scholarly journals Demographic history and range modelling of the East Mediterranean Abies cilicica

2021 ◽  
Vol 66 (2) ◽  
pp. 122-132
Author(s):  
Berika Beridze ◽  
Łukasz Walas ◽  
Grzegorz Iszkuło ◽  
Anna Jasińska ◽  
Piotr Kosiński ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Tree Species ◽  
Genetic Divergence ◽  
Climate Changes ◽  
Demographic History ◽  
Glacial Cycle ◽  
East Mediterranean ◽  
Niche Modelling ◽  
Last Glacial ◽  
History Of ◽  
The Last Glacial

The Mediterranean Basin is one of the 36 global hotspots of biodiversity and it is rich in endemic tree species. The complex geological history of the region throughout the Neogene and Quaternary periods that were marked with several palaeoclimatic transformations was a major factor triggering the genetic divergence of lineages in tree species in the region. The ongoing global climate change is the main factor threatening Mediterranean biodiversity. The risk of population decline related to aridization is the highest in the case of endemics, especially for cold-adapted conifers, such as Abies cilicica. The Cilician fir grows in the East Mediterranean mountains that constitute a local centre of endemism within the region. The species range is fragmented and small-size populations prevail. Previous studies have suggested that the last glacial cycle led to a significant reduction in the species range and might have initiated genetic divergence. As a result, two lineages are currently recognized at the subspecies level, A. cilicica subsp. isaurica (Turkey) and A. cilicica subsp. cilicica (Turkey, Syria, and Lebanon). The predictions about the impact of future climate changes in the East Mediterranean suggest a profound reduction of precipitation and overall warming that may put the remnant populations of A. cilicica at a risk of decline. Here, we used the Bayesian approach to investigate the demographic history of endemic A. cilicica. Specifically, we estimated the probable time of the intraspecies divergence to verify previous assumptions about the species’ evolutionary history. Additionally, niche modelling was used to outline the potential range of changes in the past and to indicate glacial refugia in where the species persisted climate crisis. This approach was also used to explore the possible influence of the future climate changes on the distribution of A. cilicica in the region. Our results demonstrate that the divergence between the Lebanese and the Turkish populations that occurred ~220 ka years BP coincided with the Riss glaciation. According to palaeoecological data, in the East Mediterranean, that glacial period caused a severe reduction in the populations of woody species due to the aridity of the climate. At that time, the Lebanese-Syrian part of the range was likely disconnected from the main range. The second split was induced by the last glacial cycle ~60 ka years BP and led to the separation of the Central Taurus and East Taurus population and, consequently, to the formation of the two subspecies. Niche modelling for the last glacial maximum has allowed us to locate the probable refugia for A. cilicica in the western Anatolia and Syria-Lebanon area. A projection of the future possible distribution of the species indicates a serious reduction of the range during this century.

scholarly journals Modeling the marine extent of Northern Hemisphere ice sheets during the last glacial cycle

2003 ◽  
Vol 37 ◽  
pp. 173-180 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chris Zweck ◽  
Philippe Huybrechts
Keyword(s):  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Water Depth ◽  
Three Dimensional ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Glacial Cycle ◽  
Last Glacial ◽  
History Of ◽  
The Last Glacial Maximum ◽  
The Last Glacial

AbstractMechanisms that determine time-dependent changes of the marine ice margin in dynamic ice-sheet models are important but poorly understood. Here we derive an empirical formulation for changes in the marine extent when modelling the Northern Hemisphere ice sheets over the last glacial cycle in a three-dimensional thermomechanically coupled ice-sheet model. We assume that the strongest control on changes in marine extent is ice calving, and that the variable most crucial to calving is water depth. The empirical marine-extent relationship is tuned so that the major marine-retreat history of the Laurentide and Eurasian ice sheets is modelled accurately in time and space. We find that this empirical treatment relating marine extent to water depth is sufficient to reproduce the observations, and discuss the implications for the physics of marine margin changes and the dynamics of the Northern Hemisphere ice sheets since the Last Glacial Maximum.

scholarly journals Tracking the History of the North American Ice Sheet during the Last Glacial Cycle

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rebecca Parker ◽  
Gavin Foster ◽  
Marcus Gutjahr ◽  
Paul Wilson ◽  
Kate Littler ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
North American ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Glacial Cycle ◽  
Last Glacial ◽  
The North ◽  
History Of ◽  
The Last Glacial

Effects of glaciation on karst hydrology and sedimentology during the Last Glacial Cycle: The case of Granito cave, Central Pyrenees (Spain)

