scholarly journals An Empirical Analysis of Public Borrowing and Economic Growth in Nigeria

2020 ◽  
pp. 243-248
Author(s):  
Ayodele Thomas Duro ◽  
Williams Harley Tega ◽  
Afolabi Taofeek Sola ◽  
Adeyanju David Olanrewaju
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Debt Management ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Series Data ◽  
The Impact

This study seeks to evaluate the impact of public borrowing on economic growth in Nigeria using time series data from 1980 to 2018. Specifically, the study seeks to analyze the effect of domestic debt (proxy by Federal Government Bonds-FGB) and external debt (proxy by International Monetary Fund Loan-IMFL) on Nigerian’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP). To achieve this objective, secondary data was collected from the Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical bulleting and the Debt Management Office of Nigeria. A multiple regression model involving the dependent variable (GDP) and the independent variables (FGB and IMFL) was formulated and subjected to econometric analysis. These variables were adjusted with the Jarque-bera test of normality while the correlation result was used to check the possibility of multi-collinearity among the variables. The t-test was used to answer the research questions and test the formulated hypotheses at the 5percent statistical level. Results from the analysis show that a positive relationship exists between IMF Loan and Nigeria’s gross domestic product, while a negative relationship exists between FG Bonds and Nigeria’s gross domestic product, which violates the Keynesian theory of public debt. The study concludes that both domestic and external debt significantly affect economic growth in Nigeria. Therefore, it was recommended that public borrowing should be efficiently used and contracted solely for economic reasons and not for social or political reasons as this will help to avoid accumulation of debt stock over time.

scholarly journals External Debt and Economic Growth of Nigeria: An Empirical Investigation

2018 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Sajuyigbe, Ademola ◽  
A. Odetayo, Tajudeen ◽  
Z. Adeyemi, Adewumi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Debt Management ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Secondary Sources ◽  
Augmented Dickey Fuller ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Adf Test

The study investigates the impact of external debt on economic growth in Nigeria for the period 1999-2015. The data for this study was obtained mainly from secondary sources mainly from Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Statistical Bulletins and Debt Management Office. Time series data on Gross Domestic Product (GDP) as a proxy for Economic Growth, External Debt Stock (EXDS), External Debt Service Payment (EDSP), and Exchange Rate (EXGR) were used for the analysis. The techniques of Estimation employed in the study include Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) test, Johansen Co-integration, Vector Error Correction Mechanism and Granger Causality Test. Results show that external debt has an inverse effect on economic growth in Nigeria. Subsequently, the study recommends that government should empower Debt Management Office to set the mechanism in place, ensure that loans are utilised for purposes they are meant for and prosecute corrupt public officers who siphoned the money.

scholarly journals Co-Integration Approach to Analysing The Impact of External Debt Management on Economic Growth of Nigeria

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 111-128
Author(s):  
Biradawa Kayadi ◽  
Confidence Chinwe Opara ◽  
Christy Twaliwi Zwingina ◽  
Udeme Okon Efanga
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Debt Service ◽  
Debt Management ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
The Impact

This study examined the impact of External debt management on economic growth of Nigeria. Using annual time series data collected over the period of 33 years (1986 – 2018). The data for the study were collected from the CBN statistical bulletin annual report. The variables on which data are collected include: Real Gross Domestic Product, External Debt, External Debt service, Balance of Payment and Exchange Rate. Data were analyzed using the Ordinary least squares (OLS) multiple regression analysis. It proceeded with Descriptive statistics; Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) unit root test, Co-integration test and Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL). The study revealed that impact of external debt management on economic growth of Nigeria over the period under review was statistically significant with external debt, external debt service payment and balance of payment but statistically insignificant with exchange rate. The study recommended that governments should establish and adopt an optimal balance between external debt acquisition and application /allocation of the acquired funds to productive projects for the purpose of making a high output and a steady economic growth. The management should live up to expectation by encouraging efficient commitment of borrowed funds to productive projects so as to comply with debt serving agreement and outright payments, measures such as improving exports should be implemented to ensure that local currencies are stable.

scholarly journals Impact of External Debt Management on Economic Growth of Nigeria

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 25-41
Author(s):  
Ogbonna Ogbonna ◽  
Ihemeje Ihemeje ◽  
Obioma Obioma ◽  
Hanson Hanson ◽  
Amadi Amadi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Debt Service ◽  
Debt Management ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
The Impact

