scholarly journals A Machining State-Based Approach to Tool Remaining Useful Life Adaptive Prediction

Sensors ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (23) ◽  
pp. 6975
Author(s):  
Yiming Li ◽  
Xiangmin Meng ◽  
Zhongchao Zhang ◽  
Guiqiu Song
Keyword(s):  
Information Fusion ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Model Error ◽  
Small Time ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Evaluation Indexes ◽  
Processing Data ◽  
Importance Coefficient ◽  
Useful Life ◽  
Life Predictions

The traditional predictive model for remaining useful life predictions cannot achieve adaptiveness, which is one of the main problems of said predictions. This paper proposes a LightGBM-based Remaining useful life (RUL) prediction method which considers the process and machining state. Firstly, a multi-information fusion strategy that can effectively reduce the model error and improve the generalization ability of the model is proposed. Secondly, a preprocessing method for improving the time precision and small-time granularity of feature extraction while avoiding dimensional explosion is proposed. Thirdly, an importance coefficient and a custom loss function related to the process and machining state are proposed. Finally, using the processing data of actual tool life cycle, through five evaluation indexes and 25 sets of contrast experiments, the superiority and effectiveness of the proposed method are verified.

Hybrid remaining useful life prediction method. A case study on railway D-cables

2021 ◽  
pp. 107746
Author(s):  
Yu Zang ◽  
Wei Shangguan ◽  
Baigen Cai ◽  
Huasheng Wang ◽  
Michael. G. Pecht
Keyword(s):  
Life Prediction ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Useful Life

Remaining useful life prediction method for machine tools based on meta-action theory

2021 ◽  
pp. 1748006X2110025
Author(s):  
Zongyi Mu ◽  
Yan Ran ◽  
Genbao Zhang ◽  
Hongwei Wang ◽  
Xin Yang
Keyword(s):  
Machine Tools ◽  
Life Prediction ◽  
Action Theory ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Operational Reliability ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Practical Application ◽  
Dynamic Prediction ◽  
Degradation Model ◽  
Useful Life

Remaining useful life (RUL) is a crucial indictor to measure the performance degradation of machine tools. It directly affects the accuracy of maintenance decision-making, thus affecting operational reliability of machine tools. Currently, most RUL prediction methods are for the parts. However, due to the interaction among the parts, even RUL of all the parts cannot reflect the real RUL of the whole machine. Therefore, an RUL prediction method for the whole machine is needed. To predict RUL of the whole machine, this paper proposes an RUL prediction method with dynamic prediction objects based on meta-action theory. Firstly, machine tools are decomposed into the meta-action unit chains (MUCs) to obtain suitable prediction objects. Secondly, the machining precision unqualified rate (MPUR) control chart is used to conduct an out of control early warning for machine tools’ performance. At last, the Markov model is introduced to determine the prediction objects in next prediction and the Wiener degradation model is established to predict RUL of machine tools. According to the practical application, feasibility and effectiveness of the method is proved.

Diamond-Coated Mechanical Seal Remaining Useful Life Prediction Based on Convolution Neural Network

2019 ◽  
Vol 34 (05) ◽  
pp. 2051007
Author(s):  
Zhibin Lin ◽  
Hongli Gao ◽  
Erqing Zhang ◽  
Weiqing Cao ◽  
Kesi Li
Keyword(s):  
Nuclear Power ◽  
Signal To Noise Ratio ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Degradation Process ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Sensor Data ◽  
Mechanical Seal ◽  
Process Industries ◽  
Petroleum Chemical ◽  
Useful Life

Reliable remaining useful life (RUL) prediction of industrial equipment key components is of considerable importance in condition-based maintenance to avoid catastrophic failure, promote reliability and reduce cost during the production. Diamond-coated mechanical seal is one of the most critical wearing components in petroleum chemical, nuclear power and other process industries. Estimating the RUL is of critical importance. We consider the data-driven approaches for diamond-coated mechanical seal RUL estimation based on AE sensor data, since it is difficult to construct an explicit mathematical degradation model of seal. The challenges of this work are dealing with the noisy AE sensor data and modeling the degradation process with fluctuation. Faced with these challenges, we propose a pipeline method CDF-CNN to estimate the RUL for mechanical seal: WPD-KLD to raise the signal-to-noise ratio, novel CDF-based statistics to represent seal degradation process and CNN structure to estimate RUL. To acquire AE sensor data, several diamond-coated seals are tested from new to failure in three working conditions. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method can accurately predict the RUL of diamond-coated mechanical seal based on AE signals. The proposed prediction method can be generalized to other various mechanical assets.

