scholarly journals 648 External Validation of The European Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer Risk Calculator 3 (ERSPC-RC3) In the Detection of Prostate Cancer and Avoiding Unnecessary Prostate Biopsies

2021 ◽  
Vol 108 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
C Desai ◽  
S A Ehsanullah ◽  
A Bhojwani ◽  
A Dhanasekaran

Abstract Introduction The Prostate Cancer Research Foundation – Stichting Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek Prostaatkanker group has devised the European Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer (CaP) Risk Calculator 3 (ERSPC-RC3) tool which aims to increase prostate cancer detection rates and avoid unnecessary prostate biopsies. We report the external validation and accuracy of the ERSPC-RC3 in our UK cohort. Method Retrospective data was collected for patients who had prostate biopsy at a multi-centre district general hospital over an 18-month period. The ERSPC-RC3 was applied to identify the probability of a positive biopsy for CaP (Gleason score ≥7). Results Out of 121 TRUS biopsies, 78 patients met the ERSPC-RC3 inclusion criteria. Patients were stratified as low-risk (detectable CaP risk <12.5%) n = 10, intermediate-risk (detectable CaP risk 12.5-20%) n = 8, and high-risk (detectable CaP risk >20%) n = 60 groups. All low-risk patients had a benign histology. Gleason 7 CaP was found in 37.5% from the intermediate-risk group and 41.7% in the high-risk group respectively. Conclusions Our results demonstrate that using ERSPC-RC3 could have prevented 44% (n = 34) of patients from having unnecessary biopsies. We recommend the use of ERSPC-RC3 to risk stratify patients being investigated for suspected CaP.

2011 ◽  
Vol 29 (7_suppl) ◽  
pp. 181-181
Author(s):  
M. M. Kim ◽  
K. E. Hoffman ◽  
L. B. Levy ◽  
S. J. Frank ◽  
S. Choi ◽  
...  

181 Background: A competing risks analysis was undertaken to identify patient subgroups at greatest risk of dying from prostate cancer (CAP) after treatment with definitive external beam radiation therapy (RT) +/− androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) in the PSA era, and to determine which factors predict for survival from disease. Methods: A total of 2,675 men with localized CAP treated with RT +/− ADT at M. D. Anderson Cancer Center from 1987-2007 were evaluated. Prostate cancer-specific mortality (PCSM) and other cause mortality rates were calculated after stratifying patients according to NCCN risk group, RT dose, use of ADT, and age at treatment. In total, 21% had low-risk, 40% had intermediate-risk, and 39% had high-risk disease. Multivariate analysis (MVA) was performed using Cox regression modeling. Results: Median age was 68.5 years and median follow-up was 6.4 years. For patients with low-risk disease, only 0.2% died of CAP 10 years after treatment. None of the low-risk patients <70 years old who received ≥72 Gy died of CAP. The majority of deaths in the intermediate-risk group were also due to other causes; men ≥70 years old who received <72 Gy had the highest 10-year PCSM (5%). High-risk patients <70 years old who received <72 Gy without ADT had similar 10-year rates of CAP (15.2%) and non-CAP (18.5%) mortality. Men with high-risk disease <70 years old treated with higher doses >72 Gy were twice as likely to die from non-CAP causes (15.9%) than die from CAP (8.6%). In older men ≥70 years old with high risk disease, dose-escalation with ADT reduced 10-year PCSM from 14% to 4%, and most deaths were due to other causes (41% and 20%). On MVA, dose (p=0.002), ADT (p=0.007), PSA (p<0.0001) and Gleason score (p<0.0001) were predictive of PCSM in the high-risk group. Conclusions: Men with low- and intermediate-risk CAP treated with definitive RT are unlikely to die of disease. PCSM is higher in men with high-risk disease but can be reduced with dose escalation and ADT, although patients are still twice as likely to die of other causes. No significant financial relationships to disclose.


Urology ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 102 ◽  
pp. 85-91 ◽  
Author(s):  
Enrique Gómez-Gómez ◽  
Julia Carrasco-Valiente ◽  
Ana Blanca-Pedregosa ◽  
Beatriz Barco-Sánchez ◽  
Jose Luis Fernandez-Rueda ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Vol 27 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Parimi ◽  
S. Bondy ◽  
M. Aparicio ◽  
K. Sunderland ◽  
J. Cho ◽  
...  

