scholarly journals An Intelligent Rockburst Prediction Model Based on Scorecard Methodology

Minerals ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (11) ◽  
pp. 1294
Author(s):  
Honglei Wang ◽  
Zhenlei Li ◽  
Dazhao Song ◽  
Xueqiu He ◽  
Aleksei Sobolev ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
False Alarm ◽  
False Alarm Rate ◽  
Learning Model ◽  
Underground Engineering ◽  
Risk Levels ◽  
Model Based ◽  
Machine Learning Model ◽  
Sample Category

Rockburst is a serious hazard in underground engineering, and accurate prediction of rockburst risk is challenging. To construct an intelligent prediction model of rockburst risk with interpretability and high accuracy, three binary scorecards predicting different risk levels of rockburst were constructed using ChiMerge, evidence weight theory, and the logistic regression algorithm. An intelligent rockburst prediction model based on scorecard methodology (IRPSC) was obtained by integrating the three scorecards. The effects of hazard sample category weights on the missed alarm rate, false alarm rate, and accuracy of the IRPSC were analyzed. Results show that the accuracy, false alarm rate, and missed alarm rate of the IRPSC for rockburst prediction in riverside hydropower stations are 75%, 12.5%, and 12.5%, respectively. Setting higher hazard sample category weights can reduce the missed alarm rate of IRPSC, but it will lead to a higher false alarm rate. The IRPSC can adaptively adjust the threshold and weight value of the indicator and convert the abstract machine learning model into a tabular form, which overcomes the commonly black box problems of machine learning model, as well as is of great significance to the application of machine learning in rockburst risk prediction.

scholarly journals MODES: model-based optimization on distributed embedded systems

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Junjie Shi ◽  
Jiang Bian ◽  
Jakob Richter ◽  
Kuan-Hsun Chen ◽  
Jörg Rahnenführer ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Embedded Systems ◽  
Learning Model ◽  
Black Box ◽  
Distributed Embedded Systems ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Individual Model ◽  
Model Based ◽  
Machine Learning Model ◽  
Distributed Machine Learning

AbstractThe predictive performance of a machine learning model highly depends on the corresponding hyper-parameter setting. Hence, hyper-parameter tuning is often indispensable. Normally such tuning requires the dedicated machine learning model to be trained and evaluated on centralized data to obtain a performance estimate. However, in a distributed machine learning scenario, it is not always possible to collect all the data from all nodes due to privacy concerns or storage limitations. Moreover, if data has to be transferred through low bandwidth connections it reduces the time available for tuning. Model-Based Optimization (MBO) is one state-of-the-art method for tuning hyper-parameters but the application on distributed machine learning models or federated learning lacks research. This work proposes a framework $$\textit{MODES}$$ MODES that allows to deploy MBO on resource-constrained distributed embedded systems. Each node trains an individual model based on its local data. The goal is to optimize the combined prediction accuracy. The presented framework offers two optimization modes: (1) $$\textit{MODES}$$ MODES -B considers the whole ensemble as a single black box and optimizes the hyper-parameters of each individual model jointly, and (2) $$\textit{MODES}$$ MODES -I considers all models as clones of the same black box which allows it to efficiently parallelize the optimization in a distributed setting. We evaluate $$\textit{MODES}$$ MODES by conducting experiments on the optimization for the hyper-parameters of a random forest and a multi-layer perceptron. The experimental results demonstrate that, with an improvement in terms of mean accuracy ($$\textit{MODES}$$ MODES -B), run-time efficiency ($$\textit{MODES}$$ MODES -I), and statistical stability for both modes, $$\textit{MODES}$$ MODES outperforms the baseline, i.e., carry out tuning with MBO on each node individually with its local sub-data set.

Identifying Factors Associated With Severe Intellectual Disabilities in Teenagers With Cerebral Palsy Using a Predictive Learning Model

2019 ◽  
Vol 34 (4) ◽  
pp. 221-229 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carlo M. Bertoncelli ◽  
Paola Altamura ◽  
Edgar Ramos Vieira ◽  
Domenico Bertoncelli ◽  
Susanne Thummler ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Cerebral Palsy ◽  
Intellectual Disability ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Motor Skills ◽  
Adaptive Functioning ◽  
Learning Model ◽  
Intelligence Scale ◽  
Factors Associated ◽  
Machine Learning Model

Background: Intellectual disability and impaired adaptive functioning are common in children with cerebral palsy, but there is a lack of studies assessing these issues in teenagers with cerebral palsy. Therefore, the aim of this study was to develop and test a predictive machine learning model to identify factors associated with intellectual disability in teenagers with cerebral palsy. Methods: This was a multicenter controlled cohort study of 91 teenagers with cerebral palsy (53 males, 38 females; mean age ± SD = 17 ± 1 y; range: 12-18 y). Data on etiology, diagnosis, spasticity, epilepsy, clinical history, communication abilities, behaviors, motor skills, eating, and drinking abilities were collected between 2005 and 2015. Intellectual disability was classified as “mild,” “moderate,” “severe,” or “profound” based on adaptive functioning, and according to the DSM-5 after 2013 and DSM-IV before 2013, the Wechsler Intelligence Scale for Children for patients up to ages 16 years, 11 months, and the Wechsler Adult Intelligence Scale for patients ages 17-18. Statistical analysis included Fisher’s exact test and multiple logistic regressions to identify factors associated with intellectual disability. A predictive machine learning model was developed to identify factors associated with having profound intellectual disability. The guidelines of the “Transparent Reporting of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis Statement” were followed. Results: Poor manual abilities ( P ≤ .001), gross motor function ( P ≤ .001), and type of epilepsy (intractable: P = .04; well controlled: P = .01) were significantly associated with profound intellectual disability. The average model accuracy, specificity, and sensitivity was 78%. Conclusion: Poor motor skills and epilepsy were associated with profound intellectual disability. The machine learning prediction model was able to adequately identify high likelihood of severe intellectual disability in teenagers with cerebral palsy.

scholarly journals Development of Prediction Model to Predict the Compressive Strength of Eco-Friendly Concrete Using Multivariate Polynomial Regression Combined with Stepwise Method

Materials ◽  
2022 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 317
Author(s):  
Hamza Imran ◽  
Nadia Moneem Al-Abdaly ◽  
Mohammed Hammodi Shamsa ◽  
Amjed Shatnawi ◽  
Majed Ibrahim ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Compressive Strength ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Polynomial Regression ◽  
Learning Model ◽  
Recycled Aggregate Concrete ◽  
The Other ◽  
Multivariate Polynomial ◽  
Concrete Mixtures ◽  
Machine Learning Model

Concrete is the most widely used building material, but it is also a recognized pollutant, causing significant issues for sustainability in terms of resource depletion, energy use, and greenhouse gas emissions. As a result, efforts should be concentrated on reducing concrete’s environmental consequences in order to increase its long-term viability. In order to design environmentally friendly concrete mixtures, this research intended to create a prediction model for the compressive strength of those mixtures. The concrete mixtures that were used in this study to build our proposed prediction model are concrete mixtures that contain both recycled aggregate concrete (RAC) and ground granulated blast-furnace slag (GGBFS). A white-box machine learning model known as multivariate polynomial regression (MPR) was developed to predict the compressive strength of eco-friendly concrete. The model was compared with the other two machine learning models, where one is also a white-box machine learning model, namely linear regression (LR), and the other is the black-box machine learning model, which is a support vector machine (SVM). The newly suggested model shows robust estimation capabilities and outperforms the other two models in terms of R2 (coefficient of determination) and RMSE (root mean absolute error) measurements.

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