scholarly journals THE ROLE OF FOREIGN INVESTMENT ON ECONOMIC GROWTH OF PAKISTAN: AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS FOR THE PERIOD OF 1976 – 2016

2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 57-65
Author(s):  
Majid Ali
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Significant Variable ◽  
Private Sector Investment ◽  
The Government ◽  
Public And Private Sector ◽  
Adf Test

The paper aims to examine empirically the nexus between foreign direct investment, domestic investments and economic growth in Pakistan by using time series data. An OLS technique is used to analyze the relationship between FDI, Public & Private investment, Personal remittances with gross domestic products panning from 1976-2016. For a data to be stationary, ADF test has been used and validated that all variables are stationary at level. Results of the study shows that both public and private sector investment are positively related with GDP but Public sector investment have an insignificant effect on GDP, while FDI found inversely and insignificantly correlated with GDP. Personal remittances (PR) relate negatively and have a significant impact on GD. Private investment are found to be the most significant variable which can effect GDP, showing that private investment can fueled economic growth of Pakistan. Hence, the Government of Pakistan needs to formulate such a policy frame work, which focuses on private sector investment in order to enhance economic growth.

scholarly journals PRIVATE SECTOR INVESTMENT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PALESTINE

2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Osaid Nasser Abdaljawwad ◽  
Tamat Sarmidi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Private Sector Investment ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Impact

This study examines the impact of private sector investment on economic growth in Palestine using quarterly time series data from 1990-2015. Multiple regression and co-integration methods are employed to analyse the data. The objectives of this study are to analyse the trends of private investment and economic growth in Palestine from 1990­-2015 and to examine the impact of private sector investment on economic. Being a time series data, to avoid spurious regression results, the first step is to test for the stationarity of the data by using Augmented Dickey-Fuller unit root test. Then ordinary least square (OLS) regression technique is used to estimate of each independent variable effect on the dependent variable. Test the stationary of the error term is done to test the long run co-integration among variables. The result of stationarity and normality test will reveal that the model is fairly well specified and could be used for policy analysis or not. The co-integration test result will indicate that private sector investment and economic growth have a long run significant effect on one another. The unit root tests, which conducted, confirm that variables are stationary in first difference and the co-integration tests also confirm the existence of long term relationship between the variables. The findings of the study concluded that there exist a short-run and long run relationship between private sector investment and economic growth in Palestine. This study recommends the Palestinian government to promote and encourage both domestic and foreign direct investment. The investment policy should be more transparent, attractive and competitive

Human Capital Impact on Economic Growth in Nigeria

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (18) ◽  
pp. 15-22
Author(s):  
Chuwuemeka Ogugua AGBO ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Capital Expenditure ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Tertiary Institutions ◽  
Explanatory Variables ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact

This study aims to examine the impact of human capital on economic growth in Nigeria. Despite all effort to improve education condition in Nigeria, there hasn’t been much encouraging improvement. This has caused a large number of the population to move abroad for studies. Most conducive tertiary institutions are owned by private individuals, the government owned universities have been overlooked and recklessly abandoned. In this study OLS multiple regression was adopted to analyze the time series data for the period of 1985-2018 to test if Average Year of Schooling (AVYS), Private Investment in Telecommunication (PIT), Capital Expenditure on Education (CEE), and Recurrent Expenditure on Education (REE) have an impact on growth in Nigeria or not. The data was derived from CBN statistical Bulletin (2018). Result showed that all the four explanatory variables have significant impact on Economic growth. However, it is therefore important for government to increase education budget annually.

scholarly journals The Effect of Government on Economic Growth in Fiji

2003 ◽  
Vol 48 (01) ◽  
pp. 27-38
Author(s):  
D. P. Doessel ◽  
Abbas Valadkhani
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Empirical Relationship ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Size Of Government ◽  
High Productivity ◽  
Government Sector ◽  
The Government

This paper investigates the empirical relationship between the size of government and the process of economic growth in Fiji. The results reported here present a mixed picture, in that the model estimated specifies two different effects of the government sector on economic growth. Using annual time series data for the period 1964–1999, it is found that government expenditure exerts a strong beneficial impact on economic growth. However, marginal factor productivity in the government sector is found to be lower than that of the private sector. The reasons for this low productivity are two-fold: the result of the lack of market incentives and signals in the public sector and the involvement of Fiji's government in some activities which may be rationalised in terms of the socio-political objectives of the Fijian government. While recognising that there may be factors which may hinder the process of efficiency in the private sector, it can be argued that by shifting factors of production from the low productivity (government) sector to the high productivity (private) sector, the rate of growth of GNP will increase.