CATENA ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 206 ◽  
pp. 105252
Author(s):  
Miguel Bartolomé ◽  
Carlos Sancho ◽  
Gerardo Benito ◽  
Alicia Medialdea ◽  
Mikel Calle ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Karst Hydrology ◽  
Glacial Cycle ◽  
Last Glacial ◽  
Central Pyrenees ◽  
The Last Glacial

scholarly journals Drivers of river reactivation in North Africa during the last glacial cycle

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 97-103
Author(s):  
Cécile L. Blanchet ◽  
Anne H. Osborne ◽  
Rik Tjallingii ◽  
Werner Ehrmann ◽  
Tobias Friedrich ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
North Africa ◽  
Glacial Cycle ◽  
Last Glacial ◽  
The Last Glacial

scholarly journals Carbon burial in deep-sea sediment and implications for oceanic inventories of carbon and alkalinity over the last glacial cycle

2018 ◽  
Vol 14 (11) ◽  
pp. 1819-1850 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olivier Cartapanis ◽  
Eric D. Galbraith ◽  
Daniele Bianchi ◽  
Samuel L. Jaccard
Keyword(s):  
Marine Sediments ◽  
Active Carbon ◽  
Deep Sea ◽  
Dissolved Inorganic Carbon ◽  
Glacial Cycle ◽  
Last Glacial ◽  
Carbon Burial ◽  
Order Constraint ◽  
The Last Glacial ◽  
Carbon Inventory

Abstract. Although it has long been assumed that the glacial–interglacial cycles of atmospheric CO2 occurred due to increased storage of CO2 in the ocean, with no change in the size of the “active” carbon inventory, there are signs that the geological CO2 supply rate to the active pool varied significantly. The resulting changes of the carbon inventory cannot be assessed without constraining the rate of carbon removal from the system, which largely occurs in marine sediments. The oceanic supply of alkalinity is also removed by the burial of calcium carbonate in marine sediments, which plays a major role in air–sea partitioning of the active carbon inventory. Here, we present the first global reconstruction of carbon and alkalinity burial in deep-sea sediments over the last glacial cycle. Although subject to large uncertainties, the reconstruction provides a first-order constraint on the effects of changes in deep-sea burial fluxes on global carbon and alkalinity inventories over the last glacial cycle. The results suggest that reduced burial of carbonate in the Atlantic Ocean was not entirely compensated by the increased burial in the Pacific basin during the last glacial period, which would have caused a gradual buildup of alkalinity in the ocean. We also consider the magnitude of possible changes in the larger but poorly constrained rates of burial on continental shelves, and show that these could have been significantly larger than the deep-sea burial changes. The burial-driven inventory variations are sufficiently large to have significantly altered the δ13C of the ocean–atmosphere carbon and changed the average dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) and alkalinity concentrations of the ocean by more than 100 µM, confirming that carbon burial fluxes were a dynamic, interactive component of the glacial cycles that significantly modified the size of the active carbon pool. Our results also suggest that geological sources and sinks were significantly unbalanced during the late Holocene, leading to a slow net removal flux on the order of 0.1 PgC yr−1 prior to the rapid input of carbon during the industrial period.

scholarly journals Hybrid insolation forcing of Pliocene monsoon dynamics in West Africa

2018 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 73-84 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rony R. Kuechler ◽  
Lydie M. Dupont ◽  
Enno Schefuß
Keyword(s):  
West Africa ◽  
Climate Changes ◽  
West African Monsoon ◽  
West African ◽  
Latitudinal Gradients ◽  
Glacial Cycle ◽  
Time Intervals ◽  
Continental Hydrology ◽  
Insolation Forcing ◽  
The Last Glacial

Abstract. The Pliocene is regarded as a potential analogue for future climate with conditions generally warmer-than-today and higher-than-preindustrial atmospheric CO2 levels. Here we present the first orbitally resolved records of continental hydrology and vegetation changes from West Africa for two Pliocene time intervals (5.0–4.6 Ma, 3.6–3.0 Ma), which we compare with records from the last glacial cycle (Kuechler et al., 2013). Our results indicate that changes in local insolation alone are insufficient to explain the full degree of hydrologic variations. Generally two modes of interacting insolation forcings are observed: during eccentricity maxima, when precession was strong, the West African monsoon was driven by summer insolation; during eccentricity minima, when precession-driven variations in local insolation were minimal, obliquity-driven changes in the summer latitudinal insolation gradient became dominant. This hybrid monsoonal forcing concept explains orbitally controlled tropical climate changes, incorporating the forcing mechanism of latitudinal gradients for the Pliocene, which probably increased in importance during subsequent Northern Hemisphere glaciations.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document