scholarly journals Presenting stage and risk group in men dying of prostate cancer

2020 ◽  
Vol 27 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Parimi ◽  
S. Bondy ◽  
M. Aparicio ◽  
K. Sunderland ◽  
J. Cho ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
British Columbia ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Gleason Score ◽  
Metastatic Disease ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Specific Antigen ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Intermediate Risk

Introduction Prostate cancer remains the 3rd leading cause of cancer-related mortality in Canadian men, and yet screening for prostate cancer continues to be controversial because the majority of men diagnosed with prostate cancer do not die of the disease. It also remains uncertain whether treatment of cases that can be treated with curative intent alters the mortality rate. There are very few studies describing the presenting stage, risk groups, and survival after diagnosis for men dying of prostate cancer in the literature. In this study, we explored these characteristics for all men who died of prostate cancer in British Columbia between 2013 and 2015. Methods The population-based BC Cancer databases were used to identify all patients diagnosed between Jan­uary 2013 and December 2015 who died of prostate cancer. Patient, tumour, and treatment characteristics were collected, and the risk grouping for each tumour was determined. The proportion of cases in each risk group at the time of diagnosis was determined. Survival time from diagnosis to death was calculated for all patients and for each risk group using the Kaplan–Meier method. Results A total of 1256 patients died of prostate cancer. Of patients who presented with metastatic disease, 57.2% presented with a Gleason score of 8 or more, compared with only 35.7% of patients who presented with nonmetastatic disease (p < 0.0001). The presenting stage and risk group of those dying of prostate cancer were as follows: 32% met­astatic disease, 3% regional (defined as node-positive), 39% localized high risk, 9% localized intermediate risk, 4% localized low risk, 6% localized not otherwise specified, and 7% unknown. Therefore, 80.3% of those with a known risk group presented with either localized high-risk, regional, or metastatic disease at diagnosis. The median survival times from diagnosis to death were 12 years for localized low-risk, 10 years for localized intermediate-risk, 6.5 years for localized high-risk, 4 years for regional, and 1.7 years for metastatic disease at diagnosis. Conclusions This population-based analysis demonstrates that patients with localized high-risk, regional, or metastatic disease at diagnosis constitute the overwhelming majority of patients who die of prostate cancer in British Columbia. Unless these disease states can reliably be identified at an earlier low- or intermediate-risk localized state in the future, it is unlikely that treatment of localized low- and intermediate-risk cancer will have an impact on sur­vival. Furthermore, patients with de novo metastatic disease had identifiable risk factors of a higher prostate-specific antigen and Gleason score. Further studies are required to confirm these results.

scholarly journals Age dependence of modern clinical risk groups for localized prostate cancer – a population-based study

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Minh-Phuong Huynh-Le ◽  
Tor Åge Myklebust ◽  
Christine H. Feng ◽  
Roshan Karunamuni ◽  
Tom Børge Johannesen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Gleason Score ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Intermediate Risk ◽  
Clinical Risk ◽  
High Risk Disease ◽  
Clinical Risk Groups

AbstractBackgroundOptimal prostate cancer (PCa) screening strategies will focus on men most likely to have potentially-lethal, localized disease. Age-specific incidence rates (ASIRs) for clinical risk groups could guide risk-stratified screening.ObjectiveDetermine ASIRs and proportions of PCa diagnoses in Norway for modern risk-group and Gleason score categories.Design, Setting, and ParticipantsAll men diagnosed with PCa in Norway in 2014-2017 (n=20,356).Outcome Measurements and Statistical AnalysisPatients were assigned to clinical risk groups: low, favorable-intermediate, unfavorable-intermediate, high, regional, and metastatic, using Gleason score and clinical stage. Associations were assessed between age and (1) Gleason score (including Gleason 3+4 and 4+3) and (2) PCa risk group. Risk-group ASIRs were calculated by multiplying the overall Norwegian ASIR by the proportions observed for each category.ResultsOlder age was significantly associated with higher Gleason score and more advanced disease. For example, among men aged 55-59, 65-69, 75-79, and 85-89 years, the percentage with Gleason 8-10 disease was 16.5%, 23.4%, 37.2%, and 59.9%, respectively (p<0.001); the percentage with at least high-risk disease was 29.3%, 39.1%, 60.4%, and 90.6%, respectively. Corresponding percentages for low-risk PCa were 24.0%, 17.9%, 10.2%, and 4.1% (p<0.001). The respective maximum ASIRs (per 100,000 men) for low-risk, favorable-intermediate-risk, unfavorable-intermediate-risk, high-risk, regional, and metastatic disease were: 157.1, 183.8, 194.8, 408.3, 172.3, and 330.0; incidence for low-risk and favorable-intermediate-risk PCa peaked before age 70, while more advanced categories peaked after 70. At age 75-79 years, the ASIR of high-risk disease was approximately 6 times greater than at 55-59 years.ConclusionsRisk of clinically-significant, localized PCa increases with age. Healthy older men may be among those most likely to benefit from PCa screening.

