A comparison of the temporal evolution of hydrodynamics and inlet morphology during Tropical Storm Fay (2020)

Shore & Beach ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 11-22
Author(s):  
K. McPherran ◽  
S. Dohner ◽  
A. Trembanis
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Extreme Event ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Tropical Storm ◽  
Small Scale ◽  
Storm Event ◽  
Fair Weather ◽  
Atlantic Hurricane ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Hurricane Season

The record-setting North Atlantic hurricane season of 2020 had 30 named storms and reinforced the need for high-resolution, small-scale data collected in the nearshore zone during storm events to characterize storm impacts on coastal settings. To address these needs, hydrodynamic and morphologic data were collected during the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season, capturing fair weather conditions and the passage of Tropical Storm Fay (July 2020) near Chincoteague Inlet, Virginia. A sector-scanning rotary sonar captured high-resolution imagery of bedform evolution and data were analyzed to relate the migration of bedforms to the concomitant hydrodynamic conditions during the storm event. During the peak of the storm on 10 July 2020, significant wave height and period in Chincoteague Inlet were 0.96 m at 9.6 s arriving from the SSW (201°). The ripple field evolved during the storm in a manner consistent with that found in Hay and Mudge (2005): irregular ripples (O 20 cm wavelength) dominated during fair weather conditions, which developed into a washed-out, flat bed state as the storm arrived. During the peak of the storm, lunate megaripples (O 1 m wavelength) formed and migrated shoreward. A substantial outflow of freshwater from Chincoteague Bay occurred for up to seven days post-storm, and sediment transported by this outflow could serve as a yet-unidentified sediment source for the rapid growth of southern Assateague Island. This outflow of freshwater dampened waves and hindered ripple field recovery for up to seven days post-storm. These extreme event datasets are critical to inform coastal flood models and management decisions, as this work recognizes an increased risk of flooding for the town of Chincoteague from even the offshore passage of tropical storms.

scholarly journals Atlantic Hurricane Season of 2007

2009 ◽  
Vol 137 (12) ◽  
pp. 4061-4088 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael J. Brennan ◽  
Richard D. Knabb ◽  
Michelle Mainelli ◽  
Todd B. Kimberlain
Keyword(s):  
The United States ◽  
Tropical Storm ◽  
First Year ◽  
Tropical Storms ◽  
Severe Damage ◽  
Hurricane Andrew ◽  
Atlantic Hurricane ◽  
Hurricane Season ◽  
Tropical Depressions

Abstract The 2007 Atlantic hurricane season had 15 named storms, including 14 tropical storms and 1 subtropical storm. Of these, six became hurricanes, including two major hurricanes, Dean and Felix, which reached category 5 intensity (on the Saffir–Simpson hurricane scale). In addition, there were two unnamed tropical depressions. While the number of hurricanes in the basin was near the long-term mean, 2007 became the first year on record with two category 5 landfalls, with Hurricanes Dean and Felix inflicting severe damage on Mexico and Nicaragua, respectively. Dean was the first category 5 hurricane in the Atlantic basin to make landfall in 15 yr, since Hurricane Andrew (1992). In total, eight systems made landfall in the basin during 2007, and the season’s tropical cyclones caused approximately 380 deaths. In the United States, one hurricane, one tropical storm, and three tropical depressions made landfall, resulting in 10 fatalities and about $50 million in damage.

scholarly journals High-resolution refinement of a storm loss model and estimation of return periods of loss-intensive storms over Germany

2011 ◽  
Vol 11 (10) ◽  
pp. 2821-2833 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. G. Donat ◽  
T. Pardowitz ◽  
G. C. Leckebusch ◽  
U. Ulbrich ◽  
O. Burghoff
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Statistical Characteristics ◽  
Extreme Value Analysis ◽  
Small Scale ◽  
Storm Event ◽  
Return Periods ◽  
Storm Events ◽  
Value Analysis ◽  
Loss Model ◽  
Wind Speeds

