scholarly journals Investor Sentiment in Stock Market: A Case of Pakistan Super League in Pakistan Stock Exchange

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 101-121
Author(s):  
FURQAN ULLAH ◽  
MUHAMMAD ASIF ◽  
MUHAMMAD ZAHID ◽  
FAIZA MEHREEN
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
United Arab Emirates ◽  
Behavioral Finance ◽  
Abnormal Return ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Investor Sentiment ◽  
Sports Events ◽  
Investor Sentiments ◽  
Super League

This study investigates whether sentiments play any role while investors make financial decisions which results in the stock returns. The paper analyzes the major two sports events (2016-2017) of Pakistan Super League (PSL). The study utilizes the stock market data from Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX)-100 index for the period of two financial years starting from June 2015 to July 2017. PSL T20 data is collected from the official PSL website. The empirical results of the studyshow that PSL sports events are highly statistically significant and imply that the events trigger investor sentiments (optimistic and pessimistic behaviors) in the PSX.When the whole PSL games were played on United Arab Emirates (UAE) grounds in 2016, later on, which badly affected the investor moods and resulted in a negative abnormal return in PSX-100 index. While in case of PSL event in 2017, in which only final match of the event was held in Lahore, Pakistan and resulted in a positive abnormal return in PSX-100 index. The study provides implications for different authorities such as Pakistan Cricket Board (PCB), PSX and other development authorities in order to promote such activities for the overall economic and social benefits. While founding no previous studies concerning the subject in the Pakistani context, the Scholar selected the issue to conduct a research and make a considerable contribution for investors in Pakistan with respect to PSL events and its impact on PSX. Keywords: Investor Sentiments, Stock returns, behavioral finance, Pakistan Super League, Pakistan Stock Exchange

Do Indian stock market sentiments impact contemporaneous returns?

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 332-346
Author(s):  
Divya Aggarwal ◽  
Pitabas Mohanty
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Temporal Dynamics ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Investor Sentiments ◽  
Indian Stock Market ◽  
The Impact

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to analyse the impact of Indian investor sentiments on contemporaneous stock returns of Bombay Stock Exchange, National Stock Exchange and various sectoral indices in India by developing a sentiment index. Design/methodology/approach The study uses principal component analysis to develop a sentiment index as a proxy for Indian stock market sentiments over a time frame from April 1996 to January 2017. It uses an exploratory approach to identify relevant proxies in building a sentiment index using indirect market measures and macro variables of Indian and US markets. Findings The study finds that there is a significant positive correlation between the sentiment index and stock index returns. Sectors which are more dependent on institutional fund flows show a significant impact of the change in sentiments on their respective sectoral indices. Research limitations/implications The study has used data at a monthly frequency. Analysing higher frequency data can explain short-term temporal dynamics between sentiments and returns better. Further studies can be done to explore whether sentiments can be used to predict stock returns. Practical implications The results imply that one can develop profitable trading strategies by investing in sectors like metals and capital goods, which are more susceptible to generate positive returns when the sentiment index is high. Originality/value The study supplements the existing literature on the impact of investor sentiments on contemporaneous stock returns in the context of a developing market. It identifies relevant proxies of investor sentiments for the Indian stock market.

scholarly journals Measuring Stock Market Investor Sentiment

2012 ◽  
Vol 29 (1) ◽  
pp. 51 ◽  
Author(s):  
Francisca Beer ◽  
Mohamed Zouaoui
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Behavioral Finance ◽  
Hybrid Approach ◽  
Composite Index ◽  
Investor Sentiment ◽  
Predictive Ability ◽  
Relative Performance ◽  
Relative Efficacy ◽  
Noise Traders

Recently, investor sentiment measures have become one of the more widely examined areas in behavioral finance. A number of measures have been developed in the literature without having been fully validated, and therefore leaving in question which measure should be used for empirical exploration. The purpose of this study is to examine the relative performance of a number of popular measures in predicting stock returns and to test the relative efficacy of a hybrid approach. Using a panel of investor sentiment measures, we develop a new measure of sentiment which combines direct and indirect sentiment measures. Our results show that our composite sentiment index affects the returns of stocks hard to value and difficult to arbitrage consistent with the predictions of noise traders models. Finally, we find that our composite index has a better predictive ability than the alternative sentiment measures largely used in the literature.

