scholarly journals A Suggested Nonparametric Bivariate Logistic Density Estimator with Application on the Productivity of Egyptian Wheat during 2019/2020

2021 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 44-49
Author(s):  
Samah M. Abo-El-Hadid
Keyword(s):  
Density Estimator

scholarly journals Intra-urban differentials of congenital and acquired syphilis and syphilis in pregnant women in an urban area in northeastern Brazil

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Talita Araujo de Souza ◽  
Karen Kaline Teixeira ◽  
Reginaldo Lopes Santana ◽  
Cinthia Barros Penha ◽  
Arthur de Almeida Medeiros ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Relative Risk ◽  
Pregnant Women ◽  
Congenital Syphilis ◽  
Kernel Density ◽  
Poisson Model ◽  
Northeastern Brazil ◽  
Smoothing Function ◽  
Density Estimator ◽  
Epidemic Disease ◽  
Peripheral Areas

Abstract Background Currently syphilis is considered an epidemic disease worldwide. The objective of this study was to identify intra-urban differentials in the occurrence of congenital and acquired syphilis and syphilis in pregnant women in the city of Natal, in northeast Brazil. Methods Cases of syphilis recorded by the municipal surveillance system from 1 January 2011 to 30 December 2018 were analysed. Spatial statistical analyses were performed using the kernel density estimator of the quadratic smoothing function (weighted). SaTScan software was applied for the calculation of risk based on a discrete Poisson model. Results There were 2163 cases of acquired syphilis, 738 cases of syphilis in pregnant women and 1279 cases of congenital syphilis. Kernel density maps showed that the occurrence of cases is more prevalent in peripheral areas and in areas with more precarious urban infrastructure. In 2011–2014 and 2015–2018, seven statistically significant clusters of acquired syphilis were identified. From 2011 to 2014, the most likely cluster had a relative risk of 3.54 (log likelihood ratio [LLR] 38 895; p<0.001) and from 2015 to 2018 the relative risk was 0.54 (LLR 69 955; p<0.001). Conclusions In the municipality of Natal, there was a clustered pattern of spatial distribution of syphilis, with some areas presenting greater risk for the occurrence of new cases.

scholarly journals Uncertainty Cost Functions in Climate-Dependent Controllable Loads in Commercial Environments

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (10) ◽  
pp. 2885
Author(s):  
Daniel Losada ◽  
Ameena Al-Sumaiti ◽  
Sergio Rivera
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo Simulation ◽  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Simulation Method ◽  
Electricity Sector ◽  
Cost Functions ◽  
Density Estimator ◽  
Monte Carlo Simulation Method ◽  
Commercial Building ◽  
Complementary Method ◽  
The Cost

This article presents the development, simulation and validation of the uncertainty cost functions for a commercial building with climate-dependent controllable loads, located in Florida, USA. For its development, statistical data on the energy consumption of the building in 2016 were used, along with the deployment of kernel density estimator to characterize its probabilistic behavior. For validation of the uncertainty cost functions, the Monte-Carlo simulation method was used to make comparisons between the analytical results and the results obtained by the method. The cost functions found differential errors of less than 1%, compared to the Monte-Carlo simulation method. With this, there is an analytical approach to the uncertainty costs of the building that can be used in the development of optimal energy dispatches, as well as a complementary method for the probabilistic characterization of the stochastic behavior of agents in the electricity sector.

scholarly journals Modeling and Optimizing the Multi-Objective Portfolio Optimization Problem with Trapezoidal Fuzzy Parameters

2021 ◽  
Vol 26 (2) ◽  
pp. 36
Author(s):  
Alejandro Estrada-Padilla ◽  
Daniela Lopez-Garcia ◽  
Claudia Gómez-Santillán ◽  
Héctor Joaquín Fraire-Huacuja ◽  
Laura Cruz-Reyes ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Steady State ◽  
Portfolio Optimization ◽  
Optimization Problem ◽  
Solution Process ◽  
Density Estimator ◽  
Nsga Ii ◽  
Spatial Spread ◽  
Multi Objective ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Portfolio Optimization Problem