scholarly journals A Remaining Useful Life Prediction Method Considering the Dimension Optimization and the Iterative Speed

IEEE Access ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 ◽  
pp. 180383-180394 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yiming Li ◽  
Xiangmin Meng ◽  
Zhongchao Zhang ◽  
Guiqiu Song
Keyword(s):  
Life Prediction ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Useful Life

scholarly journals Bearing Remaining Useful Life Prediction Based on Naive Bayes and Weibull Distributions

Entropy ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 20 (12) ◽  
pp. 944
Author(s):  
Nannan Zhang ◽  
Lifeng Wu ◽  
Zhonghua Wang ◽  
Yong Guan
Keyword(s):  
Naive Bayes ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Naïve Bayes ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Statistical Characteristics ◽  
Mechanical Equipment ◽  
Weibull Distributions ◽  
Health States ◽  
Testing Stage ◽  
Useful Life

Bearing plays an important role in mechanical equipment, and its remaining useful life (RUL) prediction is an important research topic of mechanical equipment. To accurately predict the RUL of bearing, this paper proposes a data-driven RUL prediction method. First, the statistical method is used to extract the features of the signal, and the root mean square (RMS) is regarded as the main performance degradation index. Second, the correlation coefficient is used to select the statistical characteristics that have high correlation with the RMS. Then, In order to avoid the fluctuation of the statistical feature, the improved Weibull distributions (WD) algorithm is used to fit the fluctuation feature of bearing at different recession stages, which is used as input of Naive Bayes (NB) training stage. During the testing stage, the true fluctuation feature of the bearings are used as the input of NB. After the NB testing, five classes are obtained: health states and four states for bearing degradation. Finally, the exponential smoothing algorithm is used to smooth the five classes, and to predict the RUL of bearing. The experimental results show that the proposed method is effective for RUL prediction of bearing.

scholarly journals Centralized Maintenance Time Prediction Algorithm for Freight Train Wheels Based on Remaining Useful Life Prediction

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hongmei Shi ◽  
Jinsong Yang ◽  
Jin Si
Keyword(s):  
Wiener Process ◽  
Process Model ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Monitoring Data ◽  
Prediction Algorithm ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Freight Train ◽  
Fixed Group ◽  
Useful Life

Many freight trains for special lines have in common the characteristics of a fixed group. Centralized Condition-Based Maintenance (CCBM) of key components, on the same freight train, can reduce maintenance costs and enhance transportation efficiency. To this end, an optimization algorithm based on the nonlinear Wiener process is proposed, for the prediction of the train wheels Remaining Useful Life (RUL) and the centralized maintenance timing. First, Hodrick–Prescott (HP) filtering algorithm is employed to process the raw monitoring data of wheel tread wear, extracting its trend components. Then, a nonlinear Wiener process model is constructed. Model parameters are calculated with a maximum likelihood estimation and the general deterioration parameters of wheel tread wear are obtained. Then, the updating algorithm for the drift coefficient is deduced using Bayesian formula. The online updating of the model is realized, based on individual wheel monitoring data, while a probability density function of individual wheel RUL is obtained. A prediction method of RUL for centralized maintenance is proposed, based on two set thresholds: “maintenance limit” and “the ratio of limit-arriving.” Meanwhile, a CCBM timing prediction algorithm is proposed, based on the expectation distribution of individual wheel RUL. Finally, the model is validated using a 500-day online monitoring data on a fixed group, consisting of 54 freight train cars. The validation result shows that the model can predict the wheels RUL of the train for CCBM. The proposed method can be used to predict the maintenance timing when there is a large number of components under the same working conditions and following the same path of degradation.

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