scholarly journals Stock Returns and The Weather Effect: the Case of Ghana

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sampson Atuahene ◽  
Kong Yusheng ◽  
Geoffrey Bentum-Micah
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Investor Sentiment ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Economic Significance ◽  
Weather Changes ◽  
Brokerage Firms

In every economy, Stock markets are part of the key elements the build it up. A few decades ago, there has been a significant change in Ghana stock market returns (GSE). Our study examines the statistical and economic significance of investor sentiment, based on weather conditions/changes, on stock market returns. OLS models, assisted by unit root tests were employed in analyzing the data obtained from the Ghana stock exchange platform from 2000 to 2017. From our literature review, we discovered that investors’ perceptions play a central role in finalizing the direction of stock market returns. Regarding our empirical results, we tested whether weather variations influence the investment decisions of investors; we discovered that temperature and cloud cover significantly influences stock market returns. This is because of mood changes is associated with weather conditions variations. However, sunshine per our regression coefficient shows a statistically insignificant impact on investors’ investment choices. Precipitation to a large extend influence stock market activities further affecting its results negatively as our regression results depicted. We concluded stock brokerage firms, companies, and investors (foreign/local) must incorporate weather changes/effects when strategizing about their investment outcomes.

scholarly journals Investor sentiment by relative strength index and stock return: Empirical evidence on Vietnam's stock market

Accounting ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 451-456
Author(s):  
Lai Cao Mai Phuong
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Investor Sentiment ◽  
Daily Basis ◽  
Relative Strength ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Trading Behavior ◽  
Strength Index ◽  
Near Term

This article examines how investor sentiment affects stock returns on Vietnam's stock market. Investor sentiment index is measured by a relative strength index (RSI) of 57 companies listed on the Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange from January 1, 2015 to July 31, 2020. Control variables include investors' stock trading behavior, firm size, and cash flow per share. Using Fama-MacBeth regression estimation and general least square estimation (GSL) on a daily basis, both methods find the sentiment of high investors producing higher stock returns, on the contrary, the sentiment of low investors erodes stock returns. Different from the results of Brown and Cliff (2004) [Brown, G. W., & Cliff, M. T. (2004). Investor sentiment and the near-term stock market. Journal of empirical finance, 11(1), 1-27], the article found that the investor sentiment factor plays the most important role in explaining the return of the stock market compared to the rest of the factors.

COVID-19-induced Returns, Attention, Sentiments and Social Isolation: Evidence from Dynamic Panel Model

2021 ◽  
pp. 097215092199617
Author(s):  
Farzan Yahya ◽  
Zhang Shaohua ◽  
Ulfat Abbas ◽  
Muhammad Waqas
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Social Isolation ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Investor Sentiment ◽  
Good News ◽  
Dynamic Panel ◽  
Investor Attention ◽  
Dynamic Panel Model ◽  
Panel Model ◽  
Investor Sentiments

This article develops a dynamic panel model to examine the association among coronavirus outbreak, investor attention, social isolation, investor sentiments and stock returns in the German Stock exchange. The results of the two-step GMM estimator show a significant effect of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange after controlling for calendar anomalies, meteorological conditions, country-specific factors and oil returns. Results also show that a higher level of stock returns during social isolation (lockdown period) is explained by investor attention to buy underpriced stocks. Thus, temporary social isolation enhances an investor’s ability to make better investment decisions. Investor sentiment indicators (momentum and liquidity) are also positively associated with the stock return and partially mediate the COVID-returns link, but they have no direct effect on investor attention. The stock market attracts investor attention under good news shocks (recovered cases) when investor sentiments are optimistic. Our results are robust across the transparency level of firms and their size.

