Tree-Based Modeling Techniques

2019 ◽  
pp. 1-18
Author(s):  
Dileep Kumar G.
Keyword(s):  
Predictive Models ◽  
Data Science ◽  
Linear Models ◽  
High Accuracy ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Regression Methods ◽  
Data Analyst ◽  
Linear Relationships ◽  
Learning Techniques ◽  
Modeling Techniques

Tree-based learning techniques are considered to be one of the best and most used supervised learning methods. Tree-based methods empower predictive models with high accuracy, stability, and ease of interpretation. Unlike linear models, they map non-linear relationships pretty well. These methods are adaptable at solving any kind of problem at hand (classification or regression). Methods like decision trees, random forest, gradient boosting are being widely used in all kinds of machine learning and data science problems. Hence, for every data analyst, it is important to learn these algorithms and use them for modeling. This chapter guide the learner to learn tree-based modeling techniques from scratch.

scholarly journals Machine Learning and Financial Literacy: An Exploration of Factors Influencing Financial Knowledge in Italy

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 120
Author(s):  
Susanna Levantesi ◽  
Giulia Zacchia
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Financial Literacy ◽  
Linear Models ◽  
Financial Knowledge ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Learning Techniques ◽  
Valuable Complement ◽  
Standard Models ◽  
Main Determinants

In recent years, machine learning techniques have assumed an increasingly central role in many areas of research, from computer science to medicine, including finance. In the current study, we applied it to financial literacy to test its accuracy, compared to a standard parametric model, in the estimation of the main determinants of financial knowledge. Using recent data on financial literacy and inclusion among Italian adults, we empirically tested how tree-based machine learning methods, such as decision trees, random, forest and gradient boosting techniques, can be a valuable complement to standard models (generalized linear models) for the identification of the groups in the population in most need of improving their financial knowledge.

scholarly journals Deciphering essential cistromes using genome-wide CRISPR screens

2019 ◽  
Vol 116 (50) ◽  
pp. 25186-25195 ◽  
Author(s):  
Teng Fei ◽  
Wei Li ◽  
Jingyu Peng ◽  
Tengfei Xiao ◽  
Chen-Hao Chen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Predictive Models ◽  
Binding Sites ◽  
Regulatory Elements ◽  
High Accuracy ◽  
Essential Genes ◽  
Ctcf Binding ◽  
Prostate Cancer Cells ◽  
Regression Methods ◽  
Genome Wide ◽  
Breast And Prostate Cancer

Although millions of transcription factor binding sites, or cistromes, have been identified across the human genome, defining which of these sites is functional in a given condition remains challenging. Using CRISPR/Cas9 knockout screens and gene essentiality or fitness as the readout, we systematically investigated the essentiality of over 10,000 FOXA1 and CTCF binding sites in breast and prostate cancer cells. We found that essential FOXA1 binding sites act as enhancers to orchestrate the expression of nearby essential genes through the binding of lineage-specific transcription factors. In contrast, CRISPR screens of the CTCF cistrome revealed 2 classes of essential binding sites. The first class of essential CTCF binding sites act like FOXA1 sites as enhancers to regulate the expression of nearby essential genes, while a second class of essential CTCF binding sites was identified at topologically associated domain (TAD) boundaries and display distinct characteristics. Using regression methods trained on our screening data and public epigenetic profiles, we developed a model to predict essential cis-elements with high accuracy. The model for FOXA1 essentiality correctly predicts noncoding variants associated with cancer risk and progression. Taken together, CRISPR screens of cis-regulatory elements can define the essential cistrome of a given factor and can inform the development of predictive models of cistrome function.

scholarly journals Prediction of Survivors in the Titanic Cruise

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 1268-1271
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Data Science ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Learning Techniques ◽  
Gradient Boosting Machine ◽  
Individual Survival ◽  
Long Time

