scholarly journals Evolving Instability of the Scar Inlet Ice Shelf based on Sequential Landsat Images Spanning 2005–2018

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 36
Author(s):  
Gang Qiao ◽  
Yanjun Li ◽  
Song Guo ◽  
Wenkai Ye
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Landsat Images ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Surface Features ◽  
Ice Flows ◽  
Fast Ice ◽  
Summer Temperatures ◽  
Major Surface ◽  
Flow Velocities

Following the large-scale disintegration of the Larsen B Ice Shelf (LBIS) in 2002, ice flow velocities for its remnants and tributary glaciers began to increase. In this study, we used sequential Landsat images spanning 2005–2018 to produce detailed maps of the ice flow velocities and surface features for the Scar Inlet Ice Shelf (SIIS). Our results indicate that the ice flow velocities for the SIIS and its tributary glaciers (Flask and Leppard Glaciers) have substantially increased since 2005. Surface features, such as rifts and crevasses, have also substantially increased in both scope and scale and are particularly evident in the region between the Leppard Glacier and the Jason Peninsula. Several indicators—including the acceleration of ice flows, the rapid growth of major surface rifts, the heavily enhanced surface crevasses, and the dynamic position of the ice front—point to the evolving instability of the SIIS. These same indicators describe the conditions for the LBIS leading up to its 2002 collapse. To date, however, the SIIS remains intact. The formation of fast ice supporting the ice shelf front, combined with moderate mean summer temperatures, may be preventing or delaying its collapse.

scholarly journals OBSERVATIONS OF CONTINUOUS INSTABILITY FOR SCAR INLET ICE SHELF, ANTARCTIC PENINSULA

2021 ◽  
Vol XLIII-B3-2021 ◽  
pp. 485-490
Author(s):  
Y. Li ◽  
G. Qiao ◽  
X. Yuan
Keyword(s):  
Antarctic Peninsula ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Dynamic Change ◽  
Front Surface ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Landsat Images ◽  
Ice Shelves ◽  
Ice Velocity ◽  
Major Surface ◽  
Shelf Region

Abstract. Observation of the evolving instability of ice shelves plays a very important role in global change research. Following the suddenly large-scale collapse of the Larsen B Ice Shelf in the Antarctic Peninsula in 2002, the evolving instability for its remnant, the Scar Inlet Ice Shelf, began to be increasingly studied to provide a deeper understanding of the disintegration of the Larsen B Ice Shelf in 2002 and also provide a chance for studying the response of ice shelves to the large-scale collapse events. In this study, based on sequential Landsat images spanning 2005–2020, we produced detailed maps of the ice velocity fields for the Scar Inlet Ice Shelf. The results indicate that the ice velocities for the Scar Inlet Ice Shelf region have substantially increased since 2005, the maximum ice velocity reached more than 900 m/y in the ice shelf front. Surface rifts have also substantially increased in both length and width and are moving seawards. The ice front position of the Scar Inlet Ice Shelf is relatively stable in 2008–2010 and then steadily advancing after 2010. The acceleration of ice velocities, the dynamic change of the ice front, the increase of major surface rifts and the newly added rifts in the central part of the ice shelf, and the heavily enhanced surface crevasses are all revealing the evolving instability of the Scar Inlet Ice Shelf.

scholarly journals Implementing an empirical scalar constitutive relation for ice with flow-induced polycrystalline anisotropy in large-scale ice sheet models

2018 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 1047-1067 ◽  
Author(s):  
Felicity S. Graham ◽  
Mathieu Morlighem ◽  
Roland C. Warner ◽  
Adam Treverrow
Keyword(s):  
Constitutive Relation ◽  
Enhancement Factor ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Flow Line ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Computationally Efficient ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Stress Regime ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Polycrystalline Ice

Abstract. The microstructure of polycrystalline ice evolves under prolonged deformation, leading to anisotropic patterns of crystal orientations. The response of this material to applied stresses is not adequately described by the ice flow relation most commonly used in large-scale ice sheet models – the Glen flow relation. We present a preliminary assessment of the implementation in the Ice Sheet System Model (ISSM) of a computationally efficient, empirical, scalar, constitutive relation which addresses the influence of the dynamically steady-state flow-compatible induced anisotropic crystal orientation patterns that develop when ice is subjected to the same stress regime for a prolonged period – sometimes termed tertiary flow. We call this the ESTAR flow relation. The effect on ice flow dynamics is investigated by comparing idealised simulations using ESTAR and Glen flow relations, where we include in the latter an overall flow enhancement factor. For an idealised embayed ice shelf, the Glen flow relation overestimates velocities by up to 17 % when using an enhancement factor equivalent to the maximum value prescribed in the ESTAR relation. Importantly, no single Glen enhancement factor can accurately capture the spatial variations in flow across the ice shelf generated by the ESTAR flow relation. For flow line studies of idealised grounded flow over varying topography or variable basal friction – both scenarios dominated at depth by bed-parallel shear – the differences between simulated velocities using ESTAR and Glen flow relations depend on the value of the enhancement factor used to calibrate the Glen flow relation. These results demonstrate the importance of describing the deformation of anisotropic ice in a physically realistic manner, and have implications for simulations of ice sheet evolution used to reconstruct paleo-ice sheet extent and predict future ice sheet contributions to sea level.