A common issue in the Multi-Objective Portfolio Optimization Problem (MOPOP) is the presence of uncertainty that affects individual decisions, e.g., variations on resources or benefits of projects. Fuzzy numbers are successful in dealing with imprecise numerical quantities, and they found numerous applications in optimization. However, so far, they have not been used to tackle uncertainty in MOPOP. Hence, this work proposes to tackle MOPOP’s uncertainty with a new optimization model based on fuzzy trapezoidal parameters. Additionally, it proposes three novel steady-state algorithms as the model’s solution process. One approach integrates the Fuzzy Adaptive Multi-objective Evolutionary (FAME) methodology; the other two apply the Non-Dominated Genetic Algorithm (NSGA-II) methodology. One steady-state algorithm uses the Spatial Spread Deviation as a density estimator to improve the Pareto fronts’ distribution. This research work’s final contribution is developing a new defuzzification mapping that allows measuring algorithms’ performance using widely known metrics. The results show a significant difference in performance favoring the proposed steady-state algorithm based on the FAME methodology.

scholarly journals On the Estimation of Reliability of Weighted Weibull Distribution: A Comparative Study

2016 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Bander Al-Zahrani
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Weibull Distribution ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Reliability Function ◽  
Nonparametric Methods ◽  
Empirical Method ◽  
Density Estimator ◽  
Bayes Estimators ◽  
Unknown Parameters ◽  
Data Set

The paper gives a description of estimation for the reliability function of weighted Weibull distribution. The maximum likelihood estimators for the unknown parameters are obtained. Nonparametric methods such as empirical method, kernel density estimator and a modified shrinkage estimator are provided. The Markov chain Monte Carlo method is used to compute the Bayes estimators assuming gamma and Jeffrey priors. The performance of the maximum likelihood, nonparametric methods and Bayesian estimators is assessed through a real data set.

scholarly journals A kernel type nonparametric density estimator for decompounding

Bernoulli ◽  
2007 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 672-694 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bert van Es ◽  
Shota Gugushvili ◽  
Peter Spreij
Keyword(s):  
Density Estimator ◽  
Kernel Type

scholarly journals Analysis of the spatial distribution of dengue cases in the city of Rio de Janeiro, 2011 and 2012

2017 ◽  
Vol 51 ◽  
Author(s):  
Silvia Carvalho ◽  
Mônica De Avelar Figueiredo Mafra Magalhães ◽  
Roberto De Andrade Medronho
Keyword(s):  
Information System ◽  
Spatial Distribution ◽  
Rio De Janeiro ◽  
Influencing Factor ◽  
Kernel Density ◽  
Severe Dengue ◽  
Automatic Process ◽  
Density Estimator ◽  
Macroeconomic Policies ◽  
The City

OBJECTIVE Analyze the spatial distribution of classical dengue and severe dengue cases in the city of Rio de Janeiro. METHODS Exploratory study, considering cases of classical dengue and severe dengue with laboratory confirmation of the infection in the city of Rio de Janeiro during the years 2011/2012. The georeferencing technique was applied for the cases notified in the Notification Increase Information System in the period of 2011 and 2012. For this process, the fields “street” and “number” were used. The ArcGis10 program’s Geocoding tool’s automatic process was performed. The spatial analysis was done through the kernel density estimator. RESULTS Kernel density pointed out hotspots for classic dengue that did not coincide geographically with severe dengue and were in or near favelas. The kernel ratio did not show a notable change in the spatial distribution pattern observed in the kernel density analysis. The georeferencing process showed a loss of 41% of classic dengue registries and 17% of severe dengue registries due to the address in the Notification Increase Information System form. CONCLUSIONS The hotspots near the favelas suggest that the social vulnerability of these localities can be an influencing factor for the occurrence of this aggravation since there is a deficiency of the supply and access to essential goods and services for the population. To reduce this vulnerability, interventions must be related to macroeconomic policies.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document