scholarly journals Prediction Model of Iron Ore Pellet Ambient Strength and Sensitivity Analysis on the Influence Factors

Metals ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (8) ◽  
pp. 593 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qiangjian Gao ◽  
Yingyi Zhang ◽  
Xin Jiang ◽  
Haiyan Zheng ◽  
Fengman Shen

The Ambient Compressive Strength (CS) of pellets, influenced by several factors, is regarded as a criterion to assess pellets during metallurgical processes. A prediction model based on Artificial Neural Network (ANN) was proposed in order to provide a reliable and economic control strategy for CS in pellet production and to forecast and control pellet CS. The dimensionality of 19 influence factors of CS was considered and reduced by Principal Component Analysis (PCA). The PCA variables were then used as the input variables for the Back Propagation (BP) neural network, which was upgraded by Genetic Algorithm (GA), with CS as the output variable. After training and testing with production data, the PCA-GA-BP neural network was established. Additionally, the sensitivity analysis of input variables was calculated to obtain a detailed influence on pellet CS. It has been found that prediction accuracy of the PCA-GA-BP network mentioned here is 96.4%, indicating that the ANN network is effective to predict CS in the pelletizing process.

2011 ◽  
Vol 201-203 ◽  
pp. 1627-1631
Author(s):  
Jian Kang Yin ◽  
Chang Hua Chen ◽  
Jing Min Li ◽  
Fei Zhang ◽  
Jin Yao

Aiming to the problem that is very difficult to establish the mechanism model of quality for the process of tobacco leaves redrying, this paper proposes a quality prediction model based on principal component analysis (PCA) and improved back propagation (BP)neural network for tobacco leaves redrying process. Firstly, 12 input variables are confirmed by analyzing the factors on quality of tobacco leaves redrying process. Second, the methods of PCA is used to eliminate the correlation of original input layer data, in which 12 input variables are transformed into 6 uncorrelated indicators. Then, the quality prediction model based on improved BP neural network is established. Finally, a simulation experiment is conducted and the average prediction error is as low as 1.03%, the absolute error for forecasting is fluctuated in the range of 0.16% - 2.49%. The result indicates that the model is simpler and has higher stability for prediction, which can completely meet the actual requirements of the tobacco leaves redrying process.


2018 ◽  
Vol 173 ◽  
pp. 01016
Author(s):  
LI Ming ◽  
LIU Yan-hao ◽  
YUAN Yi-ping ◽  
ZHANG Shi-wen

Aiming at the problem of transformer manufacturing enterprises bidding is lacking scientific theoretical guidance and low bid probability, in order to predict the next bid price, based on principal component analysis (PCA) and artificial neural network (ANN) pre-tender estimate forecast model is proposed. The model uses PCA to preprocess the original high dimensional data, select principal components (PC) as the radial basis function (RBF) neural network's input. PCA eliminates the correlation of the input variables, at the same time of simplifying the structure of ANN, improving the accuracy of the prediction model. The simulation results show the applicability of the pre-tender estimate forecast model.


Author(s):  
Pengpeng Cheng ◽  
Daoling Chen ◽  
Jianping Wang

AbstractIn order to improve the efficiency and accuracy of thermal and moisture comfort prediction of underwear, a new prediction model is designed by using principal component analysis method to reduce the dimension of related variables and eliminate the multi-collinearity relationship between variables, and then inputting the converted variables into genetic algorithm (GA) and BP neural network. In order to avoid the problems of slow convergence speed and easy falling into local minimum of Back Propagation (BP) neural network, this paper adopted GA to optimize the weights and thresholds of BP neural network, and utilized MATLAB software to program, and established the prediction models of BP neural network and GA–BP neural network. To verify the superiority of the model, the predicted result of GA–BP, PCA–BP and BP are compared with GA–BP neural network. The results show that PCA could improve the accuracy and adaptability of GA–BP neural network for thermal and moisture comfort prediction. PCA–GA–BP model is obviously superior to GA–BP, PCA–BP, BP, SVM and K-means prediction models, which could accurately predict thermal and moisture comfort of underwear. The model has better accuracy prediction and simpler structure.


2010 ◽  
Vol 29-32 ◽  
pp. 1543-1549 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jie Wei ◽  
Hong Yu ◽  
Jin Li

Three-ratio of the IEC is a convenient and effective approach for transformer fault diagnosis in the dissolved gas analysis (DGA). Fuzzy theory is used to preprocess the three-ratio for its boundary that is too absolute. As the same time, an improved quantum genetic algorithm IQGA (QGASAC) is used to optimize the weight and threshold of the back propagation (BP). The local and global searching ability of the QGASAC approach is utilized to find the BP optimization solution. It can overcome the slower convergence velocity and hardly getting the optimization of the BP neural network. So, aiming at the shortcoming of BP neural network and three-ratio, blurring the boundary of the gas ratio and the QGASAC algorithm is introduced to optimize the BP network. Then the QGASAC-IECBP method is proposed in this paper. Experimental results indicate that the proposed algorithm in this paper that both convergence velocity and veracity are all improved to some extent. And in this paper, the proposed algorithm is robust and practical.


2012 ◽  
Vol 524-527 ◽  
pp. 180-183
Author(s):  
Feng Gao

Total energy, maximum peak amplitude and RMS amplitude are sensitive to sand body, and they are non-linear relations with sand thickness. In this study, a three-layer BP neural network is employed to build the prediction model. Nine samples were analyzed by three-layer BP network. The relationships were produced by BP network between sand thickness and the three seismic attributes. The precise prediction results indicate that the three-layer BP network based modeling is a practically very useful tool in prediction sand thickness. The BP model provided better accuracy in prediction than other methods.