This study examined the impact of External debt management on economic growth of Nigeria. Using annual time series data collected over the period of 33 years (1986 – 2018). The data for the study were collected from the CBN statistical bulletin annual report. The variables on which data are collected include: Real Gross Domestic Product, External Debt, External Debt service, Balance of Payment and Exchange Rate. Data were analyzed using the Ordinary least squares (OLS) multiple regression analysis. It proceeded with Descriptive statistics; Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) unit root test, Co-integration test and Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL). The study revealed that impact of external debt management on economic growth of Nigeria over the period under review was statistically significant with external debt, external debt service payment and balance of payment but statistically insignificant with exchange rate. The study recommended that governments should establish and adopt an optimal balance between external debt acquisition and application /allocation of the acquired funds to productive projects for the purpose of making a high output and a steady economic growth. The management should live up to expectation by encouraging efficient commitment of borrowed funds to productive projects so as to comply with debt serving agreement and outright payments, measures such as improving exports should be implemented to ensure that local currencies are stable.

scholarly journals Indicators of the association of Unemployment in Indonesia with the Level of Employment Opportunity, GDP, and SER

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (5) ◽  
pp. 189-206
Author(s):  
Diesta Pambayun
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
School Enrollment ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Employment Opportunities ◽  
Unequal Distribution ◽  
Negative Effect

Population inequality and the unequal distribution of income are indicators of unemployment in Indonesia, while unemployment plays an important role in economic growth. The increase in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) means that the level of public welfare improves in direct proportion to the gross domestic product (GDP) which is used as a measuring tool for economic conditions. School Enrollment Rates (SER) and employment opportunities are also identified as having an effect on economic growth, so it is important to conduct research using the ECM method using time series data for 1990-2019 sourced from the Central Statistics Agency (CSA). Based on the results of data processing, it can be seen that in the short and long term employment opportunities and GDP have a positive effect on unemployment. However, in the long term GDP and SER have no significant negative effect on unemployment.

scholarly journals Public Expenditure in Nepal: A Case of Transportation Sector

2021 ◽  
Vol 30 (1) ◽  
pp. 24-36
Author(s):  
Narayan Prasad Ghimire
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Public Expenditure ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Capital Expenditure ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Government Investment ◽  
Transportation Sector ◽  
The Government

The rapid growth in public investment in various sectors was assumed after decades of conflict and an unstable political situation. With the declaration of the Federal Republic, Nepal is going to embark on accelerated economic growth. This has somewhat caused concerns among policymakers of its implication for economic growth. And the government investment in transportation infrastructure is one of the core strategies, called the ‘infrastructure of infrastructures’. The main aim of this study is, therefore, to explain the relationship between economic growth and public expenditure in the transportation sector in Nepal. Primarily, this study has focused on the distinction of expenditures in the five-year development plans in three systems (Panchayat, Democratic, and Republic). This study used time series data collected between 1975 and 2016. The statistical and econometric tools have been used for the study. The result shows that the trend of government investment on public expenditure has increased in the Republic system. This study reveals that the variables are stationary on the first difference. The obtained regression model is satisfactory by diagnostic tests (errors are normally distributed, no serial correlation, and homoscedastic). The data explain the positive and significant influence of Transportation Capital Expenditure on Gross Domestic Product, and, hence, it is contributing to economic growth. Furthermore, the results show short-run unidirectional causation from Transportation Capital Expenditure to Gross Domestic Product.

scholarly journals Effect of Economic and Agricultural Diversification on the Economic Growth in Nigeria

2020 ◽  
Vol 40 (01) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ohunyeye O. Felix ◽  
Obamen Joseph ◽  
Omonona Solomon ◽  
Agbaeze K. Emmanuel
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Test Method ◽  
Annual Reports ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Agricultural Diversification ◽  
The Government ◽  
Bound Test

The study examines the effect of economic and agricultural diversification on economic growth in Nigeria. The objectives were to determine the effect of government agricultural spending on Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product. Data were collected from secondary sourced using the time series data which was extracted from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) annual Statistical Bulletin for the period and The Nigeria Bureau of Statistic annual reports. Data were analyzed using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach or Bound Test Method. The findings revealed that Government agricultural expenditure does not have a significant effect on Gross Domestic Product. The investigation suggested that the government at all level should increase their budgetary allocations for agriculture and also develop a functional agricultural long-term blueprint to improve the sector.