Introduction Prostate cancer remains the 3rd leading cause of cancer-related mortality in Canadian men, and yet screening for prostate cancer continues to be controversial because the majority of men diagnosed with prostate cancer do not die of the disease. It also remains uncertain whether treatment of cases that can be treated with curative intent alters the mortality rate. There are very few studies describing the presenting stage, risk groups, and survival after diagnosis for men dying of prostate cancer in the literature. In this study, we explored these characteristics for all men who died of prostate cancer in British Columbia between 2013 and 2015. Methods The population-based BC Cancer databases were used to identify all patients diagnosed between Jan­uary 2013 and December 2015 who died of prostate cancer. Patient, tumour, and treatment characteristics were collected, and the risk grouping for each tumour was determined. The proportion of cases in each risk group at the time of diagnosis was determined. Survival time from diagnosis to death was calculated for all patients and for each risk group using the Kaplan–Meier method. Results A total of 1256 patients died of prostate cancer. Of patients who presented with metastatic disease, 57.2% presented with a Gleason score of 8 or more, compared with only 35.7% of patients who presented with nonmetastatic disease (p < 0.0001). The presenting stage and risk group of those dying of prostate cancer were as follows: 32% met­astatic disease, 3% regional (defined as node-positive), 39% localized high risk, 9% localized intermediate risk, 4% localized low risk, 6% localized not otherwise specified, and 7% unknown. Therefore, 80.3% of those with a known risk group presented with either localized high-risk, regional, or metastatic disease at diagnosis. The median survival times from diagnosis to death were 12 years for localized low-risk, 10 years for localized intermediate-risk, 6.5 years for localized high-risk, 4 years for regional, and 1.7 years for metastatic disease at diagnosis. Conclusions This population-based analysis demonstrates that patients with localized high-risk, regional, or metastatic disease at diagnosis constitute the overwhelming majority of patients who die of prostate cancer in British Columbia. Unless these disease states can reliably be identified at an earlier low- or intermediate-risk localized state in the future, it is unlikely that treatment of localized low- and intermediate-risk cancer will have an impact on sur­vival. Furthermore, patients with de novo metastatic disease had identifiable risk factors of a higher prostate-specific antigen and Gleason score. Further studies are required to confirm these results.


2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (6_suppl) ◽  
pp. 216-216
Author(s):  
Mark Prentice ◽  
Sheila Mpima ◽  
Paola Nasuti ◽  
Heather Ann Payne

216 Background: Prostate cancer is a common condition with varied pathologies based on stage, grade and presenting PSA allowing non-metastatic cases to be risk stratified at presentation. There is an evidence base for the use of Androgen Deprivation Therapy (ADT) combined with radical radiation showing a survival benefit but with an increase in patient morbidity. Prostate cancer risk stratification can be used to guide ADT therapy duration to reduce toxicity but it is unknown how closely these guidelines are followed internationally. Methods: A cross sectional survey collecting data on 15,255 patients with prostate cancer was conducted across 5 European countries and Japan. Data was interrogated to provide real-world evidence for ADT prescribing in combination with radical radiotherapy treatment and compared against the available evidence base and international best practice guidelines. Results: 3,393 patients were included in data analysis; 53% were high risk, 35% intermediate, and 12% low risk cases. 48% of patients were ages 71-80yrs with 10% being aged over 80. Data, including proposed length of hormone treatment was available for 2,832 patients. Concordance to the evidence base was good for high- and low-risk prostate cancer patients (64% and 96% respectively) but there was more disparity in the intermediate risk group with a concordance rate of only 28%. Conclusions: The data was robust enough to be interrogated and produce meaningful results. Concordance to the evidence base was high in both high and low risk disease although there was a tendency towards over-treatment in both these groups in some of the countries included. There was significant disparity in the intermediate risk group with evidence of both over- and potential under-treatment across all countries. Any potential over treatment with ADT needs to take account of the known evidence base and the potential for bone and metabolic toxicities. The data suggests that guidelines offering greater clarity on the role of ADT in intermediate risk prostate cancer may be beneficial.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Minh-Phuong Huynh-Le ◽  
Tor Åge Myklebust ◽  
Christine H. Feng ◽  
Roshan Karunamuni ◽  
Tom Børge Johannesen ◽  
...  