On the 15th of April, 1912 the titanic witnessed a disaster resulting in the sinking of her passengers on the maiden voyage near North Atlantic. Even though it is a very long time since this maritime disaster took place, the idea behind what impacts each individual survival is still a great research attracting researcher’s attention. The approach taken in this paper is to utilize the publically available data set from website called Kaggle. Kaggle is a popular data science webpage that put together information of people in the titanic into a data set for the data mining competition: “Titanic: Machine Learning from Disaster”. The research and comparisons in this paper uses a few machine learning techniques and algorithms to analyse the data for classification and prediction of survivors. The prediction and efficiency of these algorithms depend greatly on data analysis and model. The techniques used to do so are Random Forest, Support Vector Machine, Gradient Boosting Machine.

Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning Techniques Using Predictive Modeling

2020 ◽  
Vol 13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ritu Khandelwal ◽  
Hemlata Goyal ◽  
Rajveer Singh Shekhawat
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Comparative Analysis ◽  
Data Science ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Future Trends ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Learning Stage ◽  
Learning Techniques ◽  
Different Types

Introduction: Machine learning is an intelligent technology that works as a bridge between businesses and data science. With the involvement of data science, the business goal focuses on findings to get valuable insights on available data. The large part of Indian Cinema is Bollywood which is a multi-million dollar industry. This paper attempts to predict whether the upcoming Bollywood Movie would be Blockbuster, Superhit, Hit, Average or Flop. For this Machine Learning techniques (classification and prediction) will be applied. To make classifier or prediction model first step is the learning stage in which we need to give the training data set to train the model by applying some technique or algorithm and after that different rules are generated which helps to make a model and predict future trends in different types of organizations. Methods: All the techniques related to classification and Prediction such as Support Vector Machine(SVM), Random Forest, Decision Tree, Naïve Bayes, Logistic Regression, Adaboost, and KNN will be applied and try to find out efficient and effective results. All these functionalities can be applied with GUI Based workflows available with various categories such as data, Visualize, Model, and Evaluate. Result: To make classifier or prediction model first step is learning stage in which we need to give the training data set to train the model by applying some technique or algorithm and after that different rules are generated which helps to make a model and predict future trends in different types of organizations Conclusion: This paper focuses on Comparative Analysis that would be performed based on different parameters such as Accuracy, Confusion Matrix to identify the best possible model for predicting the movie Success. By using Advertisement Propaganda, they can plan for the best time to release the movie according to the predicted success rate to gain higher benefits. Discussion: Data Mining is the process of discovering different patterns from large data sets and from that various relationships are also discovered to solve various problems that come in business and helps to predict the forthcoming trends. This Prediction can help Production Houses for Advertisement Propaganda and also they can plan their costs and by assuring these factors they can make the movie more profitable.

scholarly journals Feasibility of Machine Learning Algorithms for Predicting the Deformation of Anodic Titanium Films by Modulating Anodization Processes

Materials ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (5) ◽  
pp. 1089
Author(s):  
Sung-Hee Kim ◽  
Chanyoung Jeong
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Multiclass Classification ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Smart Manufacturing ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Experimental Conditions ◽  
Learning Techniques ◽  
Tio2 Nanostructures

This study aims to demonstrate the feasibility of applying eight machine learning algorithms to predict the classification of the surface characteristics of titanium oxide (TiO2) nanostructures with different anodization processes. We produced a total of 100 samples, and we assessed changes in TiO2 nanostructures’ thicknesses by performing anodization. We successfully grew TiO2 films with different thicknesses by one-step anodization in ethylene glycol containing NH4F and H2O at applied voltage differences ranging from 10 V to 100 V at various anodization durations. We found that the thicknesses of TiO2 nanostructures are dependent on anodization voltages under time differences. Therefore, we tested the feasibility of applying machine learning algorithms to predict the deformation of TiO2. As the characteristics of TiO2 changed based on the different experimental conditions, we classified its surface pore structure into two categories and four groups. For the classification based on granularity, we assessed layer creation, roughness, pore creation, and pore height. We applied eight machine learning techniques to predict classification for binary and multiclass classification. For binary classification, random forest and gradient boosting algorithm had relatively high performance. However, all eight algorithms had scores higher than 0.93, which signifies high prediction on estimating the presence of pore. In contrast, decision tree and three ensemble methods had a relatively higher performance for multiclass classification, with an accuracy rate greater than 0.79. The weakest algorithm used was k-nearest neighbors for both binary and multiclass classifications. We believe that these results show that we can apply machine learning techniques to predict surface quality improvement, leading to smart manufacturing technology to better control color appearance, super-hydrophobicity, super-hydrophilicity or batter efficiency.

