scholarly journals Multilevel Drought Hazard Assessment under Climate Change Scenarios in Semi-Arid Regions—A Case Study of the Karkheh River Basin in Iran

Water ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 241 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bahareh Kamali ◽  
Delaram Houshmand Kouchi ◽  
Hong Yang ◽  
Karim Abbaspour
Author(s):  
Maedeh Enayati ◽  
Omid Bozorg-Haddad ◽  
Javad Bazrafshan ◽  
Somayeh Hejabi ◽  
Xuefeng Chu

Abstract This study aims to conduct a thorough investigation to compare the abilities of QM techniques as a bias correction method for the raw outputs from GCM/RCM combinations. The Karkheh River basin in Iran was selected as a case study, due to its diverse topographic features, to test the performances of the bias correction methods under different conditions. The outputs of two GCM/RCM combinations (ICHEC and NOAA-ESM) were acquired from the CORDEX dataset for this study. The results indicated that the performances of the QMs varied, depending on the transformation functions, parameter sets, and topographic conditions. In some cases, the QMs' adjustments even made the GCM/RCM combinations' raw outputs worse. The result of this study suggested that apart from DIST, PTF:scale, and SSPLIN, the rest of the considered QM methods can provide relatively improved results for both rainfall and temperature variables. It should be noted that, according to the results obtained from the diverse topographic conditions of the sub-basins, the empirical quantiles (QUANT) and robust empirical quantiles (RQUANT) methods proved to be excellent options to correct the bias of rainfall data, while all bias correction methods, with the notable exceptions of performed PTF:scale and SSPLIN, performed relatively well for the temperature variable.


2016 ◽  
Vol 130 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 1007-1020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Narges Zohrabi ◽  
Elahe Goodarzi ◽  
Alireza Massah Bavani ◽  
Husain Najafi

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Massouda Sidiqi ◽  
Sangam Shrestha

Climate change and variability affect the availability and management of water resources and the hydrological cycle, especially in arid and semi-arid regions. This research was conducted to analyse the impact of climate change on the hydrology of the Kabul River Basin, Afghanistan by using the outputs of three General Circulation Models under two representative concentration pathway scenarios: RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. Future climate data (precipitation and temperature) obtained from the climate models were bias-corrected using the delta change approach. Maximum and minimum temperature and precipitation were predicted for the three future periods: 2020s (2010–2039), 2050s (2040–2069), and 2080s (2070–2099) against the baseline period 1961–1980. The o o o mean annual temperature in the basin is projected to increase by 1.8 C, 3.5 C, and 4.8 C in the 2020s, 2050s, and 2080s, respectively. The projected annual precipitation is expected to decline by approximately 53 to 65% for the whole river basin under both scenarios in the future period. The well-calibrated and validated Soil Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) was used to simulate the future streamflow in the basin. The mean annual streamflow is projected to increase by 50 to 120% in the future. This study provides valuable information for guiding future water resource management in the Kabul River Basin and other arid and semi-arid regions of Afghanistan.


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