Abstract. A refined model for the calculation of storm losses is presented, making use of high-resolution insurance loss records for Germany and allowing loss estimates on a spatial level of administrative districts and for single storm events. Storm losses are calculated on the basis of wind speeds from both ERA-Interim and NCEP reanalyses. The loss model reproduces the spatial distribution of observed losses well by taking specific regional loss characteristics into account. This also permits high-accuracy estimates of total cumulated losses, though slightly underestimating the country-wide loss sums for storm "Kyrill", the most severe event in the insurance loss records from 1997 to 2007. A larger deviation, which is assigned to the relatively coarse resolution of the NCEP reanalysis, is only found for one specific rather small-scale event, not adequately captured by this dataset. The loss model is subsequently applied to the complete reanalysis period to extend the storm event catalogue to cover years when no systematic insurance records are available. This allows the consideration of loss-intensive storm events back to 1948, enlarging the event catalogue to cover the recent 60+ years, and to investigate the statistical characteristics of severe storm loss events in Germany based on a larger sample than provided by the insurance records only. Extreme value analysis is applied to the loss data to estimate the return periods of loss-intensive storms, yielding a return period for storm "Kyrill", for example, of approximately 15 to 21 years.

Statistical–Dynamical Predictions of Seasonal North Atlantic Hurricane Activity

2011 ◽  
Vol 139 (4) ◽  
pp. 1070-1082 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gabriel A. Vecchi ◽  
Ming Zhao ◽  
Hui Wang ◽  
Gabriele Villarini ◽  
Anthony Rosati ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Global Climate Model ◽  
Atlantic Hurricane ◽  
Uncertainty Estimates ◽  
Hurricane Season ◽  
Hurricane Activity ◽  
Hurricane Forecasting

Abstract Skillfully predicting North Atlantic hurricane activity months in advance is of potential societal significance and a useful test of our understanding of the factors controlling hurricane activity. In this paper, a statistical–dynamical hurricane forecasting system, based on a statistical hurricane model, with explicit uncertainty estimates, and built from a suite of high-resolution global atmospheric dynamical model integrations spanning a broad range of climate states is described. The statistical model uses two climate predictors: the sea surface temperature (SST) in the tropical North Atlantic and SST averaged over the global tropics. The choice of predictors is motivated by physical considerations, as well as the results of high-resolution hurricane modeling and statistical modeling of the observed record. The statistical hurricane model is applied to a suite of initialized dynamical global climate model forecasts of SST to predict North Atlantic hurricane frequency, which peaks during the August–October season, from different starting dates. Retrospective forecasts of the 1982–2009 period indicate that skillful predictions can be made from as early as November of the previous year; that is, skillful forecasts for the coming North Atlantic hurricane season could be made as the current one is closing. Based on forecasts initialized between November 2009 and March 2010, the model system predicts that the upcoming 2010 North Atlantic hurricane season will likely be more active than the 1982–2009 climatology, with the forecasts initialized in March 2010 predicting an expected hurricane count of eight and a 50% probability of counts between six (the 1966–2009 median) and nine.

scholarly journals Phenological tracking og agricultural feilds investigated by using dual polarimetry tanDEM-X images

2015 ◽  
Vol XL-7/W3 ◽  
pp. 73-76
Author(s):  
S. Mirzaee ◽  
M. Motagh ◽  
H. Arefi ◽  
A. Nooryazdan
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Environmental Changes ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Synthetic Aperture ◽  
Small Scale ◽  
Imaging Characteristics ◽  
X Band ◽  
Phenological Changes ◽  
Extract Information

Remote sensing plays a key role in monitoring and assessing environmental changes. Because of its special imaging characteristics such as high-resolution, capabilities to obtain data in all weather conditions and sensitivity to geometrical and dielectric properties of the features, Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) technology has become a powerful technique to detect small scale changes related to earth surface.SAR images contain the information of both phase and intensity in different modes like single, dual and full polarimetric states which are important in order to extract information about various targets. In this study we investigate phenological changes in an agricultural region using high-resolution X-band SAR data. The case study is located in Doroud region of Lorestan province, west of Iran. The purpose is to investigate the ability of copolar and interferometric coherence extracted from TanDEM-X dual polarimetry (HH/VV) in bistatic StripMap mode for tracking the phenological changes of crops during growing season. The data include 11 images acquired between 12.06.2012 and 02.11.2012 and 6 images acquired between 30.05.2013 and 04.08.2013 in the CoSSC format. Results show that copolar coherence is almost able to follow phenological changes but interferometric coherence has a near constant behaviour with fluctuations mainly related to baseline variations.

