Using a Hybrid System Composed of Neural Networks and Genetic Algorithms for Financial Forecasting

Author(s):  
Mihaela Dumitrescu

The possibility of applying artificial neural networks in different areas determined the discovery of more complex structures. This chapter describes the characteristic aspects of using a back-propagation neural network algorithm in making financial forecasting improved by a different technology: genetic algorithms. These can help build an automatic artificial neural network by two adaptive processes: first, genetic search through the data entry window, the forecast horizon, network architecture space, and control parameters to select the best performers; second, back propagation learning in individual networks to evaluate the selected architectures. Thus, network performance population increases from generation to generation. This chapter also presents how genetic algorithms can be used both to find the best network architecture and to find the right combination of inputs, the best prediction horizon and the most effective weight. Finally, this study shows how the results obtained using these technologies can be applied to obtain decision support systems that can lead to increased performance in economic activity and financial projections.

2016 ◽  
pp. 999-1007
Author(s):  
Mihaela Dumitrescu

The possibility of applying artificial neural networks in different areas determined the discovery of more complex structures. This chapter describes the characteristic aspects of using a back-propagation neural network algorithm in making financial forecasting improved by a different technology: genetic algorithms. These can help build an automatic artificial neural network by two adaptive processes: first, genetic search through the data entry window, the forecast horizon, network architecture space, and control parameters to select the best performers; second, back propagation learning in individual networks to evaluate the selected architectures. Thus, network performance population increases from generation to generation. This chapter also presents how genetic algorithms can be used both to find the best network architecture and to find the right combination of inputs, the best prediction horizon and the most effective weight. Finally, this study shows how the results obtained using these technologies can be applied to obtain decision support systems that can lead to increased performance in economic activity and financial projections.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2089 (1) ◽  
pp. 012013
Author(s):  
Priyadarshini Chatterjee ◽  
Dutta Sushama Rani

Abstract Automated diagnosis of diseases in the recent years have gain lots of advantages and potential. Specially automated screening of cancers has helped the clinicians over the time. Sometimes it is seen that the diagnosis of the clinicians is biased but automated detection can help them to come to a proper conclusion. Automated screening is implemented using either artificial inter connected system or convolutional inter connected system. As Artificial neural network is slow in computation, so Convolutional Neural Network has achieved lots of importance in the recent years. It is also seen that Convolutional Neural Network architecture requires a smaller number of datasets. This also provides them an edge over Artificial Neural Networks. Convolutional Neural Networks is used for both segmentation and classification. Image dissection is one of the important steps in the model used for any kind of image analysis. This paper surveys various such Convolutional Neural Networks that are used for medical image analysis.


Author(s):  
Asma Elyounsi ◽  
Hatem Tlijani ◽  
Mohamed Salim Bouhlel

Traditional neural networks are very diverse and have been used during the last decades in the fields of data classification. These networks like MLP, back propagation neural networks (BPNN) and feed forward network have shown inability to scale with problem size and with the slow convergence rate. So in order to overcome these numbers of drawbacks, the use of higher order neural networks (HONNs) becomes the solution by adding input units along with a stronger functioning of other neural units in the network and transforms easily these input units to hidden layers. In this paper, a new metaheuristic method, Firefly (FFA), is applied to calculate the optimal weights of the Functional Link Artificial Neural Network (FLANN) by using the flashing behavior of fireflies in order to classify ISA-Radar target. The average classification result of FLANN-FFA which reached 96% shows the efficiency of the process compared to other tested methods.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
DEVIN NIELSEN ◽  
TYLER LOTT ◽  
SOM DUTTA ◽  
JUHYEONG LEE

In this study, three artificial neural network (ANN) models are developed with back propagation (BP) optimization algorithms to predict various lightning damage modes in carbon/epoxy laminates. The proposed ANN models use three input variables associated with lightning waveform parameters (i.e., the peak current amplitude, rising time, and decaying time) to predict fiber damage, matrix damage, and through-thickness damage in the composites. The data used for training and testing the networks was actual lightning damage data collected from peer-reviewed published literature. Various BP training algorithms and network architecture configurations (i.e., data splitting, the number of neurons in a hidden layer, and the number of hidden layers) have been tested to improve the performance of the neural networks. Among the various BP algorithms considered, the Bayesian regularization back propagation (BRBP) showed the overall best performance in lightning damage prediction. When using the BRBP algorithm, as expected, the greater the fraction of the collected data that is allocated to the training dataset, the better the network is trained. In addition, the optimal ANN architecture was found to have a single hidden layer with 20 neurons. The ANN models proposed in this work may prove useful in preliminary assessments of lightning damage and reduce the number of expensive experimental lightning tests.