PSA-detected prostate cancer in the United States: A population-based study of 70,345 men with AJCC stage T1cN0M0 disease.

2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (6_suppl) ◽  
pp. 50-50
Author(s):  
Hong Zhang ◽  
Lois B. Travis ◽  
Edward M. Messing ◽  
Ollivier Hyrien ◽  
Rui Chen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Gleason Score ◽  
Prostate Cancer Screening ◽  
Specific Antigen ◽  
The United States ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Population Based Study ◽  
Ajcc Stage ◽  
High Risk Disease

50 Background: The U.S. Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) recently recommended against prostate-specific antigen (PSA)-based screening for prostate cancer. This recommendation has heightened the debate about risks and benefits of prostate cancer screening, and underscored our limited understanding of PSA-detected prostate cancer. The purpose of this study was to determine the frequency of various risks of prostate cancer based on patient characteristics and PSA levels. Methods: This population-based study used the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program to identify men with AJCC stage T1cN0M0 disease diagnosed between 1/2004 and 12/2008. Multivariate logistic regression was conducted to model the probability of developing low (PSA <10 mg/L and Gleason score ≤6), intermediate (PSA between 10 mg/L to 20 mg/L and/or Gleason score 7), and high risk diseases (PSA ≥20 mg/L, and/or Gleason score ≥8). Results: A total of 70,345 men with PSA-detected T1cN0M0 prostate cancer were evaluated. Among them, 47.6%, 35.9% and16.5% had low, intermediate, or high risk disease, respectively. Odds ratios (OR) of having intermediate or high risk disease in patients ≥75 years old were 4.47 (95% confidence interval (CI) 3.81 to 5.26, p<0.01) and 9.39 (95% CI 7.25 to 12.16, p<0.01), respectively, when compared with patients aged <50. Also, black men had increased ORs for intermediate and high risk disease compared with white men (OR 1.50, 95% CI 1.42 to 1.58, p<0.01 for intermediate risk disease; OR 1.84, 95% CI 1.72 to 19.97, p<0.01 for high risk disease). While men aged >75 accounted for 11.8% of the population at risk, they accounted for 24.3% of intermediate and 26.1% of high risk disease. Conclusions: A substantial number of PSA-detected prostate cancer patients have either intermediate or high risk disease at diagnosis. Men age >75 or of black race have the highest risk of presenting with intermediate or high risk disease.

Gleason score upgrade among 10,282 men who underwent surgery as initial treatment in 2010: A population-based study.