2020 ◽  
Vol 63 (4) ◽  
pp. 1071-1077
Author(s):  
Chenyang Sun ◽  
Lusheng Chen ◽  
Yinian Li ◽  
Hao Yao ◽  
Nan Zhang ◽  
...  

HighlightsWe propose five spraying parameters according to the characteristics of pig carcasses in the spray-chilling process.A prediction model for pig carcass weight loss, based on a genetic algorithm back-propagation neural network, is proposed to reveal the relationship between weight loss and spraying parameters.To study the effects of various spraying parameters on weight loss, an automatic spray-chilling device was designed, which can modify up to five spraying parameters.Abstract. Because the weight loss of a pig carcass in the spray-chilling process is easily affected by the spraying frequency and duration, a prediction model for weight loss based on a genetic algorithm (GA) back-propagation (BP) neural network is proposed in this article. With three-way crossbred pig carcasses selected as the test materials, the duration and time interval of high-frequency spraying, the duration and time interval of low-frequency spraying, and the duration of a single spray were selected as inputs to the network model. The weight and threshold of the network were then optimized by the GA. The prediction model for pig carcass weight loss established by the GA BP neural network yielded a correlation coefficient of R = 0.99747 between the network output value of the test samples and the target value. Weight loss prediction by the model is feasible and allows better expression of the nonlinear relationship between weight loss and the main controlling factors. The results can be a reference for chilled meat production. Keywords: BP neural network, Genetic algorithm, Pig carcass, Predictive model, Weight loss


2015 ◽  
Vol 740 ◽  
pp. 871-874
Author(s):  
Hui Zhao ◽  
Li Rong Shi ◽  
Hong Jun Wang

Directing against the problems of too large size of the neural network structure due to the existence of a complex relationship between the input coupling factor and too many input factors in establishing model for predicting temperature of sunlight greenhouse. This article chose the environmental factors that affect the sunlight greenhouse temperature as data sample. Through the principal component analysis of data samples, three main factors were extracted. These selected principal component values were taken as the input variables of BP neural network model. Use the Bayesian regularization algorithm to improve the BP neural network. The empirical results show that this method is utilized modify BP neural network, which can simplify network structure and smooth fitting curve, has good generalization capability.


2014 ◽  
Vol 986-987 ◽  
pp. 1356-1359
Author(s):  
You Xian Peng ◽  
Bo Tang ◽  
Hong Ying Cao ◽  
Bin Chen ◽  
Yu Li

Audible noise prediction is a hot research area in power transmission engineering in recent years, especially come down to AC transmission lines. The conventional prediction models at present have got some problems such as big errors. In this paper, a prediction model is established based on BP network, in which the input variables are the four factors in the international common expression of power line audible noise and the noise value is the output. Take multiple measured power lines as an example, a train is made by the BP network and then the prediction model is set up in the hidden layer of the network. Using the trained model, the audible noise values are predicted. The final results show that the average absolute error in absolute terms of the values by the audible noise prediction model based on BP neural network is 1.6414 less than that predicted by the GE formula.


Complexity ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Xue Yan ◽  
Xiangwu Deng ◽  
Shouheng Sun

Human resource management risks are due to the failure of employer organization to use relevant human resources reasonably and can result in tangible or intangible waste of human resources and even risks; therefore, constructing a practical early warning model of human resource management risk is extremely important for early risk prediction. The back propagation (BP) neural network is an information analysis and processing system formed by using the error back propagation algorithm to simulate the neural function and structure of the human brain, which can handle complex and changeable things that do not have an obvious linear relationship between output results and input factors, so as to find the objective connection between the two. Based on the summary and analysis of previous research works, this article expounded the research status and significance of early warning for human resource management risks, elaborated the development background, current status, and future challenges of the BP neural network, introduced the method and principle of the BP neural network’s connection weight calculation and learning training, performed the risk inducement analysis, index system establishment, and network node selection of human resource management, constructed an early warning model of human resource management risk based on the BP neural network, conducted the risk warning model training and detection based on the BP neural network, and finally carried out a simulation and its result analysis. The study results show that the early warning model of human resource management risk based on the BP network is effective, and this trained and tested BP network risk warning model can be used to conduct early warning empirical research on human resource risks to prevent human resource risks, ensure enterprise’s benign operation, and at the same time play a role in supervision and promotion of market order rectification.


2012 ◽  
Vol 433-440 ◽  
pp. 4320-4323 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jing Wang ◽  
Jin Ying Song ◽  
Ai Qing Tang

This article reports the use of BP neural network for evaluation of the appearance of garment after dry wash. The selected data about parameters of fabrics and interlinings are analyzed by principal analysis and eight principal components are obtained through this method. A BP neural network with a single hidden layer is constructed including eight input nodes, six hidden nodes and one output nodes. During training the network with a back-propagation algorithm, the eight principal components are used as input parameters, while the rate of the appearance of the garment are used as output parameters. The weight values are modified with momentum and learning rate self-adaptation to solve the two defects of the BP network. All original data are preprocessed and the learning process is successful in achieving a global error minimum. The rate of the appearance can be evaluated with this training network and there is a good agreement between the evaluated and tested values.


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