scholarly journals Loan Loss Provision and Risk-Taking Behavior of Commercial Banks in Pakistan: A Dynamic GMM Approach

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (19) ◽  
pp. 5209 ◽  
Author(s):  
Changjun Zheng ◽  
Shumaila Meer Perhiar ◽  
Naeem Gul Gilal ◽  
Faheem Gul Gilal
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Credit Risk ◽  
Risk Taking ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Capital Adequacy ◽  
Bank Risk ◽  
Loan Loss ◽  
Loan Loss Provision ◽  
Capital Adequacy Ratio ◽  
Risk Taking Behavior

The paper analyzes the determinants of the loan loss provision (LLP) of 22 commercial banks in Pakistan from 2010 to 2017. The motive of the research is that LLP is a measure of credit risk as a proxy for bank risk-taking behavior profits and banks’ sustainability. Especially after the occurrence of a global financial crisis. The quantitative research method of data collection from Bureau Van Dijk’s BankFocus portal and the World Bank’s World Development Indicators. Other than considering specific bank variables such as capital adequacy ratio, return on average equity, and government securities, the effects of macroeconomic variable inflation and lending interest rates are explicitly studied. The model of pooled ordinary least squares (POLS), fixed effect (FE), panel corrected standard error (PCSE), and panel data estimation in the form of a general method of moments (GMM) two-step system is used to find the risk-taking behavior of banks in Pakistan. The results obtained by the use of inflation (INF) as an instrumental variable of LLP are highly dependable with a negative impact on loan loss provision. Lending interest rate (LIR) has a positive and significant relationship with LLP and contribute in the study of macroeconomic variables for bank risk-taking, excessive amount of interest rate was not beneficial for banks to earn profits especially during the economic crises. Return on average equity (ROAE) significantly moderates LLP with a negative interaction and helped the bank with profitable operations and save bank from solvency. Capital adequacy ratio (CAR) and government securities (GOV) are insignificant to LLP. The result is robust by measure of endogeneity, and highlights the important role of commercial banks’ sustainability to explain risk-taking behavior in Pakistan with the intention to increase profits after the occurrence of financial crises. The study further contributes to future research on managerial policy and decision making. In summary, the paper on loan loss provision has the capacity to forecast commercial banks’ credit risk for risk-taking in an emerging country.

scholarly journals The Effects Of Ownership Structure And Listed Status On Bank Risk In China

2013 ◽  
Vol 29 (3) ◽  
pp. 695 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maoyong Cheng ◽  
Hong Zhao ◽  
Junrui Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Credit Risk ◽  
Ownership Structure ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Capital Adequacy ◽  
Bank Risk ◽  
Capital Adequacy Ratio ◽  
Asset Quality ◽  
Relationship Of ◽  
The Relationship

This paper investigates the relationship of ownership structure, listed status and risk by using regression analysis based on the relevant data of Chinas commercial banks. Three main results emerge. First, compared to the state-owned banks, foreign-owned commercial banks exhibit better asset quality, lower credit risk and higher capital adequacy ratio; city commercial banks have lower credit risk and joint-stock commercial banks have lower credit risk and capital adequacy ratio. Second, listed status improves the asset quality and capital adequacy ratio. Finally, we also find that the listed status significantly moderates the relationship between ownership structure and risk. In conclusion, this study provides a theoretical reference for the reform of Chinas commercial banks.

scholarly journals Factors Affecting the Loan Loss Provision in Vietnamese System of Commercial Banks

2014 ◽  
Vol 222 ◽  
pp. 89-106
Author(s):  
Hiền Nguyễn Thị Thu ◽  
Tuấn Phạm Đình
Keyword(s):  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Financial Risk ◽  
Capital Adequacy ◽  
Loan Loss ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Loan Loss Provision ◽  
Loan Loss Provisions ◽  
Capital Adequacy Ratio ◽  
Loan Risk ◽  
Theoretical Evidence

Establishing loan loss provisions may affect bank’s profitability and capital adequacy ratio. The paper employs regression analysis to explore operations of loan loss provisions in Vietnamese commercial banks in 2008-2012 in its relationship with bank characteristics. The results show that loan loss provisions of Vietnamese commercial banks are positively related to size and proportion of bad debt and negatively related to financial risk ratio. The paper provides theoretical evidence of the opportunism in selection of accounting policy concerning loan risk management by Vietnamese bank managers.

scholarly journals ASSESSMENT OF CREDIT RISK IN NEPALI COMMERCIAL BANKS

2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 65 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shiva Raj Poudel
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Credit Risk ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Panel Data Analysis ◽  
Fixed Effect Model ◽  
Capital Adequacy ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Capital Adequacy Ratio