scholarly journals Infrastructural Investments and Economic Growth: Evidence from Pakistan

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Ayub ◽  
Rabia Rasheed ◽  
Rashid Ahmad ◽  
Furrukh Bashir
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Water Projects ◽  
Public And Private ◽  
The Public ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Adf Test

Purpose: The goal of this study is to make an attempt to find out the relationships between infrastructural investments and economic growth. Design/Methodology/Approach: The study employs time series data over the years from 1972 to 2020. To observe the long-run and short-run impact of infrastructural investments on economic growth, an ARDL modeling approach to co- integration is used that is most suitable technique over some other techniques of integration after inspecting the stationary level of data via ADF test. Findings: The findings of the study indicate that Investments on Railways, Roads, Gas Projects, Telecommunication, Water Projects and Power Projects appear as efficient factors for enhancing economic growth of Pakistan in the long run. Implications/Originality/Value: It is suggested that government should increase the public and private investment for development of Railways, Roads, Telecommunication and Water projects in Pakistan.

Development and Terrorism in Nigeria: Co-Integration and Causality Analysis of Macroeconomic Factors

2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-33
Author(s):  
Emmanuel O. Okon
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Causality Analysis ◽  
Macroeconomic Policies ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
The Government ◽  
Adf Test

This paper is a cointegration and causality analysis of macroeconomic factors and terrorism in Nigeria using time series data spanning between 1970 and 2016. The stochastic characteristics of each time series was examined using Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) test. The result reveals that LOG(GOVX), LOG(INTR), POLX, DLOG(GDPC) and DLOG(OPEN) were in line with the apriori expectation. With this development, some recommendations were made amongst which are that trade openness rate should be all time kept at peak benchmark by adopting tight trade openness while strategic macroeconomic policies should be instituted in order to encourage domestic private investment to enhance the growth of the economy. Nigerian political system has to be stabilized and the government should step up its intelligence gathering capacity as well as training security agents to forcefully combat terrorist group.

scholarly journals Empirical analysis of crude oil consumption and price on Ghana’s economic growth

2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Gideon Kweku Appiah ◽  
Ebenezer Oduro ◽  
Shadrack Benn
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Crude Oil ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Energy Information Administration ◽  
Oil Consumption ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Adf Test

AbstractThe objective of this paper was to investigate the impact of crude oil consumption and oil price on the growth of the Ghanaian economy. It proceeded with annual time series data (1980-2016) sourced from World Development Indicator (WDI) and Energy Information Administration (EIA). All variables used in the study were integrated of order one as suggested by the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test. Further, the Johansen Cointegration test suggested the existence of cointegration among the variables. The study used the OLS estimation procedure.The study found a positive and statistically significant relationship between oil price and economic growth in the long run. On the other hand, an inverse relationship was found between crude oil consumption and economic growth in the long run.Based on the findings the study recommends that the government diversify the economy to reduce the shock the economy might experience in times of oil price shocks. Further, risk management instruments like physical reserves and hedging against oil prices should also be employed.Also, the study recommends policies that encourage efficient consumption of crude oil, especially in the productive sectors like industry in order to trigger growth. This notwithstanding, the study recommends effective measures to mitigate the externalities associated with increased production and consumption of crude oil, such as the carbon tax.

scholarly journals Financial Development, Remittances Inflows and Economic Growth in Nigeria: A Time Series Analysis

2020 ◽  
pp. 37-43
Author(s):  
Eric Olabode Olabisi ◽  
Sunday Oseiweh Ogbeide
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Financial Institution ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Significant Variable ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
The Government

This study examines whether financial development promotes remittances inflows and Nigerian economic growth. Using a time-series data for a period of 1985-2017, the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) technique was employed. The results suggest that financial development in Nigeria exerted no significant impact on economic growth. It is an indication that financial development is not a significant variable for promoting remittances inflows into Nigeria. However, the study concludes that remittances inflows are a substitute for promoting individual’s financial business opportunities and economic growth. The study therefore recommends that the government should strengthen the Nigeria financial institution, and also institute a financial reform initiative that can enhance financial security as well as ease of accessing remittances inflows.