2014 ◽  
Vol 32 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 72-72
Author(s):  
Hong Zhang ◽  
Edward M. Messing ◽  
Hamza Ahmed ◽  
Yuhchyau Chen
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
Active Surveillance ◽  
Gleason Score ◽  
Specific Antigen ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Categorical Variables ◽  
Intermediate Risk ◽  
Time Of Surgery ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Risk Prostate Cancer

72 Background: Active surveillance is now accepted initial management for men who have localized prostate cancer with low risk of disease progression. Many criteria have been used for patient identification, including Gleason score (GS) obtained from prostate biopsy. Because of concerns of sampling error, some have recommended repeated biopsy before committing to active surveillance. However, there is limited information about the risk of missing high grade disease using the current standard biopsy approach. This study seeks to compare GS difference from biopsy and surgery to provide an estimated rate of GS upgrade. Methods: The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program was used to identify men with American Joint Committee on Cancer stage T1-2cN0M0 prostate cancer diagnosed between January 2010 and December 2010. Patients who underwent prostatectomy were selected for further analysis. Based on prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels and GS, cases were divided into low (PSA <=10 and GS <=6) and intermediate (10<PSA<=20 or GS=7) risk groups. The rates of GS upgrade were reported for each group. Chi-square tests were used to assess differences in categorical variables (e.g. age and race) between groups of GS upgrade and no change/downgrade. Results: A total of 10,282 men were evaluated, with 9.2% (n=942) having low-risk disease, and 90.8% (n=9340) having intermediate-risk disease. Among men with low-risk prostate cancer, 22.3% (n=210) had GS upgrade and 0.8% (n=8) had GS 8 disease. Among men with intermediate risk disease, 26.2% (n=2446) had GS upgrade and 2.3% (n=214) had GS 8 disease. There was no statistically significant difference in either age or race distribution among men who had GS upgrade versus no change or downgrade at the time of surgery. Conclusions: A substantial number of low- and intermediate-risk prostate cancer patients had GS upgrade at the time of surgery, but few had upgraded to GS 8 high risk disease. These observations suggest that repeat biopsy prior to active surveillance may not be necessary.

scholarly journals Influence of Biopsy Gleason Score on the Risk of Lymph Node Invasion in Patients With Intermediate-Risk Prostate Cancer Undergoing Radical Prostatectomy

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mike Wenzel ◽  
Felix Preisser ◽  
Benedikt Hoeh ◽  
Maria N. Welte ◽  
Clara Humke ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
Lymph Node ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Radical Prostatectomy ◽  
Gleason Score ◽  
International Society ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Intermediate Risk ◽  
Risk Prostate Cancer ◽  
Biopsy Gleason Score

Objective: To analyze the influence of biopsy Gleason score on the risk for lymph node invasion (LNI) during pelvic lymph node dissection (PLND) in patients undergoing radical prostatectomy (RP) for intermediate-risk prostate cancer (PCa).Materials and Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 684 patients, who underwent RP between 2014 and June 2020 due to PCa. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression, as well as binary regression tree models were used to assess the risk of positive LNI and evaluate the need of PLND in men with intermediate-risk PCa.Results: Of the 672 eligible patients with RP, 80 (11.9%) men harbored low-risk, 32 (4.8%) intermediate-risk with international society of urologic pathologists grade (ISUP) 1 (IR-ISUP1), 215 (32.0%) intermediate-risk with ISUP 2 (IR-ISUP2), 99 (14.7%) intermediate-risk with ISUP 3 (IR-ISUP3), and 246 (36.6%) high-risk PCa. Proportions of LNI were 0, 3.1, 3.7, 5.1, and 24.0% for low-risk, IR-ISUP1, IR-ISUP 2, IR-ISUP-3, and high-risk PCa, respectively (p &lt; 0.001). In multivariable analyses, after adjustment for patient and surgical characteristics, IR-ISUP1 [hazard ratio (HR) 0.10, p = 0.03], IR-ISUP2 (HR 0.09, p &lt; 0.001), and IR-ISUP3 (HR 0.18, p &lt; 0.001) were independent predictors for lower risk of LNI, compared with men with high-risk PCa disease.Conclusions: The international society of urologic pathologists grade significantly influence the risk of LNI in patients with intermediate- risk PCa. The risk of LNI only exceeds 5% in men with IR-ISUP3 PCa. In consequence, the need for PLND in selected patients with IR-ISUP 1 or IR-ISUP2 PCa should be critically discussed.

