scholarly journals Deuda externa y crecimiento económico de México, período 2002-2014

ECA Sinergia ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 119
Author(s):  
Lady Andrea León Serrano

  México es uno de los países más influyentes de América Latina, por el avance comercial, manejo crediticio y de crisis económicas, a pesar de tener índices de endeudamiento externo altos, es considerada una economía emergente. Por tal motivo, el objetivo de estudio es conocer el impacto de la deuda externa en el crecimiento económico de México, período 2002–2014. Se ha considerado variables macroeconómicas con la aplicación de modelos econométricos como regresión bivariado y múltiple, los datos corresponden al Anuario Estadístico de América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL). Los resultados evidencian una fuerte correlación inversa entre deuda externa y desempleo, y una débil relación con inflación y producto interno bruto. Se concluye que los porcentajes de desempleo afectan el nivel de endeudamiento externo provocando renegociaciones de deuda para solventar necesidades internas en el marco de decisiones de política macroeconómica.   Palabras clave: deuda externa, desempleo, inflación, producto interno bruto, crecimiento.   ABSTRACT Mexico is one of the most influential countries in Latin America, because of the commercial advance, credit management and economic crises, despite having high external debt ratios, it is considered an emerging economy. For this reason, the objective of the study is to know the impact of external debt on Mexico’s economic growth, 2002-2014 period. Macroeconomic variables have been considered with the application of econometric models such as bivariate and multiple regression, the data correspond to the Statistical Yearbook for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC). he results show a strong inverse correlation between external debt and unemployment, and a weak relationship with inflation and gross domestic product. It is concluded that the percentages of unemployment affect the level of external indebtedness causing debt renegotiations to solve internal needs within the framework of macroeconomic policy decisions.   Key words: External debt, unemployment, inflation, gross domestic product, growth.

2009 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 7-32 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pablo Serrano Alvarez

El texto ofrece un enfoque general sobre las tendencias historiográficas,  problemas y temas de la historia regional y local en latinoamericana. En particular a partir del impacto de la historiografía europea y norteamericana en el subcontinente. El autor ofrece su concepción reflexiva y teórica sobre el significado de  la historia local, y de un modo crítico advierte sobre sus limitaciones y alcances en la profesionalización de la disciplina a partir de las siguientes preguntas: ¿qué es historia local o regional?, ¿cuáles son las perspectivas que se vislumbran de este género de la disciplina histórica en Latinoamérica?, ¿para qué hacer historia local, regional, o microhistoria?, ¿cómo se cultiva este género en América Latina? y finalmente, ¿qué significa hacer este tipo de Historia en nuestros países?Palabras clave: historiografía, estudios regionales y locales, América Latina.Local history in Latin America: Tendencies, trends, and perspectives in the 20th century AbstractThe text offers a general focus on the historiographical tendencies, problems, and topics of regional and local history in Latin America; in particular, starting from the impact of European and North American historiography on the subcontinent. The author offers his reflective and theoretical conception of the meaning of local history, and, in a critical style, warns against the limitations and extent of the professionalization of the discipline by using the following questions: What is local or regional history? What are the perspectives which are seen in this genre of historical discipline in Latin America? Why should we do local, regional, or micro-history? How is this genre cultivated in Latin America? And, finally, What does it mean to do this kind of history in our countries? Keywords: historiography, regional and local studies, Latin America.