scholarly journals Government Capital Expenditure and Private Sector Investment in Nigeria

2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 71-82
Author(s):  
Felix Gbenga Olaifa ◽  
Oluwasegun Olawale Benjamin
Keyword(s):  
Human Capital ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Capital Expenditure ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Private Sector Investment ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
Physical Assets

This paper analyses the relationship between government capital expenditure and private investment in Nigeria using time series data spanning from 1981 to 2016. Government capital expenditure was disaggregated into different components and ADF unit root test was employed to establish the stationarity properties of the variables in the model. The result of Johanson co-integration test revealed that the variables have long run relationship. Co-integration regression results suggested that capital expenditure on physical assets and defense displaced private sector investment while government capital expenditure on human capital and public debt servicing promote private sector investment in Nigeria. Furthermore, the results of T-Y causality revealed the bidirectional causality private sector investment and government capital expenditure in Nigeria. Based on these findings, the paper recommends that government capital expenditure should be channel to human capital in order to promote private sector investment in Nigeria. In addition, the Nigerian government should pay more attention to capital expenditure on physical assets since it has a significant impact on private sector investment. Lastly, Nigeria government should address the issue of budget delay, corruption, and mismanagement in Nigerian institutions.

scholarly journals Relationship between Volatility of Economics Variables and Economics Growth

2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. p375
Author(s):  
Rubina Shaukat ◽  
Irfan Hussain Khan ◽  
Hasan Raza Jafri ◽  
Nighat Hanif
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Government Consumption ◽  
Consumption Expenditures ◽  
Interest Rate Volatility ◽  
The Government ◽  
Determinants Of Economic Growth

Economic growth of an economy is defined as the steady state path through which the productivity of an economy is improved and increases the levels of national output and income. The government consumption expenditures and investment play a key role in the process of investigating the macroeconomic performance of an economy and determinants of economic growth. The countries which grow quickly, invest a substantial fraction of their GDP for consumption expenditures as well for the sources which encourage private investment. The objective of this study to calculate the volatility in economics growth in Pakistan. The annual time series data are used from 1975 to 2014 from WDI, Economics survey of Pakistan and Hand Book of Statistics. GARCH model has been used to measure volatility of all variables. The empirical results of the study confirmed that the volatility of the different variables (volatility of inflation, volatility of interest rate, volatility of political instability, volatility of GDP, and volatility of foreign direct investment) significant affect the government consumption expenditures and private investment in the economy of Pakistan. The study analyzed data by using the autoregressive distributive lag model which is mainly used in time series data Econometrics to estimate the non-stationary models with mix order of integration. The estimated results of the study evaluated that volatility of the inflation lead to uncertainty which is also suggested by the Able (1980) and negatively affect the economy consumption expenditures as well as private investment in the economy of Pakistan. Because uncertainty directly affects the cost of capital as well as reduce private investor confidence.

scholarly journals Hypothesizing directional causality between the governance indicators and economic growth: the case of Afghanistan

2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammad Naim Azimi ◽  
Mohammad Musa Shafiq
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Rule Of Law ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Political Stability ◽  
Wald Test ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Vector Autoregressive ◽  
Government Effectiveness ◽  
Governance Indicators ◽  
The Government

AbstractThis paper examines the causal relationship between governance indicators and economic growth in Afghanistan. We use a set of quarterly time series data from 2003Q1 to 2018Q4 to test our hypothesis. Following Toda and Yamamoto’s (J Econom 66(1–2):225–250, 1995. 10.1016/0304-4076(94)01616-8) vector autoregressive model and the modified Wald test, our empirical results show a unidirectional causality between the government effectiveness, rule of law, and the economic growth. Our findings exhibit significant causal relationships running from economic growth to the eradication of corruption, the establishment of the rule of law, quality of regulatory measures, government effectiveness, and political stability. More interestingly, we support the significant multidimensional causality hypothesis among the governance indicators. Overall, our findings not only reveal causality between economic growth and governance indicators, but they also show interdependencies among the governance indicators.

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