scholarly journals Landscape Conservation Planning to Sustain Ecosystem Services under Climate Change

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. 1393 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yu-Pin Lin ◽  
Chi-Ju Chen ◽  
Wan-Yu Lien ◽  
Wen-Hao Chang ◽  
Joy Petway ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Land Use ◽  
Conservation Planning ◽  
Landscape Scale ◽  
Conservation Strategy ◽  
Climate Change Scenarios ◽  
Landscape Conservation ◽  
Conservation Areas ◽  
Conservation Area ◽  
Stability And Resilience

Sustainable conservation aims to ensure the sustained conservation of landscape multi-functionality which in turn requires ensuring ecosystem service (ES) and habitat quality (HQ) sustainability with inclusive landscape-scale conservation planning. This study proposes a landscape conservation planning (LCP) framework for landscape-scale ES-HQ conservation and sustainability. Spatially explicit hotspots for five ESs and HQs are identified via InVEST and LISA software. Spatiotemporal changes in ES-HQ hotspots, in terms of stability and resilience, are delineated. The Zonation technique is applied to prioritize areas for conservation based on ES-HQ hotspot stability and resilience maps. High priority conservation areas are identified and are used as reserve area inputs for land use modeling with CLUE-S software to simulate future land use change under climate change scenarios. This study reports that varied rainfall and climate are major driving factors of ES-HQ sustainability disturbance in the study area. Furthermore, our proposed conservation Strategy 2 demonstrates that a larger extent of landscape multi-functionality can be sustained when the existing conservation area includes the total area of identified ES-HQ resilient hotspots. This study effectively identifies the stability and resiliency of ES-HQ hotspot areas affected by disturbances for high priority landscape conservation requirements to ensure ES-HQ sustainability and landscape multi-functionality in the study area.

scholarly journals The desain of mangrove conservation area to increase resilience of Cimanuk Delta, Indramayu, West Java to climate change

2015 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 63-76
Author(s):  
HADIANA HADIANA ◽  
AGUSTINUS M. SAMOSIR
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Conservation Planning ◽  
Coastal Area ◽  
Conservation Areas ◽  
West Java ◽  
Conservation Area ◽  
Core Zone ◽  
Alternative Plan ◽  
Management Effort ◽  
Mangrove Conservation

Hadiana, Samosir AM. 2015. The design of mangrove conservation area to increase resilience of Cimanuk Delta, Indramayu, West Java to climate change. Bonorowo Wetlands 5: 63-76. Indramayu is one of coastal area in North Java many encountered caused impact by climate change, this seemed from storm intensity, abrasion and flood that happened more frequent. One of the management effort to reduce these impacts is the conservation. Conservation planning integrated into one form designation of conservation areas. This research aim was to determine the variable of coastal resources that are related to protection and gave the alternative plan of conservation area as an effort to brought back Cimanuk Delta condition toward climate change. The plan in scenario one generated core zone about 97,27 km2, limited utilization zone 75,35 km², sustainable fisheries zone 149,30 km², and others zone 116,07 km² of total aquatic study in Coastal of Indramayu (Delta Cimanuk) that have a total area about 437,9890 km². The plan in scenario two generated core zone about 102,07 km², and the plan in scenario three generated core zone about 120,45 km. Overall, the location that always selected as a conservation area located around Cemara, Pabean Ilir, Cantigi and Pagirikan Coastal area.

scholarly journals Investigating Future Urbanization’s Impact on Local Climate under Different Climate Change Scenarios in MEGA-urban Regions: A Case Study of the Pearl River Delta, China

Atmosphere ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 771
Author(s):  
Pak Shing Yeung ◽  
Jimmy Chi-Hung Fung ◽  
Chao Ren ◽  
Yong Xu ◽  
Kangning Huang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Land Use ◽  
Pearl River Delta ◽  
Pearl River ◽  
Climate Change Scenarios ◽  
Local Climate ◽  
The Pearl River Delta ◽  
The Future ◽  
The Pearl River

Urbanization is one of the most significant contributing factors to anthropogenic climate change. However, a lack of projected city land use data has posed significant challenges to factoring urbanization into climate change modeling. Thus, the results from current models may contain considerable errors in estimating future climate scenarios. The Pearl River Delta region was selected as a case study to provide insight into how large-scale urbanization and different climate change scenarios impact the local climate. This study adopts projected land use data from freely available satellite imagery and applies dynamic simulation land use results to the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF). The simulation periods cover the summer periods in 2010 and 2029–2031, the latter of which is averaged to represent the year 2030. The WRF simulation used the observed local climate conditions in 2010 to represent the current scenario and the projected local climate changes for 2030 as the future scenario. Under all three future climate change scenarios, the warming trend is prominent (around 1–2 °C increase), with a widespread reduction in wind speed in inland areas (1–2 ms−1). The vulnerability of human health to thermal stress was evaluated by adopting the wet-bulb globe temperature (WBGT). The results from the future scenarios suggest a high public health risk due to rising temperatures in the future. This study provides a methodology for a more comprehensive understanding of future urbanization and its impact on regional climate by using freely available satellite images and WRF simulation tools. The simulated temperature and WBGT results can serve local governments and stakeholders in city planning and the creation of action plans that will reduce the potential vulnerability of human health to excessive heat.

scholarly journals Quantification of climate change and land cover/use transition impacts on runoff variations in the upper Hailar Basin, NE China