Atlantic Hurricane Season of 2009

2011 ◽  
Vol 139 (4) ◽  
pp. 1049-1069 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert J. Berg ◽  
Lixion A. Avila
Keyword(s):  
Tropical Cyclone ◽  
The United States ◽  
Tropical Storm ◽  
Forecast Skill ◽  
Tropical Storms ◽  
Forecast Errors ◽  
Atlantic Hurricane ◽  
Intensity Forecast ◽  
Hurricane Season

The 2009 Atlantic season was marked by below-average tropical cyclone activity with the formation of nine tropical storms, the fewest since the 1997 Atlantic hurricane season. Of these, three became hurricanes and two strengthened into major hurricanes (category 3 or higher on the Saffir–Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale). In addition, there were two tropical depressions that did not reach storm strength. The numbers of tropical storms and hurricanes were below the long-term averages of 11 named storms and 6 hurricanes, although the number of major hurricanes equaled the long-term average of 2. Many of the cyclones remained relatively weak. Only one tropical cyclone, Tropical Storm Claudette, made landfall in the United States, although Ida affected the northern Gulf Coast as a tropical storm before moving inland as an extratropical cyclone. Hurricane Bill and Tropical Storm Danny indirectly affected the East Coast by producing high surf, rip currents, and beach erosion; Bill also produced tropical storm conditions over Bermuda and parts of Atlantic Canada. Hurricane Ida made landfall in Nicaragua and also affected parts of Honduras, the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico, and western Cuba. Tropical Storm Erika had minor effects on the northern Leeward Islands, mainly in the form of light rain, and Tropical Storm Grace moved through the Azores with little impact. The death toll from the 2009 Atlantic tropical cyclones was six. A verification of National Hurricane Center official forecasts during 2009 is also presented. Official track errors and forecast skill set records for accuracy at lead times between 24 and 72 h. Official intensity forecast errors were mostly larger than the previous 5-yr means, although intensity forecast skill was at or above historical highs since the intensity skill baseline [i.e., Decay-Statistical Hurricane Intensity Forecast model version 5 (Decay-SHIFOR5)] errors were well above average.

Atlantic Hurricane Season of 2006

2008 ◽  
Vol 136 (3) ◽  
pp. 1174-1200 ◽  
Author(s):  
James L. Franklin ◽  
Daniel P. Brown
Keyword(s):  
Tropical Cyclones ◽  
The United States ◽  
Tropical Storm ◽  
Track Forecast ◽  
Forecast Errors ◽  
Atlantic Hurricane ◽  
Hurricane Season ◽  
First Time ◽  
National Hurricane Center

Abstract The 2006 Atlantic hurricane season is summarized and the year’s tropical cyclones are described. A verification of National Hurricane Center official forecasts during 2006 is also presented. Ten cyclones attained tropical storm intensity in 2006. Of these, five became hurricanes and two became “major” hurricanes. Overall activity was near the long-term mean, but below the active levels of recent seasons. For the first time since 2001, no hurricanes made landfall in the United States. Elsewhere in the basin, hurricane-force winds were experienced in Bermuda (from Florence) and in the Azores (from Gordon). Official track forecast errors were smaller in 2006 than during the previous 5-yr period (by roughly 15%–20% out to 72 h), establishing new all-time lows at forecast projections through 72 h. Since 1990, 24–72-h official track forecast errors have been reduced by roughly 50%.

scholarly journals Atlantic Hurricane Season of 2008*

2010 ◽  
Vol 138 (5) ◽  
pp. 1975-2001 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel P. Brown ◽  
John L. Beven ◽  
James L. Franklin ◽  
Eric S. Blake
Keyword(s):  
Tropical Cyclones ◽  
Gulf Coast ◽  
The United States ◽  
Tropical Storm ◽  
Greater Antilles ◽  
Lead Times ◽  
Forecast Errors ◽  
Atlantic Hurricane ◽  
Hurricane Season ◽  
Major Hurricane