scholarly journals Age Prediction of Human Based on DNA Methylation by Blood Tissues

Genes ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (6) ◽  
pp. 870
Author(s):  
Jiansheng Zhang ◽  
Hongli Fu ◽  
Yan Xu
Keyword(s):  
Dna Methylation ◽  
Pearson Correlation ◽  
Close Correlation ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Tissue Samples ◽  
Regression Methods ◽  
Cpg Sites ◽  
Testing Dataset ◽  
Age Related ◽  
Better Than

In recent years, scientists have found a close correlation between DNA methylation and aging in epigenetics. With the in-depth research in the field of DNA methylation, researchers have established a quantitative statistical relationship to predict the individual ages. This work used human blood tissue samples to study the association between age and DNA methylation. We built two predictors based on healthy and disease data, respectively. For the health data, we retrieved a total of 1191 samples from four previous reports. By calculating the Pearson correlation coefficient between age and DNA methylation values, 111 age-related CpG sites were selected. Gradient boosting regression was utilized to build the predictive model and obtained the R2 value of 0.86 and MAD of 3.90 years on testing dataset, which were better than other four regression methods as well as Horvath’s results. For the disease data, 354 rheumatoid arthritis samples were retrieved from a previous study. Then, 45 CpG sites were selected to build the predictor and the corresponded MAD and R2 were 3.11 years and 0.89 on the testing dataset respectively, which showed the robustness of our predictor. Our results were better than the ones from other four regression methods. Finally, we also analyzed the twenty-four common CpG sites in both healthy and disease datasets which illustrated the functional relevance of the selected CpG sites.

scholarly journals Using Virtual Learning Environment Data for the Development of Institutional Educational Policies

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (15) ◽  
pp. 6811
Author(s):  
Emanuel Marques Queiroga ◽  
Carolina Rodríguez Enríquez ◽  
Cristian Cechinel ◽  
Alén Perez Casas ◽  
Virgínia Rodés Paragarino ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Learning Environment ◽  
Predictive Models ◽  
Data Science ◽  
Educational Data Mining ◽  
Virtual Learning ◽  
Academic Community ◽  
Virtual Learning Environment ◽  
Educational Policies ◽  
Interdisciplinary Exchange ◽  
Computational Resources

This paper describes the application of Data Science and Educational Data Mining techniques to data from 4529 students, seeking to identify behavior patterns and generate early predictive models at the Universidad de la República del Uruguay. The paper describes the use of data from different sources (a Virtual Learning Environment, survey, and academic system) to generate predictive models and discover the most impactful variables linked to student success. The combination of different data sources demonstrated a high predictive power, achieving prediction rates with outstanding discrimination at the fourth week of a course. The analysis showed that students with more interactions inside the Virtual Learning Environment tended to have more success in their disciplines. The results also revealed some relevant attributes that influenced the students’ success, such as the number of subjects the student was enrolled in, the students’ mother’s education, and the students’ neighborhood. From the results emerged some institutional policies, such as the allocation of computational resources for the Virtual Learning Environment infrastructure and its widespread use, the development of tools for following the trajectory of students, and the detection of students at-risk of failure. The construction of an interdisciplinary exchange bridge between sociology, education, and data science is also a significant contribution to the academic community that may help in constructing university educational policies.

scholarly journals Configuration and intercomparison of deep learning neural models for statistical downscaling

