scholarly journals THE IMPACT OF STANDARD VALUE ADDED TAX ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN CEE-5 COUNTRIES: ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS AND SIMULATIONS

2016 ◽  
Vol 22 (6) ◽  
pp. 850-866 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mihaela SIMIONESCU ◽  
Lucian-Liviu ALBU

The value added tax (VAT), as an instrument of fiscal policy, might have an important role on economic growth. This study analyzes the impact of standard VAT rate on economic growth in five Central and Eastern European countries (CEE-5) (Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Romania). Different types of panel data models (random effect model, dynamic panel and panel vector-autoregression) over 1995–2015 indicated a positive influence of VAT rate on economic growth. There is a bilateral Granger causality between economic growth and VAT rate. The Bayesian linear models indicate a positive effect of VAT rate on GDP rate only for Hungary. On short-run, the other countries register lower GDP rates when VAT rates increase. Some simulations of economic growth for 2016 and 2018 were made for each CEE-5 country under different assumptions regarding VAT rate values.

Author(s):  
Jose Maria Da Rocha ◽  
Javier García-Cutrín ◽  
Maria-Jose Gutiérrez ◽  
Raul Prellezo ◽  
Eduardo Sanchez

AbstractIntegrated economic models have become popular for assessing climate change. In this paper we show how these methods can be used to assess the impact of a discard ban in a fishery. We state that a discard ban can be understood as a confiscatory tax equivalent to a value-added tax. Under this framework, we show that a discard ban improves the sustainability of the fishery in the short run and increases economic welfare in the long run. In particular, we show that consumption, capital and wages show an initial decrease just after the implementation of the discard ban then recover after some periods to reach their steady-sate values, which are 16–20% higher than the initial values, depending on the valuation of the landed discards. The discard ban also improves biological variables, increasing landings by 14% and reducing discards by 29% on the initial figures. These patterns highlight the two channels through which discard bans affect a fishery: the tax channel, which shows that the confiscation of landed discards reduces the incentive to invest in the fishery; and the productivity channel, which increases the abundance of the stock. Thus, during the first few years after the implementation of a discard ban, the negative effect from the tax channel dominates the positive effect from the productivity channel, because the stock needs time to recover. Once stock abundance improves, the productivity channel dominates the tax channel and the economic variables rise above their initial levels. Our results also show that a landed discards valorisation policy is optimal from the social welfare point of view provided that incentives to increase discards are not created.


2021 ◽  
Vol 275 ◽  
pp. 01004
Author(s):  
Liu Ran

In this paper, using the panel data of the National Bureau of Statistics database from 2010 to 2019, and using the random effect model, we studied the impact of agricultural infrastructure investment on economic growth. The empirical results show that the investment in agricultural infrastructure can significantly improve the national economy, among which the investment in new infrastructure promotes the economic growth to a certain extent. After comparing the eastern, central and western regions, it is found that the investment in agricultural infrastructure in the western region contributes more to the economic growth, and the statistical results are more significant. Based on the analysis of the role of agricultural infrastructure investment in promoting economic growth, this paper will further discuss the relevant suggestions of the “two new and one heavy” policy in the agricultural field, and promote the adjustment of agricultural industrial structure with the improvement of agricultural infrastructure, and promote the formation of a new development pattern of “double circulation”.


Author(s):  
ADEGBITE, TAJUDEEN ADEJARE

This study examined the co-integration analysis of effect of value added tax and excise duties on economic growth in Nigeria. It also looked at the direction of causality among value added tax excise duty, interest rate, exchange rate and economic growth employing the method of Johansen co-integration and the Granger causality tests using data spanning the period 1994- 2014. Results showed that VAT has positive significant impact on GDP in the short run but has negative impact on GDP in the long run with (  = 1.296417; t=7.41; P>|t|= 0.000) and ( =- 13.38159; z=-3.60 , P>|z|= 0.000) respectively. Also, VAT does not granger cause GDP. Excise duty impacted GDP negatively in the short run but positively in the long run with (=-1.111069; t=-5.16, , P>|t|= 0.000) and ( =37.54469; z = 4.07; P>|z|= 0.000) respectively. It is recommended that, once the value added tax impacted economic growth positively in the shortrun but negative in the long run, government should increase the rate of value added tax in Nigeria, this will in turn boosting the revenue generation in Nigeria. Also, government should increase excise duty on tobacco and alcoholic so as to have positive significant impact on economic growth in the short run.


Author(s):  
Mega Riandini Arsallya ◽  
Azwardi Azwardi ◽  
Yusnaini Yusnaini

The purpose of this research aims to determine the impact of Local Own Revenue, Balanced Funds, Economic Growth, and Excess of Budget Calculation (SiLPA) on Capital Expenditure as long as the implications to provincial government financial performance in Indonesia from 2011 to 2019. The province government financial reports from across Indonesia as population and in 2011 to 2019 as samples. This type of research is known as causal associative research, with quantitative descriptive analysis techniques, and Panel Data Regression Analysis with The Random Effect Model as the selected model, with secondary data including time-series data and panel data in 2011 to 2019 from The Supreme Audit Agency of the Republic of Indonesia, the Central Bureau of Statistics, and other official publications. According to the research results, R2 was 79.08%. Partially Local Own Revenue had a positive value and did not affect Capital Expenditure. Balanced Funds, Economic Growth, and Excess of Budget Calculation had positive values and an effect on Capital Expenditures. Simultaneously, Local Own Revenue, Balanced Funds, Economic Growth, and Excess of Budget Calculation affect Capital Expenditure. Then Local Own Revenue, Balanced Funds, Economic Growth, Excess of Budget Calculation and Capital Expenditures simultaneously did not affect Financial Performance.


