scholarly journals Is Tourism Development a Sustainable Economic Growth Strategy in the Long Run? Evidence from GCC Countries

2016 ◽  
Vol 8 (7) ◽  
pp. 605 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdulkarim Alhowaish
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Tourism Development ◽  
Growth Strategy ◽  
Gcc Countries ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Sustainable Economic Growth

scholarly journals Institutions, Macroeconomic Policies and Economic Growth in Africa: Evidence from Panel Data

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 112
Author(s):  
Haruna M. Aliero ◽  
Muftau Olaiya Olarinde
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Performance ◽  
Panel Cointegration ◽  
Growth Strategy ◽  
African Countries ◽  
Macroeconomic Policies ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Capital Development ◽  
Poor Management

This study investigates the effects of institution and macroeconomic policy on economic growth in Africa, using panel Cointegration technique to analysed data obtained from a panel  of 50 African Countries covering a period of 25years (1990-2014). The results confirm that declining growth rate in Africa is due to poor management of macroeconomic policies. A weak turning point is also confirmed to exist for government size in the short run; in the long run it becomes more pronounce. The Wald restrictions tests of causality ascertain that institutions lead economic growth performance in the short run, while poor economic growth performance impaired the capacity required in building strong institutions which in turn stunts growth in the long run. Therefore, African leaders should tilt their expenditure in favour of human capital development and strong institution, ensure intra-regional trade and adopt private sector led – economic growth strategy.

scholarly journals THE EFFECT OF SAVING AND CAPITAL EXPANSION ON FINANCIAL AND TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENT IN GCC COUNTRIES

2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
pp. 1-25
Author(s):  
Faris Alshubiri
Keyword(s):  
Least Squares ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Technological Development ◽  
National Income ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Growth Strategy ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Gcc Countries ◽  
Causal Direction ◽  
Long Run

This study examined the effect of the relationship between saving and capital expansion on financial and technological development in three GCC countries using panel data from 1990 to 2019. The study used panel least squares, feasible general least squares, dynamic ordinary least squares and fully modified ordinary least squares used in the study. The findings showed that there was a significant positive long-run relationship between capital expansion and financial development and was a positive and insignificant long-run relationship between saving and financial development. Conversely, the study showed that there was a significant positive long-run relationship between saving and technological development. Meanwhile, there was a negative long-run relationship between capital expansion and technological development. Pairwise Granger causality test results showed that there was bidirectional causality between saving and financial development, a single causal direction from Adjusted net national income and financial development and a single causal direction from technological development and saving and Inflation, consumer prices. The main conclusions of the study were saving tends to support technological development, while investment tends to improve financial development. Therefore, GCC countries should formulate a long-term growth strategy in all sectors to determine their development requirements in light of the available resources.

scholarly journals A DSGE-VAR Analysis for Tourism Development and Sustainable Economic Growth

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (9) ◽  
pp. 3635
Author(s):  
David Alaminos ◽  
Ana León-Gómez ◽  
José Ramón Sánchez-Serrano
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Tourism Development ◽  
Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium ◽  
Long Term Effects ◽  
Dsge Model ◽  
External Effects ◽  
Dynamic Stochastic ◽  
Tourist Demand ◽  
Sustainable Economic Growth

This paper aims to provide a better basis for understanding the transmission connection between tourism development and sustainable economic growth in the empirical scenario of International countries. In this way, we have applied the dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model in different countries in order to check the power of generalization of this framework to study the tourism development. Also, we extend this model to obtain the long-term effects of tourism development with confidence intervals. The influence of tourism development on sustainable economic growth is proved by our results and show the indirect consequences between tourist activity and other industries produced through the external effects of investment and human capital and public sector. Our study confirms that the DSGE technique can be a generalized model for the analysis of tourism development and, especially, can improve previous precision results with the DSGE-VAR model, where vector autoregression (VAR) is introduced in the DSGE model. The simulation results reveal even more than when the productivity of the economy in general enhances, as the current tourist demand increases in greater proportion than more than the national tourism demand. For its part, the consumption of domestic tourism rises more than the consumption of inbound tourism if the productivity of the tourism production enhances, but non-tourism prices decrease at a slower rate and tourism investment needs a longer time to recover to what is established.

scholarly journals Economic Growth, Agricultural Output and Tourism Development in Nigeria: An Application of the ARDL Bound Testing Approach

2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 786
Author(s):  
Adedoyin Isola LAWAL ◽  
Abiola John ASALEYE ◽  
Joseph ISEOLORUNKANMI ◽  
Olabisis Rashidat POPOOLA
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Policy Instruments ◽  
Tourism Development ◽  
Tourism Industry ◽  
Agricultural Output ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Testing Approach ◽  
The One ◽  
Simple Technology

Drawing from three tourism-growth theories: tourism led growth theory; growth led tourism theory; tourism – growth neutrality theory; and one agriculture-growth nexus theory – agriculture overlapping theory, this study used the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bound testing approach to examine whether or not cointegration exist among economic growth, agricultural output and tourism development in Nigeria. We intend to know what policy instruments need to be manipulated so as to achieve economic growth, increase agricultural output and enhance tourism development. From the results, it is evidence that a two –way cointegration exists between economic growth and agricultural output on the one hand, and between economic growth and tourism development on the other hand. The study also observed that a compelling long run relationship exist between agricultural output and tourism development. To achieve sustainable economic growth, policy makers are advised to pursue heavy investment in the tourism industry, adopts improved farming strategies driven by simple technology among others.

