scholarly journals Landslide Susceptibility Evaluation and Management Using Different Machine Learning Methods in The Gallicash River Watershed, Iran

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 475 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alireza Arabameri ◽  
Sunil Saha ◽  
Jagabandhu Roy ◽  
Wei Chen ◽  
Thomas Blaschke ◽  
...  

This analysis aims to generate landslide susceptibility maps (LSMs) using various machine learning methods, namely random forest (RF), alternative decision tree (ADTree) and Fisher’s Linear Discriminant Function (FLDA). The results of the FLDA, RF and ADTree models were compared with regard to their applicability for creating an LSM of the Gallicash river watershed in the northern part of Iran close to the Caspian Sea. A landslide inventory map was created using GPS points obtained in a field analysis, high-resolution satellite images, topographic maps and historical records. A total of 249 landslide sites have been identified to date and were used in this study to model and validate the LSMs of the study region. Of the 249 landslide locations, 70% were used as training data and 30% for the validation of the resulting LSMs. Sixteen factors related to topographical, hydrological, soil type, geological and environmental conditions were used and a multi-collinearity test of the landslide conditioning factors (LCFs) was performed. Using the natural break method (NBM) in a geographic information system (GIS), the LSMs generated by the RF, FLDA, and ADTree models were categorized into five classes, namely very low, low, medium, high and very high landslide susceptibility (LS) zones. The very high susceptibility zones cover 15.37% (ADTree), 16.10% (FLDA) and 11.36% (RF) of the total catchment area. The results of the different models (FLDA, RF, and ADTree) were explained and compared using the area under receiver operating characteristics (AUROC) curve, seed cell area index (SCAI), efficiency and true skill statistic (TSS). The accuracy of models was calculated considering both the training and validation data. The results revealed that the AUROC success rates are 0.89 (ADTree), 0.92 (FLDA) and 0.97 (RF) and predication rates are 0.82 (ADTree), 0.79 (FLDA) and 0.98 (RF), which justifies the approach and indicates a reasonably good landslide prediction. The results of the SCAI, efficiency and TSS methods showed that all models have an excellent modeling capability. In a comparison of the models, the RF model outperforms the boosted regression tree (BRT) and ADTree models. The results of the landslide susceptibility modeling could be useful for land-use planning and decision-makers, for managing and controlling the current and future landslides, as well as for the protection of society and the ecosystem.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rui Liu ◽  
Xin Yang ◽  
Chong Xu ◽  
Luyao Li ◽  
Xiangqiang Zeng

Abstract Landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) is a useful tool to estimate the probability of landslide occurrence, providing a scientific basis for natural hazards prevention, land use planning, and economic development in landslide-prone areas. To date, a large number of machine learning methods have been applied to LSM, and recently the advanced Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) has been gradually adopted to enhance the prediction accuracy of LSM. The objective of this study is to introduce a CNN based model in LSM and systematically compare its overall performance with the conventional machine learning models of random forest, logistic regression, and support vector machine. Herein, we selected the Jiuzhaigou region in Sichuan Province, China as the study area. A total number of 710 landslides and 12 predisposing factors were stacked to form spatial datasets for LSM. The ROC analysis and several statistical metrics, such as accuracy, root mean square error (RMSE), Kappa coefficient, sensitivity, and specificity were used to evaluate the performance of the models in the training and validation datasets. Finally, the trained models were calculated and the landslide susceptibility zones were mapped. Results suggest that both CNN and conventional machine-learning based models have a satisfactory performance (AUC: 85.72% − 90.17%). The CNN based model exhibits excellent good-of-fit and prediction capability, and achieves the highest performance (AUC: 90.17%) but also significantly reduces the salt-of-pepper effect, which indicates its great potential of application to LSM.


2020 ◽  
Vol 198 ◽  
pp. 03023
Author(s):  
Xin Yang ◽  
Rui Liu ◽  
Luyao Li ◽  
Mei Yang ◽  
Yuantao Yang

Landslide susceptibility mapping is a method used to assess the probability and spatial distribution of landslide occurrences. Machine learning methods have been widely used in landslide susceptibility in recent years. In this paper, six popular machine learning algorithms namely logistic regression, multi-layer perceptron, random forests, support vector machine, Adaboost, and gradient boosted decision tree were leveraged to construct landslide susceptibility models with a total of 1365 landslide points and 14 predisposing factors. Subsequently, the landslide susceptibility maps (LSM) were generated by the trained models. LSM shows the main landslide zone is concentrated in the southeastern area of Wenchuan County. The result of ROC curve analysis shows that all models fitted the training datasets and achieved satisfactory results on validation datasets. The results of this paper reveal that machine learning methods are feasible to build robust landslide susceptibility models.