2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 2109-2124 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jorge Baño-Medina ◽  
Rodrigo Manzanas ◽  
José Manuel Gutiérrez
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Statistical Downscaling ◽  
Linear Models ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Added Value ◽  
Climate Conditions ◽  
Continental Scale ◽  
Spatial Features ◽  
Learning Techniques

Abstract. Deep learning techniques (in particular convolutional neural networks, CNNs) have recently emerged as a promising approach for statistical downscaling due to their ability to learn spatial features from huge spatiotemporal datasets. However, existing studies are based on complex models, applied to particular case studies and using simple validation frameworks, which makes a proper assessment of the (possible) added value offered by these techniques difficult. As a result, these models are usually seen as black boxes, generating distrust among the climate community, particularly in climate change applications. In this paper we undertake a comprehensive assessment of deep learning techniques for continental-scale statistical downscaling, building on the VALUE validation framework. In particular, different CNN models of increasing complexity are applied to downscale temperature and precipitation over Europe, comparing them with a few standard benchmark methods from VALUE (linear and generalized linear models) which have been traditionally used for this purpose. Besides analyzing the adequacy of different components and topologies, we also focus on their extrapolation capability, a critical point for their potential application in climate change studies. To do this, we use a warm test period as a surrogate for possible future climate conditions. Our results show that, while the added value of CNNs is mostly limited to the reproduction of extremes for temperature, these techniques do outperform the classic ones in the case of precipitation for most aspects considered. This overall good performance, together with the fact that they can be suitably applied to large regions (e.g., continents) without worrying about the spatial features being considered as predictors, can foster the use of statistical approaches in international initiatives such as Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX).

scholarly journals Big Data: New Tricks for Econometrics

2014 ◽  
Vol 28 (2) ◽  
pp. 3-28 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hal R. Varian
Keyword(s):  
Big Data ◽  
Linear Models ◽  
Neural Nets ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Techniques ◽  
Model Complex ◽  
Vector Machines ◽  
Sheer Size ◽  
Complex Relationships

Computers are now involved in many economic transactions and can capture data associated with these transactions, which can then be manipulated and analyzed. Conventional statistical and econometric techniques such as regression often work well, but there are issues unique to big datasets that may require different tools. First, the sheer size of the data involved may require more powerful data manipulation tools. Second, we may have more potential predictors than appropriate for estimation, so we need to do some kind of variable selection. Third, large datasets may allow for more flexible relationships than simple linear models. Machine learning techniques such as decision trees, support vector machines, neural nets, deep learning, and so on may allow for more effective ways to model complex relationships. In this essay, I will describe a few of these tools for manipulating and analyzing big data. I believe that these methods have a lot to offer and should be more widely known and used by economists.

scholarly journals A Data Science Analysis of Academic Staff Workload Profiles in Spanish Universities: Gender Gap Laid Bare

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 317
Author(s):  
Ismael Cabero ◽  
Irene Epifanio
Keyword(s):  
Gender Gap ◽  
Data Science ◽  
Academic Staff ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Academic Disciplines ◽  
University Environment ◽  
Learning Techniques ◽  
Spanish Universities ◽  
New Perspective

This paper presents a snapshot of the distribution of time that Spanish academic staff spend on different tasks. We carry out a statistical exploratory study by analyzing the responses provided in a survey of 703 Spanish academic staff in order to draw a clear picture of the current situation. This analysis considers many factors, including primarily gender, academic ranks, age, and academic disciplines. The tasks considered are divided into smaller activities, which allows us to discover hidden patterns. Tasks are not only restricted to the academic world, but also relate to domestic chores. We address this problem from a totally new perspective by using machine learning techniques, such as cluster analysis. In order to make important decisions, policymakers must know how academic staff spend their time, especially now that legal modifications are planned for the Spanish university environment. In terms of the time spent on quality of teaching and caring tasks, we expose huge gender gaps. Non-recognized overtime is very frequent.

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