2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 30
Author(s):  
Akhmad Faisal Lutfi ◽  
Zainuri Zainuri ◽  
Herman Cahyo Diartho

Today the phenomenon of the influence of corruption to economic growth has been a fairly hot issue of debate, both theoretically and empirically. The research uses a data panel analysis with a Random Effect Model approach to determine if corruption has a negative impact on economic growth in 4 ASEAN countries over the period of 2004-2015. Analysis results show that variable corruption has a negative influence on economic growth despite being insignificant, while other variables that have a significant positive influence on economic growth are public investments. The results of this study confirm that the negative effects of corruption do not directly affect economic growth but rather lead to the inefficiencies of production processes and the misallocation of resources.


2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 97-108
Author(s):  
Thomas Andrian ◽  
Nurbetty Herlina Sitorus ◽  
Irma Febriana MK ◽  
Stefanus Willy Chandra

This study aims to analyze and determine the impact of Financial Inclusion in Indonesia and other macroeconomic variables on poverty rate in Indonesia. This study uses secondary data. Analysis method with the Random Effect Model (REM) approach. The results of this study indicate that the variable Bank Service Offices per 1,000 km2 , Ratio of DPK, Ratio CRD have a negative and significant effect on poverty rate in 33 provinces in Indonesia in 2014-2018, and Unemployment Rate (UMP) has a positive and significant effect on poverty rate in 33 provinces in Indonesia in the 2014-2018 period. However, the variable Economic Growth and Inflation (INF) did not have a significant effect on poverty in 33 provinces in Indonesia in the 2014-2018 period. Measuring this dimension is still difficult to do and currently several international institutions were concerned about the development of financial inclusion. Keywords: Financial inclusion, Poverty rate, Economic growth


Author(s):  
Mega Mariska ◽  
Lies Maria Hamzah ◽  
Arivina Ratih

One of the main indicators seen in reviewing the relationship between international workers and economic growth is remittances. Remittances obtained from workers abroad are one of the major sources of finance for developing countries. Remittances are also a source of finance in increasing migrant household incomes which encourage improved consumption which will affect economic growth. This study was conducted to explore the impact of migrant remittances, consumption and FDI on economic growth in 10 ASEAN countries using annual panel data from 2015-2019. This study uses panel data regression analysis with the Random Effect Model (REM) approach. The results showed that remittances, consumption and FDI positively and significantly contributed to economic growth in 10 ASEAN countries. Significant contribution of migrant remittances in economic growth if their use is directed to more productive sectors such as use in the investment sector can help the economies of ASEAN countries to maintain and increase economic growth. The government needs to improve the quality of migrant workers through education because a high level of education will affect the level of wages received by migrants and will have an impact on increasing remittances. The limitation in this study is the use of limited data, for 2020 it is not included in the data set used in the analysis. For this reason, further research should use 2020 data because in 2020 there be a new phenomenon, namely COVID-19 which can be traced to the impact of this phenomenon on remittances. Keywords: Remittances, Migrant, Economic Growth, Panel Data


This paper investigates the impact of Jordanian insurance company's profitability on the economic growth during the period 2007-2016. Regression analysis using random effect model was adopted after applying Hausman test. The results reveals that earning per share, and net realized premiums to shareholders equity have a negative impact on the economic growth, also a significant positive impact for the return on equity on the economic growth has been founded. According to the results the study recommended to encourage individuals and investors to participate in insurance in various fields.


2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 30
Author(s):  
Emmanuel Onoja Eneche ◽  
Ibrahim Ademu Stephen

This study examines the relationship between Tax Revenue and Nigeria Economic Growth. In order to achieve this objective, data was gathered through secondary means. Tax Revenue is proxy by Petroleum Profit Tax, Value Added Tax and Companies Income Tax, while Economic Growth is proxy by Gross Domestic Product. Data collected were analyzed with the aid of the Stata computer software. The study revealed that Petroleum Profit Tax (oil tax revenue) has a positive but no significant relationship with Nigeria Economic Growth, while Value Added Tax and Companies Income Tax (non-oil Tax Revenue) have significant relationship with Nigeria Economic Growth. The study recommends that government should minimize the wide spread corruption and leakages prevalent in tax administration in Nigeria, and transparently and judiciously account for tax revenue generated through the provision of more quality public goods and services, and need not to increase the rates of Value Added Tax and Companies Income Tax in the short run, but to closely monitor the operations of companies engaged in petroleum operations to minimize tax evasion, and as well as support the development of entrepreneurial activities in order to significantly increase Tax Revenue so as to sustain the significant relationship of VAT and CIT (non-oil tax) revenue with Nigeria Economic Growth.


2016 ◽  
Vol 8 (6) ◽  
pp. 59-65 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mukhtar Gatawa Nasiru ◽  
Mohammed Aliero Haruna ◽  
Muhammad Aishatu Abdullahi

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document