Impact of Race on Prostate-Specific Antigen Outcome After Radical Prostatectomy for Clinically Localized Adenocarcinoma of the Prostate

2002 ◽  
Vol 20 (12) ◽  
pp. 2863-2868 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chaundre K. Cross ◽  
Delray Shultz ◽  
S. Bruce Malkowicz ◽  
William C. Huang ◽  
Richard Whittington ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
African American ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Gleason Score ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
African American Men ◽  
Specific Antigen ◽  
White Men ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
T Stage

PURPOSE: To compare prostate-specific antigen (PSA) outcome after radical prostatectomy (RP) for prostate cancer in African-American and white men using previously established risk groups. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Between 1989 and 2000, 2,036 men (n = 162 African-American men, n = 1,874 white men) underwent RP for clinically localized prostate cancer. Using pretreatment PSA, Gleason score, clinical T stage, and percentage of positive biopsy specimens, patients were stratified into low- and high-risk groups. For each risk group, PSA outcome was estimated using the actuarial method of Kaplan and Meier. Comparisons of PSA outcome between African-American and white men were made using the log-rank test. RESULTS: The median age and PSA level for African-American and white men were 60 and 62 years old and 8.8 and 7.0 ng/mL, respectively. African-Americans had a statistically significant increase in PSA (P = .002), Gleason score (P = .003), clinical T stage (P = .004), and percentage of positive biopsy specimens (P = .04) at presentation. However, there was no statistical difference in the distribution of PSA, clinical T stage, or Gleason score between racial groups in the low- and high-risk groups. The 5-year estimate of PSA outcome was 87% in the low-risk group for all patients (P = .70) and 28% versus 32% in African-American and white patients in the high-risk group (P = .28), respectively. Longer follow-up is required to confirm if these results are maintained at 10 years. CONCLUSION: Even though African-American men presented at a younger age and with more advanced disease compared with white men with prostate cancer, PSA outcome after RP when controlled for known clinical predictive factors was not statistically different. This study supports earlier screening in African-American men.

Prostate cancer–specific mortality after definitive radiation therapy: Who dies of disease?

2011 ◽  
Vol 29 (7_suppl) ◽  
pp. 181-181
Author(s):  
M. M. Kim ◽  
K. E. Hoffman ◽  
L. B. Levy ◽  
S. J. Frank ◽  
S. Choi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
Radiation Therapy ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Intermediate Risk ◽  
High Risk Disease ◽  
Specific Mortality ◽  
Risk Patients ◽  
Cancer Specific Mortality

181 Background: A competing risks analysis was undertaken to identify patient subgroups at greatest risk of dying from prostate cancer (CAP) after treatment with definitive external beam radiation therapy (RT) +/− androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) in the PSA era, and to determine which factors predict for survival from disease. Methods: A total of 2,675 men with localized CAP treated with RT +/− ADT at M. D. Anderson Cancer Center from 1987-2007 were evaluated. Prostate cancer-specific mortality (PCSM) and other cause mortality rates were calculated after stratifying patients according to NCCN risk group, RT dose, use of ADT, and age at treatment. In total, 21% had low-risk, 40% had intermediate-risk, and 39% had high-risk disease. Multivariate analysis (MVA) was performed using Cox regression modeling. Results: Median age was 68.5 years and median follow-up was 6.4 years. For patients with low-risk disease, only 0.2% died of CAP 10 years after treatment. None of the low-risk patients <70 years old who received ≥72 Gy died of CAP. The majority of deaths in the intermediate-risk group were also due to other causes; men ≥70 years old who received <72 Gy had the highest 10-year PCSM (5%). High-risk patients <70 years old who received <72 Gy without ADT had similar 10-year rates of CAP (15.2%) and non-CAP (18.5%) mortality. Men with high-risk disease <70 years old treated with higher doses >72 Gy were twice as likely to die from non-CAP causes (15.9%) than die from CAP (8.6%). In older men ≥70 years old with high risk disease, dose-escalation with ADT reduced 10-year PCSM from 14% to 4%, and most deaths were due to other causes (41% and 20%). On MVA, dose (p=0.002), ADT (p=0.007), PSA (p<0.0001) and Gleason score (p<0.0001) were predictive of PCSM in the high-risk group. Conclusions: Men with low- and intermediate-risk CAP treated with definitive RT are unlikely to die of disease. PCSM is higher in men with high-risk disease but can be reduced with dose escalation and ADT, although patients are still twice as likely to die of other causes. No significant financial relationships to disclose.