AbstractBackgroundOptimal prostate cancer (PCa) screening strategies will focus on men most likely to have potentially-lethal, localized disease. Age-specific incidence rates (ASIRs) for clinical risk groups could guide risk-stratified screening.ObjectiveDetermine ASIRs and proportions of PCa diagnoses in Norway for modern risk-group and Gleason score categories.Design, Setting, and ParticipantsAll men diagnosed with PCa in Norway in 2014-2017 (n=20,356).Outcome Measurements and Statistical AnalysisPatients were assigned to clinical risk groups: low, favorable-intermediate, unfavorable-intermediate, high, regional, and metastatic, using Gleason score and clinical stage. Associations were assessed between age and (1) Gleason score (including Gleason 3+4 and 4+3) and (2) PCa risk group. Risk-group ASIRs were calculated by multiplying the overall Norwegian ASIR by the proportions observed for each category.ResultsOlder age was significantly associated with higher Gleason score and more advanced disease. For example, among men aged 55-59, 65-69, 75-79, and 85-89 years, the percentage with Gleason 8-10 disease was 16.5%, 23.4%, 37.2%, and 59.9%, respectively (p<0.001); the percentage with at least high-risk disease was 29.3%, 39.1%, 60.4%, and 90.6%, respectively. Corresponding percentages for low-risk PCa were 24.0%, 17.9%, 10.2%, and 4.1% (p<0.001). The respective maximum ASIRs (per 100,000 men) for low-risk, favorable-intermediate-risk, unfavorable-intermediate-risk, high-risk, regional, and metastatic disease were: 157.1, 183.8, 194.8, 408.3, 172.3, and 330.0; incidence for low-risk and favorable-intermediate-risk PCa peaked before age 70, while more advanced categories peaked after 70. At age 75-79 years, the ASIR of high-risk disease was approximately 6 times greater than at 55-59 years.ConclusionsRisk of clinically-significant, localized PCa increases with age. Healthy older men may be among those most likely to benefit from PCa screening.


2021 ◽  
Vol 22 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
F Albuquerque ◽  
P Lopes ◽  
P Freitas ◽  
E Horta ◽  
C Reis ◽  
...  

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: None. Background   A Unifying Concept for the Quantitative Assessment of Secondary Mitral Regurgitation (SMR) was recently proposed in order to provide a solution for the ongoing guideline controversy. However, these data were derived from a single center cohort and lacks external validation. We aimed to validate the proposed algorithm in a different patient population. Methods Patients with at least mild SMR and reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (&lt; 50%) under optimal guideline-directed medical therapy were retrospectively identified at a single-center. The cohort was stratified in low-risk (effective regurgitant orifice area [EROA] &lt; 20 mm2 and regurgitant volume [RegVol] &lt; 30 ml), intermediate-risk (EROA 20 to 29 mm2 and RegVol 30 to 44 ml) and high-risk (EROA ≥ 30 mm2 and RegVol ≥ 45ml) according to the defined risk-based thresholds tailored to the pathophysiological concept of SMR. In the intermediate-risk group, patients were further stratified on the basis of the hemodynamic severity of SMR, into intermediate low-risk and intermediate high-risk (regurgitant fraction &lt; 50% or ≥ 50%, respectively). The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality. Results A total of 572 patients (median age 70 years; 76% male) were included. Median LVEF was 35% (IQR 28-40) and LVEDV was 169 ml (IQR 132-215). Median measures of SMR severity were EROA of 14 mm2 (IQR 8-22) and RegVol of 23 ml (12-34). During a median follow-up of 3.8 years (interquartile range: 1.8 to 6.2 years) there were 254 deaths (44%). The mortality at 6-years was 38.9% for the low-risk group, 30.7% for the intermediate low-risk, 64.9% in the intermediate high-risk and 63.2% in the high-risk group. On multivariable analysis, the defined thresholds of risk for SMR severity remained independently associated with all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratio: 1.164; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.020 to 1.327; P = 0.024). The unifying concept showed similar discriminative power (C-statistic 0.588; 95% CI: 0.540 to 0.635) to the American (C-statistic 0.588; 95% CI: 0.541 to 0.635; P for comparison = 1) and European guidelines (C-statistic 0.563; 95% CI: 0.515 to 0.610; P for comparison = 0.458), but it was able to increase the net reclassification index (0.143 [P &lt; .001] and 0.026 [P = .025], respectively). Conclusions In this cohort of patients with SMR and LVEF &lt;50%, the proposed unifying concept based on combined assessment of the EROA, the RegVol, and the RegFrac proved to be associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality and could improve risk prediction of current guidelines. Abstract Figure.