The main objective of the study is to identify the major indicators of credit risk among the Nepali commercial banks. The study is conducted using the sample of 15 commercial banks operated in Nepali economy. One way Fixed Effect Model (FEM) of panel data analysis is used as a major tool of analysis. All the data for the study were obtained from the database of Nepal Rastra Bank for bank specific variables and database of World Bank for macroeconomic variables for the year 2002/03 to 2014/15. The credit risk among the commercial banks in Nepal was regressed on bank specific variables such as liquidity, capital adequacy ratio, bank size, and interest spread. Similarly, the effects of macro-economic variables such as GDP growth, rate of inflation and interbank interest rate were also examined along with bank specific variables in identifying credit risk in Nepali commercial banks. The study reveals that liquidity has the significant positive impact on credit risk in Nepali commercial banks. In contrast, capital adequacy ratio and interest spread have the significant negative impact on credit risk. The analysis further confirmed that bank size and interest spread both have no any clear direction of impact on credit risk. Moving towards the GDP growth, credit risk in Nepali commercial banks is negatively fluctuates with GDP growth, however, the statistics show the coefficients are insignificant at 5% level. Contrarily, Inter-bank interest rate has insignificant negative impact on credit risk in Nepali commercial banks.

scholarly journals Factors Influence Banks’ Advancing Approach: Study Of Emerging Economies

2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 64-71
Author(s):  
Damian Honey ◽  
◽  
Tahseen Mohsan Khan ◽  
Malik Umer Ayub ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Credit Risk ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
The Body ◽  
Capital Adequacy ◽  
Financial Risks ◽  
Loan Loss ◽  
Risky Assets ◽  
Loan Loss Provision ◽  
Loan Loss Provisions ◽  
Body Of Knowledge

The study explores the advancing approach of commercial banks of Pakistan and Bahrain influenced by different factors that include loan loss provision, profitability, financial risks, and capital requirement. Hypotheses tested using exploratory analysis and GMM panel regression applied to the data obtained from 26 commercial banks of two countries for the period FY2008 to FY2017. The results reveal a significant connection between advancing approach and loan loss provisions for banks of both countries. Further, the advancing approach establishes a meaningful adverse relationship with profitability and credit risk for banks in Pakistan and with CAR for banks in Bahrain. Overall, the study discovers loan loss provision, profitability, credit risk, and CAR as critical factors having a direct and indirect influence on banks’ advancing approaches, which is an addition to the body of knowledge. Interestingly, it observed that the banks are more inclined towards risky assets such as consumer finance must maintain a higher degree of capital adequacy ratio.

scholarly journals Determinants of capital adequacy ratio: an empirical study on Egyptian banks

2015 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 1166-1176 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hassan M. Hafez ◽  
Osama A. El-Ansary
Keyword(s):  
Credit Risk ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Capital Adequacy ◽  
Significant Variable ◽  
Loan Loss ◽  
International Financial Crises ◽  
Management Quality ◽  
Net Interest Margin ◽  
Capital Adequacy Ratio ◽  
Asset Quality

Capital adequacy rules are safety valve for regulators and banks’ clients/shareholders to reduce expected risks faced by commercial banks especially for cross border transactions as these rules are applied compulsory by all banks internationally. Applying these rules will achieve rational management and governance. This paper examines explanatory victors that influence capital adequacy ratio (CAR) in the Egyptian commercial banks. The study covers 36 banks during the period from 2003-2013. We examined the relationship between CAR as dependent variable and the following independent variables: earning assets ratio, profitability, and liquidity, Loan loss provision as measure of credit risk, net interest margin growth, size, loans assets ratio and deposits assets ratio. Furthermore, we investigate determinants of CAR before and after the 2007-2008 international financial crises. Results vary according to the period understudy. For the whole period 2003 to 2013 results show that liquidity, size and management quality are the most significant variables. Before the period 2008 results show that asset quality, size and profitability are the most significant variables. After the period 2009 results show that asset quality, size, liquidity, management quality and credit risk are the most significant variable that explain the variance of Egyptian banks’ CAR.