Risk of death from prostate cancer after radical prostatectomy or brachytherapy in men with low- or intermediate-risk disease.

2011 ◽  
Vol 29 (7_suppl) ◽  
pp. 198-198
Author(s):  
N. D. Arvold ◽  
M. Chen ◽  
J. W. Moul ◽  
B. J. Moran ◽  
D. E. Dosoretz ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
Radical Prostatectomy ◽  
Gleason Score ◽  
Specific Antigen ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Study Cohort ◽  
Intermediate Risk ◽  
Risk Of Death ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Significant Difference

198 Background: Radical prostatectomy (RP) and brachytherapy (BT) are widely utilized treatments for favorable-risk prostate cancer (PC). We estimated the risk of PC-specific mortality (PCSM) following RP or BT in men with low- or intermediate-risk PC using prospectively collected data. Methods: The study cohort comprised 5,760 men with low-risk PC (prostate-specific antigen [PSA] level ≤ 10 ng/mL, clinical category T1c or 2a, and Gleason score ≤ 6), and 3,079 men with intermediate-risk PC (PSA level 10-20 ng/mL, clinical T2b or T2c, or Gleason score 7). Competing risks multivariable regression was performed to assess risk of PCSM after RP or BT, adjusting for age, treatment year, cardiovascular comorbidity, and known PC prognostic factors. Results: There was no significant difference in the risk of PCSM among men with low-risk PC (11 vs. 6 deaths: adjusted hazard ratio [AHR], 1.62; 95% CI, 0.59–4.45; P = 0.35) who received BT compared to RP. However among men with intermediate-risk PC, despite significantly shorter median follow-up for men undergoing BT as compared to RP (4.1 vs. 7.2 years, P < 0.001), there was a trend toward an increased risk of PCSM (18 vs. 9 deaths: AHR, 2.30; 95% CI, 0.95–5.58; P = 0.07) for men treated with BT. Conclusions: The risk of PCSM among men with low-risk PC was not significantly different following RP or BT, however there may be a reduced risk of PCSM after RP as compared to BT in men with intermediate-risk PC. [Table: see text] No significant financial relationships to disclose.

scholarly journals 648 External Validation of The European Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer Risk Calculator 3 (ERSPC-RC3) In the Detection of Prostate Cancer and Avoiding Unnecessary Prostate Biopsies

2021 ◽  
Vol 108 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
C Desai ◽  
S A Ehsanullah ◽  
A Bhojwani ◽  
A Dhanasekaran
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Randomized Study ◽  
External Validation ◽  
Prostate Cancer Risk ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Intermediate Risk ◽  
Risk Calculator ◽  
Prostate Biopsies

Abstract Introduction The Prostate Cancer Research Foundation – Stichting Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek Prostaatkanker group has devised the European Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer (CaP) Risk Calculator 3 (ERSPC-RC3) tool which aims to increase prostate cancer detection rates and avoid unnecessary prostate biopsies. We report the external validation and accuracy of the ERSPC-RC3 in our UK cohort. Method Retrospective data was collected for patients who had prostate biopsy at a multi-centre district general hospital over an 18-month period. The ERSPC-RC3 was applied to identify the probability of a positive biopsy for CaP (Gleason score ≥7). Results Out of 121 TRUS biopsies, 78 patients met the ERSPC-RC3 inclusion criteria. Patients were stratified as low-risk (detectable CaP risk &lt;12.5%) n = 10, intermediate-risk (detectable CaP risk 12.5-20%) n = 8, and high-risk (detectable CaP risk &gt;20%) n = 60 groups. All low-risk patients had a benign histology. Gleason 7 CaP was found in 37.5% from the intermediate-risk group and 41.7% in the high-risk group respectively. Conclusions Our results demonstrate that using ERSPC-RC3 could have prevented 44% (n = 34) of patients from having unnecessary biopsies. We recommend the use of ERSPC-RC3 to risk stratify patients being investigated for suspected CaP.