2021 ◽  
Vol 28 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Neda Gholizadeh ◽  
Peter B. Greer ◽  
John Simpson ◽  
Jonathan Goodwin ◽  
Caixia Fu ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Current multiparametric MRI (mp-MRI) in routine clinical practice has poor-to-moderate diagnostic performance for transition zone prostate cancer. The aim of this study was to evaluate the potential diagnostic performance of novel 1H magnetic resonance spectroscopic imaging (MRSI) using a semi-localized adiabatic selective refocusing (sLASER) sequence with gradient offset independent adiabaticity (GOIA) pulses in addition to the routine mp-MRI, including T2-weighted imaging (T2WI), diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) and quantitative dynamic contrast enhancement (DCE) for transition zone prostate cancer detection, localization and grading. Methods Forty-one transition zone prostate cancer patients underwent mp-MRI with an external phased-array coil. Normal and cancer regions were delineated by two radiologists and divided into low-risk, intermediate-risk, and high-risk categories based on TRUS guided biopsy results. Support vector machine models were built using different clinically applicable combinations of T2WI, DWI, DCE, and MRSI. The diagnostic performance of each model in cancer detection was evaluated using the area under curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic diagram. Then accuracy, sensitivity and specificity of each model were calculated. Furthermore, the correlation of mp-MRI parameters with low-risk, intermediate-risk and high-risk cancers were calculated using the Spearman correlation coefficient. Results The addition of MRSI to T2WI + DWI and T2WI + DWI + DCE improved the accuracy, sensitivity and specificity for cancer detection. The best performance was achieved with T2WI + DWI + MRSI where the addition of MRSI improved the AUC, accuracy, sensitivity and specificity from 0.86 to 0.99, 0.83 to 0.96, 0.80 to 0.95, and 0.85 to 0.97 respectively. The (choline + spermine + creatine)/citrate ratio of MRSI showed the highest correlation with cancer risk groups (r = 0.64, p < 0.01). Conclusion The inclusion of GOIA-sLASER MRSI into conventional mp-MRI significantly improves the diagnostic accuracy of the detection and aggressiveness assessment of transition zone prostate cancer.


Author(s):  
Johannes Korth ◽  
Benjamin Wilde ◽  
Sebastian Dolff ◽  
Jasmin Frisch ◽  
Michael Jahn ◽  
...  