2020 ◽  
Vol 51 (5) ◽  
pp. 976-993
Author(s):  
Yuhui Yan ◽  
Baolin Xue ◽  
Yinglan A ◽  
Wenchao Sun ◽  
Hanwen Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Land Use ◽  
Land Use Change ◽  
Precipitation Change ◽  
Climate Change Scenarios ◽  
Reference Period ◽  
Ne China ◽  
Runoff Change ◽  
Hailar Basin ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Quantification of runoff change is vital for water resources management, especially in arid or semiarid areas. This study used the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) distributed hydrological model to simulate runoff in the upper reaches of the Hailar Basin (NE China) and to analyze quantitatively the impacts of climate change and land-use change on runoff by setting different scenarios. Two periods, i.e., the reference period (before 1988) and the interference period (after 1988), were identified based on long-term runoff datasets. In comparison with the reference period, the contribution rates of both climate change and land-use change to runoff change in the Hailar Basin during the interference period were 83.58% and 16.42%, respectively. The simulation analysis of climate change scenarios with differential precipitation and temperature changes suggested that runoff changes are correlated positively with precipitation change and that the impact of precipitation change on runoff is stronger than that of temperature. Under different economic development scenarios adopted, land use was predicted to have a considerable impact on runoff. The expansion of forests within the basin might induce decreased runoff owing to enhanced evapotranspiration.

scholarly journals The Impact of Land Use/Land Cover Change (LULCC) on Water Resources in a Tropical Catchment in Tanzania under Different Climate Change Scenarios

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (24) ◽  
pp. 7083 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kristian Näschen ◽  
Bernd Diekkrüger ◽  
Mariele Evers ◽  
Britta Höllermann ◽  
Stefanie Steinbach ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Land Use ◽  
Water Resources ◽  
Land Cover ◽  
Water Balance ◽  
Land Cover Change ◽  
Sub Saharan Africa ◽  
Climate Change Scenarios ◽  
Land Use Land Cover ◽  
The Impact

Many parts of sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) are prone to land use and land cover change (LULCC). In many cases, natural systems are converted into agricultural land to feed the growing population. However, despite climate change being a major focus nowadays, the impacts of these conversions on water resources, which are essential for agricultural production, is still often neglected, jeopardizing the sustainability of the socio-ecological system. This study investigates historic land use/land cover (LULC) patterns as well as potential future LULCC and its effect on water quantities in a complex tropical catchment in Tanzania. It then compares the results using two climate change scenarios. The Land Change Modeler (LCM) is used to analyze and to project LULC patterns until 2030 and the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) is utilized to simulate the water balance under various LULC conditions. Results show decreasing low flows by 6–8% for the LULC scenarios, whereas high flows increase by up to 84% for the combined LULC and climate change scenarios. The effect of climate change is stronger compared to the effect of LULCC, but also contains higher uncertainties. The effects of LULCC are more distinct, although crop specific effects show diverging effects on water balance components. This study develops a methodology for quantifying the impact of land use and climate change and therefore contributes to the sustainable management of the investigated catchment, as it shows the impact of environmental change on hydrological extremes (low flow and floods) and determines hot spots, which are critical for environmental development.

Landscape-Scale Conservation Planning of the Ewaso Nyiro: A Model for Land Use Planning in Kenya?

2011 ◽  
pp. 105-123 ◽  
Author(s):  
Karl A. Didier ◽  
Alayne Cotterill ◽  
Iain Douglas-Hamilton ◽  
Laurence Frank ◽  
Nicholas J. Georgiadis ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Land Use Planning ◽  
Conservation Planning ◽  
Landscape Scale

Modelling the impacts of climate change and land-use change on the hydrology of Vietnam’s river basins

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Francesca Moschini ◽  
Iacopo Federico Ferrario ◽  
Barbara Hofmann
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Land Use ◽  
Land Use Change ◽  
Land Use Planning ◽  
Weighted Average ◽  
Surface Fluxes ◽  
Base Flow ◽  
Balance Model ◽  
Climate Change Scenarios ◽  
Hydrological Fluxes

<p>Quantifying how land-use change affects hydrological components is a challenge in hydrological science. It is not yet clear how changes in land use relate to runoff extremes and why some catchments are more sensitive to land-use change than others. Identifying which areas are hydrologically more sensitive to land-use change can lead to better land-use planning, reduction of the impacts of extreme rainfall events and extended dry periods. In this study we aim to quantify how land-use change and climate change are affecting the hydrological response of  Vietnam’s basins. Over the past decades the country’s land use has shifted from forest to agriculture, with very high production of rice, coffee, tea, pepper and sugar cane.</p><p>We combine the historical, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 climate change scenarios developed for Vietnam, with two different land cover maps (from the years 1992 and 2017). The combined and separate effect of land use and climate change are assessed and the most sensitive to change areas are identified. The Variable infiltration Capacity (VIC) surface water and energy balance model applied here is a grid-based model that calculates evapotranspiration, runoff, base flow, soil moisture and other hydrological fluxes. Surface heterogeneity within VIC is represented by a tiled approach, whereby the surface of each grid-box comprises fractions of the different surface types. For each surface type of the grid-box, the energy and water balances are solved, and a weighted average is calculated from the individual surface fluxes for each grid-box. Hydrological fluxes were compared for each grid cell and basin to analyse the degree of difference between the scenarios.</p><p>Significant changes in future hydrologic fluxes arise under both climate change scenarios pointing towards a severe increase in hydrological extremes. The changes in all the examined hydrological components are greater in the combined land-use and climate change experiments.</p>

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