scholarly journals Exploring mechanisms responsible for tidal modulation in flow of the Filchner–Ronne Ice Shelf

2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 17-37 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sebastian H. R. Rosier ◽  
G. Hilmar Gudmundsson
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Elastic Response ◽  
Lateral Migration ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Flow Perturbation ◽  
Long Period ◽  
Shelf Slope ◽  
Short Period ◽  
Shelf Flow

Abstract. An extensive network of GPS sites on the Filchner–Ronne Ice Shelf and adjoining ice streams shows strong tidal modulation of horizontal ice flow at a range of frequencies. A particularly strong (horizontal) response is found at the fortnightly (Msf) frequency. Since this tidal constituent is absent in the (vertical) tidal forcing, this observation implies the action of some non-linear mechanism. Another striking aspect is the strong amplitude of the flow perturbation, causing a periodic reversal in the direction of ice shelf flow in some areas and a 10 %–20 % change in speed at grounding lines. No model has yet been able to reproduce the quantitative aspects of the observed tidal modulation across the entire Filchner–Ronne Ice Shelf. The cause of the tidal ice flow response has, therefore, remained an enigma, indicating a serious limitation in our current understanding of the mechanics of large-scale ice flow. A further limitation of previous studies is that they have all focused on isolated regions and interactions between different areas have, therefore, not been fully accounted for. Here, we conduct the first large-scale ice flow modelling study to explore these processes using a viscoelastic rheology and realistic geometry of the entire Filchner–Ronne Ice Shelf, where the best observations of tidal response are available. We evaluate all relevant mechanisms that have hitherto been put forward to explain how tides might affect ice shelf flow and compare our results with observational data. We conclude that, while some are able to generate the correct general qualitative aspects of the tidally induced perturbations in ice flow, most of these mechanisms must be ruled out as being the primary cause of the observed long-period response. We find that only tidally induced lateral migration of grounding lines can generate a sufficiently strong long-period Msf response on the ice shelf to match observations. Furthermore, we show that the observed horizontal short-period semidiurnal tidal motion, causing twice-daily flow reversals at the ice front, can be generated through a purely elastic response to basin-wide tidal perturbations in the ice shelf slope. This model also allows us to quantify the effect of tides on mean ice flow and we find that the Filchner–Ronne Ice Shelf flows, on average, ∼ 21 % faster than it would in the absence of large ocean tides.

scholarly journals Calving cycle of the Brunt Ice Shelf, Antarctica, driven by changes in ice shelf geometry

2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (10) ◽  
pp. 2771-2787 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jan De Rydt ◽  
Gudmundur Hilmar Gudmundsson ◽  
Thomas Nagler ◽  
Jan Wuite
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Ice Shelves ◽  
Flow Models ◽  
Speed Up ◽  
The Antarctic ◽  
Detrimental Impact ◽  
Natural Laboratory

Abstract. Despite the potentially detrimental impact of large-scale calving events on the geometry and ice flow of the Antarctic Ice Sheet, little is known about the processes that drive rift formation prior to calving, or what controls the timing of these events. The Brunt Ice Shelf in East Antarctica presents a rare natural laboratory to study these processes, following the recent formation of two rifts, each now exceeding 50 km in length. Here we use 2 decades of in situ and remote sensing observations, together with numerical modelling, to reveal how slow changes in ice shelf geometry over time caused build-up of mechanical tension far upstream of the ice front, and culminated in rift formation and a significant speed-up of the ice shelf. These internal feedbacks, whereby ice shelves generate the very conditions that lead to their own (partial) disintegration, are currently missing from ice flow models, which severely limits their ability to accurately predict future sea level rise.

scholarly journals Ice shelf fracture parameterization in an ice sheet model

2017 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 2543-2554 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sainan Sun ◽  
Stephen L. Cornford ◽  
John C. Moore ◽  
Rupert Gladstone ◽  
Liyun Zhao
Keyword(s):  
Enhancement Factor ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Damage Model ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Ice Shelves ◽  
Order Of Magnitude ◽  
Eventual Loss ◽  
Spatially Varying