SARS-CoV-2 is a worldwide challenge for the medical sector. Healthcare workers (HCW) are a cohort vulnerable to SARS-CoV-2 infection due to frequent and close contact with COVID-19 patients. However, they are also well trained and equipped with protective gear. The SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibody status was assessed at three different time points in 450 HCW of the University Hospital Essen in Germany. HCW were stratified according to contact frequencies with COVID-19 patients in (I) a high-risk group with daily contacts with known COVID-19 patients (n = 338), (II) an intermediate-risk group with daily contacts with non-COVID-19 patients (n = 78), and (III) a low-risk group without patient contacts (n = 34). The overall seroprevalence increased from 2.2% in March–May to 4.0% in June–July to 5.1% in October–December. The SARS-CoV-2 IgG detection rate was not significantly different between the high-risk group (1.8%; 3.8%; 5.5%), the intermediate-risk group (5.1%; 6.3%; 6.1%), and the low-risk group (0%, 0%, 0%). The overall SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence remained low in HCW in western Germany one year after the outbreak of COVID-19 in Germany, and hygiene standards seemed to be effective in preventing patient-to-staff virus transmission.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mo Chen ◽  
Tian-en Li ◽  
Pei-zhun Du ◽  
Junjie Pan ◽  
Zheng Wang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background and aims: In this research, we aimed to construct a risk classification model to predict overall survival (OS) and locoregional surgery benefit in colorectal cancer (CRC) patients with distant metastasis.Methods: We selected a cohort consisting of 12741 CRC patients diagnosed with distant metastasis between 2010 and 2014, from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. Patients were randomly assigned into training group and validation group at the ratio of 2:1. Univariable and multivariable Cox regression models were applied to screen independent prognostic factors. A nomogram was constructed and assessed by the Harrell’s concordance index (C-index) and calibration plots. A novel risk classification model was further established based on the nomogram.Results: Ultimately 12 independent risk factors including race, age, marriage, tumor site, tumor size, grade, T stage, N stage, bone metastasis, brain metastasis, lung metastasis and liver metastasis were identified and adopted in the nomogram. The C-indexes of training and validation groups were 0.77 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.73-0.81) and 0.75 (95% CI 0.72-0.78), respectively. The risk classification model stratified patients into three risk groups (low-, intermediate- and high-risk) with divergent median OS (low-risk: 36.0 months, 95% CI 34.1-37.9; intermediate-risk: 18.0 months, 95% CI 17.4-18.6; high-risk: 6.0 months, 95% CI 5.3-6.7). Locoregional therapies including surgery and radiotherapy could prognostically benefit patients in the low-risk group (surgery: hazard ratio [HR] 0.59, 95% CI 0.50-0.71; radiotherapy: HR 0.84, 95% CI 0.72-0.98) and intermediate risk group (surgery: HR 0.61, 95% CI 0.54-0.68; radiotherapy: HR 0.86, 95% CI 0.77-0.95), but not in the high-risk group (surgery: HR 1.03, 95% CI 0.82-1.29; radiotherapy: HR 1.03, 95% CI 0.81-1.31). And all risk groups could benefit from systemic therapy (low-risk: HR 0.68, 95% CI 0.58-0.80; intermediate-risk: HR 0.50, 95% CI 0.47-0.54; high-risk: HR 0.46, 95% CI 0.40-0.53).Conclusion: A novel risk classification model predicting prognosis and locoregional surgery benefit of CRC patients with distant metastasis was established and validated. This predictive model could be further utilized by physicians and be of great significance for medical practice.


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
T Grinberg ◽  
T Bental ◽  
Y Hammer ◽  
A R Assali ◽  
H Vaknin-Assa ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Following Myocardial Infarction (MI), patients are at increased risk for recurrent cardiovascular events, particularly during the immediate period. Yet some patients are at higher risk than others, owing to their clinical characteristics and comorbidities, these high-risk patients are less often treated with guideline-recommended therapies. Aim To examine temporal trends in treatment and outcomes of patients with MI according to the TIMI risk score for secondary prevention (TRS2°P), a recently validated risk stratification tool. Methods A retrospective cohort study of patients with an acute MI, who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention and were discharged alive between 2004–2016. Temporal trends were examined in the early (2004–2010) and late (2011–2016) time-periods. Patients were stratified by the TRS2°P to a low (≤1), intermediate (2) or high-risk group (≥3). Clinical outcomes included 30-day MACE (death, MI, target vessel revascularization, coronary artery bypass grafting, unstable angina or stroke) and 1-year mortality. Results Among 4921 patients, 31% were low-risk, 27% intermediate-risk and 42% high-risk. Compared to low and intermediate-risk patients, high-risk patients were older, more commonly female, and had more comorbidities such as hypertension, diabetes, peripheral vascular disease, and chronic kidney disease. They presented more often with non ST elevation MI and 3-vessel disease. High-risk patients were less likely to receive drug eluting stents and potent anti-platelet drugs, among other guideline-recommended therapies. Evidently, they experienced higher 30-day MACE (8.1% vs. 3.9% and 2.1% in intermediate and low-risk, respectively, P<0.001) and 1-year mortality (10.4% vs. 3.9% and 1.1% in intermediate and low-risk, respectively, P<0.001). During time, comparing the early to the late-period, the use of potent antiplatelets and statins increased among the entire cohort (P<0.001). However, only the high-risk group demonstrated a significantly lower 30-day MACE (P=0.001). During time, there were no differences in 1-year mortality rate among all risk categories. Temporal trends in 30-day MACE by TRS2°P Conclusion Despite a better application of guideline-recommended therapies, high-risk patients after MI are still relatively undertreated. Nevertheless, they demonstrated the most notable improvement in outcomes over time.


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