Author(s):  
Ayodele Thomas Duro ◽  
Williams Harley Tega ◽  
Afolabi Taofeek Sola ◽  
Adeyanju David Olanrewaju

This study seeks to evaluate the impact of public borrowing on economic growth in Nigeria using time series data from 1980 to 2018. Specifically, the study seeks to analyze the effect of domestic debt (proxy by Federal Government Bonds-FGB) and external debt (proxy by International Monetary Fund Loan-IMFL) on Nigerian’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP). To achieve this objective, secondary data was collected from the Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical bulleting and the Debt Management Office of Nigeria. A multiple regression model involving the dependent variable (GDP) and the independent variables (FGB and IMFL) was formulated and subjected to econometric analysis. These variables were adjusted with the Jarque-bera test of normality while the correlation result was used to check the possibility of multi-collinearity among the variables. The t-test was used to answer the research questions and test the formulated hypotheses at the 5percent statistical level. Results from the analysis show that a positive relationship exists between IMF Loan and Nigeria’s gross domestic product, while a negative relationship exists between FG Bonds and Nigeria’s gross domestic product, which violates the Keynesian theory of public debt. The study concludes that both domestic and external debt significantly affect economic growth in Nigeria. Therefore, it was recommended that public borrowing should be efficiently used and contracted solely for economic reasons and not for social or political reasons as this will help to avoid accumulation of debt stock over time.


REGIONOLOGY ◽  
2019 ◽  
pp. 206-223
Author(s):  
Lilit N. Sargsyan

Introduction. Export and foreign direct investment have great significance for economic development of the developing and transition countries, like Armenia and the Commonwealth of Independent States countries. As the domestic market of the Republic of Armenia is small, Armenia’s economic development depends on external demand. The aim of this article is to estimate the impact of foreign direct investment and export on gross domestic product of the Commonwealth of Independent States countries and the Republic of Armenia. Materials and Methods. For the Commonwealth of Independent States countries, regression analysis with panel data was performed using Stata V10 statistical package. For Armenia, correlation and regression analysis was performed, the results of the Granger causality test were revealed. The regression analysis employed the least squares method. Results. The performed analysis has shown that in the Commonwealth of Independent States countries the export growth of 1 % causes the gross domestic product growth of 0.92 % and the increase in foreign direct investment of 1 % causes the gross domestic product growth of 0.4 %. In the Republic of Armenia, the export growth of 1 unit causes the gross domestic product growth of 8.89 units and the increase in foreign direct investment of 1 unit causes the gross domestic product growth of 1.23 units. Discussion and Conclusion. Comparison of the obtained results with those of the similar analysis conducted earlier by the author makes it possible to state that in the Commonwealth of Independent States countries the impact of export has decreased while the impact of foreign direct investment has increased. In Armenia, the impact of both export and foreign direct investment is higher than before. The materials of this article may be useful for other researcher studying this issue, as well as for the governments of the Commonwealth of Independent States countries and the Republic of Armenia responsible for the development of the economic policy.


2016 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 24
Author(s):  
José Carlos Sebe Bom Meihy