Abstract. Floating ice shelves exert a stabilizing force onto the inland ice sheet. However, this buttressing effect is diminished by the fracture process, which on large scales effectively softens the ice, accelerating its flow, increasing calving, and potentially leading to ice shelf breakup. We add a continuum damage model (CDM) to the BISICLES ice sheet model, which is intended to model the localized opening of crevasses under stress, the transport of those crevasses through the ice sheet, and the coupling between crevasse depth and the ice flow field and to carry out idealized numerical experiments examining the broad impact on large-scale ice sheet and shelf dynamics. In each case we see a complex pattern of damage evolve over time, with an eventual loss of buttressing approximately equivalent to halving the thickness of the ice shelf. We find that it is possible to achieve a similar ice flow pattern using a simple rule of thumb: introducing an enhancement factor ∼ 10 everywhere in the model domain. However, spatially varying damage (or equivalently, enhancement factor) fields set at the start of prognostic calculations to match velocity observations, as is widely done in ice sheet simulations, ought to evolve in time, or grounding line retreat can be slowed by an order of magnitude.

scholarly journals Calving cycle of the Brunt Ice Shelf, Antarctica, driven by changes in ice-shelf geometry

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jan De Rydt ◽  
G. Hilmar Gudmundsson ◽  
Thomas Nagler ◽  
Jan Wuite
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Ice Shelves ◽  
Flow Models ◽  
Speed Up ◽  
The Antarctic ◽  
Detrimental Impact ◽  
Natural Laboratory

Abstract. Despite the potentially detrimental impact of large-scale calving events on the geometry and ice flow of the Antarctic Ice Sheet, little is known about the processes that drive rift formation prior to calving, or what controls the timing of these events. The Brunt Ice Shelf in East Antarctica presents a rare natural laboratory to study these processes, following the recent formation of two rifts, each now exceeding 50 km in length. Here we use a unique 50-years' time series of in-situ and remote sensing observations, together with numerical modelling, to reveal how slow changes in ice shelf geometry over time caused build-up of mechanical tension far upstream of the ice front, and culminated in rift formation and a significant speed-up of the ice shelf. These internal feedbacks, whereby ice shelves generate the very conditions that lead to their own (partial) disintegration are currently missing from ice flow models, which severely limits their ability to accurately predict future sea level rise.

scholarly journals Implementing an empirical scalar tertiary anisotropic rheology (ESTAR) into large-scale ice sheet models

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Felicity S. Graham ◽  
Mathieu Morlighem ◽  
Roland C. Warner ◽  
Adam Treverrow
Keyword(s):  
Enhancement Factor ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Flow Line ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Computationally Efficient ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Maximum Value ◽  
Polycrystalline Ice ◽  
Flow Enhancement

Abstract. The microstructural evolution that occurs in polycrystalline ice during deformation leads to the development of anisotropic rheological properties that are not adequately described by the most common, isotropic, ice flow relation used in large-scale ice sheet models – the Glen flow relation. We present a preliminary assessment of the implementation in the Ice Sheet System Model (ISSM) of a computationally-efficient, empirical, scalar, tertiary, anisotropic rheology (ESTAR). The effect of this anisotropic rheology on ice flow dynamics is investigated by comparing idealised simulations using ESTAR with those using the isotropic Glen flow relation, where the latter includes a flow enhancement factor. For an idealised embayed ice shelf, the Glen flow relation overestimates velocities by up to 17 % when using an enhancement factor equivalent to the maximum value prescribed by ESTAR. Importantly, no single Glen enhancement factor can accurately capture the spatial variations in flow over the ice shelf. For flow-line studies of idealised grounded flow over a bumpy topography or a sticky base – both scenarios dominated at depth by bed-parallel shear – the differences between simulated velocities using ESTAR and the Glen flow relation vary according to the value of the enhancement factor used to calibrate the Glen flow relation. These results demonstrate the importance of describing the anisotropic rheology of ice in a physically realistic manner, and have implications for simulations of ice sheet evolution used to reconstruct paleo-ice sheet extent and predict future ice sheet contributions to sea level.

scholarly journals Exploring mechanisms responsible for tidal modulation in flow of the Filchner-Ronne Ice Shelf

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sebastian H. R. Rosier ◽  
G. Hilmar Gudmundsson
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Elastic Response ◽  
Lateral Migration ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Flow Perturbation ◽  
Tidal Motion ◽  
Shelf Slope ◽  
Shelf Flow ◽  
Tidal Response