CREDIT RISK AND COMMERCIAL BANKS’ PERFORMANCE IN NIGERIA: A PANEL MODEL APPROACH

2012 ◽  
Vol 02 (02) ◽  
pp. 31-38 ◽  
Author(s):  
KOLAPO T. Funso ◽  
AYENI R. Kolade ◽  
OKE M. Ojo
Keyword(s):  
Credit Risk ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Commercial Banking ◽  
Loan Loss ◽  
Return On Assets ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Loan Loss Provision ◽  
Panel Model ◽  
Percent Increase ◽  
Credit Analysis

The study carried out an empirical investigation into the quantitative effect of credit risk on the performance of commercial banks in Nigeria over the period of 11 years (2000-2010). Five commercial banking firms were selected on a cross sectional basis for eleven years. The traditional profit theory was employed to formulate profit, measured by Return on Asset (ROA), as a function of the ratio of Non-performing loan to loan & Advances (NPL/LA), ratio of Total loan & Advances to Total deposit (LA/TD) and the ratio of loan loss provision to classified loans (LLP/CL) as measures of credit risk. Panel model analysis was used to estimate the determinants of the profit function. The results showed that the effect of credit risk on bank performance measured by the Return on Assets of banks is cross-sectional invariant. That is the effect is similar across banks in Nigeria, though the degree to which individual banks are affected is not captured by the method of analysis employed in the study. A 100 percent increase in non-performing loan reduces profitability (ROA) by about 6.2 percent, a 100 percent increase in loan loss provision also reduces profitability by about 0.65percent while a 100 percent increase in total loan and advances increase profitability by about 9.6 percent. Based on our findings, it is recommended that banks in Nigeria should enhance their capacity in credit analysis and loan administration while the regulatory authority should pay more attention to banks’ compliance to relevant provisions of the Bank and other Financial Institutions Act (1999) and prudential guidelines.

scholarly journals Characteristics of banks as determinants of profit management for Islamic and conventional banks in ASEAN

Accounting ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 1179-1188 ◽  
Author(s):  
Suripto Suripto ◽  
Supriyanto Supriyanto
Keyword(s):  
Discriminant Analysis ◽  
Earnings Management ◽  
Capital Adequacy ◽  
Multiple Discriminant Analysis ◽  
Loan Loss ◽  
Loan Loss Provision ◽  
Brunei Darussalam ◽  
Capital Adequacy Ratio ◽  
Asean Countries ◽  
Conventional Banks

This study aims to analyze company characteristics as a determinant of conventional and Islamic bank earnings management in several ASEAN countries (Association of South East Asian Nations). The Multiple Discriminant Analysis was applied to determine the differences between Islamic and Conventional Banks. This test was conducted based on Capital Adequacy Ratio, Income Before Tax and Interest, Non-Performing and Changing Loans, and Company's Size in the banks of Indonesia, Malaysia, and Brunei Darussalam from 2014 to 2018. The data obtained from 200 banking entities were analyzed discriminatively. The results showed that there were simultaneous differences between Capital Adequacy Ratio, Earnings Before Tax, Loan Loss Provision, Non-Performing and Changing Loans, and Company's Size as determinants of earnings management between Islamic and conventional banks. Also, it was found that Company's Size was the dominant variable determining the management differences. Based on Discriminant Analysis, there were significant differences in the determinants of conventional and Islamic earnings management. The Changing Loan variable showed the highest contribution in determining earnings management in Islamic banks. Overall, this study found that conventional banks dominated Islamic system in practicing earnings management.

scholarly journals Credit Management and Issues of Bad Debts: An Empirical Study of Listed Deposit Banks in Nigeria

2020 ◽  
pp. 32-49
Author(s):  
Peter E. Ayunku ◽  
Akwarandu Uzochukwu
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
Credit Risk ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Random Effect ◽  
Credit Risk Management ◽  
Loan Loss ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Credit Management ◽  
Loan Loss Provision ◽  
The Impact

This study examines the impact of credit management on firm performance amidst bad debts, among Nigerian deposit banks. Five hypotheses were formulated following the dependent variables of Return on Asset and Tobin Q. The independent variables employed for this study include: Loan Loss Provision, Loan to Deposit Ratio, Equity to Asset Ratio, and Loan Write off. This study is based on ex-post facto research design and employed a panel data set collected from fourteen (14) commercial banks over six years ranging from 2014 to 2019 financial year. We analyzed the data set using descriptive statistics, correlation and Ordinary Least Square Regression Technique. The random effect models established that non-performing loan, loan loss provision and equity to asset impact significantly on banks’ performance in both Return on Asset and Tobin-Q models. This suggests that the sampled banks need to establish efficient arrangements to deal with credit risk management. In all, credit risk management indicators considered in this research are important variables in explaining the profitability of Nigerian commercial banks. However, based on the outcome from the empirical analysis, the study carefully recommends that investors and shareholders in these banks should be aware of the possible use of provisions for losses on non-performing loans by managers for smoothening of profits. The shareholders specifically should be ready to meet optimal agency costs to reduce the manager's information asymmetry by hiring competent internal and external auditors.

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