Um dos temas mais sutis presente no panorama da cultura em tempos de globalização versa sobre o impacto da América Latina como polo gerador de conhecimento autêntico, com contornos próprios. Tal enunciado remete ao prestígio dos argumentos originais que caracterizariam a cultura local, latino-americana, lato sensu, pois afinal pergunta-se: pode-se falar de um modo cultural latino-americano? Caso afirmativo, de que matéria teria se constituído? Haveria unidade nas manifestações expressas pela cultura cunhada pelo padrão europeu? Nesta linha, situações específicas, como o caso colombiano, teriam relação direta com dinâmicas culturais vizinhas, mais amplas? Pensando nas sementes que fertilizam tais questionamentos - esboçados no passado, desde o peruano José Carlos Mariategui (1894-1930) - chega-se a Leopoldo Zea (1912-2004), pensador mexicano que mexeu de maneira decisiva com ideias estabelecidas sobre a projeção das antigas metrópoles europeias “criadas” nas colônias da América Latina. PALAVRAS-CHAVE: história; memória; oralidade; cultura.  ABSTRACTOne of the most subtle present in the cultural panorama in times of globalization is about the impact of Latin America as polo authentic knowledge generator issues with its own contours. This statement refers to the prestige of the original arguments that characterize the local culture, Latin American, in the broad sense, because after all we ask: can one speak of a cultural mode Latin American? If so, the matter would have made? Would there be unity in the demonstrations expressed by culture coined by European standard? Along these lines, specific situations, such as the Colombian case, would have a direct relationship with neighboring cultural dynamics, wider? Thinking about the seed that fertilizes such questions - outlined in the past, since the Peruvian Jose Carlos Mariategui (1894-1930) - one comes to Leopoldo Zea (1912-2004), Mexican thinker who moved decisively to established ideas about projection of the ancient European cities "created" in the colonies in Latin America. KEYWORDS: History; memory; orality; culture. RESUMENUno de los más sutiles presentes en el panorama cultural en tiempos de globalización es sobre el impacto de América Latina como temas generadores de polo auténtico conocimiento con sus propios contornos. Esta afirmación se refiere al prestigio de los argumentos originales que caracterizan a la cultura local, latinoamericano, en el sentido amplio, porque después de todo nos preguntamos: ¿se puede hablar de un modo cultural de América Latina? Si es así, el asunto habría hecho? Habría unidad en las manifestaciones expresadas por la cultura acuñado por el estándar europeo? En este sentido, las situaciones particulares, como es el caso de Colombia, tendrían una relación directa con la dinámica cultural vecinos, en general? Pensando en la semilla que fecunda estas preguntas - se indica en el pasado, desde el peruano José Carlos Mariátegui (1894-1930) - uno llega a Leopoldo Zea (1912-2004), pensador mexicano que actuó con decisión a las ideas establecidas sobre la proyección las antiguas metrópolis europeas "creadas" en las colonias de América Latina. PALABRAS CLAVE: Historia; memoria; oralidad; cultura. Disponível em:Url:http://opendepot.org/2767/ Abrir em (para melhor visualização em dispositivos móveis - Formato Flipbooks):Issuu / Calameo


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (6) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Uket E. Ewa ◽  
Wasiu A. Adesola ◽  
Etim N. Essien

There has been conflicting preposition as to the extent of tax contribution to the development of Nigerian economy. This study is to determine the impact of taxation proceeds on the development of Nigerian economy. The study explored the impact of three tax income streams – Income tax from companies’ profits, income tax from petroleum companies profits  and Value Added Tax on economic development represented by Gross Domestic Product (at current basic prices) growth for the period 1994 to 2018. The study applied Ordinary Least Square statistical tool with the help of SPSS 20.0. The study revealed a positive relationship with a coefficient of determination of 99.2% of the variation in economic development attributable to the tax income streams studied. Also although the study revealed the existence of significant effect of taxes from companies’ profits and Value Added Tax on Gross Domestic Product Growth, there is little or no significant impact of taxes on profits of Petroleum companies on Gross Domestic Product growth in Nigeria due to restriction by Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries production ceiling on Nigeria’s production/sales and the global price shocks of crude oil over the decade. Also the study revealed tax payers apathy to tax payment and presence of tax leakages due to corruption and administrative inefficiencies by the tax authorities.


2016 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 9-20
Author(s):  
Ersalina Tang

The purpose of this study is to analyze the impact of Foreign Direct Investment, Gross Domestic Product, Energy Consumption, Electric Consumption, and Meat Consumption on CO2 emissions of 41 countries in the world using panel data from 1999 to 2013. After analyzing 41 countries in the world data, furthermore 17 countries in Asia was analyzed with the same period. This study utilized quantitative approach with Ordinary Least Square (OLS) regression method. The results of 41 countries in the world data indicates that Foreign Direct Investment, Gross Domestic Product, Energy Consumption, and Meat Consumption significantlyaffect Environmental Qualities which measured by CO2 emissions. Whilst the results of 17 countries in Asia data implies that Foreign Direct Investment, Energy Consumption, and Electric Consumption significantlyaffect Environmental Qualities. However, Gross Domestic Product and Meat Consumption does not affect Environmental Qualities.


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