. The new lifetime model can be very useful and its superiority is illustrated by means of two real data sets.


Symmetry ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 412 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hadeel S. Klakattawi ◽  
Wedad H. Aljuhani

In the following article, a new five-parameter distribution, the alpha power exponentiated Weibull-exponential distribution is proposed, based on a newly developed technique. It is of particular interest because the density of this distribution can take various symmetric and asymmetric possible shapes. Moreover, its related hazard function is tractable and showing a great diversity of asymmetrical shaped, including increasing, decreasing, near symmetrical, increasing-decreasing-increasing, increasing-constant-increasing, J-shaped, and reversed J-shaped. Some properties relating to the proposed distribution are provided. The inferential method of maximum likelihood is employed, in order to estimate the model’s unknown parameters, and these estimates are evaluated based on various simulation studies. Moreover, the usefulness of the model is investigated through its application to three real data sets. The results show that the proposed distribution can, in fact, better fit the data, when compared to other competing distributions.


2017 ◽  
Vol 40 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-27 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mirza Naveed Shahzad ◽  
Faton Merovci ◽  
Zahid Asghar

The Singh-Maddala distribution is very popular to analyze the data on income, expenditure, actuarial, environmental, and reliability related studies. To enhance its scope and application, we propose four parameters transmutedSingh-Maddala distribution, in this study. The proposed distribution is relatively more flexible than the parent distribution to model a variety of data sets. Its basic statistical properties, reliability function, and behaviors of the hazard function are derived. The hazard function showed the decreasing and an upside-down bathtub shape that is required in various survival analysis. The order statistics and generalized TL-moments with their special cases such as L-, TL-, LL-, and LH-moments are also explored. Furthermore, the maximum likelihood estimation is used to estimate the unknown parameters of the transmuted Singh-Maddala distribution. The real data sets are considered to illustrate the utility and potential of the proposed model. The results indicate that the transmuted Singh-Maddala distribution models the datasets better than its parent distribution.


Complexity ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-18
Author(s):  
Ehab M. Almetwally ◽  
Mohamed A. H. Sabry ◽  
Randa Alharbi ◽  
Dalia Alnagar ◽  
Sh. A. M. Mubarak ◽  
...  

This paper introduces the new novel four-parameter Weibull distribution named as the Marshall–Olkin alpha power Weibull (MOAPW) distribution. Some statistical properties of the distribution are examined. Based on Type-I censored and Type-II censored samples, maximum likelihood estimation (MLE), maximum product spacing (MPS), and Bayesian estimation for the MOAPW distribution parameters are discussed. Numerical analysis using real data sets and Monte Carlo simulation are accomplished to compare various estimation methods. This novel model’s supremacy upon some famous distributions is explained using two real data sets and it is shown that the MOAPW model can achieve better fits than other competitive distributions.


Author(s):  
Hisham Mohamed Almongy ◽  
Ehab Mohamed Almetwally ◽  
Amaal Elsayed Mubarak

In this paper, we introduce and study a new extension of Lomax distribution with four-parameter named as the Marshall–Olkin alpha power Lomax (MOAPL) distribution. Some statistical properties of this distribution are discussed. Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE), maximum product spacing (MPS) and least Square (LS) method for the MOAPL distribution parameters are discussed. A numerical study using real data analysis and Monte-Carlo simulation are performed to compare between different methods of estimation. Superiority of the new model over some well-known distributions are illustrated by physics and economics real data sets. The MOAPL model can produce better fits than some well-known distributions as Marshall–Olkin Lomax, alpha power Lomax, Lomax distribution, Marshall–Olkin alpha power exponential, Kumaraswamy-generalized Lomax, exponentiated  Lomax  and power Lomax.


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