scholarly journals Estimating the Impact of Human Capital Underutilization on the Productivity and Economic Growth in India

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vijaya Kumar M ◽  
Balu B
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Series Data ◽  
International Labor Organization ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Adf Test

Abstract This study investigated the effect of human capital underutilization on productivity and economic growth. It has used time-series data accessed from the International Labor Organization (ILO) and World Bank database. This paper estimated the relationship between the underutilization of human capital on productivity and economic growth by applying the econometric tests like Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) Test, Johansen Integration Test, and the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model. The results revealed that in the long run human capital underutilization has a negative relationship on GDP and labor productivity and it does not in the short run. The study recommends that specific policy legislations in the Indian labor markets are required for addressing the problem of human capital underutilization and thereby accelerating the economic growth and productivity for the current and future generations.

scholarly journals ANALISIS PENGARUH INFRASTRUKTUR PUBLIK TERHADAP PRODUK DOMESTIK BRUTO PERKAPITA DI INDONESIA

IQTISHODUNA ◽  
2012 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eko Fajar Cahyono, David Kaluge
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Physical Capital ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Public Infrastructure ◽  
Correction Model

This study aims to measure how far the influence of public infrastructure such as roads, electricity,  and telephone  to Gross Domestic Product in Indonesia. This research is based on the theory of classical and neoclassical economic growth which assumes that the infrastructure is physical capital that relate either directly or indirectly to economic growth. This research used error correction model  analysis and time series data. Based on estimates found that public infrastructure have a significant and positive impact on Gross Domestic Product.

scholarly journals Money supply and economic growth of Nepal: ARDL approach

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 76-94
Author(s):  
Keshar Bahadur Kunwar
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Empirical Relationship ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Series Data ◽  
P Value ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Relationship

There are a number of theories illustrating the relationship between money supply and gross domestic product. Money supply can be defined as the total stock of money circulating in the economy. The circulating money involves the currency, printed notes, money in the deposit accounts, and in the form of other liquid assets. Valuation of money supply helps analysts and policy makers to frame the policy or to alter the existing policy of increasing or reducing the supply of money. The valuation is important as it ultimately affects the business cycle and thereby affecting the economy. This study sought to provide answers to the question, what are the effects of money supply on the gross domestic product in Nepal? The study undertook a causal research design using time series data from the period 1974/75 to 2017/18 to critically investigate the relationship between money supply and economic growth by establishing an empirical relationship that exists between them. The study employed the Augmented Diky fuller test and ARDL- VECM model. The results indicate the existence of a significant long-run relationship between money supply and economic growth as measured by GDP. LNBM is significant to LNGDP and LNGDP is also significant to LNBM so there is bi-directional causality. There is unidirectional relationship existing between LNINF to LNGDP and LNINF to LNBM. ECTcoefficient vale are negative and the p-value of above three approaches are also less than 5 percent which is desirable for the ARDL model.

scholarly journals THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 PANDEMIC ON THE TOURISM SECTOR IN INDONESIA

Riset ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 389-401
Author(s):  
Jan Horas Veryady Purba ◽  
Ritha Fathiah ◽  
Steven Steven
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Equation Model ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Tourism Sector ◽  
Before And After ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Impact

The tourism is one of the strategic sectors and has an important role as a source of foreign exchange and encourages national economic growth. Since March 2020, the Covid-19 pandemic has begun to enter Indonesia, and the cumulative infection curve has not sloped, and is still increasing exponentially until now. This phenomenon has resulted in a contraction in the Indonesian economy or created negative economic growth, as well as creating very bad conditions for the tourism sector in Indonesia. This study aims to examine the influence of the Covid-19 pandemic on tourism and its implications for economic growth in Indonesia. The data used are quarterly time series data before and after the Covid-19 Pandemic (2018-2020). This study uses a regression equation model that is estimated by using ordinary least square (OLS). Secondary data used are data air transport and hotel accommodation, as a proxy for tourism variables. The results show that the Covid-19 Pandemic has a negative effect on Indonesian tourism, and has negative implications for Indonesia's GDP. From the simulation results, the findings of this study also calculate the amount of potential lost in the Turism and Indonesian economy during the Covid-19 Pandemic.

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