scholarly journals Financial System Stability and Economic Growth in Nigeria

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Isaac Ikeafe NJANG ◽  
Eko Eko OMINI ◽  
Festus Victor BEKUN ◽  
Festus Fatai Adedoyin
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Financial System ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
System Stability ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
Sustainable Economic Growth

Abstract This study primarily seeks to evaluate the influence of financial system stability on economic growth in Nigeria from 1986 to 2016. Employing the use of Principal Component Analysis (PCA), this study constructs a Financial System Stability Index (FSSI) as measurement for financial stability. The indicators used in building the index capture three sectors of the Nigerian Financial System (NFS). The three sectors cover the banking sector, the capital market, the external sector and include a fourth component representing financial depth. The resulting index serves as a single qualitative measure for evaluating the level of stability in a nation’s financial system and proves capable of warning of an eminent financial crisis. Employing the use of four macroeconomic indicators, the index is then regressed against the Nigerian economic growth rate with an aim of discovering the short-run and long-run dynamics existing between both variables. The granger causality test, Johansson Co-integration test and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) are the estimation techniques employed in achieving the objectives of this research. The granger causality test revealed a uni-directional causality between financial stability and economic growth in Nigeria. The Johansson Co-integration test showed that long-run co-integration relationship exists between financial stability and economic growth. Finally, the VECM results find that financial stability displays a negative relationship with economic growth and bears no significant effect on economic growth in Nigeria. The findings disclose that financial stability in Nigeria may be high and has resulted in the underutilization of financial assets thus hampering sustainable economic growth in Nigeria. In conclusion, the outcome of the findings shows that while financial stability may be necessary for initiating economic growth, it is not sufficient for sustaining economic growth in Nigeria. This research work recommends that the FSSI be employed as an additional tool for measuring the condition/state of financial stability in Nigeria and in predicting the onset of a potential financial crisis. The study further recommends that financial authorities must give attention to other aspects of financial development to facilitate sustainable economic growth in Nigeria.

scholarly journals Tourism And Economic Growth In Kenya: An Empirical Investigation

2012 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. 517 ◽  
Author(s):  
Obadiah N. Kibara ◽  
Nicholas M. Odhiambo ◽  
Josephine M. Njuguna
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Tourism Development ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Critical Question ◽  
Dynamic Relationship ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Annual Time Series

In this study, we examine the dynamic relationship between tourism sector development and economic growth using annual time-series data from Kenya. The study attempts to answer one critical question - Is tourism development in Kenya pro-growth? The study uses an ARDL-bounds testing approach to examine these linkages and also incorporates trade as an intermittent variable between tourism development and economic growth in a multivariate setting. The results of our study show that there is a uni-directional causality from tourism development to economic growth. The results are found to hold irrespective of whether the causality is estimated in the short run and long run. Other results show that international tourism Granger-causes trade, while trade Granger-causes economic growth in Kenya in both the short and the long run.

scholarly journals Stabilization Policies and Technological Shocks: Towards a Sustainable Economic Growth Path

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 205 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anelí Bongers ◽  
Carmen Díaz-Roldán
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Policy ◽  
Policy Making ◽  
Sustainable Growth ◽  
Economic Policies ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Stabilization Policies ◽  
Development Goals ◽  
Sustainable Economic Growth

The purpose of this paper is to explore the extent to which traditional economic policies can be oriented by sound practices. It is becoming widely accepted that sustainable economic growth (and not only economic growth) is the final target of economic policies, but some economic policies are applied just looking to the short-run without taking in account the long-run perspective. Our aim is to show how a sustainable economic policy-making would be possible, making compatible the stabilization of the economy in the short-run with a sustainable economic growth in the long-run. We confront the design of economic policies with the 17 goals of the 2030 Agenda. We argue that all sustainable development goals can be attained by the design and implementation of sustainable economic policies. Finally, to illustrate this point, we will conduct a simulation exercise to show under which combinations of demand policies technological shocks would promote a path of sustainable growth. Our results will provide a reference framework for a sustainable economic policy-making.

scholarly journals Energy–Finance–Growth Nexus in ASEAN-5 Countries: An ARDL Bounds Test Approach

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 5 ◽  
Author(s):  
Masnun Mahi ◽  
Seuk Wai Phoong ◽  
Izlin Ismail ◽  
Che Ruhana Isa
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Structural Break ◽  
The Philippines ◽  
Ardl Bounds Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Bounds Test ◽  
Sustainable Economic Growth ◽  
Finance Growth Nexus

This study examines the relationship between energy consumption, financial development and economic growth for ASEAN-5 countries, namely Malaysia, Indonesia, the Philippines, Singapore and Thailand, over the period from 1980 to 2017. Finance–growth and energy–growth relationships have been well researched; however, the energy–finance–growth nexus is an equally important but less explored area. Our Auto Regressive Distributed Lags (ARDL) bounds test for cointegration results suggests that the variables tend to move together in the long run for all countries, apart from Indonesia. Our study also considers the effect of a structural break due to financial crisis and confirms that the break does not affect the long-term relationship among the variables; in other words, the financial crisis does not affect the energy–finance–growth nexus. Hence, considering the consistency of energy consumption, the importance of the energy sector must not be undermined, and appropriate energy policies are instrumental in maintaining a well-managed financial sector for sustainable economic growth.

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