Abstract. An extensive network of GPS sites on the Filchner-Ronne Ice Shelf and adjoining ice streams show strong tidal modulation of horizontal ice flow at a range of frequencies. A particularly strong (horizontal) response is found at the fortnightly (Msf) frequency. Since this tidal constituent is absent in the (vertical) tidal forcing, this observation implies the action of some nonlinear mechanism. Another striking aspect is the strong amplitude of the flow perturbation, causing a periodic reversal in the direction of ice shelf flow in some areas, and a 10–20 % change in speed at grounding lines. No model has yet been able to reproduce the quantitative aspects of the observed tidal modulation on the Filchner-Ronne Ice Shelf. The cause of the tidal response has therefore remained an enigma, indicating a serious limitation in our current understanding of the mechanics of large-scale ice flow. A further limitation of previous studies is that they have all focused on isolated regions and interactions between different areas have, therefore, not been fully accounted for. Here, we conduct the first large-scale ice-flow modelling study to explore these processes using a viscoelastic rheology and realistic geometry of the entire Filchner-Ronne ice shelf, where the best observations of tidal response are available. We evaluate all the relevant mechanisms that have hitherto been put forward to explain how tides might affect ice-shelf flow and compare our results with observational data. We conclude that, while some are able to generate the correct general qualitative aspects of the tidally-induced perturbations in ice flow, most of these mechanisms must be ruled out as being the primary cause of the large observed nonlinear response. We find that only tidally-induced lateral migration of grounding lines can generate a sufficiently strong long-periodic Msf response on the ice shelf to match observations. Furthermore, we show that the observed short-periodic diurnal tidal motion, causing twice-daily flow reversals at the ice front, can be generated through a purely elastic response to basin-wide tidal perturbations in the ice shelf slope. This model also allows us to quantify the effect of tides on mean ice flow and we find that the Filchner-Ronne Ice Shelf flows on average ~ 21 % faster than it would in the absence of large ocean tides.

scholarly journals Present stability of the Larsen C ice shelf, Antarctic Peninsula

2010 ◽  
Vol 56 (198) ◽  
pp. 593-600 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. Jansen ◽  
B. Kulessa ◽  
P.R. Sammonds ◽  
A. Luckman ◽  
E.C. King ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Antarctic Peninsula ◽  
Austral Summer ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Seismic Reflection Data ◽  
Ice Shelves ◽  
Reflection Data ◽  
The Moment ◽  
Depth Relationship ◽  
Flow Velocities

AbstractWe modelled the flow of the Larsen C and northernmost Larsen D ice shelves, Antarctic Peninsula, using a model of continuum mechanics of ice flow, and applied a fracture criterion to the simulated velocities to investigate the ice shelf’s present-day stability. Constraints come from satellite data and geophysical measurements from the 2008/09 austral summer. Ice-shelf thickness was derived from BEDMAP and ICESat data, and the density–depth relationship was inferred from our in situ seismic reflection data. We obtained excellent agreements between modelled and measured ice-flow velocities, and inferred and observed distributions of rifts and crevasses. Residual discrepancies between regions of predicted fracture and observed crevasses are concentrated in zones where we assume a significant amount of marine ice and therefore altered mechanical properties in the ice column. This emphasizes the importance of these zones and shows that more data are needed to understand their influence on ice-shelf stability. Modelled flow velocities and the corresponding stress distribution indicate that the Larsen C ice shelf is stable at the moment. However, weakening of the elongated marine ice zones could lead to acceleration of the ice shelf due to decoupling from the slower parts in the northern inlets and south of Kenyon Peninsula, leading to a velocity distribution similar to that in the Larsen B ice shelf prior to its disintegration.

scholarly journals Five decades of strong temporal variability in the flow of Brunt Ice Shelf, Antarctica

2016 ◽  
Vol 63 (237) ◽  
pp. 164-175 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. HILMAR GUDMUNDSSON ◽  
JAN DE RYDT ◽  
THOMAS NAGLER
Keyword(s):  
Temporal Variability ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Mechanical Contact ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Observational Period ◽  
Velocity Change ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Subsequent Decrease ◽  
Recent Phase ◽  
Velocity Changes

ABSTRACTData showing velocity changes on the Brunt Ice Shelf (BIS), Antarctica, over the last 55 years are presented and analysed. During this period no large-scale calving events took place and the ice shelf gradually grew in size. Ice flow velocities, however, fluctuated greatly, increasing twofold between 1970 and 2000, then decreasing again to previous levels by 2012 after which velocities started to increase yet again. In the observational period, velocity changes in the order of 10% a−1 have commonly been observed, and currently velocities are increasing at this rate. By modelling the ice flow numerically, we explore potential causes for the observed changes in velocity. We find that a loss of mechanical contact between the BIS and the McDonald Ice Rumples following a local calving event in 1971 would explain both the increase and the subsequent decrease in ice velocities. Other explanations involving enlargement of observed rift structures are discounted as the effects on ice flow are found to be too small and the spatial pattern of velocity change inconsistent with data. The most recent phase of acceleration remains unexplained but may potentially be related to a recent re-activation of a known rift structure within the BIS.

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