The relationship between individual investor sentiment, stock return and volatility

2015 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 504-520 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mustafa Sayim ◽  
Hamid Rahman
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Return ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Investor Sentiment ◽  
Individual Investor ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Investor Sentiments ◽  
Market Fundamentals ◽  
The Impact

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to examine the impact of Turkish individual investor sentiment on the Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE) and to investigate whether investor sentiment, stock return and volatility in Turkey are related. Design/methodology/approach – This study used the monthly Turkish Consumer Confidence Index, published by the Turkish Statistical Institute, as a proxy for individual investor sentiments. First, Turkish market fundamentals were regressed on investor sentiments in order to capture the effects of macroeconomic risk factors on investor sentiments. Then, it used the impulse response functions (IRFs) generated from the vector autoregression (VAR) model to examine the effect of unanticipated movements in Turkish investor sentiment to both stock returns and volatility of the ISE. Findings – The generalized IRFs from VAR shows that unexpected changes in rational and irrational investor sentiment have a significant positive impact on ISE returns. This suggests that a positive investor sentiment tends to increase ISE returns. The study also documents that unanticipated increase in the rational component of Turkish investor sentiment has a negative significant effect on ISE volatility. This might indicate that investors have optimistic expectations of the economy overall with respect to market fundamentals in Turkey. This optimism can result in creating positive expectations, reducing uncertainty, and reducing the volatility of stock market returns. Research limitations/implications – The study was applied only for the period 2004-2010 on the ISE stock returns and volatility. Practical implications – Regardless, investors should know the impact of irrational investor sentiments while establishing investment strategies. The results of this study may also help policy makers stabilize investor sentiments to reduce stock market volatility and uncertainty. Originality/value – This paper adds to the limited understanding of investor sentiment impact on stock return and volatility in an emerging market context.

Investor sentiment and stock return volatility: evidence from the Indian Stock Exchange

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sreenu N ◽  
Suresh Naik
Keyword(s):  
Asset Pricing ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Return ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Investor Sentiment ◽  
Return Volatility ◽  
Stock Market Volatility ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Stock Return Volatility

PurposeIn any stock market, volatility is a significant factor in strengthening their asset pricing. The upsurge in volatility in the stock market can activate and bring changes in the financial risk. According to financial conventional theory, the stakeholders (investors) are selected to be balanced and variations in pertinent risk are also to be anticipated due to the outcome of the drive-in basic factors in Indian stock markets. The hypothesis shows that there are actions in systematic and unsystematic risks that are determined by volatility. It is allied to sentiment-driven in the trader movement.Design/methodology/approachThe paper used the methodology of generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity-in mean GARCH-M and exponential GARCH-M (E-GARCH-M) methods on the Indian stock market. The data have been covered from 2000 to 2019.FindingsFinally, the study suggests that due to the unfitness of the capital asset pricing model (CAPM), the selection has enhanced with sentiment is an important risk factor.Practical implicationsThe investor sentiment and stock return volatility statement are established by using the investor sentiment amalgamated stock market index built.Originality/valueThe outcome of the study shows that there is an important association between stakeholder (investor) sentiment and stock return, in case of volatility behavioural finance can significantly explain the behaviour of stock returns on the Indian Stock Exchange.

The Effect of Underreaction and Overreaction of Firm Stocks to Firm Valuation: Data from the Indonesian Stock Exchange

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yohanes Indrayono
Keyword(s):  
Behavioral Finance ◽  
Firm Value ◽  
Intangible Assets ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Investor Sentiment ◽  
Firm Valuation ◽  
Good News ◽  
Industrial Sectors ◽  
Tangible Assets ◽  
Firm Profitability

<p>This study contributes to the on-going studies on behavioral finance by providing a case study on underreaction and overreaction of firm stocks to firm valuation. We use the Model of Investor Sentiment (Barberis et al., 2005) to evaluate underreaction and overreaction behavior and reflect on specific findings in the Indonesian market. The result of the study is most of the stocks in the Indonesian Stock Exchange are more overreaction to the news of firm financial statements. Firms on the industry with more intangible assets measure more overreaction than firms on industries with more tangible assets. For stocks with overreaction, the stock firm value is positively affected by a change in the total assets and profitability, but not by change of book value. The result concretized no evidence that firm stocks overreacted to the news more than underreacting. In stock industrial sectors, the financial institutions and wholesale industry stocks demonstrated remarkable overreactions. Nonetheless, automotive, building construction, food and beverage as well as cement evidenced more underreaction. For better return in financial markets, investors may buy stocks of the firm on industry with more tangible assets when there is no good news about the increasing firm profitability and sales; nonetheless, they should buy stocks of the firm on industry with more intangible assets when there is no lousy news about the increasing firm profitability and sales. </p>

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