Abstract The 2008 Atlantic hurricane season is summarized and the year’s tropical cyclones are described. Sixteen named storms formed in 2008. Of these, eight became hurricanes with five of them strengthening into major hurricanes (category 3 or higher on the Saffir–Simpson hurricane scale). There was also one tropical depression that did not attain tropical storm strength. These totals are above the long-term means of 11 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and 2 major hurricanes. The 2008 Atlantic basin tropical cyclones produced significant impacts from the Greater Antilles to the Turks and Caicos Islands as well as along portions of the U.S. Gulf Coast. Hurricanes Gustav, Ike, and Paloma hit Cuba, as did Tropical Storm Fay. Haiti was hit by Gustav and adversely affected by heavy rains from Fay, Ike, and Hanna. Paloma struck the Cayman Islands as a major hurricane, while Omar was a major hurricane when it passed near the northern Leeward Islands. Six consecutive cyclones hit the United States, including Hurricanes Dolly, Gustav, and Ike. The death toll from the Atlantic tropical cyclones is approximately 750. A verification of National Hurricane Center official forecasts during 2008 is also presented. Official track forecasts set records for accuracy at all lead times from 12 to 120 h, and forecast skill was also at record levels for all lead times. Official intensity forecast errors in 2008 were below the previous 5-yr mean errors and set records at 72–120 h.

scholarly journals A Study of the Effects of Rain, Snow and Hail on the Atmospheric Electric Field near Ground

Atmosphere ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (8) ◽  
pp. 996
Author(s):  
Athanasios Karagioras ◽  
Konstantinos Kourtidis
Keyword(s):  
Frequency Distribution ◽  
Complex Structure ◽  
Potential Gradient ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
The Other ◽  
Fair Weather ◽  
Northern Greece ◽  
Rain Events ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Bounce Back

The purpose of the present study is to investigate the impact of rain, snow and hail on potential gradient (PG), as observed in a period of ten years in Xanthi, northern Greece. An anticorrelation between PG and rainfall was observed for rain events that lasted several hours. When the precipitation rate was up to 2 mm/h, the decrease in PG was between 200 and 1300 V/m, in most cases being around 500 V/m. An event with rainfall rates up to 11 mm/h produced the largest drop in PG, of 2 kV/m. Shortly after rain, PG appeared to bounce back to somewhat higher values than the ones of fair-weather conditions. A decrease in mean hourly PG was observed, which was around 2–4 kV/m during the hail events which occurred concurrently with rain and from 0 to 3.5 kV/m for hail events with no rain. In the case of no drop, no concurrent drop in temperature was observed, while, for the other cases, it appeared that, for each degree drop in temperature, the drop in hourly mean PG was 1000 V/m; hence, we assume that the intensity of the hail event regulates the drop in PG. The frequency distribution of 1-minute PG exhibits a complex structure during hail events and extend from −18 to 11 kV/m, with most of the values in the negative range. During snow events, 1-minute PG exhibited rapid fluctuations between high positive and high negative values, its frequency distribution extending from −10 to 18 kV/m, with peaks at −10 and 3 kV/m.

scholarly journals Circum-nuclear molecular disks: Role in AGN fueling and feedback

2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (S359) ◽  
pp. 312-317
Author(s):  
Francoise Combes
Keyword(s):  
Black Hole ◽  
Angular Momentum ◽  
High Resolution ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Active Galaxy ◽  
Small Scale ◽  
Massive Black Hole ◽  
Molecular Outflows ◽  
Molecular Outflow

AbstractGas fueling AGN (Active Galaxy Nuclei) is now traceable at high-resolution with ALMA (Atacama Large Millimeter Array) and NOEMA (NOrthern Extended Millimeter Array). Dynamical mechanisms are essential to exchange angular momentum and drive the gas to the super-massive black hole. While at 100pc scale, the gas is sometimes stalled in nuclear rings, recent observations reaching 10pc scale (50mas), may bring smoking gun evidence of fueling, within a randomly oriented nuclear gas disk. AGN feedback is also observed, in the form of narrow and collimated molecular outflows, which point towards the radio mode, or entrainment by a radio jet. Precession has been observed in a molecular outflow, indicating the precession of the radio jet. One of the best candidates for precession is the Bardeen-Petterson effect at small scale, which exerts a torque on the accreting material, and produces an extended disk warp. The misalignment between the inner and large-scale disk, enhances the coupling of the AGN feedback, since the jet sweeps a large part of the molecular disk.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document