2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 3135-3135
Author(s):  
Takeshi Murata ◽  
Takako Yanagisawa ◽  
Toshiaki Kurihara ◽  
Miku Kaneko ◽  
Sana Ota ◽  
...  

3135 Background: Saliva is non-invasively accessible and informative biological fluid which has high potential for the early diagnosis of various diseases. The aim of this study is to develop machine learning methods and to explore new salivary biomarkers to discriminate breast cancer patients from healthy controls. Methods: We conducted a comprehensive metabolite analysis of saliva samples obtained from 101 patients with invasive carcinoma (IC), 23 patients with ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) and 42 healthy controls, using capillary electrophoresis and liquid chromatography with mass spectrometry to quantify hundreds of hydrophilic metabolites. Saliva samples were collected under 9h fasting and were split into training and validation data. Conventional statistical analyses and artificial intelligence-based methods were used to access the discrimination abilities of the quantified metabolite. Multiple logistic regression (MLR) model and an alternative decision tree (ADTree)-based machine learning methods were used. The generalization abilities of these mathematical models were validated in various computational tests, such as cross-validation and resampling methods. Results: Among quantified 260 metabolites, amino acids and polyamines showed significantly elevated in saliva from breast cancer patients, e.g. spermine showed the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC) to discriminate IC from C; 0.766 (95% confidence interval [CI]; 0.671 – 0.840, P < 0.0001). These metabolites showed no significant difference between C and DICS, i.e., these metabolites were elevated only in the samples of IC. The MLR yielded higher AUC to discriminate IC from C; 0.790 (95% CI; 0.699 – 0.859, P < 0.0001). The ADTree with ensemble approach showed the best AUC; 0.912 (95% CI; 0.838 – 0.961, P < 0.0001). In the comparison of these metabolites in the analysis of each subtype, seven metabolites were significantly different between Luminal A-like and Luminal B-like while, but few metabolites were significantly different among the other subtypes. Conclusions: These data indicated the combination of salivary metabolomic profiles including polyamines showed potential ability to screening breast cancer in a non-invasive way.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Juanjuan Zhang ◽  
Tao Cheng ◽  
Wei Guo ◽  
Xin Xu ◽  
Xinming Ma ◽  
...  

Abstract Background In order to accurately estimate leaf area index (LAI) of winter wheat by using unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) hyperspectral imagery.Methods The UAV hyperspectral imaging data, alternating slice-wise diagonalization (ASD) spectral data, and LAI were simultaneously obtained at main growth stages (jointing stage, booting stage, and filling stage) of various winter wheat varieties under various nitrogen fertilizer treatments.The characteristic bands related to LAI were extracted from UAV hyperspectral data with different algorithms including first derivative (FD), successive projections algorithm (SPA), competitive adaptive reweighed sampling (CARS), and competitive adaptive reweighed sampling combined with successive projections algorithm (CARS_SPA). Furthermore, three modeling machine learning methods including partial least squares regression (PLSR), support vector machine regression (SVR), and extreme gradient boosting (Xgboost) were used to build LAI estimation models.Results Our results show that the correlation coefficient between UAV and ASD hyperspectral data is greater than 0.99, indicating the UAV data can be used for estimation of wheat growth information.The LAI bands selected by using different algorithms were slightly different among the 15 models built in this study. The Xgboost model using nine consecutive characteristic bands selected by CARS_SPA algorithm as input was proved to have the best performance. This model yielded identical results of coefficient of determination (0.89) for both calibration set and validation set, indicating a high accuracy of this model.Conclusions The Xgboost modeling method in combine with CARS_SPA algorithm can reduce input variables and improve the efficiency of model operation. Our results provide reference and technical support for nondestructive and rapid estimation of winter wheat LAI by using UAV.


2020 ◽  
pp. 1-26
Author(s):  
Osman Orhan ◽  
Suleyman Sefa Bilgilioglu ◽  
Zehra Kaya ◽  
Adem Kursat Ozcan ◽  
Hacer Bilgilioglu

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