2010 ◽  
Vol 61 (4) ◽  
pp. 235-240 ◽  
Author(s):  
Perumal Chandrasekar ◽  
Vijayarajan Kamaraj

Detection and Classification of Power Quality Disturbancewaveform Using MRA Based Modified Wavelet Transfrom and Neural Networks In this paper, the modified wavelet based artificial neural network (ANN) is implemented and tested for power signal disturbances. The power signal is decomposed by using modified wavelet transform and the classification is carried by using ANN. Discrete modified wavelet transforms based signal decomposition technique is integrated with the back propagation artificial neural network model is proposed. Varieties of power quality events including voltage sag, swell, momentary interruption, harmonics, transient oscillation and voltage fluctuation are used to test the performance of the proposed approach. The simulation is carried out by using MATLAB software. The simulation results show that the proposed scheme offers superior detection and classification compared to the conventional approaches.


2017 ◽  
Vol 43 (4) ◽  
pp. 26-32 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sinan Mehmet Turp

AbstractThis study investigates the estimated adsorption efficiency of artificial Nickel (II) ions with perlite in an aqueous solution using artificial neural networks, based on 140 experimental data sets. Prediction using artificial neural networks is performed by enhancing the adsorption efficiency with the use of Nickel (II) ions, with the initial concentrations ranging from 0.1 mg/L to 10 mg/L, the adsorbent dosage ranging from 0.1 mg to 2 mg, and the varying time of effect ranging from 5 to 30 mins. This study presents an artificial neural network that predicts the adsorption efficiency of Nickel (II) ions with perlite. The best algorithm is determined as a quasi-Newton back-propagation algorithm. The performance of the artificial neural network is determined by coefficient determination (R2), and its architecture is 3-12-1. The prediction shows that there is an outstanding relationship between the experimental data and the predicted values.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aminmohammad Saberian ◽  
H. Hizam ◽  
M. A. M. Radzi ◽  
M. Z. A. Ab Kadir ◽  
Maryam Mirzaei

This paper presents a solar power modelling method using artificial neural networks (ANNs). Two neural network structures, namely, general regression neural network (GRNN) feedforward back propagation (FFBP), have been used to model a photovoltaic panel output power and approximate the generated power. Both neural networks have four inputs and one output. The inputs are maximum temperature, minimum temperature, mean temperature, and irradiance; the output is the power. The data used in this paper started from January 1, 2006, until December 31, 2010. The five years of data were split into two parts: 2006–2008 and 2009-2010; the first part was used for training and the second part was used for testing the neural networks. A mathematical equation is used to estimate the generated power. At the end, both of these networks have shown good modelling performance; however, FFBP has shown a better performance comparing with GRNN.


2011 ◽  
Vol 121-126 ◽  
pp. 1363-1366
Author(s):  
Shi Lei Zhang ◽  
Shao Feng Chen ◽  
Huan Ding Wang ◽  
Wei Wang

Based on the artificial neural network, the parameters of a steel truss are identified. And the finite element model of truss is corrected. In order to improve the efficiency of model updating by artificial neural networks, the momentum is introduced into the back propagation algorithm. Based on the theory of probability and mathematical statistics, the expectation confidence interval of the measured deflections and strains is obtained. In this way, the samples to train the neural network are optimized. The numerical results show that the back propagation neural network proposed on this paper is able to correct the finite element model of the truss effectively.


2020 ◽  
Vol 39 (3) ◽  
pp. 942-952
Author(s):  
O.T. Badejo ◽  
O.T. Jegede ◽  
H.O. Kayode ◽  
O.O. Durodola ◽  
S.O. Akintoye

Water current modelling and prediction techniques along coastal inlets have attracted growing concern in recent years. This is largely so because water current component continues to be a major contributor to movement of sediments, tracers and pollutants, and to a whole range of offshore applications in engineering, environmental observations, exploration and oceanography. However, most research works are lacking adequate methods for developing precise prediction models along the commodore channel in Lagos State. This research work presents water current prediction using Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs). The Back Propagation (BP) technique with feed forward architecture and optimized training algorithm known as Levenbergq-Marquardt was used to develop a Neural Network Water Current Prediction model-(NNWLM) in a MATLAB programming environment. It was passed through model sensitivity analysis and afterwards tested with data from the Commodore channel (Lagos Lagoon). The result revealed prediction accuracy ranging from 0.012 to 0.045 in terms of Mean Square Error (MSE) and 0.80 to 0.83 in terms of correlation coefficient (R-value). With this high performance, the Neural network developed in this work can be used as a veritable tool for water current prediction along the Commodore channel and in extension a wide variety of coastal engineering and development, covering sediment management program: dredging, sand bypassing, beach-contingency plans, and protection of beaches vulnerable to storm erosion and monitoring and prediction of long-term water current variations in coastal inlets. Keywords: Artificial Neural Network, Commodore Channel, Coastal Inlet, Water Current, Back Propagation.


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