Is there a predictive value for measurement of  tumor percentage and the number of tumor foci after prostatectomy?

2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (6_suppl) ◽  
pp. 159-159
Author(s):  
Reemt Hinkelammert ◽  
Okyaz Eminaga ◽  
Axel Semjonow
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Gleason Score ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Independent Predictor ◽  
Univariate Analysis ◽  
Specific Antigen ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Tumour Stage ◽  
High Risk Patients ◽  
Risk Patients

159 Background: The prognostic relevance of tumor volume (TV), tumor percentage (TP) and number of tumor foci (NF) as predictors of biochemical recurrence (BCR) in prostate cancer (PCA) following radical prostatectomy (RPE) is controversial. Methods: The cohort consisted of 758 referred subjects who underwent RPE between 2000 and 2005 at the University of Muenster. The mean time of follow up was 62 months. TV, TP and NF were estimated visually with the assistance of a pathologic mapping grid for embedded RPE specimens. In addition, TV and TP were assessed in a categorized fashion by using medians as cut points. Subgroup analyses for high (i.e. any of the following: > pT2, Gleason score ≥ 8, PSA > 20 ng/ml) and low risk (not high risk) patients were performed. Univariate and multivariate Cox propotional hazard analyses for BCR were performed. Results: TV, TP, and NF were strongly related to tumour stage, Gleason score, surgical margin status (SM) and preoperative prostate specific antigen (PSA). In univariate analysis all pathologic parameters including TV, TP, and NF were predictive for BCR. In multivariate analysis only TP, tumour stage, Gleason score, and PSA level were independent predictors. In subgroup analysis, TP was an independent predictor for BCR in the high risk group, but not in the low risk group. Conclusions: TP, but not TV or NF was found to be an independent predictor for BCR in patients after RPE. TP seems to be more relevant in high risk patients.

International Validation of a Preoperative Nomogram for Prostate Cancer Recurrence After Radical Prostatectomy

2002 ◽  
Vol 20 (15) ◽  
pp. 3206-3212 ◽  
Author(s):  
Markus Graefen ◽  
Pierre I. Karakiewicz ◽  
Ilias Cagiannos ◽  
David I. Quinn ◽  
Susan M. Henshall ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Patient Selection ◽  
Predictive Accuracy ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Specific Antigen ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Gleason Grade ◽  
Data Set

PURPOSE: We evaluated the predictive accuracy of a recently published preoperative nomogram for prostate cancer that predicts 5-year freedom from recurrence. We applied this nomogram to patients from seven different institutions spanning three continents. METHODS: Clinical data of 6,754 patients were supplied for validation, and 6,232 complete records were used. Nomogram-predicted probabilities of 60-month freedom from recurrence were compared with actual follow-up in two ways. First, areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) were determined for the entire data set according to several variables, including the institution where treatment was delivered. Second, nomogram classification–based risk quadrants were compared with actual Kaplan-Meier plots. RESULTS: The AUC for all institutions combined was 0.75, with individual institution AUCs ranging from 0.67 to 0.83. Nomogram predictions for each risk quadrant were similar to actual freedom from recurrence rates: predicted probabilities of 87% (low-risk group), 64% (intermediate-low–risk group), 39% (intermediate-high–risk group), and 14% (high-risk group) corresponded to actual rates of 86%, 64%, 42%, and 17%, respectively. The use of neoadjuvant therapy, variation in the prostate-specific antigen recurrence definitions between institutions, and minor differences in the way the Gleason grade was reported did not substantially affect the predictive accuracy of the nomogram. CONCLUSION: The nomogram is accurate when applied at international treatment institutions with similar patient selection and management strategies. Despite the potential for heterogeneity in patient selection and management, most predictions demonstrated high concordance with actual observations. Our results demonstrate that accurate predictions may be expected across different patient populations.

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